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Japan targets 2028 for crypto ETF approval as global markets weigh U.S. risks

Policy & Regulation·January 26, 2026, 5:50 AM

Japan is taking steps to approve exchange-traded funds (ETFs) tracking spot cryptocurrency prices, a regulatory shift that could take effect as early as 2028, according to a CoinPost report citing a Jan. 25 article by Nikkei.

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The timeline reflects the legislative steps required before retail investors can access digital assets through traditional brokerage accounts. Japan’s financial regulator, the Financial Services Agency (FSA), plans to amend investment regulations to permit cryptocurrencies as eligible assets for investment trusts.

 

SBI, Nomura prepare crypto products

According to the report, major financial heavyweights, including SBI Holdings and Nomura Holdings, are already developing products in anticipation of regulatory approval. If cleared by the Tokyo Stock Exchange, the listings would allow Japanese investors to trade Bitcoin products alongside standard stock or gold ETFs.

 

Institutional interest appears robust. A Nikkei survey conducted in November identified six major firms weighing the development of crypto investment trusts: Nomura Asset Management, SBI Global Asset Management, Daiwa, Asset Management One, Amova, and Mitsubishi UFJ. These companies are reportedly exploring products tailored for both retail and institutional clients.

 

However, the 2028 target is largely dictated by the pace of tax reform. Government plans call for crypto profits to be taxed at a uniform 20%, replacing the current progressive system and putting digital assets on the same footing as equities and foreign exchange. The revised tax treatment would also apply to crypto ETFs and derivatives. At present, crypto gains are treated as miscellaneous income, leaving investors subject to progressive tax rates that can climb to roughly 55% once local levies are included.

 

Crypto market slides amid volatility 

As Japan maps out its long-term regulatory course, recent market activity has been volatile, tied to potential currency interventions and U.S. political uncertainty.

 

Bitcoin briefly surged to $91,000 over the weekend, a move CoinDesk reports some traders attribute to suspected Japanese intervention in the foreign exchange market. The theory suggests a transient reversal in the yen’s recent weakness forced an unwinding of leveraged carry trades, temporarily boosting the world’s largest cryptocurrency.

 

However, the momentum was short-lived. Bitcoin is currently trading near $87,500, down 1.45% over the previous 24 hours. Market sentiment has been dampened by fears of a U.S. government shutdown and renewed trade tensions. On the prediction market platform Polymarket, participants have priced in a 78% chance of another government shutdown by Jan. 31.

 

Compounding investor anxiety are President Donald Trump’s tariff threats. Trump recently warned he would impose 100% tariffs on Canada should the U.S. neighbor sign a trade deal with China. Canadian Prime Minister Mark Carney has since announced that Ottawa has no plans to forge such an agreement, according to CNBC.

 

Monetary policy remains a headwind for risk assets. Ahead of the Federal Reserve’s interest rate decision this week, the CME FedWatch Tool indicates traders expect the central bank to hold rates steady in the 3.5% to 3.75% range at the Jan. 28 meeting. Markets are pricing in only a 2.8% chance of a 0.5% cut. The prospect of rates remaining unchanged offers little incentive for investors to pivot aggressively toward riskier assets like crypto.

 

Gold, silver reach record levels 

This risk-averse environment has funneled capital into precious metals, driving prices to record levels. Both gold and silver have hit all-time highs, surpassing $5,000 per ounce and $106 per ounce, respectively.

 

Amid the uncertainty, retail investors in neighboring markets are showing caution. In South Korea, a weekly survey by CoinNess and Cratos of 2,000 respondents found that 43.2% of investors are holding existing crypto positions without making additional purchases. Another 22.7% said they are actively trading, while 21.4% reported having no current position and waiting for a more favorable entry point. The remaining 12.7% said they are staying out of the market entirely.

 

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May 10, 2024

Tiger Brokers brings online crypto trading to Hong Kong

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Policy & Regulation·

Apr 21, 2023

UAE Starts to Accept Crypto License Applications

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Policy & Regulation·

Feb 27, 2024

Korean and U.S. regulators to discuss recognizing NFTs as virtual assets in May

Lee Bok-hyun, the governor of South Korea’s Financial Supervisory Service (FSS), is set to have a meeting with Gary Gensler, the chair of the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC), in May. The purpose of their meeting is to discuss whether to classify non-fungible tokens (NFTs) as virtual assets. Currently, NFTs are not seen as virtual assets in Korea, but there is a high likelihood of them being acknowledged as such following the meeting in May, local financial media outlet Edaily reported.Photo by Andrey Metelev on UnsplashLack of definition for NFTsAn NFT is a digital certificate of authenticity that is not fungible or replicable. NFTs tokenize content or assets of various types – from images, music, videos, games and artworks to real-estates – by assigning a unique token ID to them. Many see 2018 as the year NFT technology was first introduced.  Despite its wide range of applications, no legal definition has been made for NFTs. Some view NFTs as technology, and others as virtual assets or securities. The Korean government decided not to recognize NFTs as virtual assets under the Virtual Asset Protection Act (Virtual Asset Act), effective in July. Behind this decision is a perception that NFTs are less likely to pose significant risks to the market, as a large portion of NFTs are now traded by collectors seeking to expand their private collections.  However, NFTs are increasingly seen as speculative destinations by many investors over time, as prices of virtual assets including BTC surge. This shift backs the local movement to recognize NFTs as well as spot bitcoin ETFs as virtual assets. Opposition from NFT businessesBlockchain industry insiders say defining NFTs is of utmost importance, noting that classifying NFTs as virtual assets headfirst could deal a heavy blow to businesses in this sector. One finance insider mentioned that defining NFTs comes down to understanding their purposes and how they are utilized. If NFTs are primarily used for speculative purposes or as currency, they could be recognized as virtual assets, the person said.  The biggest resistance is coming from NFT-related businesses. That is because recognizing NFTs as virtual assets would require these businesses to obtain a virtual asset service provider (VASP) license from the financial authority, which takes significant costs and workforce in the process. A CEO of a blockchain startup, who preferred to remain anonymous, expressed concerns about the possibility of NFTs becoming virtual assets, saying that such recognition would enable NFT transaction tracing, potentially leading to severe violations of human rights. While many industry insiders expect that the financial authorities will bring NFTs under the forthcoming Virtual Asset Act, the FSS stated that no decisions have been made regarding details of the upcoming meeting with the U.S. SEC. 

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