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Polymarket odds of Strategy BTC sale by May 31 drop to 24%

May 30, 2026, 5:35 AM
The predicted probability on Polymarket of Strategy selling its BTC before May 31 has fallen to 24%, a decrease of 16 percentage points from 24 hours ago. The odds of a sale before June 30 and Dec. 31 have also dropped to 69% and 88%, respectively, down three to six percentage points over the same period. This shift is attributed to Strategy withdrawing 411 BTC, the same amount it deposited to Coinbase yesterday, a move the market has interpreted as partially alleviating concerns about a potential sale. While Strategy recently mentioned the possibility of selling BTC in connection with a convertible bond buyback, no actual sale has been confirmed.

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