Illicit Crypto Activities Estimated to Have Surpassed $100 Billion in S.E. Asia

Despite Bitcoin’s recent decline, a South Korean analyst says investors’ trust in the market remains intact. He added that a U.S. crypto market structure bill, which Congress could approve as early as December, may give investors a chance to buy the dip ahead of a potential rebound. According to Etoday, Hong Sung-wook of NH Investment & Securities, one of South Korea’s major brokerage firms, noted that the crypto market has given back all gains made since mid-October, with Bitcoin briefly slipping below $100,000. Most altcoins also saw steep declines, erasing the advances they posted following roughly $19 billion in liquidations around Oct. 10. In this environment, Solana’s year-to-date performance has turned negative despite the recent launch of spot Solana ETFs in Hong Kong and the U.S., while Ethereum has similarly surrendered its earlier gains.Photo by Michael Förtsch on UnsplashContext from past declinesHong framed the latest pullback in a historical context. Since 2018, Bitcoin has recorded a daily closing price drop of more than 20% on seven occasions. The latest decline of about 21% from peak to trough, he said, is broadly in line with previous downturns. He added that Bitcoin is now less likely to experience the extreme volatility seen in earlier years, citing growing institutional participation and its increasing use in so-called “debasement trades,” or hedges against fiat currency inflation. Building on this, Hong attributed the recent weakness primarily to the liquidation wave and the temporary hit to sentiment. However, he argued that confidence could recover faster than in past stress events, emphasizing that trust in the market has not been fundamentally damaged, unlike in prior downturns triggered by unexpected “black swan” shocks. Policy progress could lift market moodIn the near term, Hong pointed to progress on the U.S. crypto market structure bill as a potential catalyst. Further movement on the bill, he said, could help improve sentiment, similar to the supportive reaction seen around the passage of the stablecoin GENIUS Act. Other market observers have expressed a comparable view on Bitcoin’s outlook. BeInCrypto underscored three key factors supporting its stance in an analysis published on FXStreet. First, citing Glassnode’s Accumulation Trend Score, it noted that Bitcoin has managed to hold above the $100,000 level thanks to a balance between whale sell-offs and continued accumulation by other investors. Second, expectations for U.S. interest rate cuts projected for December are seen as another supportive element. Third, Bitcoin continues to trade above its 50-week moving average (WMA), a technical level that has underpinned the market since BTC moved above it in 2023; even when brief sell-offs have pushed prices below this line, buyers have stepped in to restore it by the weekly close. Warning signs of weakening momentumAt the same time, signals of moderating momentum have emerged. Another BeInCrypto report pointed to CryptoQuant’s Bitcoin Bull Score, an on-chain metric that gauges the asset’s upside potential, which fell to zero on Nov. 6, its lowest level since January 2022, just before the market entered its last major bearish phase. This more cautious tone is reflected in institutional forecasts as well. Crypto financial services firm Galaxy Digital last week lowered its year-end price target for Bitcoin from $185,000 to $120,000. The firm cited heavy whale sell-offs, shifting investor focus toward AI, gold, and stablecoins, and the weak performance of Bitcoin-focused digital asset treasury (DAT) companies as key reasons for its downgrade. Even so, Galaxy Digital said it continues to view Bitcoin as a structurally strong asset.From a longer-term perspective, some high-profile experts have also trimmed their expectations. According to Decrypt, Ark Invest CEO Cathie Wood told CNBC she now sees Bitcoin reaching about $1.2 million in a bullish scenario by 2030, down from her previous $1.5 million target. She attributed the revision mainly to the rapid growth of stablecoins, which are expanding faster than Bitcoin and emerging as a new payment method, a trend she suggested could dilute some of Bitcoin’s potential price momentum over time.

Ripple and the Republic of Palau Collaborate to Mint First PSC StablecoinIn a groundbreaking partnership, the Republic of Palau has teamed up with Ripple Labs to introduce its inaugural stablecoin, the Palau Stablecoin (PSC).This occasion was shared by Jay Hunter Anson, the Director of Palau’s Digital Residency Program and a member of Palau’s Ministry of Finance, who took to Twitter on Wednesday to shed light on the collaboration between the Palau National Treasury and Ripple Labs.The event unfolded at the National Capitol in Ngerulmud, Palau, where representatives from both the Palau National Treasury and Ripple gathered to celebrate the successful launch of the Palau Stablecoin. Anson emphasized that this marks a significant step in their joint exploration of the stablecoin’s potential use cases within the Micronesian island nation.Photo by Kanchanara on UnsplashReducing payment costsPalau’s Ministry of Finance initiated the Stablecoin project to address specific needs within the nation’s financial landscape. By sponsoring this project, the ministry aims to reduce payment costs within the Republic of Palau and enhance access to financial services, especially for underserved communities and various socio-economic groups, utilizing digital solutions.Notably, the Palau Stablecoin operates on the XRP Ledger (XRPL), demonstrating Ripple’s technology as the backbone of this financial initiative.Anson’s tweets also shed light on the meticulous approach taken in developing the Palau Stablecoin. Controlled and limited PSC pilot tests have been conducted to assess the effectiveness and efficiency of the solution co-designed with Ripple. These pilot experiments provide valuable insights into the stability and usability of the Palau Stablecoin before its potential public release.Extensive testingAlready, the Palau Stablecoin pilot program has seen volunteer users actively participating in the testing phase. Videos shared by Anson on Twitter showcased smooth transactions at partner vendors in Palau, promptly confirming the transaction receipts.The successful implementation of the Palau Stablecoin pilot program has drawn attention from the XRP community, and anticipation is building for the official joint press release scheduled for July 27, Thursday morning in Ngerulmud, Palau, as Anson revealed.The collaboration between Ripple and the Republic of Palau was initiated at the end of 2021, with launch originally scheduled to take place in 2022. Ripple has claimed to be in dialogue with in excess of twenty governments relative to enabling central bank digital currency (CBDC) issuance.Given that the island state lacks a functioning central bank and the US dollar is recognized as the primary medium of exchange throughout the country, the creation of a USD-backed stablecoin is a significant achievement resulting from the national stablecoin initiative. The president described this as a “step towards our own central bank digital currency.”There has been plenty of activity in Micronesian nations relative to cryptocurrency in recent times. Tonga is understood to be considering introducing bitcoin as legal tender. The Marshall Islands is considering issuing a CBDC although it is being discouraged by the International Monetary Fund (IMF) in that endeavor. Meanwhile, the government of Vanuatu announced its support for the Satoshi Island project.With a strategic focus on addressing financial needs and enhancing accessibility within Palau, this partnership sets the stage for a new era of digital financial solutions for the Micronesian nation.

Bybit CEO Applauds Hong Kong and UAE Regulatory ApproachesBen Zhou, the CEO of Dubai-based crypto spot and derivatives trading platform Bybit, has recently lauded the regulatory approach of Asian and Middle Eastern countries.In a recent interview with CoinDesk, Zhou singled out Hong Kong and the United Arab Emirates (UAE) in particular, while also drawing attention to the contrasting approach taken to regulation of digital assets in North America, particularly Canada.Photo by Alex King on UnsplashDiffering regulatory approachesThe Bybit CEO believes that the tone set by regulators towards the crypto industry differs significantly between regions, with Asia and the Middle East displaying a more collaborative and supportive stance compared to North America. He perceives a shift in the attitude of regulators, seeing cryptocurrencies as an opportunity rather than a crisis.Praising Hong Kong and Dubai Regulators, Zhou highlights Hong Kong’s aggressive efforts to attract crypto companies by tapping into the talents within the industry. While recognizing the common goals among regulators worldwide, he notes that Dubai’s crypto regulatory framework has advanced even further than Hong Kong’s.Bybit’s strategic moves underline Zhou’s praise for these regions’ regulatory environments. On April 1, Bybit announced plans to establish its core operations in Hong Kong, positioning its research and development (R&D) and marketing teams in the Chinese autonomous territory.Subsequently, on April 17, Bybit officially unveiled its headquarters at the Dubai World Trade Center, a year after receiving in-principle approval to operate its crypto asset business in the UAE.Canadian market exitHowever, Bybit faced challenges in Canada due to its evolving regulatory landscape. While the company claimed not to operate in the United States, it had onboarded customers in Canada in the past. The situation changed in May when Bybit withdrew its services from Canada following the fallout from the FTX exchange scandal in November 2022.The regulatory environment became increasingly stringent, prompting Bybit to exit the Canadian market. Despite having ongoing conversations with Canadian regulators and receiving an invitation to apply for a crypto license, the restrictions on stablecoin usage played a significant role in the company’s decision to withdraw.Fifth most popular exchangePresently, Bybit ranks as the fifth most popular crypto exchange in the world, according to a report by CoinGecko for the second quarter of 2023.The company has been extending out its product offering, recently entering the crypto lending arena. Towards the end of May, the business received “in-principle” approval from the Astana Financial Services Authority (AFSA) to operate as a digital asset trading business and digital asset custodian in Kazakhstan.In June the crypto exchange followed the lead of other global crypto platforms such as Crypto.com and Binance by integrating artificial intelligence-driven trading tools into its platform for the benefit of its users.As the crypto sector continues to evolve, the differing regulatory approaches in different regions will play a crucial role in shaping its future. Bybit’s CEO, Ben Zhou, advocates for collaboration between regulators and crypto companies, emphasizing that viewing cryptocurrencies as an opportunity will foster innovation and growth in the industry.