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Illicit Crypto Activities Estimated to Have Surpassed $100 Billion in S.E. Asia

Policy & Regulation·August 29, 2023, 3:20 AM

A recent analysis by blockchain analytics firm Bitrace has found that over $100 billion worth of digital currency has been used in illicit crypto trading activities in Southeast Asia.

Photo by Bermix Studio on Unsplash

The firm provided details of its analysis via X (formerly Twitter) on Monday. The data underscores the extensive scope of unlawful activities involving cryptocurrencies across Southeast Asia. The analysis further revealed that illicit activities involve fraudulent schemes, online gambling, and money laundering.

 

Misuse of digital asset innovation

Some of the key characteristics of digital assets include the ability to maintain anonymity, decentralization, and borderless transactions, which are generally considered positive attributes. However, the very nature of decentralized cryptocurrency means that nobody dictates who uses it or the purpose for which someone decides to use it. With that, these characteristics have rendered illegal undertakings not only more covert but also facilitated expedited transfers of pilfered resources.

The silver lining, however, rests in the inherent transparency of blockchain ledgers. This quality has enabled Bitrace’s team of encryption analysts to trace funds implicated in illicit ventures through intensive on-chain analysis.

 

Key insights

The Bitrace research points towards the following key insights:

Prevalence of Tether (USDT): The use of USDT has gained prominence in both illicit activities and gambling operations throughout Southeast Asia, with a staggering sum of over 115 billion USDT recorded in 2022 alone.

Shift to Top Trading Platforms: USDT is observed to migrate from unlawful platforms within Southeast Asia towards top-tier trading platforms. Particularly favored by operators and gamblers, a significant proportion hails from the Chinese demographic, consistently gravitating towards specific exchanges.

Inflow into Trading Platforms: A noteworthy development emerges as over 14.6 billion USDT prepares to traverse into trading platform accounts. The mounting risk factor diffuses across an expanding spectrum of addresses and platforms.

 

Likely consequences

If this blockchain analysis is found to be accurate, there are likely to be ramifications for all projects operating in the digital assets, DeFi and Web3 space. It comes at a time when the focus on the regulation of crypto-related businesses is more intense than ever before.

Anti-Money Laundering (AML) and Know Your Transaction (KYT) legislation are cornerstone financial services regulations that have been established on a global basis. If these regulations are being flouted, and crypto is being used as a means to circumvent them, there’s a real risk that regulation could be applied heavy-handedly to counteract that threat of widespread illicit activity.

Global crypto exchange Binance has faced criticism in this context, with a suggestion in March that its Turkey-based exchange service had been used by an organization connected with militant group Hamas for money laundering and terrorist financing.

In a report last week, Binance claimed that it shared information with authorities that led to the capture of senior ISIS members. More such cooperation will likely be necessary to prevent the sector being subject to overzealous regulation.

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Dec 14, 2023

WEMIX comes in 9th in CoinMarketCap’s TVL chain ranking

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Policy & Regulation·

Nov 29, 2023

Arthur Hayes: Chinese monetary policy could ignite crypto market

Arthur Hayes: Chinese monetary policy could ignite crypto marketArthur Hayes, Co-Founder of Seychelles-incorporated crypto exchange and derivatives platform BitMEX, suggests that China could inject a substantial amount of credit into its economy, potentially giving a boost to Bitcoin and the broader crypto market.Photo by Eric Prouzet on UnsplashPotential flood of yuan creditThe firebrand crypto OG outlined his thoughts on the matter in a blog post which was published on Monday. Hayes discussed how, although China has currently made credit expensive in order to hold back credit growth and inspire confidence in the economy, its monetary authorities might be gearing up to flood the economy with yuan credit, creating a favorable environment for cryptocurrencies.He outlined a series of factors contributing to this potential surge in Chinese credit. He pointed to the interplay between U.S. monetary policy and the Chinese yuan, emphasizing how recent U.S. actions are laying the groundwork for China to issue substantial credit, particularly to its struggling property sector.Describing U.S. policy as “weakening the dollar by issuing more Treasury bills,” Hayes noted the consequent decline of the dollar index (DXY) throughout November. He argued that the weaker dollar gives China the flexibility to increase yuan credit without significant depreciation, possibly even leading to yuan appreciation.If the Federal Reserve at a minimum holds rates and better still, starts to cut rates, China will be in a position to pursue the stimulus needed for its property market and for infrastructure spending.Hong Kong as the gateway to capital marketsAccording to Hayes, the global monetary dynamics set in motion by these factors could be advantageous for Bitcoin and the broader cryptocurrency market. He explained that the bulk of the financing will trickle down into speculation within the financial markets. If China starts printing yuan, the capital is likely to flow into global markets, supporting the prices of various risk assets.But how can this happen, given that speculation and crypto trading are prohibited in China? Hayes’ view is that Hong Kong is now China’s gateway to the global capital markets. Wealthy Chinese individuals now bank via Hong Kong. As we have seen, the autonomous Chinese territory has a workable regulatory framework in place and is now actively licensing crypto exchanges and brokers. Consequently Bitcoin and crypto, generally, could be among the risk assets benefiting from an influx of capital.Furthermore, the BitMex co-founder believes that as yuan credit becomes abundant, the global demand for dollar credit and liquidity may decrease. Given that the dollar is a primary funding currency, a fall in the price of credit could lead to a rise in fixed-supply assets like Bitcoin and gold in dollar terms.Hayes concluded what is a long and detailed blog post by stating:“I will continue moving money out of T-bills and into crypto because I want to get in now before it becomes apparent through the data that China’s money printer is going brrrrr.”He suggested that Chinese New Year, which occurs in mid-February of next year, could be the time in which that extra credit materializes in China. Hayes’ latest assertion comes on the back of a bold claim he made last month when he suggested that bitcoin could reach a unit price of $1 million by 2026.

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Web3 & Enterprise·

Sep 07, 2023

Mirae Asset Securities Expands Security Token Group with Media Collaborators

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