Top

QCP Capital: Bitcoin Has $34K Price Potential

Markets·August 16, 2023, 2:35 AM

Bitcoin’s potential for a significant price rally toward $34,000 has been discussed recently by analysts at QCP Capital, the Singapore-headquartered crypto asset trading firm. Despite Bitcoin’s recent lack of major volatility catalysts, QCP’s analysis suggests that a classic support rebound might trigger the return of the highest Bitcoin prices in over a year.

Photo by Kanchanara on Unsplash

 

Crucial price action time-frame

According to QCP Capital’s latest market update on Tuesday, the upcoming weeks are poised to be crucial for Bitcoin’s price action. The cryptocurrency has been range-bound for months, leaving market observers speculating about the emergence of a new market trend.

QCP Capital highlights September as a pivotal month due to the completion of a rising wedge pattern that started during the end of the 2022 bear market. This pattern has guided Bitcoin’s price movement, with the wedge reaching its first termination point at the beginning of September. The specific level of interest is $29,300, which aligns with the current focal point of the Bitcoin spot price.

 

Rally potential

The analysis ponders whether there will be a sharp rally that pushes the price to the $34,000 resistance level. This scenario has occurred three times this year, as the price kissed the support trendline. The report acknowledges that it might take a few more quiet weeks before the outcome becomes clear. The analysts expressed their intention to buy back their end of September short calls and anticipate going long on end of December volatility in due course.

QCP Capital’s perspective aligns with other optimistic views on Bitcoin’s short-term price strength. Some projections even suggest that the 2023 Bitcoin bull market might return by October, although the market sentiment is varied, with some cautioning about the possibility of new lows before a broader recovery.

 

Macroeconomic trends

Turning to macroeconomic trends, QCP Capital indicates that significant change is not on the immediate horizon, echoing the status quo in the crypto space. Comparing the current situation to the compressed trading environment of the crypto winter in 2018 and 2019, the analysis suggests that a macroeconomic shift would be required to reinvigorate the market, similar to what has happened in the past.

Bitcoin’s volatility has reached historic lows, as illustrated by data just published by on-chain market intelligence firm, Glassnode. While a game-changing macro environment shift isn’t imminent, there are short-term catalysts on the crypto calendar for the upcoming months.

These include events like Mt. Gox creditor payouts, the GBTC vs. Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC) lawsuit, potential SEC decisions on Blackrock/Fidelity’s Bitcoin spot ETF applications, and potential news related to centralized crypto exchanges and stablecoins.

The September deadline for comments on the initial Bitcoin spot price exchange-traded fund (ETF) applications is particularly noteworthy, as it’s widely seen as a turning point for the industry. Europe’s first Bitcoin spot ETF, which began trading on Tuesday, is being custodied by Fidelity Investments, marking another step in the maturation of the cryptocurrency market.

More to Read
View All
Policy & Regulation·

Jan 05, 2024

ACE Exchange founder arrested in major fraud crackdown in Taiwan

Taiwan's cryptocurrency scene has been rattled by the arrest of David Pan, the founder of ACE Exchange, a prominent cryptocurrency platform.Photo by Timo Volz on PexelsAccording to local media outlet Liberty Times, this development is part of a broader operation targeting fraudulent activities involving 13 additional suspects. Law enforcement authorities, as of now, have confiscated assets totaling around NT$200 million ($6.4 million), dealing a significant blow to the alleged fraudulent operations. A sophisticated fraud schemeThe arrest of Pan, alongside company executive Lin Nan, stems from accusations of a sophisticated fraud scheme orchestrated by the duo, along with their team. The modus operandi involved deceptive tactics, including the use of fake advertisements on popular social media platforms like Instagram and Facebook. Over the past three years, more than 100 investors have reportedly fallen victim to the scheme, losing over one billion yuan ($140 million). Lin Nan, leveraging social media, enticed potential investors with promises of quick wealth through the listing of virtual currencies on well-known exchanges. Simultaneously, David Pan lent credibility to ACE Exchange, fostering trust in the virtual currencies listed on the platform. However, investors soon discovered that the virtual currencies touted as having realizable value were, in reality, "junk coins" with plummeting values or no circulation options. Ace Exchange office raidLegal charges filed against the suspects include fraud under the Criminal Code, the Money Laundering Prevention Act and the Banking Act. Law enforcement agencies in Taiwan conducted multiple raids, including at ACE Exchange offices. Lin Nan's residence yielded NT$111.52 million ($3.6 million) in cash, with additional cryptocurrency seizures bringing the total to over NT$200 million ($6.4 million). In response to the scandal, ACE Exchange has distanced itself, asserting that the arrested individuals are not current employees. The company clarified that Pan had ceased active involvement in daily operations as of 2022. ACE Exchange is actively cooperating with the investigation and has positioned itself as a witness in the case. MOCT delistingDespite the ongoing investigation, ACE Exchange, founded in 2018 and a dominant player in Taiwan's crypto market, continues to operate, upholding regulatory obligations and prioritizing user interests. However, the incident has prompted the platform to announce the delisting of the MOCT-TWD trading pair, effective Jan. 8, in alignment with its commitment to regularly evaluate and delist tokens not meeting stringent criteria. This development occurs amid heightened scrutiny of cryptocurrency exchanges globally. CoinDCX, a major crypto investment firm, recently faced allegations of bank and crypto fraud on its mobile application. Similarly, Lee Jeong-hoon, former chairman of Bithumb, South Korea's major crypto exchange, received an eight-year prison sentence over alleged fraud, awaiting an impending appeal verdict. Taiwan, like Hong Kong, had also been dealing with the fallout from the fraudulent activity of Dubai-headquartered crypto exchange JPEX. David Pan is also the founder of the Dubai-based ZORIXchange cryptocurrency platform. Prior to crypto ventures, Pan worked for KPMG in Taiwan as its COO for startups and innovation. These cases underscore the critical need for comprehensive regulation of the crypto ecosystem. As digital assets gain popularity, the risks of fraudulent activities rise, necessitating collaboration between governments and regulatory bodies to establish and enforce stringent regulations that protect investors and uphold the integrity of virtual crypto exchanges. 

news
Policy & Regulation·

Jun 08, 2023

Korean Financial Watchdog Takes Action to Prevent Abnormal Foreign Currency Transfers

Korean Financial Watchdog Takes Action to Prevent Abnormal Foreign Currency TransfersAccording to yesterday’s press release, the South Korean Financial Supervisory Service (FSS) has undertaken measures to tackle the issue of abnormal foreign currency transactions disguised as cross-border trade transactions. After identifying suspicious transactions of a total of approximately $7.2 billion involving 83 companies, the FSS has collaborated with the Korea Federation of Banks and domestic financial institutions to establish a task force. The objective is to improve the existing system and prevent such occurrences in the future.Photo by Eric Prouzet on UnsplashWeaknesses in internal controlsDuring inspections conducted within the banking industry since June 2022, the FSS uncovered weaknesses in internal controls related to foreign currency transfers. These included instances where banks neglected to verify the required documents for transfers and failed to detect abnormal transactions that had been ongoing for an extended period of time. The abnormal foreign currency transfers primarily involved funds flowing out of Korean virtual asset exchanges and being sent overseas under the pretense of trade transactions.Three-line defense internal control systemTo address these vulnerabilities, the task force has engaged in discussions and decided to build an internal control framework within the banking industry, rather than to add a new procedure. This was to minimize the disruption that the new system can pose to banks regarding foreign exchange transactions. The dedicated group has introduced a three-line defense internal control system.The new internal control system comprises three parts. Firstly, it involves standardizing a checklist of vital checkboxes that must be completed before initiating advance remittance transfers for imports. Secondly, the monitoring system employed by banks will be strengthened. Lastly, a follow-up system will be developed, clearly outlining the roles and responsibilities of banks and incorporating a review process.Implementation and timelineBanks plan to implement these improvement measures in July, following necessary preparations such as guidelines revision and rules update in the second quarter of this year. Since developing a computerized system and devising new procedures may require additional time, they will be gradually introduced in the third quarter.The FSS expects these improvements will ensure the systematic operation of banking institutions’ internal control functions related to cross-border prepayments, thereby preventing suspicious foreign currency transfers and curtailing companies’ risks of violating their obligations.

news
Web3 & Enterprise·

Jun 30, 2025

Litigation set to fuel Bitcoin accumulation at Genius Group

Artificial intelligence-driven education technology firm, Genius Group, has announced a plan to buy Bitcoin from the proceeds of damages that the company is pursuing through the courts. In a press release published to the Singapore-headquartered company’s website on June 26, it outlined that the firm’s Board of Directors has approved a distribution plan that would see any potential damages received from litigation that Genius Group is currently embroiled in, divided equally for distribution to shareholders and for the purchase of Bitcoin for the company’s Bitcoin treasury.Photo by Kanchanara on UnsplashUp to $1 billion in potential damagesGenius Group CEO, Roger Hamilton, commented on the matter, stating:“We are seeking combined damages of over $1 billion. As both lawsuits are being pursued by the Company to recover damages caused by third parties directly to our shareholders, the Board believes that 100% of any proceeds from the successful outcome of these cases should be directly distributed or reinvested for the benefit of shareholders.” On X, Hamilton outlined that there’s no guarantee with regard to how much the company recovers through litigation. However, he added that if justice prevails and the company is awarded $1 billion in damages, that would equal a $7 dividend per share for shareholders and the addition of 5,000 BTC to the firm’s Bitcoin treasury. Last month, the company provided an update on a lawsuit it has taken under the Racketeer Influenced and Corrupt Organizations (RICO) Act. Initially, $450 million in damages had been pursued but Genius Group amended the lawsuit, raising its claim to $750 million.  The lawsuit is being taken against Peter Ritz and Michael Moe as the controlling officers and directors of LZGI International, and against Michael Carter and John Clayton, in the United States District Court, Southern District of Florida. The company alleges that the defendants attempted to defraud Genius Group.  ‘Bitcoin First’Genius Group announced its “Bitcoin First” approach, and the launch of a Bitcoin treasury in November 2024, getting started with an initial purchase of 110 BTC valued at $10 million at that time. In April 2025, a New York court prohibited the company from selling stocks in order to fund the purchase of Bitcoin. Those court-imposed funding restrictions led to the firm selling off a small proportion of the overall Bitcoin that it was holding.  Prior to that prohibition on the purchase of Bitcoin being imposed, Genius Group had expressed the aspiration to build up its Bitcoin reserve to a value equivalent to $100 million. Wading further into the Bitcoin space, the firm acquired blockchain learning platform, XD Academy, in December 2024. On May 22, Genius Group announced that the U.S. Court of Appeals had overturned the ban imposed on the company. With that, it increased its Bitcoin holdings by 40%. As of June 17, the company held 100 BTC, valued at around $10 million. The firm plans to bring forward another lawsuit “alleging naked short selling and evidence of spoofing against certain parties,” with damages being pursued in the region of $250 million. Commenting on the coming of age of Bitcoin and the pursuit of a Bitcoin treasury strategy back in November 2024, Hamilton stated that “we're living in a unique moment in history - one most public companies will miss.” 

news
Loading