LINE Xenesis and Crypto.com Unite Efforts to Explore Global Blockchain Business Opportunities

As the cryptocurrency market anticipates the approval of a spot bitcoin exchange-traded fund (ETF) in the United States and the subsequent boost to bitcoin’s unit price, Arthur Hayes, Chief Investment Officer (CIO) of family office Maelstrom, has issued a warning of potential market turbulence. Hayes, better known as the founder of crypto derivatives platform BitMEX, has moved on to Hong Kong-based Maelstrom, a family office that invests in early stage infrastructure ventures that implicate a move towards the decentralization of everything.Photo by Kanchanara on UnsplashMacroeconomic risk factorsIn a detailed blog post on Friday, Hayes outlines a number of macroeconomic variables that could lead to a bitcoin unit price downturn. Hayes begins by highlighting the depletion of the Federal Reserve’s reverse repo program (RRP), which has served as a significant driver for risky assets over the past year. This program allows qualified banks and investment firms to park cash and earn interest on it. The RRP balance has rapidly declined from a record high of $2.5 trillion at the end of 2022 to $700 billion. Hayes projects it to reach its historical average of $200 billion by March. As this liquidity source dwindles, he anticipates negative impacts on bonds and stocks, as well as cryptocurrencies. Fed BTFP expirationThe second factor contributing to the potential market turmoil is the expiration of the Bank Term Funding Program (BTFP) on March 12. This crucial Fed facility is designed to provide longer-term loans to commercial banks. The mechanism aids banking sector stability. Hayes is concerned that the BTFP might not be extended. Such an eventuality could lead to bankruptcy for banks holding massive unrealized losses on their bond holdings. It could lead to a “liquidity rug pull” event reminiscent of the banking crisis in March of the previous year. The crypto OG predicts that such an eventuality would force a response. “The combination of a lack of liquidity gushing from the RRP and the lack of printed money to cover the bond losses on banks’ balance sheets will decimate the financial markets globally,” he wrote. Hayes asserts that the combination of reduced liquidity from the RRP and the lack of printed money to cover bond losses could have a global impact on financial markets. In response to this scenario, he predicts that the Fed will cut interest rates during its March 20 meeting and reinstate the BTFP funding line. ‘Healthy’ correctionIn terms of bitcoin’s price, Hayes foresees a “healthy” correction of 20% to 30% from early March prices if the outlined scenario unfolds. However, he suggests the decline could be as much as 40% if BTC rallies to $60,000-$70,000 in the coming weeks. Despite this temporary plunge, Hayes remains optimistic about bitcoin’s resilience, emphasizing its status as a neutral reserve hard currency that is not a liability of the banking system and is traded globally. In a recent podcast appearance, Hayes expressed the view that the business model of U.S. dollar stablecoin issuer Tether will be challenged once multinational banks receive the go-ahead to offer fiat-backed stablecoins. Overall, Arthur Hayes has urged investors to be cautious and to prepare for potential market volatility in March, emphasizing the importance of understanding the interconnected factors influencing both traditional finance and the cryptocurrency market. 

Singapore’s DBS Bank, the largest bank in Southeast Asia with assets totaling $739 billion, has launched a pilot project that utilizes blockchain technology for the purpose of distributing government grants. According to a report from Fintech News Singapore, the bank has partnered with Enterprise Singapore (EnterpriseSG) and the Singapore Fintech Association (SFA) to establish the pilot program. The objective is to realize greater efficiency, governance and user experience where programmable grant disbursements are concerned, as a direct consequence of bringing blockchain technology into the equation. Purpose-bound money The pilot program relies on the use of a protocol known as purpose-bound money (PBM). A whitepaper relative to PBM was first published in 2023 by the Monetary Authority of Singapore (MAS). In developing the protocol, MAS had collaborated with DBS, alongside Amazon, the International Monetary Fund (IMF), the Bank of Korea, Banca d’Italia and JPMorgan-owned blockchain platform Onyx. PBM enables the sender of funds to specify certain conditions relative to funds released. This may include such items as validity periods or a set of controls on how funds can be spent by the recipient. Such conditions can be programmed in through the use of smart contracts. Baking specific parameters in from the outset in turn empowers the distributor to automate disbursements to beneficiaries. With disbursements automated, the process realizes efficiency gains. Manual oversight can be cut out of the process entirely.  DBS noted a previous program established during the Singapore Fintech Festival in 2023. It involved 27 local fintech firms. Prominent among them were Advance Intelligence, Experian Singapore, Intersystems, Dobin and Aspire. DBS Bank effected such payments over its permissioned blockchain, ensuring that specified recipients received the grants only when specific parameters had been met. SFA President Shadab Taiyabi commented on the pilot project, stating:“The solution is designed to streamline business grant disbursements that enables local companies to receive payouts more quickly and efficiently, providing them with additional capital to expand their key business areas.” Taiyabi added that the SFA will continue to support collaborations between the public and private sectors relative to programmable grant disbursements as Singapore works towards its Smart Nation objectives.Photo by Mike Enerio on UnsplashEfficiency gains Han Kwee Juan, DBS Bank’s country head, emphasized the efficiency gains, stating: “Smart contract technology automates and streamlines grant disbursements for government agencies to enable faster, more secure disbursements and payments.” While DBS has progressed this project as a consequence of its collaboration with MAS on PBM, the bank has also been working with the Singaporean regulator on Project Orchid, a project which aims to progress technology and competencies relative to the development of a digital Singaporean dollar. Similarly, it has participated in Project Guardian, an asset tokenization initiative between policymakers and the financial industry. Earlier this month, DBS entered into a collaboration with Ant International, the international division of the Ant Group which in turn is an affiliate of Chinese e-commerce behemoth, Alibaba, with the aim of providing treasury tokens to improve treasury and liquidity management. 

Nomura-Backed Digital Exchange Acquires Trading License in DubaiKomainu, a digital exchange backed by Japanese financial services conglomerate Nomura, has achieved the milestone of acquiring an operational license in Dubai.The occasion marks a significant moment for Komainu’s expansion efforts in the Middle East, highlighting the progress the company has made in terms of regulatory approval. It follows Komainu’s previous success in obtaining its MVP license in November 2022, establishing the company as one of the first entities to receive such authorization from the local regulator.The operational license was granted by Dubai’s Virtual Asset Regulatory Authority (VARA) on Friday, with the firm being added to the regulator’s virtual asset service provider register.Photo by Emma Harrisova on UnsplashEnabling a broader service offeringWith this operational license in hand, Komainu is now equipped to introduce extended institutional staking and collateral management services to clients within Dubai. These services will be facilitated through Komainu Connect, a purpose-built platform tailored to cater to the precise needs of institutional clients.While Komainu is a Jersey-based entity, the company has an active presence in the Dubai market as it has established subsidiary firm Komainu MEA FZE, which is based within the city. This local presence indicates Komainu’s intention to play an active role in the institutional digital asset business in the region.Dubai growth potentialSebastian Widmann, Head of Strategy at Komainu, emphasized the exciting growth prospects that Dubai’s flourishing digital asset ecosystem offers. He noted that the region is currently experiencing an influx of assets driven by the launch of new exchanges.Widmann stated: “Dubai has a vibrant digital asset ecosystem and impressive talent pool, and we are proud to contribute to the growth of this innovative financial hub.” He further emphasized that Komainu’s presence and its favorable regulatory status position the company uniquely as it embarks on the next phase of its business journey.It’s been a good month for Nomura-backed digital asset businesses in Dubai. A few weeks ago, another Nomura-funded company, Laser Digital Middle East FZE, was also successful in acquiring an operating license from VARA.VARA’s approach to crafting regulations has been instrumental in fostering a framework that supports permissible activities and services for customers and investors in Dubai. These regulations are designed to enhance clarity, establish certainty, and mitigate potential market risks. VARA’s overarching objective is to create a model framework that promotes both global economic sustainability and innovation.Bridging market gapFounded in 2018, Komainu’s inception was driven by the need to bridge a gap in the market by delivering secure and compliant custody services for institutional players venturing into digital asset investments.Komainu’s foundation is built upon a strategic joint venture involving prominent entities such as Nomura, CoinShares, and Ledger. It acquired its first client for Komainu Connect, the firm’s regulated settlement and custody system for institutions, in June when it signed up Seychelles-based crypto exchange OKX to the service.Headquartered in Jersey, the Jersey Financial Services Commission (JFSC) and Dubai’s Virtual Asset Regulatory Authority (VARA) now provide regulatory governance where Komainu’s activities are concerned.