Maelstrom CIO predicts temporary bitcoin plunge

Japan’s Financial Services Agency (FSA) is advancing proposals to authorize exchange-traded funds (ETFs) backed by specific cryptocurrencies, a move that fleshes out previously reported plans to apply a flat 20% separate tax to crypto gains. According to agency materials released on Dec. 26 and reported by CoinPost, the regulator has now clarified that crypto-linked ETFs and derivatives will be integrated into this new tax framework.Photo by Jakub Żerdzicki on UnsplashThe materials, part of the tax reform framework for the fiscal year 2026, indicate that the regulator intends to align the tax treatment of crypto-linked ETFs with that of stocks and foreign exchange trading. Under the current system, cryptocurrency gains in Japan are classified as miscellaneous income, subjecting investors to progressive tax rates that can reach approximately 55% when local levies are included. The proposed reforms aim to integrate crypto assets into the Financial Instruments and Exchange Act (FIEA), a legislative package slated for debate during the 2026 Diet session. Derivatives also subject to separate taxBeyond ETFs, the regulator plans to adjust the taxation of derivative products based on certain crypto assets. While these derivatives would remain classified as miscellaneous income—similar to conventional futures—the method of taxation would shift from comprehensive taxation to a separate self-assessment model. Despite the outlined tax reductions, market observers anticipate that full implementation may be delayed until 2028 due to the time required to amend the relevant laws and government ordinances. FSA restructures to better oversee cryptoIn parallel with regulatory updates, the FSA is restructuring its internal operations to better address digital finance. Nikkei reported that the agency has decided to elevate its Crypto-Assets and Blockchain Innovation Office to the status of a division beginning in the administrative fiscal year starting July 2026. This restructuring follows an August proposal in which the FSA cited the need to bolster its capacity to handle financial services transformed by financial technology, crypto trading, and generative artificial intelligence (AI). The agency noted that it faces accumulating challenges, including fraud prevention and the government's broader goal of positioning Japan as a leading asset management nation. Additionally, the establishment of a new Asset Management and Insurance Supervision Bureau is expected as part of the reorganization. The regulatory shifts coincide with broader efforts to integrate blockchain technology into Japan's financial infrastructure. A separate Nikkei report last week stated that policymakers have agreed to prepare for the issuance of local government bonds as blockchain-based security tokens. The government plans to submit the necessary legislation during the next ordinary Diet session, aiming to streamline settlement processes and enable real-time monitoring of investor data. Corporate crypto strategies persist despite concernsIn the private sector, Tokyo Stock Exchange-listed Metaplanet is proceeding with a corporate strategy focused on Bitcoin accumulation. Dylan LeClair, the company's Director of Bitcoin Strategy, said on X that shareholders at an extraordinary meeting approved proposals to raise capital for additional Bitcoin purchases, including the issuance of Class B preferred shares to overseas institutional investors. Earlier this year, Metaplanet shareholders authorized a long-term plan to acquire more than 210,000 Bitcoin by 2027, representing roughly 1% of the total supply. However, analysts warn that corporate models based primarily on asset accumulation face structural risks. According to Cointelegraph, industry figures such as MoreMarkets CEO Altan Tutar and Solv Protocol co-founder Ryan Chow have cautioned that companies relying solely on digital asset holdings may struggle to maintain valuations without developing operational businesses that generate consistent returns. 

Xangle and CertiK Team Up to Promote Mass Adoption of Web3CrossAngle, the operator of the virtual asset data analysis platform Xangle, announced on Wednesday that it has teamed up with CertiK, a global blockchain security ranking platform, to promote the mass adoption of Web3 technologies and contribute to the formation of a secure and transparent blockchain ecosystem.Photo by Shubham’s Web3 on UnsplashStrengthening security and data insightsCertiK is a security-focused ranking platform for analyzing and monitoring blockchain protocols and DeFi projects. Through this new partnership, Xangle will gain access to Skynet, CertiK’s Web3 security analysis platform that monitors and visualizes on-chain and off-chain data with cutting-edge technology, along with other API data. In turn, CertiK will receive access to Xangle’s cryptocurrency reference price API and on-chain data analyses.CertiK’s industry analysis reports will also be regularly featured on Xangle’s research platform. Xangle’s research reports are well-regarded throughout the industry and have been featured on local and international financial information platforms such as Bloomberg Terminal, CoinMarketCap, Yonhap Infomax, and FnGuide.Positive outlooks“We are delighted to partner with CertiK, a global leader in Web3 security. We are already anticipating great synergy with our strong capabilities in on-chain data analysis,” said Jake Lim, Chief Business Development Officer (CBDO) of Xangle. “We believe that this collaboration between our two companies will accelerate the mass adoption of Web3 technologies.”Jason Jiang, Chief Business Officer (CBO) of CertiK, added that the partnership is expected to not only enhance security and transparency in the blockchain ecosystem but also help set new industry standards.This partnership between CertiK and Xangle reflects the growing importance of security and data analysis in the rapidly evolving Web3 landscape, as both companies work together to drive its widespread adoption.

Japanese auto-parts manufacturer Ikuyo announced last week its board has approved a 300 million yen ($2 million) investment in Galactic Holdings, the parent company of the TruBit cryptocurrency exchange. The investment expands a capital and business alliance first established on June 26.Photo by CHUTTERSNAP on UnsplashStablecoin for B2B cross-border paymentsIn a press release, the Kanagawa-based company stated the funding will be executed through a third-party allotment of new shares. The capital will support Galactic’s stablecoin infrastructure for B2B cross-border payments and help Ikuyo build expertise in digital financial services, diversify its assets, and enhance its long-term corporate value. The initiative arrives as Japan’s auto-parts sector, which counts more than 600,000 workers at roughly 20,000 firms, seeks new efficiencies amid global economic pressures. Autos represented 28.3% of Japan’s exports to the U.S. in 2024, making U.S. trade policy a key influence. This year, the sector navigated a 25% U.S. tariff on automobiles and parts imposed in April, which was then lowered to 15% on July 22 after a deal with the Trump administration. Shifts in the global trade landscape provide an incentive for companies to streamline operational costs. As a proof of concept, Ikuyo plans to pilot stablecoin settlements in transactions between its China-based subsidiary, Kunshan Veritas Automotive Systems, and Veritas in Mexico. Currently, these trades are settled in Mexican pesos and converted to U.S. dollars. The company expects the use of stablecoins to reduce remittance costs and accelerate settlement times.  While the launch timing, performance metrics, and monetization strategy are still being finalized, the pilot’s results will guide future business development. In the long term, Ikuyo aims to become an early adopter of stablecoin settlement in the auto-parts sector, applying the technology to improve efficiency and transparency in international trade, initially between Japan and Latin America and between Japan and Southeast Asia. Japan embraces Web3 in push for growthThis corporate move aligns with a broader trend of growing government support for decentralized technologies in Japan. Speaking at the WebX2025 event on Aug. 25, Prime Minister Shigeru Ishiba announced stronger state support for Web3 initiatives, describing the sector as a driver of innovation that could help Japan tackle demographic decline and foster economic transformation.  He noted that Web3 is already being implemented at the Osaka Expo and highlighted local pilot programs where communities use tokens as governance rewards. Ishiba also stressed that the government’s five-year startup growth plan would be strengthened through investment and regulatory reforms, with Web3 and related digital industries expected to take center stage. On the financial policy front, Finance Minister Katsunobu Kato recently addressed the rapid increase in crypto adoption across Japan. He explained that his role is to balance necessary oversight with providing the industry enough freedom to innovate. While acknowledging that digital assets remain highly volatile, Kato argued that creating a secure trading environment would protect investors while also helping to diversify and enrich their portfolios. Ikuyo’s initiative underscores the private sector’s quickening embrace of crypto. Last month, SBI Group, one of the nation’s largest financial conglomerates, revealed a strategic alliance with the decentralized oracle provider Chainlink. Their collaboration aims to expand the institutional adoption of digital assets and blockchain globally. The partnership will utilize Chainlink’s Proof of Reserve, SmartData, and Cross-Chain Interoperability Protocol (CCIP) to facilitate the tokenization of real-world assets (RWAs) across multiple blockchains.