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A recent survey of South Korean crypto investors showed a modest shift toward a more positive short-term view on Bitcoin, although market data since the poll was released has yet to strongly support that outlook. The regular survey, conducted last week by CoinNess and Cratos, found that 44.8% of Korean respondents expected Bitcoin to rise or surge this week, up from 35.2% in the previous survey.Photo by Jievani Weerasinghe on UnsplashThe share of respondents expecting Bitcoin to move sideways fell to 28.3% from 33%, while those forecasting a decline or sharp drop decreased to 26.9% from 31.8%. The figures indicate that bullish responses increased from the previous week, while neutral and bearish responses declined. However, with several days having passed since the survey was released, Bitcoin’s price action has so far offered a more cautious picture. At the time of writing, Bitcoin was trading at $77,085.07, down 1.14% from a week earlier, according to CoinMarketCap. The survey also showed that investors remain wary of the broader market environment. Asked how recent macroeconomic uncertainty and market volatility had affected the difficulty of crypto investing, 40.5% said it became “much more difficult,” and 35.3% said it became “somewhat more difficult.” That means roughly three-quarters of respondents said crypto investing has become harder than before. Another 16.6% said conditions were little changed, while 7.6% said investing became easier. GIWA Chain targets cross-border financeWhile retail investors appear cautious about the near-term market backdrop, major Korean firms are continuing to push ahead with blockchain projects tied to cross-border finance. Dunamu, the operator of Upbit, South Korea’s largest crypto exchange, said it has signed a memorandum of understanding (MOU) with Hana Financial Group and POSCO International to develop services for overseas remittances, payments, and corporate treasury management. The project brings together Dunamu’s layer-2 blockchain, GIWA Chain, Hana Financial Group’s foreign exchange network, and POSCO International’s global supply-chain platform. The companies said the collaboration will focus on faster international transfers, more efficient corporate fund management, and new digital finance services. The firms also plan to test whether some processes currently handled through the SWIFT network can be moved onto GIWA Chain. Coinone sanctions put on hold by courtOn the regulatory front, a court has temporarily halted enforcement of sanctions against crypto exchange Coinone, after the Korea Financial Intelligence Unit (FIU) ordered a fine and partial business restrictions over alleged anti-money laundering (AML) violations. The measures had been set to take effect on April 29. According to the Maeil Business Newspaper, the court said the stay would remain in effect until May 29 while it considers Coinone’s request to suspend the sanctions. It stressed that the decision was provisional and did not constitute a final ruling on the request. Earlier this month, the FIU, South Korea’s financial intelligence agency under the Financial Services Commission (FSC), imposed a KRW 5.2 billion ($3.52 million) administrative fine on Coinone for alleged violations of the country’s financial transactions law. The regulator also ordered a three-month restriction on virtual asset transfers for new customers, covering both deposits and withdrawals. 

UAE strengthens regulatory oversight of virtual asset service providersThe Central Bank of the United Arab Emirates (CBUAE) and other relevant authorities in the Middle Eastern country have issued new joint guidance for virtual asset service providers (VASPs) operating within the UAE.Photo by Thomas Drouault on UnsplashPushing back against unlicensed VASPsThese guidelines aim to prevent VASPs from operating without proper licenses in the jurisdiction, demonstrative of the country’s efforts in fighting financial crimes and maintaining the integrity of its financial system.The document outlines the penalties for VASPs operating in the UAE without a valid license. They will face civil and criminal sanctions, including financial penalties against the entity, its owners and senior managers. Moreover, the guidance cautions that licensed financial institutions (LFIs), designated non-financial businesses and professions (DNFBPs) and licensed VASPs that engage with unlicensed VASPs will be subject to law enforcement actions.The National Anti-Money Laundering and Combating Financing of Terrorism and Financing of Illegal Organizations Committee (NAMLCFTC) is the specific entity responsible for having issued the guidance in conjunction with the central bank.VASP ‘red flags’As part of those guidelines, a list of “red flags” for VASPs has been included. Through reliance on these indicators, it’s hoped that bad acting VASPs can be identified by consumers and other industry stakeholders. The document refers to red flags such as the lack of regulatory licensing, no physical presence in the UAE, pressure being applied by a platform to invest quickly and a lack of regulatory disclosure as items to look out for.Otherwise, the guidance encourages stakeholders to be suspicious of unsolicited contact being employed as a means of operation by a platform, the lack of a record of compliance, poor website and communications and the offer of unrealistic promises.Lastly, the document suggests that people should be observant of any illicit use of virtual currency, the use of fake wallets, engagement in terrorist financing and a lack of consumer protection as red flag items.The new guidance instructs all LFIs, DNFBPs and licensed VASPs to report transactions involving suspicious parties. The guidance also emphasizes that information related to unlicensed virtual asset activities can be reported through whistleblowing mechanisms.Exiting FATF ‘grey list’The release of these guidelines is part of an effort by the UAE to be removed from the Financial Action Task Force’s (FATF) “grey list.” The grey list indicates deficiencies in a country’s anti-money laundering (AML) and counter-terrorist financing (CTF) regimes.Improving control mechanisms relative to crypto has been a theme for several countries who are similarly looking to exit the FATF grey list. Last week, it emerged that Turkey is crafting new regulations governing crypto in an effort towards “grey list” removal. Earlier this year, Pakistan announced a renewed ban on cryptocurrency, as part of its efforts to remain off the grey list it had been listed on over an extended period.The UAE was placed on the FATF’s grey list in March 2022 due to AML and CTF deficiencies. However, the country made a commitment to work with the global watchdog to improve its regulatory frameworks in these areas.

Matrixport Forecasts Bitcoin Bull Market Breather AheadMatrixport, the Singapore-headquartered digital asset financial services provider, has reported a significant surge in its Bitcoin Greed & Fear Index (GFI) over the past week.Photo by Karolina Grabowska on PexelsBitcoin Greed & Fear Index (GFI)The index, which tracks market sentiments, has skyrocketed from below 10% to a staggering 93%. Such a rapid increase indicates a prevailing sense of greed and excessive optimism among Bitcoin investors. As a result, industry experts are suggesting that a breather in the ongoing Bitcoin rally may be on the cards.Markus Thielen, the Head of Research and Strategy at Matrixport, has advised short-term traders to consider capitalizing on their gains given the exuberant levels recorded by the Bitcoin Greed & Fear Index. Historical analysis reveals that readings above 90% have often signaled interim tops in Bitcoin’s price, while readings below 10% have preceded notable price rallies.Upward movement favorableDespite the current high reading, the 21-day simple moving average of the index remains below the critical 90% mark. This implies that the overall trajectory for Bitcoin still favors upward movement. Thielen points out that the rising 21-day moving average indicates the potential for further upside once the current phase of exuberance subsides, allowing for consolidation in the market.Chart analysts share an optimistic view of Bitcoin’s future, with some predicting a potential rally towards the $35,000 mark and beyond. Josh Olszewicz, Head of Research at digital asset investment firm Valkyrie, highlights a falling wedge setup in Bitcoin’s recent price action.The successful bounce off the support level, combined with the completion of the falling wedge pattern, has heightened expectations for a move towards the mid-$30,000 range. Olszewicz does caution that significant resistance may arise in that zone, likely leading to a subsequent period of re-consolidation before any further upward progress can be made.In recent weeks, Bitcoin experienced a pullback from its mid-April high of $31,000, eventually finding support around the $25,200 level earlier this month. This pullback, often referred to as a “throwback,” historically acts as a catalyst for price rallies, as has been evident in the past few days.Ether gain potentialWhile Bitcoin’s rally has been impressive, Ether (ETH), the second-largest cryptocurrency by market capitalization, has seen a gain of 15.9% since last Thursday. However, Ether’s GFI index has yet to reach the 90% threshold, indicating potential room for further growth while Bitcoin takes a breather.Matrixport’s Bitcoin Greed & Fear Index has surged to an astonishing 93%, signaling heightened levels of greed and optimism among Bitcoin investors. Traders are advised to consider securing their gains as the index reaches exuberant levels.Nonetheless, the rising 21-day moving average suggests the potential for Bitcoin’s upward momentum to continue following a period of consolidation. At the time of writing, Bitcoin is trading around $31,200, based on CoinGecko data. Going into the weekend, that’s demonstrating continued growth. Meanwhile, Ether shows promising performance, with potential for further growth.