Top

BitMEX Co-Founder Forecasts $750K to $1 Million Bitcoin Price by 2026

Markets·October 07, 2023, 12:39 AM

In a recent interview with YouTuber Tom Bilyeu, Arthur Hayes, Co-Founder of the Seychelles-registered cryptocurrency exchange and derivative trading platform BitMEX, has expressed his bullish outlook on Bitcoin’s future price, projecting a valuation of $750,000 to $1 million for the leading cryptocurrency by the year 2026.

Photo by Kanchanara on Unsplash

 

Finite supply to drive price dynamic

Hayes’ optimism is rooted in several factors that he believes will shape the next Bitcoin cycle. One of the key factors driving Hayes’ projection is Bitcoin’s limited supply. With a maximum cap of 21 million coins, Bitcoin’s scarcity is expected to propel the unit price of the asset in tandem with growing demand as more investors seek to secure a piece of this finite resource.

The idea that Bitcoin’s scarcity will drive its value higher has been a fundamental tenet of the cryptocurrency since its inception. In 2010 the leading cryptocurrency’s pseudonymous Founder stated: “When someone tries to buy all the world’s supply of a scarce asset, the more they buy the higher the price goes.”

 

ETF potential

Hayes also highlighted the potential for Bitcoin spot exchange-traded funds (ETFs) to become available in major regulated markets. The introduction of Bitcoin ETFs could attract institutional investors and provide a more accessible way for the broader public to invest in Bitcoin, further boosting its demand.

However, Hayes also speculates about the risks associated with a Bitcoin ETF. He stated: “Are we inviting in something that’s going to fundamentally change what Bitcoin is?”

 

Geopolitical factors

Geopolitical uncertainty plays a significant role in Hayes’ forecast also. As global economic and political instability persists, investors may turn to Bitcoin and other alternative assets as hedges against traditional financial instruments.

However, it’s important to note that Hayes contextualized his Bitcoin price prediction within a larger bullish macroeconomic environment. From his perspective the surge in asset prices will not be limited to cryptocurrencies alone. He anticipates a substantial boom in financial markets, with not only Bitcoin but also traditional assets like stocks experiencing substantial price growth.

Hayes stated: “I think it will be the biggest boom in financial markets we have ever seen in human history. Bitcoin will have a ridiculous price, Nasdaq will have a ridiculous price, S&P will have a ridiculous price.”

Known for his thoughtful and insightful writings on the subject area, Hayes wrote in July that he believes that Bitcoin will be the currency of choice when it comes to the growing need for artificial intelligence (AI) to work directly with a means of payment.

 

$1 million BTC by 2026

While Hayes’ projection of a $1 million Bitcoin price by 2026 may seem ambitious, his short-term predictions are more moderate. He foresees Bitcoin trading in the $30,000 range for the current year. Building upon that thesis, he maintains that the possibility exists of it reaching $70,000 by 2024.

This aligns with the views of other industry analysts who anticipate challenges and headwinds in the near term. There’s little doubt that recent platform failures and speculation with regard to the health of other leading crypto platforms have been retarding market performance more recently.

While the road ahead may hold fluctuations and challenges, many experts believe that Bitcoin’s long-term trajectory remains promising, driven by its unique attributes and the changing dynamics of global finance.

More to Read
View All
Policy & Regulation·

May 19, 2025

South Korea’s DPK to propose crypto bill with $3.58M stablecoin reserve minimum

South Korea's Democratic Party of Korea (DPK) plans to introduce a bill this week aimed at establishing a legal framework for digital assets, according to Edaily. The move is part of the party's ongoing efforts to advance its crypto policy agenda ahead of the upcoming presidential election. The proposed law would define the legal status of digital assets and set rules for their issuance, distribution and listing. The bill is expected to keep the requirement for Korean won-pegged stablecoin issuers to obtain authorization with a minimum reserve of 5 billion won ($3.58 million), a key point of debate.Photo by Brady Bellini on UnsplashA DPK official stated that the bill has been drafted and is set to be introduced to the National Assembly this week, following feedback from internal subcommittees. Most of the provisions remain consistent with last month’s draft, but final comments are still being collected on stablecoin reserve requirements, which have been a major point of discussion. Defining digital assetsThe bill defines digital assets as "electronic records with economic value based on blockchain technology" and establishes a regulatory framework for issuers, exchanges and custodians. Key provisions include permitting initial coin offerings (ICOs) and creating a digital asset committee under the Financial Services Commission (FSC). This committee would oversee legal framework design, market monitoring, and policy promotion. Additionally, an industry association will establish a separate committee to oversee token listing practices, ensuring consistent listing standards across exchanges. The most contentious part of the draft has been the regulations for won-based stablecoins. It classifies stablecoins as digital assets akin to fiat currency, requiring a minimum reserve of 5 billion won and authorization from the FSC. It also mandates real-time reserve disclosures, secure asset custody and quarterly reporting. Divide over stablecoin reserve requirementOpinions on the reserve requirement are divided. Some industry insiders argue that the 5 billion won threshold is too high, creating a barrier for startups. Others believe a minimum capital requirement is necessary due to stablecoins' role in payments and their potential as currency substitutes. Lee Jung-yup, president of the Blockchain Law Society, stressed that stablecoins must maintain a basic level of trust, warning that those failing to meet the 5 billion won threshold could become prone to insolvency or fraud. However, Lee acknowledged concerns about the centralized regulatory approach led by financial authorities and the potential for market dominance by large corporations. He suggested exploring the creation of an independent regulatory body for cryptocurrencies, warning that overly strict regulations could stifle domestic digital finance innovation amid growing global competition. Crime surges with market growthWhile regulations continue to evolve, crypto crimes are also rising sharply amid the expanding digital asset market. According to Segye Ilbo, South Korean police arrested about 2,100 individuals for crypto-related offenses last year—17 times more than in 2017, when data collection began. The total losses from such crimes now exceed 1 trillion won ($714 million) annually. Since the election of U.S. President Donald Trump, known for his crypto-friendly stance, Korea's crypto market has experienced rapid growth. This surge has raised concerns about an increase in fraud targeting investors chasing quick profits. 

news
Policy & Regulation·

May 09, 2024

Binance collaborates with Indian authorities to dismantle scam app

The Enforcement Directorate (ED) — an Indian law enforcement agency — seized 90 crores ($10.5 million) from an online scam app called E-Nuggets with the help of global crypto exchange Binance.  ED is the governmental law enforcement agency responsible for enforcing economic laws and with that, tackling economic crime. According to a report published by Indian English language daily newspaper The Hindu, the online gaming app E-Nugget had cryptocurrencies worth $10 million stored in 70 different crypto wallet accounts spread across the three crypto exchanges.  Local Indian exchanges ZebPay and WazirX also aided the ED in its investigations and subsequent actions. The ED contacted these exchanges to block the wallet addresses and transfer the crypto assets to the agency’s wallet. Photo by Naveed Ahmed on UnsplashCrypto assets seizedThe ED, tasked with upholding such financial crimes, spearheaded the operation against E-Nuggets, an online gaming platform masquerading as a legitimate investment opportunity. Taking to the X social media platform on April 30, the Indian law enforcement agency stated: “ED, Kolkata led a successful operation against a major “online gaming app scam” known as “E-Nugget”. The E-Nugget app, masqueraded as a gaming platform, promised users high returns on their investments. Crypto assets which were taken into possession of ED are transferred into Crypto Wallet of ED.” 70 wallets implicatedWith cryptocurrencies valued at $10 million spread across 70 different wallet accounts on three crypto exchanges, the agency swiftly took action. E-Nuggets enticed unsuspecting investors with promises of substantial returns through its purported gaming interface. However, once investments were made, the platform vanished into thin air, leaving users unable to recoup their funds. The ED's investigation revealed a complex web of deceit, with the agency seizing properties totaling over 163 crores ($19.5 million), comprising cash, cryptocurrency holdings, account balances and office spaces. The scam involved the funneling of funds into digital assets through 2,500 dummy bank accounts, resulting in the discovery of 19 crores ($2.2 million) in cash. A first information report (FIR) filed at the Park Street Police Station in Kolkata, became the catalyst that triggered the ED case that was subsequently registered under the provisions of India’s Prevention of Money Laundering Act (PMLA). Masterminded by Aamir Khan, who was apprehended alongside accomplice Romen Agarwal, the scheme operated under the guise of digital transactions, which, ironically, facilitated its unraveling. Law enforcement agencies adeptly traced, froze and seized the illicit funds as they moved through the digital realm. Public ledger upends scammersCritics often point to the potential for cryptocurrency to facilitate money laundering. However, the inherent transparency of blockchain technology presents significant obstacles to such illicit activities. Notably, in the infamous 2016 Bitfinex hack, where hackers absconded with 119,756 Bitcoin, the culprits were eventually apprehended in 2022 while attempting to launder the stolen funds. The collaborative efforts between Binance, the ED, and local exchanges points to a developing commitment towards combating financial fraud within the cryptocurrency space. This wasn’t the first occasion in which Binance had cooperated with law enforcement on such matters. In October of last year, the company got with the Thai authorities to assist them in crushing a crypto-related scam. By leveraging blockchain's transparency and international cooperation, authorities can effectively dismantle illicit schemes, safeguarding investors and upholding the integrity of the digital asset ecosystem.

news
Web3 & Enterprise·

Sep 11, 2023

UAE’s Royal Office Visits Korea to Further Security Token Collaboration with AIITONE

UAE’s Royal Office Visits Korea to Further Security Token Collaboration with AIITONEAIITONE, a Korea-based augmented reality firm specializing in security tokens, invited journalists to showcase its strategy to foster business collaborations between South Korea and the United Arab Emirates (UAE) on the occasion of the Korean visit of the Private Office of His Highness Sheikh Ahmed Bin Faisal Al Qassimi.Photo by Ethan Brooke on UnsplashPrivate Office’s return visitThe Private Office is a Dubai-based corporate conglomerate that operates businesses in various areas including real estate, energy, and finance. This visit by the Private Office marks a return visit following AIITONE’s visit to the UAE in July.The conference took place at a hotel in Gangnam, Seoul, and was attended by Lee Jin-yeop, CEO of AIITONE; Bruce Jeong, Chairman of Middle East Investment; and H.H. Sheikh Ahmed Bin Faisal Al Qassimi.Security tokens, CBDCs, smart defenseChairman Jeong, leading AIITONE’s global initiatives, said that their primary endeavor is to set up a Korean branch of the Royal Office. This branch will function as an international business hub, facilitating collaborations across three key sectors: security tokens, central bank digital currencies (CBDCs), and smart defense ventures.The event also featured presentations by AIITONE officials who introduced the company’s focus areas.Kang Man-soo, who leads AIITONE’s defense unit, highlighted the company’s technical expertise in maintenance training equipment, interactive electronic technical manuals, and integrated system support. He pointed out that AIITONE has been actively involved in the development of technical manuals and training simulators for various defense assets, including warships, guided weapons, and fighter aircraft. Kang emphasized that AIITONE’s strategic partnerships with Korean defense firms have propelled their engagement in initiatives aimed at exporting these products to countries such as Indonesia, Malaysia, and Poland.Lee Joo-hyung, the head of AIITONE’s extended reality (XR) content division, revealed the company’s plan to create portable products that can replicate the physical sensations of the real world, including sensations like physical contact and heat. Additionally, Lee introduced MOUM, a metaverse platform that features blockchain-powered security functions and generative artificial intelligence (AI) capabilities.Park Sang-il, who is at the helm of the firm’s security token project, showcased AIITONE’s comprehensive security token platform, which enables users to both issue and distribute security tokens. Notably, the platform is compatible with hyperledgers Besu and Fabric.Since arriving in Korea last Wednesday, the Royal Office has met with representatives from Standard Chartered Bank Korea and lawyers from law firm Kim and Chang, as well as lawmaker Yang Hyang-ja. Additionally, the Royal Office made a visit to smart farms located in South Jeolla Province.H.H. Sheikh Al Qassimi expressed a high regard for South Korea, acknowledging its beautiful natural landscapes and significant economic development. He underlined that this visit serves as an opportunity for the Royal Office to strengthen cooperation between UAE companies and their Korean counterparts, further fostering economic exchanges between the two countries.

news
Loading