Top

Matrixport’s Market Sentiment Index Points Towards Bullish Momentum

Markets·August 15, 2023, 1:02 AM

Matrixport, the Singapore-headquartered digital asset financial services provider, has once again showcased its Bitcoin Greed & Fear Index in forecasting unit price trends relative to Bitcoin. The company has repeatedly pointed to trends indicated by the proprietary index, with its current signals on this occasion pointing towards a potential resurgence of bullish sentiment for Bitcoin (BTC).

 

Potential price resurgence

Recent data from Matrixport’s index demonstrates a notable shift from 30% to 60%, a significant rebound following July’s sharp decline from above 90%. This rebound has caught the attention of Markus Thielen, who serves as the Head of Research and Strategy at Matrixport. Thielen conveyed his thoughts on the current indications provided by the Index in a recent note to clients.

Thielen noted that the index appears to have reached its bottom, as the daily signal indicates an impending upward push. This tactical bullishness, following a four-week period of consolidation, raises the possibility of Bitcoin prices resuming their upward trajectory.

 

Historical data comparison

Drawing upon historical patterns, the index’s peaks and troughs, along with its 21-day simple moving average (SMA), have consistently aligned with shifts between bullish and bearish trends in Bitcoin’s value. Currently, the 21-day SMA shows signs of bottoming out, which further bolsters the argument for an upcoming resurgence of positive volatility in the Bitcoin market.

 

Gauging sentiment

At its core, the Greed & Fear Index serves as a gauge for investor sentiment within the cryptocurrency realm. When readings exceed 90%, they signify a state of greed or unwarranted optimism, whereas readings below 10% denote extreme fear or pessimism. These metrics hold a certain significance as they often coincide with market peaks marked by excessive optimism and bottoms marked by intense fear.

For the past several weeks, Bitcoin’s price movement has been subdued, oscillating within the range of $28,000 to $30,000. This stagnation has coincided with broader market volatility and anticipations of forthcoming interest rate cuts by the Federal Reserve in the early months of the upcoming year.

Analysts are pinpointing consideration by the US Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC) regarding the approval of a spot exchange-traded fund (ETF) as a pivotal catalyst for future price fluctuations given the world’s largest asset manager, BlackRock, has gotten involved. In a recent interview with Forbes, contributor Sam Lyman stated: “A lot of bitcoin ETFs have been filed in the last couple years — but none from an asset manager as high-profile and well connected as BlackRock.”

 

Not an exact science

Matrixport’s Bitcoin Greed & Fear Index stands as one individual tool which can be utilized in order to arrive at a forecast relative to Bitcoin pricing. Price forecasting is far from an exact science and while it is encouraging that the Index is pointing towards a potential bullish resurgence in Bitcoin’s price movement, market participants will need to remain mindful that markets by their very nature are unpredictable, particularly so when it comes to a nascent asset such as Bitcoin.

As the market watches the SEC’s deliberations relative to a Bitcoin ETF closely, the time ahead is likely to hold significant developments that could shape the future trajectory of Bitcoin’s value.

More to Read
View All
Policy & Regulation·

Aug 24, 2023

Celebrating a Decade of Crypto in South Korea: Experts Convene to Chart the Future

Celebrating a Decade of Crypto in South Korea: Experts Convene to Chart the FutureThe MK Virtual Asset Conference, an event held in Seoul yesterday to celebrate the 10th anniversary of South Korea’s cryptocurrency industry, convened experts, politicians, and stakeholders to discuss the future of blockchain and digital assets.The conference was hosted by Maeil Business Newspaper and its blockchain subsidiary Mblock, and sponsored by cryptocurrency exchange Korbit, the Korean Securities Association, and the Korea Derivatives Association. It served as a valuable opportunity to evaluate the current state of the crypto market and explore solutions for pressing challenges.Photo by Ciaran O’Brien on UnsplashInevitable rise of blockchainOne of the distinguished speakers at the event highlighted the inevitable rise of blockchain technology. Kim Yong-beom, CEO of Hashed Open Research, the research arm of Seoul-based crypto venture capital firm Hashed, said, “Blockchain is the antithesis of the modern financial and capital system. While traditional finance possesses its own merits, it also carries substantial transaction fees and is confined within national boundaries. It is only natural that such a counterforce has emerged to address these issues.”He continued, “Given that traditional finance properly responds to blockchain technology’s rise and overcomes its limits, blockchain may lose its competitive edge. However, if traditional finance fails to do so, blockchain will not be easily dismissed.”CEO Kim also highlighted the third section named “Blueprint for the Future Monetary System” of the Bank of International Settlements’ 2023 Annual Economic Report, which was published in June. The report states, “The BIS Innovation Hub, in partnership with central banks around the world, stands at the forefront of experimentation with CBDCs and tokenization.” According to Kim, the traditionally conservative financial institution, which had previously been skeptical about blockchain-based distributed ledger technology, has now shifted its position to be more accepting of blockchain.Importance of institutional investorsDuring the conference, an academic underscored the importance of allowing institutional investors to enter the virtual asset space. Kang Hyoung-goo, an assistant professor in the Department of Finance at Hanyang University Business School, pointed out that the crypto market, when primarily driven by retail investors, tends to favor volatile assets over stable ones. Due to this inclination, more individual investors are attracted to exchanges where speculative trading is a frequent occurrence. This dynamic creates a vicious cycle, he explained.Defining digital assetsOn a different note, Lee Han-jin, a lawyer at Kim and Chang, one of the largest law firms in the country, emphasized the crucial need to establish a legal definition of digital assets. In Lee’s view, digital assets exist in the form of data on the blockchain, setting them apart from traditional assets. He argued that without a legal definition outlining the nature of these assets, they could potentially devolve into entities that mislead the public, lacking both legal reliability and trustworthiness.Political voicesPoliticians also took the stage to share their thoughts. Back Hye-ryun, a Democratic Party of Korea member, expressed in her congratulatory speech her commitment to protecting virtual asset users through legislation. Kim Jong-min, another lawmaker from the same party, underscored the unstoppable nature of the blockchain trend. Yun Chang-hyun, a lawmaker of the ruling People Power Party, mentioned that while Bitcoin couldn’t establish itself as a key currency in an anarchic manner, stablecoins and central bank digital currencies (CBDCs) are now positioned to fill that role.Regulatory considerationsMeanwhile, Kim So-young, Vice Chairman of the Financial Services Commission, stressed the ongoing uncertainty surrounding the societal impact of cryptocurrencies and how governments should oversee them. He emphasized that the Korean government aims to establish a balanced framework to facilitate the responsible development of digital assets. Furthermore, he highlighted the necessity of collaborating with major economies due to the global nature of virtual assets.

news
Web3 & Enterprise·

Aug 22, 2025

Circle President visits Seoul for stablecoin talks with exchanges and central bank

Circle President Heath Tarbert, who oversees the issuer of the USDC stablecoin, arrived in Seoul on Aug. 21 for a series of meetings with South Korean cryptocurrency and blockchain industry leaders, as well as the governor of the country’s central bank. Citing industry sources, local outlet Newsis reported Tarbert visited three major exchanges, Upbit, Bithumb and Coinone, shortly after landing, spending roughly an hour at each. Discussions centered on recent developments in Korea’s digital asset ecosystem.Photo by Daniel Bernard on UnsplashGathering insight from exchangesThe trip underscores Circle’s growing interest in South Korea, one of the world’s largest crypto markets by trading volume despite its heavy tilt toward retail investors. Circle is reportedly seeking on-the-ground insight from local trading platforms. An executive from a research firm said the market offers an attractive foothold for global players looking to deepen networks. Previous reports indicated Circle has also begun informally recruiting in South Korea to support initiatives tailored to the local market, and the company is also weighing a direct investment in a domestic crypto firm. Homing in on stablecoinsStablecoins are expected to dominate the agenda with exchanges. USDC is the world’s second-largest stablecoin by market share, behind Tether’s USDT, and all three exchanges already support USDC trading. Upbit and Bithumb have meanwhile indicated their plans to develop Korean won–pegged tokens, recently filing trademark applications for their projects. Given Circle’s position in the sector, one exchange official said local platforms may look to the U.S.-based company as a benchmark, adding that practical knowledge-sharing could be the most meaningful outcome of Tarbert’s visit. Tarbert also attended a dinner with Simon Seojoon Kim, CEO of crypto venture firm Hashed, whose teams span Seoul, Singapore, Bengaluru, Silicon Valley and Abu Dhabi. Circle and Hashed have been in frequent contact, and the gathering offered another forum to exchange views on recent market developments. Talks with the central bank governorOn the policy front, Tarbert met with Bank of Korea (BOK) Governor Rhee Chang-yong at Circle’s request before the dinner. Rhee has signaled openness to the introduction of won-backed stablecoins, while emphasizing prudential safeguards and noting differences with some lawmakers on potential issuers. The BOK head has previously warned that allowing non-bank entities to issue won-backed stablecoins could pose risks, such as circumventing capital rules. The South Korean central bank is working with other agencies to develop a framework that ensures the stability and utility of stablecoins while preventing their use to bypass foreign exchange controls. The meeting between Tarbert and Governor Rhee likely covered regulatory parameters for cross-border remittances using stablecoins and avenues for public-private collaboration to foster a compliant won-stablecoin market. On the following day, Tarbert is slated to meet executives from four major financial groups: Shinhan Financial Group, Hana Financial Group, KB Financial Group and Woori Bank. Kakao Group, the company behind the KakaoTalk messaging app, is also on the itinerary. Representatives from its mobile payment platform, KakaoPay, are expected to take part in the discussions. The talks come as Kakao recently formed a task force to navigate Korea’s evolving stablecoin rules. Separately, Circle listed on the New York Stock Exchange (NYSE) earlier this year under the ticker “CRCL.” The initial public offering (IPO) priced at $31 a share and opened at $69, raising nearly $1.1 billion. As of Aug. 21, the stock closed at $131.80. 

news
Policy & Regulation·

Oct 17, 2023

Bhutan Launches Blockchain-Based National ID System

Bhutan Launches Blockchain-Based National ID SystemBhutan, the Buddhist kingdom nestled along the eastern edge of the Himalayas, has introduced a blockchain-based National Digital Identity (NDI) system.Photo by Aaron Santelices on UnsplashDisrupting the delivery of government servicesThe blockchain-based cryptographic identity platform has the potential to revolutionize the way Bhutanese citizens access government services and conduct digital transactions. According to local Bhutanese media source BBS, the system was launched last week, giving Bhutanese citizens the opportunity to download the Bhutan NDI application directly to their mobile devices.The user-friendly application promises a seamless experience, marked by a straightforward login process. Once registered, citizens will gain access to an array of government services. These will include construction approvals, land taxes, passport services, birth and death registration certificates, as well as Royal University of Bhutan degree certificates and various business-related services, all within the confines of their digital wallets.Digital wallet alongside digital identityNotably, the development could have major implications where the future use of digital currency in Bhutan is concerned. The NDI is not just a digital identity but a digital wallet.That means that users have the option to link their bank accounts to the NDI app, facilitating financial transactions without the need to switch between multiple apps. As of now, the Bank of Bhutan is the first financial institution to integrate with the NDI app.The Royal Monetary Authority of Bhutan (RMA) entered into a collaboration with enterprise blockchain firm Ripple Labs in September 2021 to develop and trial central bank digital currency (CBDC).Streamlining service deliveryThe GovTech Agency, the driving force behind the NDI project, envisions that this digital innovation will streamline and simplify the often arduous process of interacting with government agencies. Jigme Tenzing, the Acting Secretary of the GovTech Agency, explained the transformative potential, stating:“So, essentially what this enables for Bhutan is the ability to take almost all services and make them available online. This can virtually transform how services are provided in Bhutan. This is regarded as not only services that the government provides to citizens, but it can extend to even the private sector.”Some concerns have been raised with regard to this consolidation of personal information within a single platform. The GovTech Agency has responded by emphasizing the incorporation of biometric data, including fingerprint and facial recognition, to enhance identity verification and authentication. It feels that these measures are sufficient to safeguard data privacy.Crypto investmentThere had been little in the way of news emerging from the South Asian country where decentralized technology was concerned until earlier this year when it became known that the kingdom had been an investor on the failed crypto lender platforms of Celsius and BlockFi.It had done so through Druk Holdings and Investments (DHI), the commercial arm of the Royal Government of Bhutan. In May it emerged that DHI had entered into a partnership with Singapore-based Bitcoin mining firm Bitdeer, with the intention of developing green digital asset mining operations within the country.The National Digital Identity Act of Bhutan 2023 received Royal Assent in July, solidifying Bhutan’s status as the first sovereign nation to implement a comprehensive decentralized identity framework.

news
Loading