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FedWatch shows 98.4% chance of April rate hold

March 31, 2026, 10:11 PM
According to CME Fed Watch, the probability of the U.S. Federal Reserve holding interest rates steady in April stands at 98.4%, with a 1.6% chance of a 25 bp hike. By June, the probability of a rate hold is 94.6%, with a 3.9% chance of a 25 bp cut and a 1.5% chance of a 25 bp hike.

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