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Binance APAC Head Resigns Amid Regulatory ChallengesThe uncertainty swirling around Binance, the world’s largest cryptocurrency exchange, continues as Binance Head of Asia Pacific (APAC), Leon Foong, has resigned from his position.The resignation was reported by Bloomberg on Thursday, with the publication citing people familiar with the matter. Foong played a pivotal role in expanding Binance’s reach across markets like South Korea, Thailand, and Japan.Photo by Marten Bjork on UnsplashRecent pattern of executive exitsFoong’s departure is the latest one in a series of high-profile exits in recent months. Chief Strategy Officer Patrick Hillman and General Counsel Hon Ng are among those who have previously left, as regulatory authorities worldwide tighten their grip on Binance.Binance has been navigating a challenging period as regulatory crackdowns sweep across the global crypto space, prompting strategic shifts and senior leadership changes. Foong’s departure may also signify the company’s effort to realign itself in the face of mounting scrutiny.Market share under pressureThe regulatory backlash has not only led to senior leadership changes but has also impacted Binance’s market share. As authorities have clamped down on Binance due to alleged violations, the exchange’s dominance in the crypto trading market has diminished.Losses of key banking partnerships have compelled some customers to migrate to rival platforms. In some cases, Binance has simply been forced to retreat entirely from offering services in certain jurisdictions.Over the course of a period of three months earlier this year, the company lost its ability to trade in Germany, Canada, Belgium, the Netherlands, and Cyprus. French authorities are investigating the platform for alleged illegal provision of digital asset services and aggravated money laundering.In recent days, the global exchange platform has also come under pressure relative to the service it extends to Russian users. A Wall Street Journal exposé published last week alleged that Binance’s activities in Russia were in breach of sanctions imposed by the United States. Binance responded by removing the option for customers to transact over the platform using two sanctioned banks. It’s now understood that the company is considering going a step further and exiting that market entirely.LawsuitsBinance’s legal woes began with the US Commodity Futures Trading Commission (CFTC) filing a lawsuit against the exchange, along with its billionaire Founder and CEO Changpeng Zhao (CZ). The lawsuit alleged violations of derivatives regulations and criticized the firm’s compliance procedures. Binance reacted by expressing surprise and disappointment over the legal action.The challenges continued with the US Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC) filing a lawsuit against Binance and CZ in June, accusing the exchange of running unregistered exchanges and engaging in various other violations. Binance has consistently contested these allegations from both the CFTC and the SEC.In response to these challenges, CZ took to X (formerly Twitter) in July to reaffirm the exchange’s commitment to growth despite the setbacks.More concern has been created due to the recent filing by the SEC of a motion “under seal” in its case against Binance. That option is usually taken to prevent public knowledge of sensitive information, which possibly could relate to a parallel investigation from the US Justice Department.There’s likely to be no letup in the cloud that hangs over the business until all enforcement actions and lawsuits have run their course.

A settlement agreement between failed crypto lender BlockFi and bankrupt Singaporean crypto hedge fund Three Arrows Capital (3AC) has received approval from a U.S. judge. However, the specifics of the settlement remain sealed, citing concerns raised by yet another failed crypto platform, FTX. Dispute resolvedDuring a hearing on Feb. 6, New Jersey Bankruptcy Court Judge Michael Kaplan resolved the dispute, which saw BlockFi claiming $129 million owed by 3AC, while the Singapore-based firm contended that BlockFi owed it $280 million. Judge Kaplan's decision to keep the settlement agreement sealed stemmed from a perspective that unsealing it would be counterintuitive. BlockFi had filed a motion to seal the settlement terms last month. The U.S. Trustee objected to the seal, asserting that the debtors hadn't provided sufficient justification for sealing the agreement.Photo by mk. s on UnsplashSensitive settlement termsBlockFi justified the need for confidentiality, citing the sensitive commercial nature of the terms, which could potentially impact ongoing litigation involving FTX. The approval of the settlement now paves the way for BlockFi to proceed with distributions from the lending estate to its 100,000 creditors, with the firm owing up to $10 billion. Central to the dispute were preferential payments, transactions made just before bankruptcy that could have given the recipient more than they would have received through court proceedings. The resolution of counterclaims between BlockFi and 3AC follows mediation ordered by Judge Kaplan in October, likely culminating from a two-day hearing starting on Jan. 5 aimed at resolving the matter conclusively. This settlement follows another agreement between 3AC and Genesis, settling $1 billion in claims by 3AC. The company filed for bankruptcy in July 2022, attributing the extreme fluctuations in cryptocurrency markets as the reason for its collapse. Projected 46% 3AC creditor recoveryAccording to a December report to creditors by Teneo, it's estimated that 3AC creditors will receive approximately 45.74% of their claims from the bankrupt estate. As of Dec. 18, 2023, 3AC's assets were valued at $1.16 billion, while recognized claims for distribution stood at $2.7 billion. In an ongoing effort to secure 3AC's assets, a British Virgin Islands (BVI) court froze $1 billion in assets belonging to 3AC's founders, amid the liquidation process. This move is part of a broader strategy to seek recoveries from the founders and Kelly Chen, wife of one of the co-founders. 154 claims totaling $3.4 billion were filed against the 3AC estate, with $200 million not admitted for distribution and $322 million rejected or expected to be rejected. Additionally, claims worth $76 million are currently under dispute. BlockFi, along with eight affiliates, filed for Chapter 11 bankruptcy in November 2022. The firm cited significant exposure, including obligations owed to BlockFi by FTX-linked hedge fund Alameda Research, assets on the FTX platform and an undrawn credit line from FTX. 3AC’s collapse in June 2022, followed by FTX's downfall, led to BlockFi's bankruptcy filing in late November 2022. In a separate development, OPNX, a crypto bankruptcy claims platform launched by 3AC co-founders Su Zhu and Kyle Davies, announced its cessation of operations, with plans to shut down by Feb. 14.  

NVT Ratio Signals Overvalued BTCThe network value to transaction (NVT) ratio of Bitcoin, which has been staying at a high level since the beginning of the year, has signaled its overvaluation, according to Yonhap Infomax.However, some argue that this will not necessarily lead to a crypto winter, considering that the nature of Bitcoin as an asset has changed and there is no sign of overheating in other indicators.©Pexels/PixabayPrice and NVT ratio correlationYonhap Infomax found out that the correlation between the NVT ratio and the price of Bitcoin over the past six years is -0.35. A value of 1 represents a completely positive correlation, while a value of -1 represents a completely negative correlation.Extending this period to 2010 makes the correlation close to 0, but during the early years, NVT ratios showed high volatility, shooting up to four digits. Such a high volatility doesn’t suggest much correlation. Until 2021, there was a high correlation of up to -0.44.The NVT ratio is calculated by dividing the market cap by the transacted volume. Conceptually, it is similar to the price-to-earnings ratio for the stock market.In 2017, when the crypto market was bullish, the average Bitcoin NVT ratio was 7.3. This number became 8.7 in 2021 when the market experienced a similar pattern. In retrospect, single-digit NVT ratios usually hint at bullish markets.This year so far, Bitcoin has been relatively overvalued, given that the average NVT ratio is 23.6.BTC price recoveryWhen the crypto market sentiment lost its confidence due to the FTX bankruptcy last year, the price of Bitcoin went down to $15,000. It later recovered to the near $30,000 level. The Bitcoin price once had reached an all-time high in 2021, surpassing $65,000.The years that manifested similar patterns as this year were 2018 and 2019. In those years, the Bitcoin NVT ratio plateaued around 20.Uncertain outlookThe NVT ratio itself could point to a possible crypto winter, but researchers say it’s hard to say.Jang Kyung-pil, a research analyst at crypto data platform Xangle, said that people now consider Bitcoin as a store of value rather than a means of transactions, pointing out that BTC’s market value to realized value (MVRV) ratio has hit the bottom at 0.84 and now reached 1.4. According to Jang, MVRV values under 1 indicate undervaluation and those above 3 indicate overvaluation.Jung Seok-moon, head of the research center at crypto exchange Korbit, said that the current NVT ratio signals BTC overvaluation. He added that the Fed is likely to turn dovish in its monetary policy, which would prompt a strong BTC uptrend.