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Malaysia Looking to Wean Itself Off Dollar DependencyAccording to Prime Minister Anwar Ibrahim, China is willing to engage in discussions with Malaysia regarding the creation of an Asian Monetary Fund. This proposal, which has been circulating for decades, aims to decrease the dependence on the US dollar.©Pexels/Sergei StarostinAsian Monetary FundAnwar highlighted the necessity to minimize reliance on the dollar and the International Monetary Fund and proposed the establishment of this fund at the Boao forum in Hainan last week. He stressed that the fund would aid in diversifying the financial landscape of Asia and improving its resilience against economic challenges.Following a state visit to China last week, Anwar stated that “there is no reason for Malaysia to continue depending on the dollar.” The Prime Minister told the Malaysian parliament on Tuesday that China’s President Xi Jingping was receptive to the idea of an Asian Monetary Fund and welcomed further discussions on such a proposal.Anwar Ibrahim, serving as both the Finance Minister and Prime Minister of Malaysia, stated that the country’s central bank is already taking measures to allow for negotiations between Malaysia and China using their respective currencies, the ringgit and renminbi.The robustness of the US dollar poses a significant challenge for Malaysia and other Asian countries, particularly as Malaysia is a net importer of food. In September 2022, the Bloomberg dollar index reached an all-time high, leading to a decline in the value of the ringgit and other Southeast Asian currencies to levels not seen in decades.As a result, Anwar Ibrahim’s proposal for a shift towards bilateral trade negotiations with China using the ringgit and renminbi holds the potential to alleviate some of the region’s dependence on the dollar and reduce the impact of its fluctuations.International shift away from dollarThis development comes as other officials in the region, particularly Singapore, have been discussing strategies to manage the effects of a dominant US dollar that has weakened local currencies and been used as an instrument of economic power by the United States.There has been a raft of deals struck in recent weeks all pointing towards an international shift away from the US dollar as the global reserve currency. Russia has agreed with China to trade in renminbi. A major trade deal was struck recently between China and Brazil that will see the two countries trade in reals and renminbi. Major oil producer Saudi Arabia has made similar soundings and signed similar deals with Beijing.Bitcoin as a reserve currencyAll of this recent upheaval has brought further consideration of bitcoin acting as a reserve currency back into view. It’s expected that even if there is a shift away from the US dollar, the renminbi won’t be capable of acting as a single dominant global reserve currency. Taking to Twitter on Wednesday, Bloomberg Intelligence Crypto Market Analyst Jamie Coutts suggested that bitcoin’s performance in Q1, 2023 marks “a significant milestone in its ascendancy as a potential global reserve asset.”Coutts believes that it marks the first occasion that the leading cryptocurrency has acted as a safe haven asset during a liquidity crisis. Bitcoin remains at an early stage of development. Nobody expects that it could serve as the global reserve currency at this point. However, it is not unreasonable to anticipate it increasingly growing into a role as a reserve currency used for international trade and settlement. Especially so, as issues bubble over relative to banking and a desire to escape the clutches of US dollar domination.

Gyeonggi-do Province Mandates Senior Officials to Report Crypto HoldingsSouth Korea’s most populated province which encircles Seoul has taken a proactive step towards regulating virtual assets by notifying the legislation of an amendment to the code of conduct for public officials. As reported by local news outlet Yonhap News Agency, the Gyeonggi-do province will gather public comments on the amendment until July 25.Photo by Ryoo Geon Uk on UnsplashProvincial levelUnder the revised code of conduct, Gyeonggi-do officials will be prohibited from engaging in property transactions or investments related to virtual assets, using any virtual asset information acquired during the course of their duties. Provincial officials are also forbidden from providing virtual asset information to others to aid their property transactions or investments.Implementation next monthThe amendment compels public officials whose duties involve crypto-related projects, as well as high-ranking officials with an obligation to report their wealth, to declare their virtual assets. Once reviewed by the Ordinance and Rules Review Committee early next month, the amendment will be implemented immediately.National levelA Gyeonggi-do official explained that the decision to preemptively amend the code of conduct regarding virtual assets was made in anticipation of the implementation of the revised Public Service Ethics Act. This act, passed during the National Assembly’s plenary session in May, mandates high-level government officials to report their virtual assets and is set to become effective on December 14.Gyeonggi-do’s crypto surveyGyeonggi-do has been active in taking measures related to crypto assets. In a recent announcement, the province revealed its plan to conduct a survey among residents, aimed at hearing their experiences with unfair virtual asset trading practices. The survey is scheduled to run from August to November and was prompted by a growing number of residents suffering unfair losses from crypto investments amidst an economic slowdown.

Many commentators in the crypto space were pointing to a lowering of interest rates last week by the Federal Reserve in the United States as being a positive development for the pricing of digital assets. However, the introduction of a stimulus package to revive the Chinese economy may also have a role to play. Stimulus packageBloomberg reported on Sept. 24 that People’s Bank of China Governor Pan Gongsheng had cut a key short-term interest rate. Furthermore, the Bank of China governor plans to implement a reduction in the reserve requirements that are applied to the country’s banks. The Reserve Requirement Ration (RRR) will be cut by 50 basis points, which will mean that $142 billion will be freed up for new lending.  Additionally, a package of measures has been introduced to rejuvenate China’s beleaguered real estate market, lowering the borrowing costs related to $5.3 trillion in mortgages.Photo by Eric Prouzet on UnsplashBullish for crypto?Jamie Coutts, chief crypto analyst at financial research platform Real Vision, took to X to comment on the development. Coutts wrote: “The bottom is in for global central bank liquidity for this cycle. Sit back and watch the other CBs fall into line. In a credit-based fiat fractional reserve system, debasement is a feature, not a bug.” Coutts signed off with a “Bitcoin” hashtag, with the inference that the development will have positive implications for Bitcoin. Similarly, market analysts at Singaporean crypto-asset trading firm QCP Capital perceive the move as being bullish for crypto and risk assets more generally. QCP Capital analysts stated: "We believe more easing is coming from the People's Bank of China (PBoC), and they have communicated as much, and combined with the U.S. Federal Reserve joining the global cutting cycle, all major central banks, except Bank of Japan, are now ready to inject more liquidity into the market. The macro space continues to look more and more bullish for risk assets, including crypto."  Taking that consideration further, the QCP Capital analysts suggest that market participants in the crypto space may be caught off guard by a resultant uptick in crypto pricing, stating: "We know how explosive crypto prices can be, and with so many bullish catalysts, we think the next move higher will leave many people surprised and sidelined.” Fed rate cutsMany market commentators were similarly enthused last week following an announcement in the U.S. by Jerome Powell, Federal Reserve Chairman, of a 50 basis point rate cut, with the suggestion that further cuts may be implemented going forward. However, not all market pundits are of the same view. Some believe that small interest rate cuts occurring in an overall high rates environment won’t move the needle and that it’s only in a zero rates environment where Bitcoin and crypto skyrocket.  Arthur Hayes, co-founder of BitMEX and Chief Investment Officer (CIO) at the Maelstrom Fund, asserted in his keynote speech at TOKEN2049 in Singapore last week that he wasn’t enthusiastic about rate cuts driving crypto.  “While I think a lot of people are looking forward to a rate cut, meaning that they think the stock market and other things are going to pump up the jam, I think the markets are going to collapse a few days after the Fed’s rates,” he stated. Markets didn’t collapse subsequently although it seems that they are responding to this latest monetary stimulus introduced by China.