Prediction market gives 96% odds of hawkish greeting from Powell at FOMC presser
September 17, 2025, 5:49 PM
A U.S. prediction market platform shows a 96% probability that Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell will begin today's Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) press conference with the greeting "Good afternoon."
Market observers have noted a trend in past press conferences where this opening has signaled a hawkish stance, while the phrase "Hello everyone" has suggested a more dovish position. The Fed is scheduled to announce its interest rate decision at 6:00 p.m. UTC on Sept. 17, followed by Powell's press conference.
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