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BitMEX Co-Founder Forecasts $750K to $1 Million Bitcoin Price by 2026

Markets·October 07, 2023, 12:39 AM

In a recent interview with YouTuber Tom Bilyeu, Arthur Hayes, Co-Founder of the Seychelles-registered cryptocurrency exchange and derivative trading platform BitMEX, has expressed his bullish outlook on Bitcoin’s future price, projecting a valuation of $750,000 to $1 million for the leading cryptocurrency by the year 2026.

Photo by Kanchanara on Unsplash

 

Finite supply to drive price dynamic

Hayes’ optimism is rooted in several factors that he believes will shape the next Bitcoin cycle. One of the key factors driving Hayes’ projection is Bitcoin’s limited supply. With a maximum cap of 21 million coins, Bitcoin’s scarcity is expected to propel the unit price of the asset in tandem with growing demand as more investors seek to secure a piece of this finite resource.

The idea that Bitcoin’s scarcity will drive its value higher has been a fundamental tenet of the cryptocurrency since its inception. In 2010 the leading cryptocurrency’s pseudonymous Founder stated: “When someone tries to buy all the world’s supply of a scarce asset, the more they buy the higher the price goes.”

 

ETF potential

Hayes also highlighted the potential for Bitcoin spot exchange-traded funds (ETFs) to become available in major regulated markets. The introduction of Bitcoin ETFs could attract institutional investors and provide a more accessible way for the broader public to invest in Bitcoin, further boosting its demand.

However, Hayes also speculates about the risks associated with a Bitcoin ETF. He stated: “Are we inviting in something that’s going to fundamentally change what Bitcoin is?”

 

Geopolitical factors

Geopolitical uncertainty plays a significant role in Hayes’ forecast also. As global economic and political instability persists, investors may turn to Bitcoin and other alternative assets as hedges against traditional financial instruments.

However, it’s important to note that Hayes contextualized his Bitcoin price prediction within a larger bullish macroeconomic environment. From his perspective the surge in asset prices will not be limited to cryptocurrencies alone. He anticipates a substantial boom in financial markets, with not only Bitcoin but also traditional assets like stocks experiencing substantial price growth.

Hayes stated: “I think it will be the biggest boom in financial markets we have ever seen in human history. Bitcoin will have a ridiculous price, Nasdaq will have a ridiculous price, S&P will have a ridiculous price.”

Known for his thoughtful and insightful writings on the subject area, Hayes wrote in July that he believes that Bitcoin will be the currency of choice when it comes to the growing need for artificial intelligence (AI) to work directly with a means of payment.

 

$1 million BTC by 2026

While Hayes’ projection of a $1 million Bitcoin price by 2026 may seem ambitious, his short-term predictions are more moderate. He foresees Bitcoin trading in the $30,000 range for the current year. Building upon that thesis, he maintains that the possibility exists of it reaching $70,000 by 2024.

This aligns with the views of other industry analysts who anticipate challenges and headwinds in the near term. There’s little doubt that recent platform failures and speculation with regard to the health of other leading crypto platforms have been retarding market performance more recently.

While the road ahead may hold fluctuations and challenges, many experts believe that Bitcoin’s long-term trajectory remains promising, driven by its unique attributes and the changing dynamics of global finance.

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Policy & Regulation·

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KISA Seeks Partners for Regional Blockchain Innovation Support Center Project

KISA Seeks Partners for Regional Blockchain Innovation Support Center ProjectThe Korea Internet & Security Agency (KISA) announced on Monday (local time) that it is working with the Ministry of Science and ICT to recruit metropolitan local governments to participate in the 2024 Regional Blockchain Technological Innovation Support Center Establishment Project, which seeks to aid the balanced development of the nation’s blockchain industry and the exploration of technology and services.Photo by Shubham Dhage on UnsplashWith the establishment of the support center, KISA plans to seek out blockchain services linked to regional industries and provide support for the development of blockchain technology and services to foster local businesses.Funding opportunities and application processThe metropolitan local governments selected for this project will be able to leverage KRW 1.8 billion (approximately $1.3 million) in government funding as well as regional expenses to pursue activities such as verifying related services and supporting blockchain and service development through incubation, workforce training, investment endorsement and legal consultations.Applications are open to 14 metropolitan local governments nationwide, excluding those in the country’s largest cities, Seoul, Busan and Daegu. Each applicant is required to form a consortium with one local information technology and communication (ICT) organization that the government invested in or funded and submit their applications through the KISA website by December 5 at 4 p.m. KST.Envisioning the future of Korea’s blockchain industryKISA President Lee Won-tae expressed his hopes that the support centers would become central hubs for blockchain technology within regions nationwide, ultimately contributing to regional economic prosperity. “KISA will continue our efforts to promote balanced regional development and nurture the blockchain industry ecosystem,” he said.

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Policy & Regulation·

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