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Japan’s Financial Services Agency (FSA) has moved recently to address concerns related to peer-to-peer (P2P) transactions while in a separate development, the country’s GameFi community is calling for regulatory change to enable greater liquidity. The two distinct developments both relate to getting the balance right in terms of crypto regulation from the perspectives of regulators and lawmakers and crypto sector entrepreneurs and participants.Photo by Manuel Cosentino on UnsplashAddressing concernsIt emerged last week that the FSA had proposed a number of measures to safeguard users against “unlawful transactions,” causing alarm that any such moves would inhibit the P2P transactions market. Responding to a query from Cointelegraph, the FSA elaborated that its recommendation does not encompass "transactions from one individual to another." Instead, it aims to bolster measures against illicit money transfers, particularly instances where an individual deposits cash from their bank account into an account belonging to a crypto asset exchange service provider. The regulator clarified that under the new recommendations, banks would intercept suspicious transactions where the sender seeks to alter their name for the purpose of depositing funds into the crypto platform. The FSA outlined that this situation arises where a fraudster convinces an innocent exchange user to effect the name change, so that exchange rules can be circumvented and the fraudster can receive funds from the scam victim. According to the FSA, numerous financial institutions have already implemented these measures, although the agency has not received any reports of specific cases raising concerns regarding crypto asset markets. Notably, the FSA emphasizes that its recommendations are not universally mandated for all financial institutions, with banks expected to devise and implement measures tailored to their specific circumstances. Solving crypto market liquidity issuesWith that clarification, it appears that the measures won’t have the negative impact on P2P crypto markets as many market participants originally feared. Meanwhile, in a distinct development, Japan's blockchain gaming community has approached the Liberal Democratic Party (LDP) to seek assistance in bolstering liquidity within Japan's crypto asset market. Taking to the X social media platform on Wednesday, Ryo Matsubara, director of Oasys, a GameFi blockchain, outlined that he had visited the LDP's digital society promotion headquarters on behalf of Japanese blockchain gaming projects to raise concerns about stringent regulations impeding liquidity in Japan, which directly impedes the growth of the GameFi ecosystem. Matsubara advocates for regulations that incentivize safe cryptocurrency investment, positing that increased liquidity, marked by a surge in buyers and sellers, could result from such measures. Oasys intends to continue collaborating with the government to enhance Japan's global competitiveness in the Web3 market, with Matsubara expressing confidence in Japan's potential to reclaim its illustrious gaming legacy on Web3. While Japan initially harbored skepticism toward crypto adoption, its stance has softened in recent times. Matsubara acknowledged the positive impact of a recent crypto-related tax reform which was enacted in December. In September 2023, the Japanese government commenced planning to permit startups to raise public funds through crypto asset issuance. That bill was approved last week and now goes forward to the Japanese parliament for further deliberation. These recent developments demonstrate that Japan is navigating regulatory complexities as it seeks to balance innovation with consumer protection in the burgeoning crypto space.

TRYB Emerges as Turkish Alternative to Dollar-Pegged StablecoinsIn a market typically dominated by dollar-backed stablecoins like Tether (USDT) and USD Coin (USDC), a new player has emerged in Turkey to operate alongside those dominant stablecoins.According to a report by CoinDesk on Friday, BiLira’s TRYB stablecoin, pegged to the Turkish lira (TRY), has rapidly climbed the ranks to become the world’s second-largest non-US dollar-pegged stablecoin. It currently trails Tether’s euro-pegged EURt, which according to Coingecko data, currently holds a market cap of $221 million. In just three weeks, TRYB has skyrocketed, quadrupling its market cap to $136.10 million.Photo by Oleksandr P on PexelsMarket cap volatilityHowever, TRYB's market cap had fallen off a cliff on Friday, dropping from $135 million earlier in the day to $40 million. TRYB, an Ethereum-based stablecoin, offers a unique proposition in that it is pegged to the Turkish lira, allowing users to exchange 1 TRYB for 1 TRY. The stablecoin offering, which is administered by Istanbul-based BiLira, is underpinned by 100% fiat reserves held in Turkish banks.The Turkish lira has earned its reputation as one of the most volatile fiat currencies globally, often experiencing fluctuations against the US dollar. Over the course of the last five years, the currency has lost 94% of its value when benchmarked against the performance of the US dollar.In response to this volatility, TRYB has found its purpose as a medium of exchange. It can act as a gateway to transition user’s Turkish lira into cryptocurrencies and vice versa. This trend aligns with the global use of stablecoins as the foundation of crypto trading pairs, providing traders with a stable asset while sidestepping fiat currency’s unpredictability.Exiting the liraThe US Federal Reserve acknowledged the significance of stablecoins in December 2022, highlighting their role in facilitating crypto trades, serving as collateral for crypto loans, and minimizing inefficiencies tied to fiat-to-crypto conversions. In fact, stablecoins account for over 80% of the trading volume on centralized exchanges, attesting to their pivotal role in the crypto ecosystem.It’s likely that the Lira-pegged stablecoin will act as a means to access other cryptocurrencies and US dollar-pegged stablecoins like USDT and USDC, rather than be considered as a rival or replacement. That’s by virtue of the ongoing difficulties of the Turkish sovereign currency which it tracks. So long as the lira continues to erode in terms of buying power, it’s likely that citizens will be looking for avenues to escape from that erosion of value.Increased interest in cryptoGiven this monetary backdrop in Turkey, it shouldn’t surprise anyone to learn that interest in crypto is on the rise. In a recent report published by Seychelles-based cryptocurrency exchange KuCoin earlier this week, a significant increase in the number of crypto investors in Turkey over the course of the past eighteen months has been identified.The report found that 52% of the adult Turkish population have participated in crypto-related investments. Over the past 18 months, the number of Turkish adults embracing crypto has risen to that 52% level from 40%.

Seychelles-incorporated crypto exchange platform Bitget recently released findings from a study on Bitcoin's upcoming halving, revealing that the vast majority of surveyed investors predict bitcoin will achieve a new all-time high (ATH) in 2024. Separately, other market commentators and analysts appear to be bullish on bitcoin ahead of the scheduled cut in Bitcoin mining rewards.Photo by Kanchanara on Unsplash84% anticipate new bitcoin ATHThe study, based on anonymized data from 9,748 participants worldwide, focused on investor perceptions surrounding the halving's impact on their investment decisions. 84% of participants anticipate a new ATH for bitcoin during the next bull run, with only East Europe showing a percentage lower than 80%. Over 50% predict bitcoin's price to be between $30,000 and $60,000 by the time the halving occurs in April. Meanwhile, 30% foresee the bitcoin unit price going higher than $60,000. Off the back of the data that has arisen via the study, Bitget managing director Gracy Chen suggested that it is indicative that 2024 will be a significant year for the bitcoin market. Crypto investment plansApproximately 70% express plans to increase their crypto investments, with the highest conviction in the Middle East and North Africa (MENA) and East Europe regions. Western European investors are characterized as "short-term cautious" and "long-term optimistic." In addition to the Bitget study, many market commentators appear to have arrived at a similar conclusion. In July of last year, Standard Chartered Bank forecasted a 2024 unit price for bitcoin of $120,000. The bank reaffirmed that view last month, going further still in stating that by 2025, it expected bitcoin to reach a price of $200,000, largely due to capital inflows into spot bitcoin exchange-traded funds (ETFs), which were approved in the United States in January. Broader market sentimentTaking to social media on Monday, crypto analyst Charles Edwards of Capriole Investments proposed a potential 500% price return for bitcoin if a bullish halving pattern plays out. Edwards envisions bitcoin reaching $280,000 in 2025. Like Standard Chartered, he cites the January bitcoin ETF launch as the driving force, likening it to a "second halving." He argues that major technological developments have historically seen quicker rates of adoption. Crypto trading analyst Michaël van de Poppe predicts a pre-halving surge to $48,000 and an eventual breakout toward an all-time high in Q3/Q4 of 2024. The next Bitcoin halving is expected in April 2024, historically associated with increased scarcity and subsequent price surges. Pseudonymous macroeconomist @Micro2Macr0 took to the X social media platform on Monday, stating:"Only 2.5 months till the #Bitcoin #Halving. The world is getting more unstable and you have the greatest hedge ever invented sitting in front of you. What are you waiting for?"  Meanwhile, "British HODL" warned that recent developments may result in a break from previous trading patterns. He stated:"Everyone says 12 months after the halving the shock starts for #Bitcoin price. . . . I think there is a high likelihood that the ETF’s change the cycle you’re expecting. Be aware of that.”