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Japan targets 2028 for crypto ETF approval as global markets weigh U.S. risks

Policy & Regulation·January 26, 2026, 5:50 AM

Japan is taking steps to approve exchange-traded funds (ETFs) tracking spot cryptocurrency prices, a regulatory shift that could take effect as early as 2028, according to a CoinPost report citing a Jan. 25 article by Nikkei.

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The timeline reflects the legislative steps required before retail investors can access digital assets through traditional brokerage accounts. Japan’s financial regulator, the Financial Services Agency (FSA), plans to amend investment regulations to permit cryptocurrencies as eligible assets for investment trusts.

 

SBI, Nomura prepare crypto products

According to the report, major financial heavyweights, including SBI Holdings and Nomura Holdings, are already developing products in anticipation of regulatory approval. If cleared by the Tokyo Stock Exchange, the listings would allow Japanese investors to trade Bitcoin products alongside standard stock or gold ETFs.

 

Institutional interest appears robust. A Nikkei survey conducted in November identified six major firms weighing the development of crypto investment trusts: Nomura Asset Management, SBI Global Asset Management, Daiwa, Asset Management One, Amova, and Mitsubishi UFJ. These companies are reportedly exploring products tailored for both retail and institutional clients.

 

However, the 2028 target is largely dictated by the pace of tax reform. Government plans call for crypto profits to be taxed at a uniform 20%, replacing the current progressive system and putting digital assets on the same footing as equities and foreign exchange. The revised tax treatment would also apply to crypto ETFs and derivatives. At present, crypto gains are treated as miscellaneous income, leaving investors subject to progressive tax rates that can climb to roughly 55% once local levies are included.

 

Crypto market slides amid volatility 

As Japan maps out its long-term regulatory course, recent market activity has been volatile, tied to potential currency interventions and U.S. political uncertainty.

 

Bitcoin briefly surged to $91,000 over the weekend, a move CoinDesk reports some traders attribute to suspected Japanese intervention in the foreign exchange market. The theory suggests a transient reversal in the yen’s recent weakness forced an unwinding of leveraged carry trades, temporarily boosting the world’s largest cryptocurrency.

 

However, the momentum was short-lived. Bitcoin is currently trading near $87,500, down 1.45% over the previous 24 hours. Market sentiment has been dampened by fears of a U.S. government shutdown and renewed trade tensions. On the prediction market platform Polymarket, participants have priced in a 78% chance of another government shutdown by Jan. 31.

 

Compounding investor anxiety are President Donald Trump’s tariff threats. Trump recently warned he would impose 100% tariffs on Canada should the U.S. neighbor sign a trade deal with China. Canadian Prime Minister Mark Carney has since announced that Ottawa has no plans to forge such an agreement, according to CNBC.

 

Monetary policy remains a headwind for risk assets. Ahead of the Federal Reserve’s interest rate decision this week, the CME FedWatch Tool indicates traders expect the central bank to hold rates steady in the 3.5% to 3.75% range at the Jan. 28 meeting. Markets are pricing in only a 2.8% chance of a 0.5% cut. The prospect of rates remaining unchanged offers little incentive for investors to pivot aggressively toward riskier assets like crypto.

 

Gold, silver reach record levels 

This risk-averse environment has funneled capital into precious metals, driving prices to record levels. Both gold and silver have hit all-time highs, surpassing $5,000 per ounce and $106 per ounce, respectively.

 

Amid the uncertainty, retail investors in neighboring markets are showing caution. In South Korea, a weekly survey by CoinNess and Cratos of 2,000 respondents found that 43.2% of investors are holding existing crypto positions without making additional purchases. Another 22.7% said they are actively trading, while 21.4% reported having no current position and waiting for a more favorable entry point. The remaining 12.7% said they are staying out of the market entirely.

 

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Web3 & Enterprise·

Jul 25, 2023

Midas Investments Founder Launches Locus Finance

Midas Investments Founder Launches Locus FinanceIakov Levin, the founder of the recently failed Dubai-headquartered custodial crypto investment platform Midas Investments, has unveiled his latest project, Locus Finance, a DeFi platform.Photo by Shubham’s Web3 on UnsplashStarting overThat’s according to a recent report published by The Block. Locus Finance’s main focus lies in providing connectivity with high-yield tokenized vaults. In its initial stages, the company will introduce three yield-generating products, centered around Ethereum staking, DeFi expansion, and Arbitrum trading.Levin believes that investors are not interested in the intricacies of blockchains, protocols, or daily portfolio management. This is where vaults play a crucial role, catering to the retail yield market and generating profits for retail investors. In a statement Levin said:“Investors don’t want to worry about blockchains, protocols, transaction costs, and daily portfolio management. They need specific exposure in a set-and-forget style. Vaults represent a unique approach necessary for maturing the retail yield market, allowing for optimal wealth generation for retail investors.”With Locus Finance, Levin aims to learn from past experiences and provide a platform that meets the demands of retail investors seeking a more simplified and profitable DeFi experience. The company’s approach centers around yield generation and a seamless user experience, allowing users to focus on their investments without being bogged down by complex technicalities.Midas downfallMidas Investments, established in 2018, had seen significant success as a custodial crypto investment platform which offered yields on a range of digital assets. It managed assets worth over $250 million at its peak in 2021. However, the volatile market conditions in 2022 led to losses exceeding $50 million, forcing the company to close its doors in December 2022.The loss incurred accounted for 20% of the $250 million assets under management (AUM). The platform’s demise followed the collapse of prominent projects like Terra, FTX, and Celsius earlier in 2022. Those collapses prompted Midas Investments users to withdraw over 60% of their assets. That run on the platform rendered its fixed yield model unsustainable.Midas faced total liabilities of $115 million in Bitcoin, ETH, and stablecoins, with assets valued at $51.7 million. At the time of the platform’s collapse, Levin expressed his optimism about future plans. He disclosed plans to introduce an offering that would feature new investment strategies. Fast forward seven months and it appears that those plans have taken shape in the form of this newly-launched Locus Finance platform.However, Locus Finance’s success will be closely monitored in light of the challenges faced by its predecessor. A former Midas Investments customer took to Reddit three months ago to warn people to stay away from the new platform once launched.At that time, Midas Investments management had advised customers of its intention to start over via Lotus Finance. “Users lost tons of money and Midas got away with the bags. . . . I’d recommend staying as far away from them as possible,” the former customer warned.

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Markets·

Jan 06, 2024

Maelstrom CIO predicts temporary bitcoin plunge

As the cryptocurrency market anticipates the approval of a spot bitcoin exchange-traded fund (ETF) in the United States and the subsequent boost to bitcoin’s unit price, Arthur Hayes, Chief Investment Officer (CIO) of family office Maelstrom, has issued a warning of potential market turbulence. Hayes, better known as the founder of crypto derivatives platform BitMEX, has moved on to Hong Kong-based Maelstrom, a family office that invests in early stage infrastructure ventures that implicate a move towards the decentralization of everything.Photo by Kanchanara on UnsplashMacroeconomic risk factorsIn a detailed blog post on Friday, Hayes outlines a number of macroeconomic variables that could lead to a bitcoin unit price downturn. Hayes begins by highlighting the depletion of the Federal Reserve’s reverse repo program (RRP), which has served as a significant driver for risky assets over the past year. This program allows qualified banks and investment firms to park cash and earn interest on it. The RRP balance has rapidly declined from a record high of $2.5 trillion at the end of 2022 to $700 billion. Hayes projects it to reach its historical average of $200 billion by March. As this liquidity source dwindles, he anticipates negative impacts on bonds and stocks, as well as cryptocurrencies. Fed BTFP expirationThe second factor contributing to the potential market turmoil is the expiration of the Bank Term Funding Program (BTFP) on March 12. This crucial Fed facility is designed to provide longer-term loans to commercial banks. The mechanism aids banking sector stability. Hayes is concerned that the BTFP might not be extended. Such an eventuality could lead to bankruptcy for banks holding massive unrealized losses on their bond holdings. It could lead to a “liquidity rug pull” event reminiscent of the banking crisis in March of the previous year. The crypto OG predicts that such an eventuality would force a response. “The combination of a lack of liquidity gushing from the RRP and the lack of printed money to cover the bond losses on banks’ balance sheets will decimate the financial markets globally,” he wrote. Hayes asserts that the combination of reduced liquidity from the RRP and the lack of printed money to cover bond losses could have a global impact on financial markets. In response to this scenario, he predicts that the Fed will cut interest rates during its March 20 meeting and reinstate the BTFP funding line. ‘Healthy’ correctionIn terms of bitcoin’s price, Hayes foresees a “healthy” correction of 20% to 30% from early March prices if the outlined scenario unfolds. However, he suggests the decline could be as much as 40% if BTC rallies to $60,000-$70,000 in the coming weeks. Despite this temporary plunge, Hayes remains optimistic about bitcoin’s resilience, emphasizing its status as a neutral reserve hard currency that is not a liability of the banking system and is traded globally. In a recent podcast appearance, Hayes expressed the view that the business model of U.S. dollar stablecoin issuer Tether will be challenged once multinational banks receive the go-ahead to offer fiat-backed stablecoins. Overall, Arthur Hayes has urged investors to be cautious and to prepare for potential market volatility in March, emphasizing the importance of understanding the interconnected factors influencing both traditional finance and the cryptocurrency market. 

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Web3 & Enterprise·

Dec 13, 2023

NEOPIN works with Japan’s Jasmy to develop RWA-based DeFi products

NEOPIN works with Japan’s Jasmy to develop RWA-based DeFi productsSingapore-headquartered centralized decentralized finance (CeDeFi) protocol NEOPIN has formed a strategic partnership with Jasmy, a Japanese developer specializing in blockchain-based Internet of Things (IoT) platforms. This collaboration represents a step in their joint effort to expand into the global blockchain market, with a particular emphasis on data assetization.Founded in 2016, Jasmy has a management team in which most have a background with tech conglomerate Sony. In contrast to the dominance of tech giants like Google, Apple, Meta and Amazon over data, Jasmy concentrates on achieving data democratization. This concept empowers individuals to have control over their own data. The growing Japanese firm is convinced that the integration of IoT and blockchain technology is the key to realizing this vision of data democracy.Notably, Jasmy has its native token called JasmyCoin. As a regulated virtual asset in Japan, it is listed on centralized exchanges like Binance, Coinbase, Kraken and KuCoin.Photo by Shubham Dhage on UnsplashReal-world assets and security tokensThrough this partnership, the two will explore joint business ventures involving real-world assets (RWAs) and security tokens. They plan to utilize their combined business networks to expand their ecosystems beyond Korea, Japan and the Middle East. NEOPIN will introduce DeFi products using its native token, NPT, and JasmyCoin. Additionally, NEOPIN will become a validator on Jasmy’s mainnet to support its growth.Their collaboration is poised to boost NEOPIN’s advancement into the Japanese market. NEOPIN has been actively pursuing expansion into Japan since its announcement in August. With the Japanese government advocating for Web3 initiatives, a rise in the creation of tokens from local projects is anticipated, leading to a growing demand for DeFi and wallet services.NEOPIN’s partnerships in JapanAs Japan’s digital asset landscape evolves, NEOPIN is actively working to increase its market share in the country. This effort includes a variety of strategies such as focusing on gaming, developing their mainnet, engaging in local marketing activities and launching DeFi products. NEOPIN has also previously announced partnerships with other entities in the Web3 space, including SBINFT, Lena Network and Rokubunnoni, as part of its broader strategy to strengthen its presence in the Japanese market.NEOPIN’s CEO, Ethan Kim, highlighted the company’s goal to lead in the global RWA market. In partnership with Jasmy, they aim to develop and showcase DeFi products related to RWAs and security tokens. NEOPIN is also committed to strengthening its position in Japan by providing Japanese language support this year and actively forming alliances with promising Japanese blockchain enterprises.Hiroshi Harada, CFO of Jasmy, acknowledged NEOPIN’s proven expertise in the Korean market and expressed enthusiasm about the collaboration between the two companies in the blockchain sector. Harada said that their joint efforts will focus on building networks, developing use cases and expanding the market.

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