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CME FedWatch sees 72% chance of 0.25 percentage-point Fed hike in December

November 01, 2026, 10:08 PM
According to CME FedWatch, the probability that the Federal Reserve will raise its benchmark interest rate by 0.25 percentage point in December was estimated at 72%, while the probability of holding rates steady was 28%. Through January, the probability that the benchmark rate will remain unchanged was 19.3%, while the probability of a cumulative 0.25 percentage-point increase was 58.4% and the probability of a cumulative 0.50 percentage-point increase was 22.3%.
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