QCP Capital: Bitcoin Has $34K Price Potential

QCP Trading, the trading arm of Singaporean crypto market maker and broker dealer QCP Group, has taken a significant step towards full licensing in Singapore, having been awarded in-principle approval (IPA) for a Major Payment Institution (MPI) license by local regulator, the Monetary Authority of Singapore (MAS). Regulated spot tradingIn a press release published by PR Newswire on behalf of QCP Trading Pte. Ltd. on Nov. 11, the company outlined further details on the receipt of the preliminary license. The company confirmed that the IPA represents an “essential step towards full licensing,” enabling it to prepare to offer regulated spot trading service facilities relative to digital payment tokens. QCP Trading is geared towards facilitating a broad range of crypto spot trading, including the trading of stablecoins and major digital asset tokens. The company offers on/off ramps into and out of cryptocurrency positions via multiple fiat currencies. Photo by Guo Xin Goh on UnsplashOperational expansionDarius Sit, founder of QCP Trading, commented on the development, stating that as the firm continues its pursuit of a full trading license, the focus remains on supporting Singapore’s reputation as a leader in digital asset regulation. Sit added that the company is proud of its “ability to remain agile and responsive to both global and local market conditions,” suggesting that this approach is the key to success in the rapidly evolving crypto sector. QCP Trading intends to continue to build a local team in Singapore and with that it is hiring in order to enable operational expansion. Melvin Deng, the company’s CEO, said that the firm is aiming “to champion robust governance frameworks,” and that its “early recognition of the critical role of regulation has proven to be a strategic foresight." Global expansionThe QCP Group appears to be pursuing a global expansion strategy as back in May, group company QCP Capital received IPA for regulated digital asset trading activities from the Financial Services Regulatory Authority (FSRA), the regulator within the Abu Dhabi Global Markets economic zone in the United Arab Emirates (UAE). In doing so, it became the first Singapore-headquartered crypto broker and market maker to receive preliminary approval within the Middle East region. At that point, QCP had 70 employees, with plans to relocate some of them to Abu Dhabi. In the lead-up to that IPA licensing award in Abu Dhabi, QCP had partnered with Further Ventures as part of its efforts in expanding into the Middle Eastern market. On Nov. 11, QCP Capital put out a warning via its Telegram channel, informing market participants that given the rise in the unit price of Bitcoin in recent days, it is necessary to be mindful of the risk of pullbacks, which will be required in order to account for the use of leverage within the market. In recent weeks, Fly Wing Technologies, a subsidiary of cryptocurrency service provider Matrixport, and the Singaporean subsidiary of American crypto exchange Gemini have received IPA approval with respect to MPI licensing in Singapore. At the beginning of September, crypto exchange OKX received full MPI approval. 

Thai Central Bank Collaborates With Singapore’s 2C2P on CBDC PilotThe Bank of Thailand is set to commence a pilot project for a retail central bank digital currency (CBDC) within a regulatory sandbox later this month.Three participating fintech firmsThat’s according to local media, with reports suggesting that three payment providers will participate in the project, which is expected to involve up to 10,000 users and run until August.The scheme will involve two Thai banks, Bank of Ayudhya (Krungsri), Thailand’s fifth largest bank, and Siam Commercial Bank. Singapore-based payments service provider 2C2P will also collaborate with the Thai central bank on the CBDC initiative. 2C2P is a global payments platform which helps businesses to accept payments securely online, on mobile, and in-store. Each organization has developed an app exclusively available to selected users, encompassing a digital wallet and a QR code scanner.Krungsri plans to engage up to 2,000 staff members and approximately 100 merchants in the project, focusing on locations around the bank’s headquarters. Furthermore, the project will expand to include the Ploenchit branch.Photo by Florian Wehde on UnsplashMaintaining relevanceBanks are having to embrace the need to adapt to the eventuality of developments like CBDCs as, depending upon how they’re implemented, they could render some banking products obsolete. Sam Tanskul, the Managing Director of Krungsri Finnovate, a division of the Thai banking business that focuses on strategic investments, expressed the need for the bank to establish a distinct strategy for differentiating the retail CBDC from its existing PromptPay mobile payments service.Siam Commercial Bank’s pilot project will operate in a similar manner to Krungsri’s, involving staff members and nearby merchants as participants. The Bank of Thailand has emphasized that the project aims to facilitate learning rather than serve as an official pilot launch. At present, the central bank has not disclosed any official plans to implement a CBDC.Wholesale and retail CBDCsThe Bank of Thailand commenced the development of a wholesale CBDC back in 2018. It has actively participated in various projects such as the Bank for International Settlements’ (BIS) mBridge cross-border payment initiative and the Project Inthanon-Lion Rock collaboration with the Hong Kong Monetary Authority (HKMA).In a move to foster the growth of the digital token market, Thailand waived corporate income tax and value-added tax for companies issuing investment tokens in March. While this decision is expected to result in an approximate loss of $1 billion in revenue for the country, it is projected that investment tokens will generate $3.7 billion over the next two years, as stated by a government spokesperson.The Bank of Thailand’s forthcoming retail CBDC pilot project is one of a plethora of such projects being pursued throughout the Asia-Pacific region. In Japan, the Bank of Japan recently completed the second phase of a proof of concept project relative to its CBDC, with the project now progressing to phase three. Last month, it emerged that the Bank of Korea is collaborating with Samsung Electronics relative to its CBDC project. Meanwhile, India is progressing further in trialing its CBDC, while China is further along the development curve than all others in that respect.

Australian venture capitalist and founder of MHC Digital Group, Mark Carnegie, is optimistic about bitcoin's potential for a bullish trend, while believing that Asia will be the real force driving the market beyond the exchange-traded fund (ETF) approval hype in the United States.Photo by Hans Eiskonen on Unsplash$50,000 bitcoin retestIn a recent interview with CNBC, Carnegie expressed his belief that bitcoin is "clearly primed for a bit of a run and a retest to $50,000." The bitcoin unit price stood at around $43,600 at the time of the interview. At the time of writing, it’s weighing in at $46,773. While there’s likely to be considerable resistance in the leading cryptocurrency getting past the psychologically important $50,000 level, the digital asset is certainly heading in the direction that Carnegie had predicted. Looking ahead, Carnegie shared his short-to-medium-term outlook, stating:"So my feeling is short term, long, medium term, which is, you know, 30 to 90 days, probably a retrace." This suggests that Carnegie anticipates a positive trajectory for bitcoin in the coming months, likely as an initial response to a spot bitcoin ETF approval in the U.S. Last week a report from Singapore-based digital asset financial services firm Matrixport speculated that spot bitcoin ETF applications would be rejected as they have been over the past few years. Market risk factorsHowever, he also voiced concerns about the current state of the U.S. equity markets and potential recession indicators. Reflecting on the recent miss on payrolls, Carnegie commented:"I feel like that miss on payrolls last week makes me feel like there's a big flip. And everyone's going to start panicking about a recession." Despite the uncertainty in traditional markets, Carnegie remains optimistic about bitcoin's performance. When asked about the specific impact on cryptocurrencies, he admitted, "How's that going to affect crypto? I don't really know." In a blog post published last Friday, Arthur Hayes, the CIO of Hong Kong-based family office Maelstrom, similarly points to market turbulence in the short to medium term while remaining bullish on bitcoin over the longer term. An Asia-powered bull runCarnegie highlighted the influence of spot bitcoin ETFs and suggested inflows, noting that there are more net flows from Asia than the U.S. He stated:“You could easily see $50 - $100 billion in net new flow out of Asia this year, and if that happens..!” He mentioned the anticipation of approximately $5 billion waiting to come into the U.S., characterizing it as substantial but perhaps not as impactful as expected in the short term. "It's an Asian story this time round,” Carnegie claimed. Carnegie also expressed a preference for bitcoin over Ethereum in the current financial landscape. He stated:"Bitcoin feels more solid to me at the moment. So on a relative basis, I can talk like I can talk to you. I feel like for the next little while, Bitcoin feels better to me than Ethereum." Mark Carnegie's positive outlook on bitcoin's potential rally to $50,000 aligns with his preference for bitcoin over Ethereum in the current market conditions, despite concerns about the broader economic landscape.