Illicit Crypto Activities Estimated to Have Surpassed $100 Billion in S.E. Asia

In a press release published by Business Wire on Nov. 20, American crypto custodian BitGo announced the launch of its Singaporean subsidiary company, BitGo Singapore Pte. Ltd. The company has set out the key features that the BitGo Singapore platform intends to offer going forward. These include secure, regulated cold storage. The platform is offering digital asset custody support in respect of over 1,100 digital assets. BitGo claims that the range of assets supported far exceeds that offered by competitors in the digital asset custodian space. Photo by Joshua Ang on UnsplashRegulatory complianceIn January, the company achieved in-principle approval (IPA) relative to a Major Payment Institution (MPI) license from local regulator the Monetary Authority of Singapore (MAS). By August the company had satisfied regulatory requirements sufficiently to be awarded a full MPI license. The company will also offer clients electronic and voice trading, allowing them to access deep liquidity directly through the digital assets held in cold storage. BitGo had deployed its Go Network to effect automated settlement. It claims that the Go Network mitigates counterparty risk through the use of delivery versus payment (DVP) settlement processes, while enabling access to exchange liquidity. Token management is another area that the firm identified in its press release as a feature of its overall service. Back in September, the company rolled out a streamlined token management service for crypto foundations. Broadening APAC service offeringThe crypto asset custodian has launched this separate subsidiary in Singapore with the purpose of broadening its service offering within the Asia-Pacific (APAC) region. BitGo Singapore CEO Youngro Lee stated that BitGo is “thrilled to launch BitGo Singapore and offer the APAC region a best-in-class suite of digital assets solutions and regulated infrastructure services.”  Lee added that the new regional entity is committed to providing its clients “with the highest quality products and services while maintaining strict regulatory standards,” while also looking forward to “further strengthening the APAC digital assets ecosystem.” In expanding the reach of its service offering, BitGo has engaged in a collaborative approach. It has partnered with companies such as Vancouver-headquartered Lightning Network infrastructure provider Neutron Pay, and crypto market maker Wintermute, who announced in July 2023 the planned establishment of a base in Singapore. Taking to X on Nov. 21, Neutron Pay stated: “We're excited to announce a strategic partnership with @BitGo Singapore, paving the way for expansion of our #Bitcoin and #LightningNetwork services across Asia-Pacific (APAC).” The firm’s CEO Albert Buu said that “by leveraging BitGo's robust custodial infrastructure, we aim to enhance our ability to serve businesses throughout Southeast Asia.”  Wintermute Co-Founder Yoann Turpin offered his own thoughts on the BitGo Singapore announcement, stating: “Having recently expanded our own footprint in the region, we see strong potential for collaboration in addressing the sophisticated needs of institutional players. By working together, we aim to build a more robust environment for institutions and drive meaningful growth across APAC’s digital asset markets.” At the time of writing, 29 crypto-sector firms, including the likes of Circle, Coinbase and Blockchain.com, have acquired full MPI licenses to trade in the city-state of Singapore. 

NVT Ratio Signals Overvalued BTCThe network value to transaction (NVT) ratio of Bitcoin, which has been staying at a high level since the beginning of the year, has signaled its overvaluation, according to Yonhap Infomax.However, some argue that this will not necessarily lead to a crypto winter, considering that the nature of Bitcoin as an asset has changed and there is no sign of overheating in other indicators.©Pexels/PixabayPrice and NVT ratio correlationYonhap Infomax found out that the correlation between the NVT ratio and the price of Bitcoin over the past six years is -0.35. A value of 1 represents a completely positive correlation, while a value of -1 represents a completely negative correlation.Extending this period to 2010 makes the correlation close to 0, but during the early years, NVT ratios showed high volatility, shooting up to four digits. Such a high volatility doesn’t suggest much correlation. Until 2021, there was a high correlation of up to -0.44.The NVT ratio is calculated by dividing the market cap by the transacted volume. Conceptually, it is similar to the price-to-earnings ratio for the stock market.In 2017, when the crypto market was bullish, the average Bitcoin NVT ratio was 7.3. This number became 8.7 in 2021 when the market experienced a similar pattern. In retrospect, single-digit NVT ratios usually hint at bullish markets.This year so far, Bitcoin has been relatively overvalued, given that the average NVT ratio is 23.6.BTC price recoveryWhen the crypto market sentiment lost its confidence due to the FTX bankruptcy last year, the price of Bitcoin went down to $15,000. It later recovered to the near $30,000 level. The Bitcoin price once had reached an all-time high in 2021, surpassing $65,000.The years that manifested similar patterns as this year were 2018 and 2019. In those years, the Bitcoin NVT ratio plateaued around 20.Uncertain outlookThe NVT ratio itself could point to a possible crypto winter, but researchers say it’s hard to say.Jang Kyung-pil, a research analyst at crypto data platform Xangle, said that people now consider Bitcoin as a store of value rather than a means of transactions, pointing out that BTC’s market value to realized value (MVRV) ratio has hit the bottom at 0.84 and now reached 1.4. According to Jang, MVRV values under 1 indicate undervaluation and those above 3 indicate overvaluation.Jung Seok-moon, head of the research center at crypto exchange Korbit, said that the current NVT ratio signals BTC overvaluation. He added that the Fed is likely to turn dovish in its monetary policy, which would prompt a strong BTC uptrend.

Huobi Falls Foul of Malaysian RegulatorMalaysia’s Securities Commission, the regulator responsible for investor protection and market integrity in the South East Asian country, has closed down the Malaysian operations of Seychelles-headquartered global crypto exchange Huobi.Photo by Zukiman Mohamad on PexelsThe regulator announced the shutdown via a press release published to its website on Monday. The Commission outlined that it has taken action against both the exchange, Huobi Global Limited, and its CEO Leon Li. It cites “operating illegally in Malaysia,” given that it was operating as an unregistered digital asset exchange (DAX) as the rationale for the decision.With the enforcement action has come an order to Huobi from the regulator to “cease circulating, publishing or sending any advertisements, whether in email or on social media platforms, to Malaysian investors, and to stop its operations in the country, including to disable its website and mobile application on several platforms such as Apple Store, Google Play and any other digital application platform.”Compliance concernsThe Securities Commission is putting the onus on the Huobi Global CEO to ensure that this order is complied with. The regulator said that it had concerns about the platform’s compliance with local regulatory requirements. It further outlined that it is an offense in Malaysia to operate a DAX without having completed registration with the Commission as a Recognized Market Operator (RMO) under Section 7 (1) of the Capital Markets and Services Act 2007.The Malaysian regulator also took the opportunity to warn citizens that they should only seek to trade on platforms that are registered RMOs and that for right now, those that have funds on the Huobi platform should withdraw their assets and cease trading on the platform.Expected newsHuobi doesn’t seem to have made an official statement relative to the Malaysian Security Commission’s decision via its official media channels. However, it did provide the following response to CoinTelegraph on Monday:“In response to recent reports, we would like to clarify that the situation outlined pertains to the previous Huobi entity and former shareholders. This is not associated with the current Huobi platform, which adheres to strict regulatory compliance globally.”Taking that response at face value, the company doesn’t seem to be particularly bothered about the enforcement action. It seems as if Huobi were already prepared for this eventuality, by starting a new corporate entity from scratch.In August 2022, the Malaysian regulator issued Huobi Global with a lesser enforcement action by adding the company to its investor alert list. It chastised the firm for operating without regulatory approval.Malaysia hasn’t been a hotbed of activity where crypto and digital assets have been concerned and certainly doesn’t compare with Asian centers like Hong Kong and Singapore who are actively chasing crypto business. However, in March of last year, the country’s Deputy Minister of Communications and Multimedia, Zahidi Zainul, said that the Southeast Asian country should recognize crypto assets like Bitcoin as legal tender.In 2021, Malaysia’s central bank joined a Bank of International Settlements (BIS)-led trial to explore the proof of concept of a central bank digital currency (CBDC), in order to enhance technical and policy capabilities should there ever be a need to issue one.