Polymarket smart money bets on US-Iran peace deal by May 15

Three smart money accounts on the prediction market platform Polymarket, defined as top earners on the site, have bet $71,200 that the U.S. and Iran will reach a permanent peace agreement by May 15. According to Polymarket data, the odds for this outcome have risen from 12.2% to 16.4%. The odds of a ceasefire before June surged from 17.5% to a high of 36% and are currently at 29%.