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Cebu Meeting of FSB Highlights Crypto Risks

Policy & Regulation·May 22, 2023, 12:35 AM

The Regional Consultative Group for Asia of the Financial Stability Board (FSB) has highlighted the risks implicated by crypto assets in a series of meetings held on Thursday and Friday in Cebu, the Philippines.

The FSB is an international body with a mandate to monitor the global financial system, as well as make recommendations in respect of that system. The agency was established by the G20 group of countries in April 2009, replacing its forerunner, the Financial Stability Forum.

Photo by John Alvin Merin on Unsplash

 

A regulatory framework for crypto

The two-day event focused on non-bank financial intermediation (NBFI) in Asia and the development of an effective global regulatory framework for crypto-assets. It discussed recent developments in financial markets, together with their regional impact.

In opening remarks, Philippine Central Bank Governor, Felipe Medalla, stated: “Crypto, the biggest issue there is, whether we like it or not is quite a lot, especially younger people who are actually gambling. They have huge losses, our view right now. Well, you’re there, it’s your problem and the regulation becomes strict the moment crypto meets banking.”

International participants highlighted the need for the development of an effective global regulatory framework for crypto-assets. Particular concern exists with regard to the potential for systemic risk in relation to crypto and a potential overflow into the traditional financial system.

Earlier this year, the FSB proposed a complete regulatory framework for cryptocurrencies, with the report having been originally submitted in October of last year. Among its key components is the imposition of tighter controls. It proposed the guiding principle of “same activity, same risk, same regulation” for crypto assets, mirroring the approach taken for traditional financial assets.

 

Global approach to taming crypto

This approach has proven to be problematic for people working within the digital assets space. Many of the core facets of cryptocurrencies are entirely different to anything we see in traditional finance. Trying to frame crypto within an existing approach and standard has been perceived by many to be akin to trying to fit a square peg in a round hole.

It’s not the FSB's role or place to affect policy directly. That responsibility lies with policymakers and regulators in each individual country. However, the organization is seeking to influence those individuals and entities in the hope that they will employ its suggested regulatory framework.

Klaas Knot, Chair of the FSB and President of the Dutch Central Bank, provided this view on crypto: “We will come up with a global regulatory framework. It also only makes sense to regulate this from a global perspective. Because, nowadays you can take a server and put it anywhere in the world and start issuing these digital assets.”

From Knot’s take, it’s clear that governments and central bankers are cottoning on to the fact that individual nation-state regulation is futile to an extent where decentralized innovations like cryptocurrency are concerned. Others such as European Central Bank (ECB) President Christine Lagarde and Mark Branson, President of German financial markets regulator BaFin, similarly have called for a globally enforced regulatory approach over the course of the past year.

 

Ongoing struggle

While regulation can be helpful, particularly when it comes to the points at which crypto meets the traditional system, there’s no doubt that this emerging innovation will disrupt the conventional system to some degree or other. That may place an incentive before central bankers and governments to try and stymie the further development of digital assets.

While a truly global approach to regulating digital assets could retard development of the sector, there is rarely total consensus among world governments on a single issue. Therefore, by its very nature, crypto, and the digital assets sector will likely continue to develop regardless. It’s more a question of how long that process takes.

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Markets·

Dec 07, 2023

Market speculates on Qatari investment driving bitcoin price surge

Market speculates on Qatari investment driving bitcoin price surgeRumors are circulating within the cryptocurrency space that Qatar’s sovereign wealth fund may have dabbled in investing in bitcoin, leading to the recent surge in the bitcoin unit price.Such a move, while still an unconfirmed speculation, would be indicative of the increasing recognition of Bitcoin as a mainstream asset class. At the time of writing, bitcoin stands at $44,000. That represents a 16% increase over the space of the past week and a 166% increase since the beginning of the year.Photo by Yiğit Ali Atasoy on UnsplashKeiser’s claimAccording to outspoken Bitcoin advocate Max Keiser, Qatar’s sovereign wealth fund (QSWF), responsible for managing the nation’s significant oil and gas-generated wealth, is considering allocating up to $500 billion to the leading cryptocurrency.To provide context, this investment would eclipse the publicly disclosed bitcoin holdings of MicroStrategy, founded by Michael Saylor, by an astonishing 671 times. MicroStrategy currently holds the position of the largest corporate holder of Bitcoin, with 174,530 BTC acquired in November.Keiser speculates that the QSWF’s monumental investment could propel bitcoin’s price to new highs, reaching $100,000. Keiser tweeted:“The God Candle, a $100,000 uptick in #Bitcoin is in play. It will shift the global axis of wealth and power in 1 tick.”Custodia Bank Founder and CEO Caitlin Long shared a similar view on the X social media platform on Wednesday, pointing out that in September the Emir of Qatar had visited El Salvador and met with President Nayib Bukele. The inference is that it would have been an interest in bitcoin that may have provided the motivation for that visit, given that Bukele and El Salvador have adopted bitcoin as a sovereign currency.However, not everyone is on board with this theory. Some have pointed out that the assertion that the QSWF will invest $500 billion into bitcoin is impossible, given that the fund has $475 billion under management.Bitcoin advocate Luke Broyles weighed in on the rumor, emphasizing the crucial interplay between bitcoin’s supply and demand. Broyles highlighted the $76 billion worth of BTC still available on crypto exchanges, underscoring the fundamental principle of bitcoin’s fixed supply. According to Broyles, any substantial investment would inevitably drive prices higher.However, Broyles remains skeptical of the Qatar news, deeming it a rumor, and expressed shock if it proves remotely true. That view has led many back to the original speculation in relation to this most recent price action, the illusive bitcoin spot exchange-traded fund (ETF) approval in the United States.Some activity in recent days has suggested that BlackRock, the world’s largest fund manager, has been doing preparatory work for the launch of its iShares Bitcoin Trust ETF. Not everyone was positive on the topic of Bitcoin on Wednesday, however. Jamie Dimon, the CEO of JPMorgan Chase, testified before the U.S. Congress on Wednesday, stating “If I were the government I’d close [Bitcoin] down.”

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Web3 & Enterprise·

Nov 29, 2023

Dunamu reports Q3 slump amid interest rate hikes and economic slowdown

Dunamu reports Q3 slump amid interest rate hikes and economic slowdownDunamu, the operator of South Korea’s largest cryptocurrency exchange Upbit, posted a lackluster performance in this year’s Q3 due to a decrease in trading volume caused by ongoing interest rate hikes and an economic downturn.Photo by Алекс Арцибашев on UnsplashLagging performanceAccording to the Financial Supervisory Service (FSS), Dunamu’s consolidated operating revenue in Q3 was KRW 193 billion (approximately $150 million), marking a 29% decrease from the same period a year earlier (KRW 271.9 billion). Operating income came in at KRW 101.8 billion, and net profit was KRW 29.5 billion, down 39.6% and 81.6% from the same period last year, respectively.This underwhelming financial performance reflects the sluggish crypto market amid the nation’s economic downturn and the U.S. Federal Reserve’s interest rate hikes. The decrease in the exchange’s net profit in particular can be attributed to a loss in the valuation of crypto assets due to crypto price declines compared to the previous quarter.Positive outlookHowever, with the expected approval of the spot bitcoin exchange-traded fund (ETF) next year and the next Bitcoin halving, the market outlook is expected to improve gradually. Despite the current market conditions, Dunamu plans to continuously promote the mainstream adoption of blockchain services and explore new business ventures.“We will make efforts to revitalize the blockchain ecosystem and create an advanced investment environment,” Dunamu said. “We will strive to offer innovative services building on our unique technological capabilities.”

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Markets·

Jun 30, 2023

Survey Reveals 45.9% of Korean Crypto Investors Reporting Losses

Survey Reveals 45.9% of Korean Crypto Investors Reporting LossesAccording to a recent survey, more than half of South Korean adults have experience of owning cryptocurrency. Most of them bought crypto for investment purposes, with 33% of respondents making gains and 45.9% losing money.Photo by RDNE Stock project on Pexels2,500 respondentsThe Korea Financial Consumers Protection Foundation, a public research and education institute, conducted an online survey to assess the prevalence and trends of cryptocurrency ownership among South Koreans. The study, conducted between March 3 and March 24, 2023, encompassed 2,500 participants between the ages of 20 and 69 residing in Seoul, its suburbs, and the six major metropolitan areas. The results shed light on the crypto landscape, including ownership patterns, investment purposes, asset holdings, funding sources, and the future intentions of respondents.Crypto ownership trendsAccording to the survey, 30% of the participants currently own cryptocurrency, while 23% revealed they had previously owned crypto assets but no longer possess them, indicating that more than half of the respondents have had exposure to cryptocurrencies at some point in their lives.Among current crypto holders, 74.5% stated that they had acquired their first digital assets between 2020 and 2022, which suggests a surge in crypto purchases during the COVID pandemic period.Purpose of holding cryptoRegarding the purpose of holding crypto, 80.9% of respondents who either currently own or have previous experience owning cryptocurrency (representing approximately 43% of all participants) cited investment as their primary motivation. Furthermore, 17.4% viewed crypto as a trading instrument, while 17.8% held it for specific service utilization. (Individuals were allowed to choose multiple options.) From this result, the authors estimated that around 24.2% of all respondents currently hold crypto for investment purposes.The survey revealed the distribution of virtual asset holdings among respondents, with the values quoted in Korean Won (KRW). Among the participants, 21.5% owned less than 1 million KRW ($760), while 45.8% held more than 1 million KRW ($760) but less than 10 million KRW ($7,600). Additionally, 28.8% possessed between 10 million KRW ($7,600) and 100 million KRW ($76,000), and 3.9% held more than 100 million KRW ($76,000) in crypto assets.Funding sourcesWhen asked about the sources of funds used to purchase virtual assets, 82.5% of individuals with previous crypto ownership experiences mentioned utilizing spare funds from deposits or other sources. Meanwhile, 17.7% disclosed that they had liquidated other assets, such as stocks or real estate, to invest in cryptocurrencies. (Individuals were allowed to choose multiple options.) In addition, 7.8% of respondents acknowledged borrowing from acquaintances, with a higher rate of 11.8% among those in their 20s. The proportion of respondents who borrowed from loans was 6.2%.Among those who borrowed funds to invest in crypto, 47.6% are currently facing difficulties in repaying their loans, while 28.6% experienced repayment challenges in the past. This data suggests that a significant portion of individuals who borrowed to purchase cryptocurrencies encounter difficulties in loan repayment.Regarding the financial institutions from which respondents borrowed, 57.1% borrowed from the banking sector, while the remaining 42.9% obtained funds from non-banking entities. Encouragingly, no respondents reported borrowing from loan sharks.Cumulative returnsRegarding the cumulative returns on crypto assets, 33% of respondents who currently hold crypto reported gains, with an average cumulative return of 25%. Conversely, 45.9% reported losses, experiencing an average cumulative loss of 41.5%.When liquidating their crypto assets, 24.7% of traders made a profit, while 47.9% incurred losses. The data reveals that the proportion of individuals who suffered losses in their crypto investments was nearly twice as high as those who reported gains. Furthermore, higher age groups exhibited a higher percentage of losses compared to younger respondents. Among those who profited, the average return was 38.4%, while those who suffered losses reported an average loss of 37.5%.Future intentionsThe survey also inquired about the future intentions of respondents regarding their crypto holdings. Among current crypto holders, 80.8% expressed their intention to continue holding crypto assets. On the other hand, among those who do not currently own any crypto assets, 72.8% stated that they do not plan to purchase cryptocurrencies in the future.

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