Japanese Startup Drives Asian Digital Payment Network Initiative

In a recent report, Singaporean digital asset financial services firm Matrixport has made a bold forecast regarding the future of bitcoin prices and the potential rejection of spot bitcoin ETFs by the Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC) in the United States.Photo by André François McKenzie on UnsplashMinority viewWhile most ETF and crypto industry analysts in recent weeks have been suggesting a greater than 90% chance of the imminent approval of a spot bitcoin ETF coming from the SEC, Matrixport has had its say, speculating that the regulator will once again reject all such applications. In a note published to its website on Wednesday, the firm stated:”The current five-person voting Commissioners leadership critical for the ETF approval of the SEC is dominated by Democrats. SEC Chair Gensler is not embracing crypto in the U.S., and it might even be a very long shot to expect that he would vote to approve bitcoin spot ETFs.” The report emphasizes the dominant influence of Democratic leadership within the SEC, particularly Chairman Gary Gensler's cautious approach to crypto regulation. The Democrat-led administration in the United States has been decidedly anti-crypto in its policies throughout the ongoing term of U.S. President Joe Biden. Matrixport also suggests a potential delay in ETF approvals until Q2 2024, dampening hopes of an imminent market boost. Potential bitcoin price slumpShould the company be right in that speculation, it extrapolates that this turn of events will potentially lead to a substantial decline in bitcoin's value, with the bitcoin unit price possibly dropping to as low as $36,000. This revelation has sent shock waves through the market, prompting Matrixport to advise investors to take protective measures. The recommended strategies include purchasing put options or engaging in direct shorting of bitcoin to mitigate potential losses. With an ominous Jan. 5, 2024 deadline looming, traders could decide to hedge their long exposure by purchasing $40,000 strike put options expiring at the end of January or opting for outright short positions through options. Matrixport's report challenges the previously optimistic expectations surrounding bitcoin's future, highlighting the SEC's likely rejection of spot ETFs as a significant factor. Despite the platform's earlier bullish stance, it now expresses skepticism about the SEC's willingness to embrace cryptocurrencies. The firm contends that the current influx of funds into crypto, driven by expectations of ETF approval, could result in significant liquidations if the SEC denies the proposals. The report estimates that about $10 billion of the $14 billion additional investments might be linked to optimistic ETF prospects. Notably, Matrixport foresees a rapid 20% decline in bitcoin's price, reverting to a range of around $36,000 to $38,000 should the SEC reject the ETFs. Positive long-term outlookDespite the potential setback with the SEC, Matrixport maintains a positive long-term outlook for bitcoin, expecting the BTC price to end 2024 above the $42,000 mark, where it started the year. The analysis also considers historical trends in U.S. election years and bitcoin mining cycles for the potential rally. At the time of writing, the bitcoin unit price is down 4.75% over the course of the past 24 hours, now standing at $42,838. Investors are closely monitoring the upcoming SEC decision and may well be heeding Matrixport's advice to navigate potential market volatility.  

South Korea Reveals Guidelines for Public Officials’ Virtual Asset DisclosureSouth Korea’s high-ranking government officials will soon be obliged to divulge specific information regarding their virtual asset holdings, including types and quantities, as part of their wealth declaration process. The Ministry of Personnel Management (MPM) issued a press release yesterday, announcing revisions to the Enforcement Decree of the Public Service Ethics Act. These amendments are slated to come into effect on December 14.Photo by Chris Boland on UnsplashIn addition, officials holding positions of rank one or higher will be required to disclose the methods through which they acquired their virtual assets. They must also furnish documentation of transaction records for a period of one year.These amendments to the decree come in the wake of the revised Public Service Ethics Act, which was passed in May. The primary aim of this act is to make it obligatory for government employees to declare their virtual asset holdings. The changes to the decree can be summarized into five main points.Types and amountsFirst, officials obligated to disclose their wealth must report the types and amounts of virtual assets. The prices of virtual assets traded on Upbit, Bithumb, Coinone, and Korbit — all virtual asset service providers (VASPs) designated by the Commissioner of the National Tax Service — are required to be reported using the average daily price observed on the reporting day. As for other assets, their values should align with their most recent market prices. In cases where determining these prices is not feasible, they should be reported at reasonable values that reflect transaction prices.Acquisition methodsSecond, high-level public officials must explain how they acquired virtual assets. Under the existing regulation, officials are obligated to reveal both the date and method of acquisition, along with the source of funds. However, following the adoption of the updated decree, they will also be required to provide analogous information for virtual assets.Year-long transaction historyThird, comprehensive guidelines will be established to outline the process of reporting virtual asset transaction history records. Officials subject to the disclosure requirement must divulge all virtual asset transactions conducted within the past year, even if they do not possess such assets on the day of reporting. They are obligated to furnish documentation prepared by VASPs.Officials and their family membersFourth, officials are required to permit VASPs and other relevant institutions to provide the Government Ethics Committee with information on virtual asset holdings owned by both themselves and their family members. This will be facilitated through the inclusion of virtual assets in the existing information provision agreement, similar to the approach applied to other types of assets such as real estate.Addressing conflict of interestLastly, the revised decree could potentially impose restrictions on certain public officials with regard to possessing virtual assets, especially when their responsibilities encompass tasks like formulating relevant policies, granting approval for virtual assets, and overseeing taxation matters related to them. The outcomes of these restrictions will be reported on an annual basis to the Government Ethics Committee.In a briefing regarding this development, MPM Vice Minister Lee In-ho underscored the significance of the amended decree as the regulatory framework for enforcing the requirement of public officials to declare their virtual assets. He highlighted the Korean government’s commitment to ensuring that public servants adhere to accurate reporting practices concerning virtual assets, thereby preventing unlawful accumulation of wealth.

The United Arab Emirates (UAE) is updating its tax policy such that cryptocurrency-related transfers and conversions will be exempt from value-added tax (VAT).  News of the policy change emerged via the UAE’s Federal Tax Authority (FTA), which published an Arabic version of the updated tax code on Oct. 2, followed by the publication of an English version on Oct. 4.Photo by Darcey Beau on UnsplashExemption backdated to 2018British multinational consulting firm PricewaterhouseCoopers (PwC) published a review of the UAE tax code update on Oct. 4. The auditing firm noted that virtual assets are defined within the UAE tax code as a “representation of value that can be digitally traded or converted and can be used for investment purposes.”It noted that Article 42 of the update dealt with the crypto VAT exemption. The firm suggested that entities dealing with crypto should “analyze the impact of the exemption on their (retrospective) VAT position, especially in respect to their input tax recovery,” adding that voluntary disclosures may be required to correct previous tax returns. Additionally, a VAT exemption has been introduced on services extended to fund managers relative to licensed funds. Younis Haji Al Khoori, a UAE Ministry of Finance official, stated that the amendments have been made with a view towards easing the burden on businesses. He stated:“These amendments help minimise misunderstandings, simplify procedures, and ultimately contribute to an improved quality of life for all.”  Crypto-friendlyAbdulla Al Dhaheri, CEO of the Blockchain Center in Abu Dhabi, commented on the development on X, stating:”The UAE, driven by visionary leadership, continues to set the global standard by becoming the number 1 destination for blockchain innovation. With the elimination of VAT on crypto transfers and conversions, the UAE reinforce their commitment to building a world-leading digital economy, attracting the best talent and investment from around the globe.” The UAE, and particularly Dubai and Abu Dhabi, have taken great strides forward in ensuring regulatory clarity for the virtual assets sector over the course of the past two years. Regulatory frameworks have been put in place, leading to many participants in the crypto sector praising the regulatory stance taken within the UAE.  This latest addition has equally being welcomed within the crypto sector. Many crypto sector participants have highlighted it as a wake-up call for other jurisdictions to follow suit or see crypto enterprises move to the UAE.  The Indian authorities, in particular, have an unfavorable tax policy in place relative to digital assets, with a 1% tax deducted at source (TDS) being applied. This latest development in the UAE prompted some to consider if India would learn from the UAE’s example. Earlier this year, the Indonesian tax framework, which subjects crypto assets to both income tax and VAT, was cited as the main reason for a slump in crypto trading. A recently published report by blockchain data platform Chainalysis found that the Middle East & North Africa (MENA) region accounts for 7.5% of crypto trading volume, with the report noting that the UAE, alongside Saudi Arabia, is showing a strong interest in decentralized platforms.