Top

BitMEX Co-Founder Forecasts $750K to $1 Million Bitcoin Price by 2026

Markets·October 07, 2023, 12:39 AM

In a recent interview with YouTuber Tom Bilyeu, Arthur Hayes, Co-Founder of the Seychelles-registered cryptocurrency exchange and derivative trading platform BitMEX, has expressed his bullish outlook on Bitcoin’s future price, projecting a valuation of $750,000 to $1 million for the leading cryptocurrency by the year 2026.

Photo by Kanchanara on Unsplash

 

Finite supply to drive price dynamic

Hayes’ optimism is rooted in several factors that he believes will shape the next Bitcoin cycle. One of the key factors driving Hayes’ projection is Bitcoin’s limited supply. With a maximum cap of 21 million coins, Bitcoin’s scarcity is expected to propel the unit price of the asset in tandem with growing demand as more investors seek to secure a piece of this finite resource.

The idea that Bitcoin’s scarcity will drive its value higher has been a fundamental tenet of the cryptocurrency since its inception. In 2010 the leading cryptocurrency’s pseudonymous Founder stated: “When someone tries to buy all the world’s supply of a scarce asset, the more they buy the higher the price goes.”

 

ETF potential

Hayes also highlighted the potential for Bitcoin spot exchange-traded funds (ETFs) to become available in major regulated markets. The introduction of Bitcoin ETFs could attract institutional investors and provide a more accessible way for the broader public to invest in Bitcoin, further boosting its demand.

However, Hayes also speculates about the risks associated with a Bitcoin ETF. He stated: “Are we inviting in something that’s going to fundamentally change what Bitcoin is?”

 

Geopolitical factors

Geopolitical uncertainty plays a significant role in Hayes’ forecast also. As global economic and political instability persists, investors may turn to Bitcoin and other alternative assets as hedges against traditional financial instruments.

However, it’s important to note that Hayes contextualized his Bitcoin price prediction within a larger bullish macroeconomic environment. From his perspective the surge in asset prices will not be limited to cryptocurrencies alone. He anticipates a substantial boom in financial markets, with not only Bitcoin but also traditional assets like stocks experiencing substantial price growth.

Hayes stated: “I think it will be the biggest boom in financial markets we have ever seen in human history. Bitcoin will have a ridiculous price, Nasdaq will have a ridiculous price, S&P will have a ridiculous price.”

Known for his thoughtful and insightful writings on the subject area, Hayes wrote in July that he believes that Bitcoin will be the currency of choice when it comes to the growing need for artificial intelligence (AI) to work directly with a means of payment.

 

$1 million BTC by 2026

While Hayes’ projection of a $1 million Bitcoin price by 2026 may seem ambitious, his short-term predictions are more moderate. He foresees Bitcoin trading in the $30,000 range for the current year. Building upon that thesis, he maintains that the possibility exists of it reaching $70,000 by 2024.

This aligns with the views of other industry analysts who anticipate challenges and headwinds in the near term. There’s little doubt that recent platform failures and speculation with regard to the health of other leading crypto platforms have been retarding market performance more recently.

While the road ahead may hold fluctuations and challenges, many experts believe that Bitcoin’s long-term trajectory remains promising, driven by its unique attributes and the changing dynamics of global finance.

More to Read
View All
Policy & Regulation·

May 31, 2023

Hong Kong SFC CEO Prioritizes Investor Protection in Crypto Regulations

Hong Kong SFC CEO Prioritizes Investor Protection in Crypto RegulationsAccording to a report by Chinanews, Julia Leung, Chief Executive Officer of the Hong Kong Securities and Futures Commission (SFC), participated in a seminar organized by the Hong Kong Academy of Finance (AoF). During the event, she emphasized the importance of investor protection in the formulation of guidelines for operators of virtual asset trading platforms.Photo by Kanchanara on UnsplashDevelopment of crypto in Hong KongAt the seminar yesterday, Leung discussed the development of virtual assets in the special administrative region of China. She recalled the pushback the SFC received in 2018 when it first proposed regulations for virtual asset trading platforms. Critics argued that the licensing system, demanding applicants to comply with stringent internal control and investor protection standards, might compel fintech companies to relocate their operations to other jurisdictions, such as Singapore.Market recognition of crypto regulationsDespite initial criticism, the market came to appreciate the importance of these regulatory standards, especially after witnessing the bankruptcy of several overseas cryptocurrency organizations.The guidelines for operators of virtual asset trading platforms in Hong Kong are set to take effect in June. Leung mentioned that these guidelines match market expectations and place emphasis on protecting investors. They encompass regulations for virtual asset custody, the segregation of client assets, and the avoidance of conflicts of interest. She also expressed satisfaction with the SFC’s role as a leading regulator in the virtual asset space.Crypto exchange ratingMeanwhile, Chinese blockchain news media Jinse Finance reported today the official establishment of the Hong Kong Virtual Asset Consortium (HKVAC), a private entity that rates virtual assets.It has also launched a virtual asset index and will introduce a virtual asset exchange rating system. The HKVAC Large Market Cap Cryptocurrency Index comprises the 30 leading cryptocurrencies by market capitalization. The index will be reviewed quarterly on the last day of each quarter (March, June, September, and December). The Virtual Asset Exchange Rating System will assess the credibility of trading platforms and enhance transparency and accountability in the virtual asset trading market.HKVAC was established by a team of industry experts and professional rating agencies. It brings together key stakeholders in the virtual asset industry, such as big data firms, exchanges, and institutional investors, along with the city’s licensed rating agencies. HKVAC aims to cultivate a secure environment for crypto investments and enhance the public’s understanding of virtual assets.

news
Web3 & Enterprise·

Nov 04, 2023

Ripple to lead National Bank of Georgia’s CBDC pilot project

Ripple to lead National Bank of Georgia’s CBDC pilot projectThe National Bank of Georgia (NBG) has selected enterprise blockchain and cryptocurrency solutions firm Ripple as the official technology partner for its ambitious Digital Lari (GEL) pilot project. The initiative aims to explore Ripple’s central bank digital currency (CBDC) technology, assessing its practical applications and potential benefits for a wide range of stakeholders, including the public sector, businesses and retail users.Photo by Max Kukurudziak on UnsplashCiting Ripple’s CBDC tech capabilitiesRipple divulged details of the collaboration via a press release published to its website on Thursday. The decision to entrust Ripple with this pivotal role came after a competitive selection process. The Georgian central bank cited a number of reasons for choosing to partner with Ripple, including Ripple’s deep understanding of the project’s objectives and a commitment to its success.The central bank thought that it had a clear project development roadmap and that it could facilitate a gradual deployment approach to various use cases. Additionally, the NBG acknowledged Ripple’s extensive experience in implementing real-life pilot projects, encompassing primary CBDC digital infrastructure, smart contracts and tokenization.Ripple’s CBDC solution, the Ripple CBDC Platform, emerged as the frontrunner for its capacity to provide a comprehensive end-to-end solution. The company launched the platform in May of this year. This platform empowers central banks, financial institutions and governments to seamlessly create, manage, transact and redeem CBDCs. Notably, it leverages the XRP Ledger (XRPL), known for its energy efficiency and open-source nature.Natia Turnava, Acting Governor and Member of the Board of the National Bank of Georgia, expressed satisfaction with the choice of Ripple as their official technology partner, emphasizing Ripple’s technical excellence and the expertise of its team.She also expressed gratitude to other companies that participated in the selection process. Ripple’s James Wallis, VP of Central Bank Engagements, highlighted the NBG’s pioneering role in adopting blockchain technology to usher in the digital era for the Georgian economy.He noted that this pilot project, empowered by the Ripple CBDC Platform, would set the stage for transformative advancements in blockchain technology’s utilization within the public sector, enhancing efficiency and transparency in transactions. Back in May, Wallis remarked on the launch of its CBDC platform that he believed “this platform will help solve problems for many central banks and governments who are devising plans and developing a technology strategy for CBDC Implementations.” He added:“The innovative capabilities of the platform will help enable instant settlement of both domestic and cross-border payments, reduce risk, and improve the user experience of quickly sending and receiving digital currency on either side of a transaction.”Transitioning from selection to pilot phaseWith the selection phase now concluded, the NBG is preparing to transition to the pilot stage, where they will test the Ripple CBDC Platform in a live environment. This real-world testing will enable the NBG to assess the practicality of select use cases, taking Georgia one step closer to realizing the full potential of CBDCs in their economic landscape.Ripple’s impact is not limited to Georgia. It has been actively engaging with governments and central banks worldwide. Ripple has announced five pilot programs in collaboration with countries like Bhutan, Palau, Montenegro, Colombia and Hong Kong. Furthermore, discussions are underway with over 20 other nations across the globe.

news
Policy & Regulation·

Jul 13, 2023

Korea Makes Strides in Establishing the Legal Framework for Security Tokens

Korea Makes Strides in Establishing the Legal Framework for Security TokensSouth Korea is making significant strides in establishing a legal framework that enables individuals to own and trade fractional shares or portions of real-world assets such as music copyrights, real estate properties, and artworks, through tokenization on blockchain platforms.Photo by Tingey Injury Law Firm on UnsplashAmendments to two actsAccording to a report by local news outlet Newsis, the ruling People Power Party (PPP) and the Financial Services Commission (FSC) are actively involved in proposing amendments to the Electronic Securities Act and the Capital Markets Act to legalize security tokens. These amendments will be presented to the National Assembly this month by PPP lawmaker Yun Chang-hyun, who is also a member of the National Policy Committee.Security tokens, which utilize the capabilities of blockchain technology, will play a pivotal role in this context. Once the legal framework is in place, the issuance and distribution of these tokens will be facilitated.In preparation for the proposal of these amendments, PPP lawmakers conducted a hearing today to discuss the matter at hand. The hearing included a presentation by Lee Soo-young, Head of the FSC’s Capital Markets Division, who shed light on the formulation of security token policies to bolster the capital market. Additionally, Choi Jeong-cheol, Head of the Strategy and Planning Division at Korea Securities Depository, outlined the key points of the proposed amendments to the Electronic Securities Act and the Capital Markets Act. Distinguished attendees at the hearing included Park Sun-young, an economics professor at Dogguk University; Hwang Hyun-il, a financial lawyer at law firm Shin and Kim; and Kim Kap-lae, a senior researcher at the Korea Capital Market Institute.Details in subsequent decreesIt is anticipated that these amendments will incorporate the framework introduced by the FSC in February, which focuses on enabling the issuance and distribution of security tokens, as well as establishing account management organizations and over-the-counter (OTC) brokerages. The forthcoming enforcement decrees, following the amendment of these Acts, will specify the precise details, including the authorization requirements for these entities and investment limits.

news
Loading