Upcoming Regulatory Framework in Taiwan Sees Crypto Exchanges Unite

Despite Bitcoin’s recent decline, a South Korean analyst says investors’ trust in the market remains intact. He added that a U.S. crypto market structure bill, which Congress could approve as early as December, may give investors a chance to buy the dip ahead of a potential rebound. According to Etoday, Hong Sung-wook of NH Investment & Securities, one of South Korea’s major brokerage firms, noted that the crypto market has given back all gains made since mid-October, with Bitcoin briefly slipping below $100,000. Most altcoins also saw steep declines, erasing the advances they posted following roughly $19 billion in liquidations around Oct. 10. In this environment, Solana’s year-to-date performance has turned negative despite the recent launch of spot Solana ETFs in Hong Kong and the U.S., while Ethereum has similarly surrendered its earlier gains.Photo by Michael Förtsch on UnsplashContext from past declinesHong framed the latest pullback in a historical context. Since 2018, Bitcoin has recorded a daily closing price drop of more than 20% on seven occasions. The latest decline of about 21% from peak to trough, he said, is broadly in line with previous downturns. He added that Bitcoin is now less likely to experience the extreme volatility seen in earlier years, citing growing institutional participation and its increasing use in so-called “debasement trades,” or hedges against fiat currency inflation. Building on this, Hong attributed the recent weakness primarily to the liquidation wave and the temporary hit to sentiment. However, he argued that confidence could recover faster than in past stress events, emphasizing that trust in the market has not been fundamentally damaged, unlike in prior downturns triggered by unexpected “black swan” shocks. Policy progress could lift market moodIn the near term, Hong pointed to progress on the U.S. crypto market structure bill as a potential catalyst. Further movement on the bill, he said, could help improve sentiment, similar to the supportive reaction seen around the passage of the stablecoin GENIUS Act. Other market observers have expressed a comparable view on Bitcoin’s outlook. BeInCrypto underscored three key factors supporting its stance in an analysis published on FXStreet. First, citing Glassnode’s Accumulation Trend Score, it noted that Bitcoin has managed to hold above the $100,000 level thanks to a balance between whale sell-offs and continued accumulation by other investors. Second, expectations for U.S. interest rate cuts projected for December are seen as another supportive element. Third, Bitcoin continues to trade above its 50-week moving average (WMA), a technical level that has underpinned the market since BTC moved above it in 2023; even when brief sell-offs have pushed prices below this line, buyers have stepped in to restore it by the weekly close. Warning signs of weakening momentumAt the same time, signals of moderating momentum have emerged. Another BeInCrypto report pointed to CryptoQuant’s Bitcoin Bull Score, an on-chain metric that gauges the asset’s upside potential, which fell to zero on Nov. 6, its lowest level since January 2022, just before the market entered its last major bearish phase. This more cautious tone is reflected in institutional forecasts as well. Crypto financial services firm Galaxy Digital last week lowered its year-end price target for Bitcoin from $185,000 to $120,000. The firm cited heavy whale sell-offs, shifting investor focus toward AI, gold, and stablecoins, and the weak performance of Bitcoin-focused digital asset treasury (DAT) companies as key reasons for its downgrade. Even so, Galaxy Digital said it continues to view Bitcoin as a structurally strong asset.From a longer-term perspective, some high-profile experts have also trimmed their expectations. According to Decrypt, Ark Invest CEO Cathie Wood told CNBC she now sees Bitcoin reaching about $1.2 million in a bullish scenario by 2030, down from her previous $1.5 million target. She attributed the revision mainly to the rapid growth of stablecoins, which are expanding faster than Bitcoin and emerging as a new payment method, a trend she suggested could dilute some of Bitcoin’s potential price momentum over time.

South Korean gaming publisher Wemade is set to participate in this year’s Taipei Game Show, the largest gaming exhibition in Taiwan, according to local news outlet Kookmin Ilbo on Tuesday (KST). The event is scheduled for Jan. 25 to 28 at the Taipei Nangang Exhibition Center.Photo by Timo Volz on UnsplashSneak peek at upcoming blockbustersThe company plans to operate an exclusive booth, where it will showcase game developer Madngine's massively multiplayer online role-playing game (MMORPG) Night Crows and Round 1 Studio's baseball game Fantastic 4 Baseball. Both games are slated for global release in the first quarter of this year. Game demos and various events will also be held to promote the releases and attract gamers. Games for a diverse gamer baseNight Crows has been popular among gamers in South Korea, where it launched in April last year, topping the popularity and revenue rankings on major app markets. The global version of the game utilizes blockchain technology to implement an advanced tokenomics ecosystem. Global pre-registration will open on Jan. 11. Round 1 Studio’s Fantastic 4 Baseball is a realistic baseball game where players can create their own team with famous players from various leagues, including the Chinese Professional Baseball League (CPBL). The demo version includes single-player and home run derbies. 

Gemini Targets UAE Crypto LicenseGemini, the US-headquartered cryptocurrency exchange owned by the Winklevoss twins, has announced its intention to obtain a cryptocurrency service license in the United Arab Emirates (UAE). The move comes as the exchange seeks to navigate the perceived “hostility and lack of clarity” surrounding cryptocurrency regulations in the United States.In a blog post published on Wednesday, Gemini highlighted the growing interest in cryptocurrencies among UAE citizens and referred to positive interactions with UAE regulators as driving factors behind its pursuit of the license. The co-CEOs of Gemini, Cameron and Tyler Winklevoss, explained in an interview with The National that their decision was influenced by the challenges they faced with crypto regulation in the US. Gemini CEO Tyler Winklevoss expressed optimism about the regulatory environment in the UAE, stating:“We’ve been super encouraged with our conversations here with the regulators. There’s an effort to make the UAE a home and a hub for crypto and, most importantly, to enact thoughtful regulation that connects, that protects both consumers, but also a company’s ability to innovate.”Photo by Nextvoyage on PexelsAbu Dhabi or Dubai — or bothAs of now, the Winklevoss twins have not yet determined the specific location for Gemini’s operations in the UAE. They hinted that the exchange’s headquarters could be established in both Abu Dhabi and Dubai, reflecting the potential for growth and development in both cities.Gemini’s decision to pursue a crypto license in the UAE underscores the country’s growing importance in the cryptocurrency industry. With its efforts to create a favorable regulatory environment and attract crypto-related businesses, the UAE aims to position itself as a crypto hub while safeguarding the interests of both consumers and innovators.Discouraging US outlookAccording to Gemini’s Global State of Crypto Report, which provides insights into cryptocurrency adoption and usage, more than 35% of respondents surveyed in the UAE reported purchasing crypto. In contrast, only 20% of respondents in the United States said they had bought cryptocurrencies.The report also revealed that nearly 32% of non-crypto owners in the UAE expressed their intention to enter the market within the next year. Furthermore, 33% of UAE crypto holders indicated that they plan to use their digital assets for in-person purchases at physical retailers, a significantly higher percentage compared to the global average of 19%.Although still a US-headquartered business, Gemini has been turned off the US market more recently. The Winklevii twins have taken a similar stance to Coinbase’s Brian Armstrong and Ripple’s Brad Garlinghouse. Coinbase has expanded in Singapore, acquired digital asset licensing in Bermuda, and has the intention of establishing a presence in Abu Dhabi.Garlinghouse has matched Armstrong’s outspokenness in criticizing the regulatory approach to digital assets in the United States. Likewise, he has acted to place Ripple on an international footing, establishing a presence in Dubai. In April, Gemini announced the opening of an engineering center in India, together with plans to expand its base in Singapore.As Gemini proceeds with its application for the UAE crypto license, industry observers will be closely monitoring the development, anticipating the potential impact of this expansion on the exchange’s operations and the broader cryptocurrency landscape in the region.