Experts Offer Insights into Bitcoin ETFs, Stablecoins, and On-Chain Data Analysis

A Beijing-headquartered venture capital firm has invested $30 million in Hong Kong’s HashKey Exchange. That’s according to a report published by Bloomberg on Feb. 14, citing unnamed sources understood to be familiar with the matter. HashKey’s capital injection has come from Gaorong Ventures.  The Chinese VC firm was founded in 2014, initially known as Banyan Capital before rebranding as Gaorong Ventures in 2018. The VC firm focuses on early and growth-stage investments, with a specific interest in new technology.  Gaorong has 23 IPO portfolios on its books, together with 30 projects valued at in excess of $1 billion. It has been an early-stage investor in Chinese tech firms such as Chinese shopping platform Meituan and online retailer PDD Holdings.  Last year, the company participated in a funding round for Dongchedi, the car information and trading platform belonging to ByteDance, the parent company of TikTok.Photo by Towfiqu barbhuiya on UnsplashBeyond unicorn statusIn this instance, the funds were invested with HashKey Group weighing in with a post-money valuation in the region of $1.5 billion. That puts the company well beyond unicorn status, which it achieved in a previous $100 million funding round over a year ago. At that time, HashKey didn’t disclose the names of investors other than to state that they were “prominent institutional investors” and “leading Web3 institutions.” It’s understood that the round included both existing and new investors. Surging VC investment in crypto startups This latest investment comes amid a backdrop of a surge in venture capital investment into the crypto sector. Well-known American venture investors Sequoia Capital and Andreessen Horowitz (a16z) invested almost $1.2 billion in crypto projects last month.  In 2024, $13.7 billion was invested in crypto and blockchain startups by venture capital firms, marking a 28% increase on the previous year. In Q4 2024, the United States took first place, accounting for 46% of investment into startups across the market in general. Hong Kong weighed in with 17% in second place.HashKey is also playing its own role in crypto and blockchain startup investment. HashKey Exchange’s sister company, HashKey Capital, is an institutional asset manager that also invests in crypto startups. In recent weeks, the company has invested in SignalPlus, a crypto trading software firm focused on the Asian market, and Kelpr, a Cosmos (ATOM) ecosystem wallet project. More crypto VC investment in 2025In January, HashKey Capital CEO Deng Chao told Cointelegraph that he expected more VC capital investment in crypto startups in 2025. He stated: “As we enter into a supportive macro environment driven by stimulative US policies and the formalization of crypto regulatory frameworks, these macro tailwinds are set to drive more VC investments heading into 2025.” Meanwhile, the overarching HashKey Group is positive in its outlook with regard to the crypto and blockchain sector in 2025. Last month, it outlined that it expects Bitcoin and Ethereum to surge in price, the share of the market held by decentralized exchanges (DEXs) to increase, capital inflows into the sector from institutions to grow, the approval of more crypto ETFs and further development of layer-2 networks over the course of the year.

Japan’s Mt.Gox to commence creditor repayments shortlyCreditors of Mt. Gox, the Japanese Bitcoin exchange that suffered a devastating hack in 2014, have received a glimmer of hope with an announcement from the administrators of the Mt.Gox estate that repayments are imminent.The recent announcement from Nobuaki Kobayashi, the trustee overseeing Mt. Gox’s estate was made on Tuesday when Kobayashi initiated the distribution of emails to rehabilitation creditors, hinting at the commencement of repayments. Social media reports have fueled optimism, suggesting that creditors may start receiving repayments in cash in 2023.Photo by Manuel Cosentino on UnsplashFirst round repayments in 2023The email, sent in both Japanese and English, outlined Kobayashi’s plan to initiate the first round of repayments in 2023, with the process extending into 2024. The email highlighted the complexity of the task, citing the large number of rehabilitation creditors, diverse types of repayments and varied processing times required. Despite the lack of specific timelines for individual creditors, the email conveyed a cautiously optimistic tone about progress.Cash vs. bitcoinReaction within the Mt. Gox community has been mixed. Some commentators view Kobayashi’s email as “cautiously promising,” interpreting it as a positive sign that repayments are finally on the horizon. Long-suffering creditors had been informed of a one-year extension to the repayment deadline in September. Additionally, some observers have raised concerns, noting that the email specifically references cash payments, whereas many victims of the Mt. Gox hack anticipate the return of large amounts of bitcoin.The Mt. Gox trustee currently holds 135,890 BTC across known addresses, valued at nearly $5 billion. An additional 3,795 BTC (worth $130 million) are held on unknown addresses.While the email signals progress, questions remain about the nature and extent of the repayments, with the community keenly observing developments. The email stated:“The specific timing of repayment to individual rehabilitation creditors is undetermined, and therefore, it will not be possible to provide advance notice to each rehabilitation creditor regarding the specific timing of their repayment.”Deadlines were also pushed back on other occasions, including March of this year when creditors were sent a “change of deadline“ notification.Redemption of trust assetsThis news coincided with the Mt. Gox trustee’s announcement on Wednesday regarding the redemption of trust assets. A substantial sum of 7 billion Japanese yen (equivalent to $47 million) was redeemed, intended for funding the repayment of claims. Following the redemption, the remaining trust assets stood at 8.8 billion yen, or approximately $59 million. The trustee, as per the official statement, is actively preparing for the base repayment, early lump-sum repayment and intermediate repayment.The recent events surrounding Mt. Gox have sparked discussions within the broader crypto community about the potential for a bitcoin sell-off. It’s long been speculated that the sudden release of bitcoin to creditors could lead to the market being flooded with sellers. However, as it appears that cash is being distributed as well as bitcoin, this should soften any potential bitcoin sell-off.Despite the optimism in some quarters, skepticism lingers due to the history of delays in Mt. Gox repayments. Creditors remain cautiously hopeful for the most part, awaiting further updates and tangible progress in the rehabilitation process.

The Japanese government and ruling coalition have begun coordinating plans to introduce a flat 20% separate tax on cryptocurrency gains, based on a Dec. 1 report by Nikkei cited by CoinDesk Japan. The change is expected to be reflected in the 2026 tax reform outline.Photo by Nataliya Vaitkevich on PexelsLower crypto taxes, aligned with stocksUnder the proposal, income from crypto trading would be taxed in line with traditional financial instruments such as stocks. This would mark a notable decrease from the current regime, under which cryptocurrency gains are treated in principle as miscellaneous income, combined with salary and other earnings, and taxed on a comprehensive basis at rates that can climb to around 55% including local taxes. Policymakers are reportedly treating the move toward separate taxation as contingent on the establishment of a stronger investor-protection framework through tighter regulation. The planned reforms are also seen as potentially laying the groundwork for the eventual domestic approval of exchange-traded funds (ETFs) backed by crypto assets. Market pullback deepens on policy signalsThe more favorable tax outlook for investors came against a weaker market backdrop. According to CoinMarketCap, the total crypto market capitalization declined about 1.73% over the past 24 hours, extending a pullback that followed recent communications from the central banks of Japan and China. In a Dec. 1 report by Reuters, Bank of Japan (BOJ) Governor Kazuo Ueda indicated that the central bank intended to consider the possibility of an interest-rate increase at its next policy meeting. His comments are interpreted as suggesting a potential shift toward higher rates in December, prompting concern that yen-funded carry trades could begin to be unwound. Such trades typically involve borrowing yen at low interest rates to invest in higher-yielding assets, and their reversal can create pressure on broader asset markets. In a separate weekend statement, the People’s Bank of China (PBOC) restated that digital asset trading remains illegal in China and highlighted what it described as a renewed pickup in speculative crypto activity. The central bank also singled out stablecoins as a source of risk, pointing to concerns about fraud, money laundering, and unauthorized cross-border capital flows that could undermine Beijing’s efforts to maintain capital controls. Against this policy backdrop, major cryptocurrencies moved in mixed directions. Over the past 24 hours, Bitcoin inched up around 1.02%, Ethereum declined about 0.86%, and XRP fell roughly 0.9%. Analysts split amid weak market activityAnalysts and market commentators continued to diverge on the implications of the latest pullback. Veteran trader Peter Brandt suggested on X that Bitcoin may be entering a deeper corrective phase similar to those seen in past bull markets. He cited historical instances of “exponential decay” and suggested the price could retrace toward $50,000 before potentially advancing to the $200,000–$250,000 range in the next rally cycle. Author Robert Kiyosaki, known for “Rich Dad Poor Dad,” reiterated his preference for assets such as gold, silver, Bitcoin, and Ethereum in a Nov. 29 post on X, linking this stance to his view that the Japanese carry trade had effectively run its course. Roughly a week before that message, he had disclosed selling about $2.25 million worth of Bitcoin at around $90,000 per coin, noting that his initial purchase price had been close to $6,000. By contrast, long-time Bitcoin critic Peter Schiff continued to argue in favor of precious metals. He contended that gold derives inherent value from industrial and commercial uses tied to its physical properties, including conductivity, ease of shaping, and resistance to corrosion, while maintaining that Bitcoin lacks practical utility and instead depends on investor belief. SwanDesk CEO Jacob King, another skeptic of the asset, offered an even more pessimistic assessment. He said he did not expect Bitcoin to revisit its previous all-time high and characterized the current decline as the final bear market before the asset ultimately fades from relevance. Shorter-term indicators have reinforced expectations for muted trading conditions. According to CNBC, Grayscale Head of Research Zach Pandl pointed to a decline in open interest for perpetual futures, interpreting it as a sign of reduced speculative positioning and leverage. He also highlighted relatively subdued trading volumes on both centralized and decentralized exchanges, suggesting that near-term market activity is likely to remain restrained.