Bitcoin’s four-year cycles show smaller gains and shallower drawdowns: Bitcoin.com

Bitcoin’s so-called four-year cycle has continued to produce progressively smaller rallies from trough to peak and milder declines from peak to trough, according to a Bitcoin.com analysis. The outlet said claims that this cycle is different from past ones have surfaced repeatedly, but the broader long-term market pattern remains intact. In each cycle, expectations emerged that the arrival of new buyer groups would halt price declines, yet sharp corrections still followed. It added that peak-to-trough declines have steadily narrowed, to around 85% in 2014, 84% in 2017, 77% in 2020-2021, and 53% in 2024-2025. Gains from cycle lows have also decreased in sequence from 580x to 130x, 22x, and 8x. Bitcoin.com said the market has matured and attracted institutional investors, alongside the launch of spot ETFs, but those factors may both reduce downside volatility and cap upside potential. According to CoinMarketCap, BTC was trading at $79,680, down 1.34%.