Polymarket sees 70% odds of a U.S.-Iran ceasefire deal by Aug. 31

According to Polymarket data, the probability that the United States and Iran will agree to a ceasefire by Aug. 31 stood at 70%. Earlier, U.S. President Donald Trump said at a White House Correspondents' Association dinner on July 24 that everything was going smoothly in relation to the Iran war and urged people not to believe "fake news."