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QCP Capital: Bitcoin Has $34K Price Potential

Markets·August 16, 2023, 2:35 AM

Bitcoin’s potential for a significant price rally toward $34,000 has been discussed recently by analysts at QCP Capital, the Singapore-headquartered crypto asset trading firm. Despite Bitcoin’s recent lack of major volatility catalysts, QCP’s analysis suggests that a classic support rebound might trigger the return of the highest Bitcoin prices in over a year.

Photo by Kanchanara on Unsplash

 

Crucial price action time-frame

According to QCP Capital’s latest market update on Tuesday, the upcoming weeks are poised to be crucial for Bitcoin’s price action. The cryptocurrency has been range-bound for months, leaving market observers speculating about the emergence of a new market trend.

QCP Capital highlights September as a pivotal month due to the completion of a rising wedge pattern that started during the end of the 2022 bear market. This pattern has guided Bitcoin’s price movement, with the wedge reaching its first termination point at the beginning of September. The specific level of interest is $29,300, which aligns with the current focal point of the Bitcoin spot price.

 

Rally potential

The analysis ponders whether there will be a sharp rally that pushes the price to the $34,000 resistance level. This scenario has occurred three times this year, as the price kissed the support trendline. The report acknowledges that it might take a few more quiet weeks before the outcome becomes clear. The analysts expressed their intention to buy back their end of September short calls and anticipate going long on end of December volatility in due course.

QCP Capital’s perspective aligns with other optimistic views on Bitcoin’s short-term price strength. Some projections even suggest that the 2023 Bitcoin bull market might return by October, although the market sentiment is varied, with some cautioning about the possibility of new lows before a broader recovery.

 

Macroeconomic trends

Turning to macroeconomic trends, QCP Capital indicates that significant change is not on the immediate horizon, echoing the status quo in the crypto space. Comparing the current situation to the compressed trading environment of the crypto winter in 2018 and 2019, the analysis suggests that a macroeconomic shift would be required to reinvigorate the market, similar to what has happened in the past.

Bitcoin’s volatility has reached historic lows, as illustrated by data just published by on-chain market intelligence firm, Glassnode. While a game-changing macro environment shift isn’t imminent, there are short-term catalysts on the crypto calendar for the upcoming months.

These include events like Mt. Gox creditor payouts, the GBTC vs. Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC) lawsuit, potential SEC decisions on Blackrock/Fidelity’s Bitcoin spot ETF applications, and potential news related to centralized crypto exchanges and stablecoins.

The September deadline for comments on the initial Bitcoin spot price exchange-traded fund (ETF) applications is particularly noteworthy, as it’s widely seen as a turning point for the industry. Europe’s first Bitcoin spot ETF, which began trading on Tuesday, is being custodied by Fidelity Investments, marking another step in the maturation of the cryptocurrency market.

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Policy & Regulation·

Nov 29, 2023

Korea’s financial regulator establishes dedicated units for crypto oversight

Korea’s financial regulator establishes dedicated units for crypto oversightThe Financial Supervisory Service (FSS) of South Korea revealed in a Wednesday (local time) press release that it is introducing new units specifically focused on virtual asset matters. This move is in anticipation of the upcoming implementation of the Virtual Asset User Protection Act scheduled for next July. The establishment of these dedicated organizations is a strategic step towards bolstering the integrity of the crypto market, with the goal of enhancing consumer protection.Photo by Ethan Brooke on UnsplashSupervision and investigation bureausThe newly established units will be known as the Virtual Asset Supervision Bureau and the Virtual Asset Investigation Bureau. These units are being created in response to the burgeoning crypto market.The Supervision Bureau will be responsible for extensive oversight of cryptocurrencies. Its roles will include supervising and inspecting virtual asset service providers (VASPs), monitoring market activities and enhancing policy and regulations in the sector. Additionally, the bureau is tasked with ensuring the effective implementation of these regulations and contributing to the promotion of market stability.The Investigation Bureau, the other key component of the new structure, will concentrate on identifying and addressing market abuse activities in the cryptocurrency sector, specifically targeting unfair trading practices.Until now, the Financial Intelligence Unit (FIU) of the Financial Services Commission (FSC) has played a leading role in overseeing the crypto sector, primarily due to its responsibility in evaluating applications from VASPs.FSS’s greater role in crypto oversightThe FSS, on the other hand, has maintained a digital asset research team, which has been responsible for supporting virtual asset legislation, along with conducting market analysis and monitoring. However, the latest move is set to the FSS’s role in regulation and oversight within the crypto market.The Supervision Bureau will be under the leadership of Lee Hyun-duk, who currently serves as Head of Financial Investment Examination Department 2. Meanwhile, Moon Jung-ho, the present leader of Audit Oversight Department 1, will take charge of the Inspection Bureau. The process of appointing team members to these bureaus is scheduled to take place in early January.

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Policy & Regulation·

Jun 14, 2023

North Korean Hackers Take Off With $100M Atomic Wallet Honeypot

North Korean Hackers Take Off With $100M Atomic Wallet HoneypotHaving reported last week on a $35 million hack of Atomic Wallet users’ funds, an update on the matter reveals that the situation is much worse than originally thought, with losses now exceeding $100 million.Photo by Kenny Eliason on Unsplash5,500 wallets compromisedThe attack has sent shockwaves throughout the crypto community, raising concerns about the security of decentralized wallets. Atomic Wallet, an Estonia-based project known for its non-custodial approach where users take full responsibility for storing their assets securely, has been hit hard by this unforeseen breach.Elliptic, a crypto compliance analysis company, published an update on the situation on Tuesday. According to that blog article, it estimates that approximately 5,500 crypto wallets have been compromised, meaning that losses have risen to more than $100 million, highlighting the severity of the attack.Despite the significant impact on users, Atomic Wallet has yet to provide an explanation regarding the root cause of these substantial losses. Users have taken to social media in frustration, demanding clarification from the company. Surprisingly, the company’s last direct update on Twitter dates back to June 7, leaving users feeling even more anxious.User frustrationOne user, Ezra Carlson, expressed frustration, questioning why Atomic Wallet didn’t warn users when they were aware of the ongoing hack. Carlson tweeted: “@AtomicWallet why won’t AM give me a straight answer about why they didn’t warn me, knowing full well that they were being hacked, that it was not safe to use AM last week before I made a transfer to my wallet that was then hacked.”Another user, “Real Deal Crypto,” criticized Atomic Wallet’s lack of updates, stating: “Your last update was five days ago — SERIOUSLY?!?!”Although Atomic Wallet acknowledged reports of compromised wallets on June 3, downplaying the impact by claiming that less than 1% of users were affected, the staggering sum of losses indicates a significant breach. Its last communication on the matter came on June 11 when, in responding to a user, the firm said that it continued to investigate and to await Twitter updates on the matter.Hack tied to North Korea’s Lazarus GroupElliptic has connected this heist to the notorious Lazarus Group, a cyber-criminal organization with ties to the North Korean regime, responsible for stealing over $2 billion in crypto assets through various thefts. This attribution marks the first time a significant crypto heist has been openly linked to the Lazarus Group since their $100 million exploit of Horizon Bridge in June 2022.In response to the heist, Elliptic has been collaborating with international investigators and exchanges, mobilizing resources to recover the stolen assets. Their efforts have reportedly led to the freezing of over $1 million worth of funds. However, the thief has adapted its behavior in response to the freezing of assets, turning to the Russia-based Garantex exchange to launder the stolen assets, as noted by Elliptic.This recent attack adds to a series of notable breaches in the crypto industry. Jimbos Protocol experienced an exploit resulting in a loss of $7.5 million, and Tornado Cash faced a malicious proposal that seized control of its governance in May. According to a report by Chainalysis, crypto hackers made off with an estimated $3.8 billion in 2022, with North Korea being responsible for a significant portion of the attacks.

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Web3 & Enterprise·

Aug 21, 2023

NFT Artists Coming to Seoul in September for The Gateway: Korea

NFT Artists Coming to Seoul in September for The Gateway: KoreaThe Gateway: Korea, the world-renowned annual Web3 event held to celebrate the NFT community and digital artists, is set to take place next month as part of the sixth annual Korea Blockchain Week 2023. It will be held on September 7 to 8 at SFactory, a culture and arts hub in Seongsu-dong, Seoul.The Gateway has been organized by the Web3 digital media platform nft now since 2021. This year, it will be co-hosted by the blockchain community FactBlock, which is also the co-host of Korea Blockchain Week.Bringing realms togetherCentered around the theme of convergence — specifically, the convergence of man and machine, East and West, and URL and IRL — The Gateway: Korea aims to connect Web3 technology and Korean culture. It will feature activities such as interactive experiences and immersive galleries.Photo by fabio on UnsplashExploring digital art and visionary voicesThe event will also include various programs, including keynote speeches and fireside chats. Most notably, there will be an exhibition of works by famous digital artists like Beeple, who famously sold his NFT art piece titled “Everydays — The First 5000 Days” for a record-breaking $69 million two years ago at an online auction held by auction house Christie’s.Other invited artists include DeeKay, Emonee LaRussa, and Krista Kim, among others.“I am delighted that we are able to achieve global expansion through the September event in Seoul,” said Matt Medved, Co-Founder, CEO, and Editor-in-Chief of nft now.“Korea is experiencing an unprecedented moment where cultures from around the world intersect. This event will welcome leading creators and innovators in the Web3 field.”

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