Crypto.com Halts Institutional Exchange Service in the US

As the Virtual Asset User Protection Act is set to take effect in July, South Korean virtual asset services providers (VASPs) are preparing themselves for new crypto accounting standards. This development is pushing crypto businesses to take consultation services from accounting firms, local media outlet Yonhap Infomax today reported.  Pronounced last year, the new crypto accounting guideline is scheduled to be applied to VASPs starting this July. Rather than providing clear and explicit standards, the guideline requires crypto businesses to interpret it on their own based on “reasonable grounds.” One accountant in the crypto industry said that individual crypto exchanges are wrapping their heads around the new crypto accounting standards, pondering over numerous issues such as whether to manage customer assets in a single record-keeping system. Photo by Volkan Olmez on UnsplashThe most significant concern among VASPs is that the new standard will highly likely recognize crypto assets entrusted by customers as either assets or liabilities. So far, local crypto exchanges haven’t recognized custodial tokens as assets; instead, they have been including these tokens in the footnotes. Only the money users deposited in Korean won has been acknowledged as “customer deposit liabilities.” Dunamu, the operator of crypto exchange Upbit, stated in the footnotes of its previous quarterly report that virtual assets entrusted by customers do not meet the accounting definition of an asset, leading the exchange to exclude its users’ custodial tokens from the asset category.  Varying interpretation of ‘control over custodial assets’ A lot is at stake depending on how individual crypto exchanges interpret the new guideline. If crypto exchanges are deemed to have control over custodial assets, they must meticulously document the details of the assets in custody on their financial statements, including the total amount of custodial assets and how they are managed under what policies.  These details would serve as decisive factors in determining who bears the liabilities in the event of future incidents.  Crypto businesses’ accounting dilemmaThe Korean financial regulators have explained that the new guideline is not the ultimate golden rule, implying that there could be a leeway for crypto businesses if they have reasonable grounds for not following the new accounting standard. However, regulators said they will conduct thorough examinations on the financial statements following their publishment, to ensure that custodial assets are not left out in the documents. This is where VASPs face a difficult choice between two different options; they can either classify custodial tokens as something other than an asset and undergo thorough examinations, or they can recognize them as an asset and risk being included in the “mutual investment-restricted group.” This is a group consisting of large local firms with over nearly KRW 10 trillion ($7.5 billion) in total assets. The companies listed in the group are subject to strict government regulations.  Previous recognition of Dunamu as ‘big firm’ raises concerns among VASPsThe local regulatory authority previously classified Dunamu as part of the mutual investment-restricted group in 2022.  At the time, Korean won deposits made by Upbit users, categorized under the customer deposit liabilities, were recognized as part of its assets by the Korea Fair Trade Commission (KFTC). The KFTC determined that Dunamu had controlling power over the customers’ deposits. This judgment by the KFTC led the company to fall under the mutual investment-restricted group. Once the new accounting standard takes effect in July, the likelihood is that the exchange’s custodial tokens, currently valued at KRW 20.2 trillion, will also be recognized as assets. Meanwhile, another prominent crypto exchange Bithumb is reported to have KRW 4.5 trillion in total assets.   Another accountant in the crypto industry expressed concerns, saying that VASPs will have to deal with more regulations if incorporated into the mutual investment-restricted group. The person added that recognizing custodial tokens as assets could further heighten the management risks for crypto businesses. 

BitMEX Returns to Derivatives Arena with Prediction MarketBitMEX, a name synonymous with the early days of crypto derivatives, has made a return to its core focus with the launch of a prediction market.Through this new product, the company aims to captivate traders by offering them the opportunity to wager on real-world events, effectively extending the boundaries of crypto derivatives trading.Photo by Amjith S on UnsplashBetting on the outcome of real-world eventsThis shift in direction is being overseen by Stephan Lutz who took the helm as CEO and group CFO in 2021.In a blog post announcing the product launch on Tuesday, the firm expressed its vision for the prediction market, asserting that it would introduce an entirely new dimension to crypto derivatives trading.The product is designed to diversify traders’ portfolios and yield returns based on predicting the outcomes of real-world occurrences, an offering that the company feels holds significant promise. Especially in bear markets characterized by subdued volatility, the prediction market could serve as a valuable instrument for traders seeking to enhance their strategies.Novel initial wagersBitMEX’s inaugural move into the prediction market sees the firm offer an array of contracts for traders to explore. Among those initial offerings are contracts enabling wagers on various outcomes, such as the percentage recovery rate of FTX’s bankruptcy claims and the likelihood of the US Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC) approving a Bitcoin exchange-traded fund (ETF) by October 17. These contracts underscore BitMEX’s intent in covering a wide spectrum of topics, with the firm promising to introduce more options in the near future.The prediction market holds the potential to revolutionize the way traders engage with real-world events, introducing a novel form of participation that transcends traditional trading boundaries. This launch has significant potential for BitMEX as it endeavors to reclaim its position in the competitive crypto derivatives market.Change of strategyUnder the stewardship of former CEO Alexander Höptner, BitMEX embarked on a diversification strategy termed “beyond derivatives,” delving into areas like spot trading and exploring new business avenues. However, the departure of Höptner in October ushered in a change in direction for the firm. The introduction of the prediction market now symbolizes BitMEX’s return to its foundational business model, with a renewed focus on derivatives.In May, the Seychelles-headquartered firm introduced perpetual contracts relative to SUI and PEPE tokens. Later that month, it launched a dedicated virtual asset service to Hong Kong-based customers. Hong Kong was its original center of operations when the company was first formed. It has since moved those operations to Singapore while maintaining its corporate presence in the Seychelles.BitMEX’s fresh foray into the derivatives space not only signifies a return to its roots but also presents traders with a means to trade relative to real-world events. By offering an eclectic range of contracts, the platform seeks to attract traders who crave more than conventional crypto trading. This strategic move could serve as a catalyst for BitMEX as it strives to regain its foothold in the competitive crypto sector.

QCP Capital: Bitcoin Has $34K Price PotentialBitcoin’s potential for a significant price rally toward $34,000 has been discussed recently by analysts at QCP Capital, the Singapore-headquartered crypto asset trading firm. Despite Bitcoin’s recent lack of major volatility catalysts, QCP’s analysis suggests that a classic support rebound might trigger the return of the highest Bitcoin prices in over a year.Photo by Kanchanara on UnsplashCrucial price action time-frameAccording to QCP Capital’s latest market update on Tuesday, the upcoming weeks are poised to be crucial for Bitcoin’s price action. The cryptocurrency has been range-bound for months, leaving market observers speculating about the emergence of a new market trend.QCP Capital highlights September as a pivotal month due to the completion of a rising wedge pattern that started during the end of the 2022 bear market. This pattern has guided Bitcoin’s price movement, with the wedge reaching its first termination point at the beginning of September. The specific level of interest is $29,300, which aligns with the current focal point of the Bitcoin spot price.Rally potentialThe analysis ponders whether there will be a sharp rally that pushes the price to the $34,000 resistance level. This scenario has occurred three times this year, as the price kissed the support trendline. The report acknowledges that it might take a few more quiet weeks before the outcome becomes clear. The analysts expressed their intention to buy back their end of September short calls and anticipate going long on end of December volatility in due course.QCP Capital’s perspective aligns with other optimistic views on Bitcoin’s short-term price strength. Some projections even suggest that the 2023 Bitcoin bull market might return by October, although the market sentiment is varied, with some cautioning about the possibility of new lows before a broader recovery.Macroeconomic trendsTurning to macroeconomic trends, QCP Capital indicates that significant change is not on the immediate horizon, echoing the status quo in the crypto space. Comparing the current situation to the compressed trading environment of the crypto winter in 2018 and 2019, the analysis suggests that a macroeconomic shift would be required to reinvigorate the market, similar to what has happened in the past.Bitcoin’s volatility has reached historic lows, as illustrated by data just published by on-chain market intelligence firm, Glassnode. While a game-changing macro environment shift isn’t imminent, there are short-term catalysts on the crypto calendar for the upcoming months.These include events like Mt. Gox creditor payouts, the GBTC vs. Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC) lawsuit, potential SEC decisions on Blackrock/Fidelity’s Bitcoin spot ETF applications, and potential news related to centralized crypto exchanges and stablecoins.The September deadline for comments on the initial Bitcoin spot price exchange-traded fund (ETF) applications is particularly noteworthy, as it’s widely seen as a turning point for the industry. Europe’s first Bitcoin spot ETF, which began trading on Tuesday, is being custodied by Fidelity Investments, marking another step in the maturation of the cryptocurrency market.