Hong Kong releases ‘LEAP’ framework for digital assets

As the cryptocurrency market anticipates the approval of a spot bitcoin exchange-traded fund (ETF) in the United States and the subsequent boost to bitcoin’s unit price, Arthur Hayes, Chief Investment Officer (CIO) of family office Maelstrom, has issued a warning of potential market turbulence. Hayes, better known as the founder of crypto derivatives platform BitMEX, has moved on to Hong Kong-based Maelstrom, a family office that invests in early stage infrastructure ventures that implicate a move towards the decentralization of everything.Photo by Kanchanara on UnsplashMacroeconomic risk factorsIn a detailed blog post on Friday, Hayes outlines a number of macroeconomic variables that could lead to a bitcoin unit price downturn. Hayes begins by highlighting the depletion of the Federal Reserve’s reverse repo program (RRP), which has served as a significant driver for risky assets over the past year. This program allows qualified banks and investment firms to park cash and earn interest on it. The RRP balance has rapidly declined from a record high of $2.5 trillion at the end of 2022 to $700 billion. Hayes projects it to reach its historical average of $200 billion by March. As this liquidity source dwindles, he anticipates negative impacts on bonds and stocks, as well as cryptocurrencies. Fed BTFP expirationThe second factor contributing to the potential market turmoil is the expiration of the Bank Term Funding Program (BTFP) on March 12. This crucial Fed facility is designed to provide longer-term loans to commercial banks. The mechanism aids banking sector stability. Hayes is concerned that the BTFP might not be extended. Such an eventuality could lead to bankruptcy for banks holding massive unrealized losses on their bond holdings. It could lead to a “liquidity rug pull” event reminiscent of the banking crisis in March of the previous year. The crypto OG predicts that such an eventuality would force a response. “The combination of a lack of liquidity gushing from the RRP and the lack of printed money to cover the bond losses on banks’ balance sheets will decimate the financial markets globally,” he wrote. Hayes asserts that the combination of reduced liquidity from the RRP and the lack of printed money to cover bond losses could have a global impact on financial markets. In response to this scenario, he predicts that the Fed will cut interest rates during its March 20 meeting and reinstate the BTFP funding line. ‘Healthy’ correctionIn terms of bitcoin’s price, Hayes foresees a “healthy” correction of 20% to 30% from early March prices if the outlined scenario unfolds. However, he suggests the decline could be as much as 40% if BTC rallies to $60,000-$70,000 in the coming weeks. Despite this temporary plunge, Hayes remains optimistic about bitcoin’s resilience, emphasizing its status as a neutral reserve hard currency that is not a liability of the banking system and is traded globally. In a recent podcast appearance, Hayes expressed the view that the business model of U.S. dollar stablecoin issuer Tether will be challenged once multinational banks receive the go-ahead to offer fiat-backed stablecoins. Overall, Arthur Hayes has urged investors to be cautious and to prepare for potential market volatility in March, emphasizing the importance of understanding the interconnected factors influencing both traditional finance and the cryptocurrency market. 

CipherBlade Opens Singapore OfficeThe emerging crypto hubs in Asia continue to make progress and on this occasion blockchain and crypto investigations firm, CipherBlade has decided to be part of that emerging growth in Singapore, opening an office in the city state.Cybercrime investigationsAccording to Asia-centric digital assets publication, Blockhead, the firm’s decision to open an Asian base was rooted in a need to service the requirements of a growing client base in the region, as demand intensifies for its services. CipherBlade has developed an expertise in the particular niche of blockchain analytics, cryptocurrency investigations and digital forensics.The firm was co-founded by its lead investigator Richard Sanders in 2018. Initially based out of Pittsburgh, CipherBlade has team members distributed internationally, in Europe, and now also in Singapore via its new office location.CipherBlade’s CEO of Americas, Justin Maile, said that “Singapore is a perfect location for us, with its strong reputation as a financial hub and its commitment to technological innovation.”With the expansion, it is understood that the company is currently recruiting to fill a variety of specialist positions.Photo by cottonbro studio on PexelsTracking down hackersAs the crypto and blockchain sector as a whole grows, it has also been accompanied by a significant component of illegal and illicit activity. This includes money laundering, fraud and hacking. The stand out example in the Asian region would be the activities of hacker collective, Lazarus Group.The hacker group has become notorious in the crypto space, given the extent to which it has pulled off hacks of various entities and DeFi networks in the sector. Hacks and exploits of DeFi networks accounted for 82% of all digital assets stolen in 2022. Lazarus Group has received particular attention as it is understood to be affiliated with the North Korean regime.The default approach for start-ups across all sectors is to focus on growth. The danger for start-ups in the DeFi space is that they overlook elements of network security in pursuing that growth, when achieving a high level of network security is an incredibly difficult task to begin with.Collaborating with industry stakeholdersThe activities of Lazarus Group and other more disparate entities like them, have created a need for the services of companies like CipherBlade. To that end, the firm collaborates with a wide range of industry stakeholders, including regulators, law enforcement, intelligence agencies and cryptocurrency exchanges.Recent work the blockchain forensics and cybercrime firm has been involved in includes a class action lawsuit brought against failed crypto lender Voyager. The allegation of the class action is that Voyager built in hidden fees to the detriment of customers.From crypto divorces to ‘pig butchering’ scamsPointing to the diversity of the firm’s work, it has been involved in over 150 crypto divorce cases. That is to say, tracking down digital assets belonging to one of the parties to a divorce so that those assets are recognized and made part of any divorce settlement.CipherBlade’s investigators have worked on cases involving ‘pig butchering’ crypto scams. These are instances of scams that lure the victim into contact with the scammer before the scammer gains their confidence, directing them onwards towards fraudulent crypto investment platforms where they’re encouraged to invest.

South Korean Banks Adopt Blockchain for Streamlined Civil Servant LoansSouth Korea’s state-run financial organizations and banks are embracing blockchain technology to streamline the loan process for government employees and enhance loan management for banks.Photo by Shubham Dhage on UnsplashBlockchain-aided loan servicesIn a collaboration announced today at the Korea Federation of Banks (KFB) in Seoul, the Korea Financial Telecommunications and Clearings Institute (KFTC), the Government Employees Pension Service (GEPS), and four local banks are coming together to introduce blockchain technology in providing loan services specifically tailored for civil servants. The four participating banks are NongHyup Bank, Hana Bank, DGB Daegu Bank, and Gwangju Bank.Easier applicationAt present, civil servants are required to acquire a physical loan recommendation letter from the GEPS in order to apply for a bank loan. However, with the implementation of the new loan system, the GEPS will have the capability to issue blockchain-based letters, which can be obtained by civil servants either in-person or remotely at banks. This innovative approach will significantly simplify the verification process for these letters.Easier managementFurthermore, the manual exchange of loan-related information, such as repayment history and retirement details, between banks and the GEPS will be replaced by a more efficient system. The KFTC will take on the role of mediator, ensuring that any changes to this information are immediately reflected in real time. This streamlined approach will significantly enhance loan management for lenders.The launch of this service is scheduled for November this year, bringing about improved accessibility to loans for government employees. As the project progresses, other financial institutions are expected to join in, further enhancing the convenience of public servants. Additionally, these collaborating organizations will explore joint services aimed at providing the necessary support to stabilize the livelihoods of civil servants.