Top

The coming crypto bull run ‘an Asian story’

Markets·January 09, 2024, 3:10 AM

Australian venture capitalist and founder of MHC Digital Group, Mark Carnegie, is optimistic about bitcoin's potential for a bullish trend, while believing that Asia will be the real force driving the market beyond the exchange-traded fund (ETF) approval hype in the United States.

https://asset.coinness.com/en/news/6239144835d133a8fbb76cee833e2a90.jpg
Photo by Hans Eiskonen on Unsplash

$50,000 bitcoin retest

In a recent interview with CNBC, Carnegie expressed his belief that bitcoin is "clearly primed for a bit of a run and a retest to $50,000." The bitcoin unit price stood at around $43,600 at the time of the interview. At the time of writing, it’s weighing in at $46,773. While there’s likely to be considerable resistance in the leading cryptocurrency getting past the psychologically important $50,000 level, the digital asset is certainly heading in the direction that Carnegie had predicted.

 

Looking ahead, Carnegie shared his short-to-medium-term outlook, stating:

"So my feeling is short term, long, medium term, which is, you know, 30 to 90 days, probably a retrace." This suggests that Carnegie anticipates a positive trajectory for bitcoin in the coming months, likely as an initial response to a spot bitcoin ETF approval in the U.S.

 

Last week a report from Singapore-based digital asset financial services firm Matrixport speculated that spot bitcoin ETF applications would be rejected as they have been over the past few years.

 

Market risk factors

However, he also voiced concerns about the current state of the U.S. equity markets and potential recession indicators.

 

Reflecting on the recent miss on payrolls, Carnegie commented:

"I feel like that miss on payrolls last week makes me feel like there's a big flip. And everyone's going to start panicking about a recession."

 

Despite the uncertainty in traditional markets, Carnegie remains optimistic about bitcoin's performance. When asked about the specific impact on cryptocurrencies, he admitted, "How's that going to affect crypto? I don't really know."

 

In a blog post published last Friday, Arthur Hayes, the CIO of Hong Kong-based family office Maelstrom, similarly points to market turbulence in the short to medium term while remaining bullish on bitcoin over the longer term.

 

An Asia-powered bull run

Carnegie highlighted the influence of spot bitcoin ETFs and suggested inflows, noting that there are more net flows from Asia than the U.S. He stated:

“You could easily see $50 - $100 billion in net new flow out of Asia this year, and if that happens..!”

 

He mentioned the anticipation of approximately $5 billion waiting to come into the U.S., characterizing it as substantial but perhaps not as impactful as expected in the short term. "It's an Asian story this time round,” Carnegie claimed.

 

Carnegie also expressed a preference for bitcoin over Ethereum in the current financial landscape. He stated:

"Bitcoin feels more solid to me at the moment. So on a relative basis, I can talk like I can talk to you. I feel like for the next little while, Bitcoin feels better to me than Ethereum."

 

Mark Carnegie's positive outlook on bitcoin's potential rally to $50,000 aligns with his preference for bitcoin over Ethereum in the current market conditions, despite concerns about the broader economic landscape.

 

 

More to Read
View All
Web3 & Enterprise·

Mar 06, 2024

Nexo gets on regulatory ladder in Dubai with initial approval

Nexo DWTC, the Dubai arm of the well-known crypto lender, has obtained initial licensing approval from Dubai’s Virtual Assets Regulatory Authority (VARA), marking a significant milestone in the company’s growth and development.Photo by Carlos Alberto Gómez Iñiguez on UnsplashLending, borrowing and broker-dealer activitiesThe approval grants Nexo the authorization to engage in virtual asset lending and borrowing, management and investment relative to digital assets, together with broker-dealer activities within the region. Commenting on the development, Nexo Managing Partner, CFO and Co-Founder Kalin Metodiev, stated:”Nexo is enthusiastic about the pursuit of new market strategies aligned with the transformative guidance of Dubai's Virtual Asset Regulatory Authority." The United Arab Emirates (UAE) has played a pivotal role in promoting the region as a nucleus for global innovation and governance. Dubai's early adoption of blockchain strategies in 2016 and the establishment of VARA in 2022 underscore its commitment to emerging as a global epicenter for digital asset innovation. This initiative mirrors the city's longstanding influence in the traditional finance sector. Seven million worldwide usersFor Nexo, which caters to over 7 million users worldwide, the Dubai market represents a substantial opportunity for regional expansion and the delivery of premium services. Nexo is cementing its position as a leading digital assets institution. However, it hasn’t always been easy for the company. Amidst the broader cryptocurrency downturn post the 2021 market peak, Nexo faced significant challenges. In 2022 prominent crypto lenders faced bankruptcy, drawing heightened scrutiny towards Nexo given its involvement in similar business activities. This prompted speculations about the platform's sustainability. Additionally, Nexo grappled with regulatory pressures, notably agreeing to a $45 million settlement with the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC) for failure to register the offer and sale of its Earn Interest Product (EIP). It also faced money laundering charges in its home base of Bulgaria. These charges were later dropped. Subsequently, the company pursued $3 billion in damages from the Bulgarian state, refuting allegations that brought disrepute to the company following an investigation that found no evidence against it. Reflective of a more positive outlook more recently, Nexo Co-Founder Antoni Trenchev took to CNBC on March 1, offering his prediction that Bitcoin is on target for a $100,000 unit price in the not-too-distant future. VARA, established in March 2022 following the enactment of Law No.4 of 2022, assumes the responsibility of regulating, supervising and overseeing virtual assets and virtual asset activities across all zones in the Emirate of Dubai, excluding the Dubai International Financial Centre. VARA's pivotal role in crafting an advanced legal framework is geared towards safeguarding investors, setting international standards for virtual asset industry governance and bolstering the vision of a borderless economy. Nexo's attainment of initial approval from VARA signifies a major breakthrough in its expansion efforts, underscoring its commitment to compliance and innovation in the digital asset space. This achievement positions the company as one of the few crypto lenders making inroads into the influential Dubai market. 

news
Policy & Regulation·

Sep 11, 2025

Vietnam launches five-year pilot to regulate crypto asset trading

Vietnam has launched a five-year pilot program imposing stringent new rules on the cryptocurrency industry, signaling a move toward tighter control over the rapidly growing sector. According to a Sept. 9 report from the Government Electronic Newspaper, cited by Cointelegraph, the resolution put the regulatory framework into immediate effect. The move aims to establish clear rules for the trading and issuance of crypto assets in the country.Photo by Silver Ringvee on UnsplashLocal currency and licensing requirementsUnder the new pilot program, all crypto transactions must be conducted in the local currency, the Vietnamese dong. The rules stipulate that only Vietnamese-registered enterprises may issue digital assets, while foreign investors can access them only through crypto asset service providers (CASPs) licensed by the Ministry of Finance. Firms seeking a license face high barriers to entry. Applicants must demonstrate profitable business operations for the two consecutive years preceding their application. Furthermore, CASPs are required to maintain a minimum capital of 10 trillion dong (approximately $379 million). The pilot also places firm restrictions on the nature of crypto assets themselves. They must be backed exclusively by real, tangible assets. The issuance of assets backed by fiat currencies or securities is prohibited. Broader legal contextThis pilot program follows the country's decision in June to officially legalize digital assets, with the new law set to take effect on Jan. 1, 2026. The legislation categorizes digital assets into two types: virtual assets, used for exchange or investment, and crypto assets, which rely on encryption for validation. The law clarifies that neither category includes securities, digital representations of fiat currency, or other financial instruments already defined under existing civil and financial laws. The framework also mandates that regulatory agencies implement robust measures to ensure cybersecurity and combat money laundering and terrorism financing. High adoption and tech initiativesThe government's focus on regulation comes as no surprise, given Vietnam's position as a global leader in cryptocurrency adoption. A recent study by Chainalysis ranked Vietnam fourth in its 2025 Global Crypto Adoption Index, highlighting widespread grassroots activity across both centralized and decentralized platforms, similar to trends seen in India and Pakistan. Beyond regulation, Vietnam is actively leveraging blockchain technology for national infrastructure. The government has deployed NDAChain, a national blockchain platform designed to authenticate and trace data origins. Developed by the National Data Association, it aims to provide a decentralized layer of trust for critical systems in e-government, finance, healthcare, and education, addressing the vulnerabilities of centralized data models. Hanoi's crypto ambitions also extend beyond its borders. Last month, Vietnam's Military Bank signed a memorandum of understanding (MOU) with Dunamu, the operator of South Korea’s largest crypto exchange, Upbit. The partnership is aimed at developing Vietnam’s financial landscape, with Dunamu providing expertise on establishing a crypto exchange, building a regulatory framework, and implementing investor protection measures. 

news
Policy & Regulation·

Oct 04, 2023

Binance Collaborates with Thai Police to Bust $277 Million Crypto Scam

Binance Collaborates with Thai Police to Bust $277 Million Crypto ScamIn a crackdown on cryptocurrency-related crime, Binance, the world’s largest global exchange, has partnered with Thailand’s Royal Thai Police to aid them in dismantling a major criminal network behind a crypto scam.Photo by Dan Freeman on UnsplashOperation “Trust No One”According to a blog post published by the exchange, the operation, code-named “Trust No One,” has not only resulted in the arrest of five key members of the syndicate but has also seized assets worth a staggering $277 million. Importantly, the operation is likely to offer restitution opportunities for more than 3,200 victims.Binance collaborated closely with the Cyber Crime Investigation Bureau (CCIB) and the United States’ Homeland Security Investigations (HSI) to combat these illicit activities. Police Lieutenant Colonel Thanatus Kangruambutr, an inspector at CCIB, expressed his appreciation for Binance’s involvement, underscoring the exchange’s role in the fight against scams and cybercrimes.Successful collaborationsTigran Gambaryan, Binance’s Head of Financial Crime Compliance, reaffirmed the exchange’s commitment to partnering with authorities worldwide to restore trust in the digital asset ecosystem. This operation adds to Binance’s growing list of successful collaborations in its efforts to combat crypto-related crimes, following the recovery and freezing of $450,000 in stolen assets linked to the Curve Finance hack in 2022.In a separate case, Binance’s investigative team played a pivotal role in exposing a major cryptocurrency scam orchestrated by an extensive network of international criminal organizations. This investigation resulted in the arrest of suspects across 30 different locations in Bangkok and the provinces of Samut Prakan and Udon Thani. Binance provided critical information that facilitated these arrests, even sending an investigator to Thailand to support the process of obtaining arrest warrants.This collaborative effort empowered the Royal Thai Police to confiscate illicit assets, which included 16 opulent residences, 12 high-end vehicles, and 16 million Thai Baht (approximately $440,000) in cash.Notably, Binance’s proactive cooperation with law enforcement agencies has yielded an impressive average response time of just three days, surpassing the customary response times of traditional financial institutions. Taking to X (formerly Twitter), the company stated: “Our recent support helped [the Royal Thai Police] to conclude two separate investigations, leading to the arrests of criminals behind major crypto scams.”Ongoing issueCryptocurrency scams have been on the rise in Thailand, posing a substantial financial threat to its residents. Last month Thai authorities detained five foreigners due to their involvement in a $76 million crypto-related scam.In August, Thailand’s Ministry of Digital Economy and Society (MDES) issued Meta (the company behind Facebook) with a warning due to what it deemed to be an inadequate response by the social media giant in Thailand to the prevalence of crypto-related fraudulent ads on the platform.Binance has been active in collaborating with law enforcement in various jurisdictions to combat crypto-related crime. Over the last three years, the exchange has actively cooperated with and provided assistance in more than 103,000 law enforcement investigations worldwide.Although Thailand has witnessed a surge in cryptocurrency-related scams, the collaborative efforts between the Royal Thai Police and Binance serve as a commendable model for addressing these challenges going forward.

news
Loading