Analyst: Bitcoin ETF liquidity has not yet recovered
January 16, 2026, 10:54 AM
Liquidity for spot Bitcoin ETFs has not yet recovered, according to an analysis by Mignolet, a crypto analyst and CoinNess Content Creator (CC). The analyst noted that Fidelity's FBTC and Ark Invest's ARKB, two ETFs that most directly influence Bitcoin's price, have seen stagnant inflows. FBTC has not surpassed its high from March 2024, while ARKB has been in a downtrend since July 2024.
Mignolet pointed out that this trend is similar to the stock price pattern of Strategy, which failed to rebound for a year after hitting a new high in November 2024, signaling a significant weakening of liquidity. The analyst stated that the level of liquidity many expect has not yet returned.
While BlackRock's IBIT trades are mostly conducted over-the-counter (OTC) and do not directly drive up the price, Mignolet argued that the price would likely have fallen more sharply without IBIT's buying pace. However, the analyst warned that IBIT's liquidity has also weakened. Although short-term inflows could resume, the overall trend remains negative. If there is insufficient demand to absorb OTC sales, this supply could flood the spot market.
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