BC Card Accelerates Launch of NFT Guarantees for Secondhand Luxury Goods Trades

FTX Seeks Exclusion of Dubai Unit from Bankruptcy ProceedingsFailed crypto exchange FTX, which filed for bankruptcy in November, is now aiming to exclude its Dubai unit from the ongoing restructuring proceedings unfolding in the United States.Photo by Roman Logov on UnsplashNo previous business activityThe motion, filed with the bankruptcy court in Delaware on Wednesday, comes as FTX contends that its Dubai branch had not engaged in any business activities prior to the bankruptcy declaration, making its participation in the rehabilitation efforts unlikely.In the recent court filing on August 2, FTX put forth its argument that its Dubai unit, FTX Dubai, held a balance sheet that was solvent. Consequently, the exchange proposed that initiating a voluntary liquidation process in line with the laws of the United Arab Emirates (UAE) would expedite the distribution of its positive cash balance, settling liabilities, and liquidating assets.FTX Dubai, a wholly-owned subsidiary of FTX’s European arm, holds a sum of approximately $4.5 million across various accounts. However, $4 million of this amount remains restricted by the Virtual Assets Regulatory Authority (VARA) of Dubai, serving as a security measure for its license as a virtual asset service provider.Expired licensingFTX Dubai was originally awarded a license by VARA in July 2022, although it never got to a point where it offered any crypto-related services based on that license. On May 31 of this year, FTX Dubai management was informed by VARA that the regulator would not seek to renew the license if FTX Dubai didn’t act to terminate it. The license was subsequently suspended on July 12 by VARA.Licensing could have been useful to a new operator coming in to run the business. Earlier this week, the FTX Debtor filed a restructuring plan that leaves a path open towards relaunching the FTX International business outside of the United States. It’s clear that the current regulatory environment in the US is such that it’s simply not an attractive option to establish a restructured FTX business there.The FTX Debtor and its advisors are engaging with bidders for the business. In establishing a business on the right footing, it may be just as well that licensing will start afresh. To settle market doubts, the new entity will need to achieve a high level of compliance and industry-leading customer protections.FTX Dubai is now anticipated to collaborate with the designated liquidator to carry out essential administrative procedures, ensuring a systematic and efficient execution of the liquidation process. The company’s decision to file for bankruptcy on November 11, 2022, initiated bankruptcy proceedings for a total of 102 associated entities worldwide, reflecting the substantial impact of its financial turmoil.The matter is scheduled to be addressed in the court’s first hearing on August 23, shedding light on how the court will respond to FTX’s motion to remove its Dubai unit from the overarching bankruptcy proceedings in the US. This development underscores the complexities of a cross-border crypto bankruptcy, highlighting the intricacies of global regulatory frameworks in this evolving sector.

Korean Crypto Exchange Presents Bitcoin Forecasts for Three ScenariosRecently, concerns over a potential US default have heightened due to the ongoing disagreement between Republicans and Democrats in the US Congress regarding the necessity of increasing the debt ceiling. Democrats, along with the Biden administration, advocate for authorizing additional debt, while Republicans propose spending cuts.Considering the historical patterns observed in the US and the inherently political nature of this matter, it is improbable that the uncertainty surrounding the debt ceiling raise will endure for an extended period. In the past, when faced with a similar situation in 2011, the debt ceiling was ultimately approved despite significant political divisions. Particularly with upcoming elections next year and escalating concerns of an economic downturn, it is likely that a resolution to the debt ceiling issue will be reached soon.In light of these circumstances, the economic research institute at one of South Korea’s major crypto exchanges Bithumb released a report that outlines three distinct scenarios depicting the potential unfolding of the debt ceiling issue in the US. Additionally, it has offered insights into the potential implications for Bitcoin under each scenario.Photo by Shubham’s Web3 on UnsplashBipartisan agreement to increase the debt ceilingIn the scenario where the debt ceiling is promptly raised as a result of a significant bipartisan agreement, the US is anticipated to adopt an expansionary fiscal policy by issuing government bonds to prevent a default. If a debt ceiling deal is reached, it is projected that short-term bond issuance will reach a net amount of $1.4 trillion by the end of the year. There is also a growing consensus that medium- and long-term bond issuance may commence in the third quarter. Additionally, the possibility of interest rate cuts as early as the second half of this year entered the equation. In the long term, this could potentially lead to a depreciation of the dollar as market liquidity increases, thereby weakening the currency. It is worth noting that historically, the value of Bitcoin tended to go up when market liquidity rises.Debt ceiling disagreement and delayed negotiationsAnother scenario entails the failure of the two parties to reach an agreement and a subsequent delay in approving a raise to the debt ceiling. Should the debt ceiling not be raised in a timely manner, the US would potentially encounter an unparalleled default on its debt obligations. This default could trigger a severe credit crunch, resulting from international credit downgrades and a weakened global standing for the US. Such circumstances would further escalate the risk of an economic crisis.As the negotiations on the debt limit continue to be delayed, there will be a prolonged period of uncertainty in both Treasury issuance and secondary markets. This uncertainty poses risks to money market funds (MMFs) that hold a significant portion of short-term Treasuries, potentially resulting in losses. Consequently, there could be a shift towards reverse repo (RRP) transactions as investors seek alternative avenues. In fact, Treasury liquidity has recently exhibited signs of deterioration, with MMFs and RRPs garnering considerable attention in the market.Heightened concerns regarding short-term Treasuries could lead to a higher volume of reverse repo trades compared to repo trades. Repo transactions use Treasuries as collateral, whereas reverse repo transactions involve depositing funds with the Fed or lending money to the Fed in exchange for collateral, which often includes Treasuries, thereby earning interest. In such a scenario, market liquidity could become trapped in the Fed, potentially rekindling risks within the banking system.Given their sensitivity to liquidity conditions, crypto markets are anticipated to experience a temporary decline. However, Bitcoin has exhibited a historical pattern of appreciating in value as an alternative to the US banking system, especially during instances of small and medium-sized bank failures. In the event of prolonged negotiations and an escalating risk of a US default, the demand for safe-haven assets like Bitcoin might surge. As a result, Bitcoin could gain favorability as investors seek refuge in alternative assets amidst uncertain market conditions.Linking debt ceiling increase to spending reductionThe last scenario involves a conditional agreement accompanied by measures aimed at reducing the deficit, as proposed by Republicans. Given the longstanding concerns surrounding excessive US deficits, any agreement to raise the debt ceiling would likely be contingent upon fiscal consolidation and spending cuts. Notably, as of March 31, 2023, the US federal deficit is approximately 8% of GDP, a figure comparable to the 8.3% average observed in 2011 when the possibility of a US default reached its peak.While fiscal consolidation is necessary to ensure fiscal sustainability, unless the US significantly increases tax revenues, an increase in the debt ceiling may be negotiated at the expense of significant cuts to the national budget. In such a case, the US economy would inevitably experience the adverse effects of reduced government spending.The Republican party has put forth a demand of $4.8 trillion in deficit reduction over the next ten years as a condition for raising the debt ceiling. This figure translates to an average of $480 billion per year or approximately 1.8% of the current year’s GDP (as of May). However, it is important to note that in the medium to long term, reductions in government spending without complementary expansionary monetary policies have the potential to accelerate GDP decline. If Congress agrees to cuts in government spending, it could increase the probability of the Fed swiftly reversing its tightening policy. Unless the Fed halts its tightening measures, the likelihood of a US recession may become more pronounced.If the Fed decides to cut interest rates earlier than anticipated in response to the Treasury’s fiscal consolidation efforts, Bitcoin, which is known to be more responsive to long-term monetary policy, might be able to overcome the short-term downturn and experience an upward trend.The authors contend that at present, market attention is primarily directed towards the matter of raising the debt ceiling, taking into account the potential risks of a US default and the possibility of a bond rating downgrade. However, they believe it is unlikely that US politicians will make radical decisions in the run-up to next year’s presidential election.While the issue of raising the debt ceiling will have a short-term impact, the report argues that the main drivers of Bitcoin’s price in the medium to long term will be the Fed’s monetary policy and the occurrence of Bitcoin’s halving event.It is important to note that there is a time lag between the end of the Fed’s tightening measures and the halving of Bitcoin. In the short term, the price trajectory of Bitcoin will likely be influenced by factors such as the potential failure of additional small and medium-sized US banks (which is concerning given recent outflows of US bank deposits) and increased demand for safe-haven assets due to the delay in raising the debt ceiling. These factors will play a greater role in shaping Bitcoin’s short-term performance.

As cryptocurrencies continue to captivate South Korea, the world of ordinary digital asset investors is set for its primetime debut. Today, major broadcaster MBC is scheduled to premiere “To the Moon,” a new television drama that explores the risks and rewards of crypto investing. In crypto slang, “to the moon” refers to expectations of a sharp price surge, a phrase often used by traders to signal bullish sentiment. The series, airing Fridays and Saturdays, is an adaptation of Jang Ryujin’s 2021 novel of the same name, with an English edition released on June 19 of this year. It chronicles the lives of three young women who, despite landing what most would consider solid positions at a confectionery company, find their ambitions stifled by economic realities. Confined to small studio apartments and seeing little room for advancement, they turn to the volatile world of cryptocurrency as their pathway to upward mobility. The publisher describes these burnt-out protagonists’ journey as one that oscillates between humor and despair.Photo by Kanchanara on UnsplashEthereum’s rally and rising optimismIn the original novel, the plot is ignited when one of the women achieves a significant windfall by investing in Ethereum (ETH), inspiring her colleagues to join the fray. What follows is a familiar tale for many investors. They experience a period of wild price swings and respectable profits, only to see their winning streak abruptly halted by a severe market downturn. At the time the book was published in April 2021, ETH traded at roughly $2,100. Today, by contrast, CoinMarketCap data shows the asset trading at $4,543.14, more than doubling since the book’s release. Support for this bullish outlook comes from well-known market voices. Tom Lee, Fundstrat founder and chairman of ETH treasury firm Bitmine, told CNBC that Ethereum (ETH), Bitcoin (BTC), and the Nasdaq 100 would benefit most if the Federal Reserve cut rates, predicting a strong rally in the next three months. He made these comments before the Fed’s actual move, a quarter-point rate cut announced at its Sept. 17 Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) conference. In a separate Fox Business interview, VanEck’s CEO echoed this view, saying ETH will emerge as the leading asset as banks adopt blockchain for stablecoin transactions. Data also points to growing strength. According to Token Terminal, the supply of Ethereum-based stablecoins has recently reached an all-time high of $168 billion. This milestone is largely attributable to the fact that over half of the entire stablecoin supply now operates on the Ethereum network, underscoring its foundational role in the digital economy. Talent drain and security risksStill, there are headwinds that could slow Ethereum’s ascent. A recent survey by Protocol Guild, an independent funding group for Ethereum core developers, revealed a compensation gap that threatens the network's long-term health. The survey found that Ethereum core developers are receiving external job offers with a median salary of $300,000—more than double the $140,000 median they currently earn for maintaining and upgrading the network. Protocol Guild has noted that this disparity could precipitate a talent exodus, potentially slowing future development. Security has been an ongoing concern, with ETH often targeted by hackers. In a reminder of the sector's vulnerabilities, the crypto exchange Bybit reported a theft of 401,000 ETH in February, an amount valued at roughly $1.5 billion at the time. The U.S. Federal Bureau of Investigation later identified the exploit, one of the largest in crypto history, as the work of the North Korean hacker known as “TraderTraitor.” "To the Moon" is set to air at a time when its themes of innovation and risk are playing out in the real world of crypto. The industry is riding a wave of institutional adoption and high valuations, but it's also facing a talent crunch and security concerns. These dynamics continue to keep digital assets on investors’ radar in South Korea and beyond.