Hang Seng Ponders Crypto Product Offering

The Japanese government and ruling coalition have begun coordinating plans to introduce a flat 20% separate tax on cryptocurrency gains, based on a Dec. 1 report by Nikkei cited by CoinDesk Japan. The change is expected to be reflected in the 2026 tax reform outline.Photo by Nataliya Vaitkevich on PexelsLower crypto taxes, aligned with stocksUnder the proposal, income from crypto trading would be taxed in line with traditional financial instruments such as stocks. This would mark a notable decrease from the current regime, under which cryptocurrency gains are treated in principle as miscellaneous income, combined with salary and other earnings, and taxed on a comprehensive basis at rates that can climb to around 55% including local taxes. Policymakers are reportedly treating the move toward separate taxation as contingent on the establishment of a stronger investor-protection framework through tighter regulation. The planned reforms are also seen as potentially laying the groundwork for the eventual domestic approval of exchange-traded funds (ETFs) backed by crypto assets. Market pullback deepens on policy signalsThe more favorable tax outlook for investors came against a weaker market backdrop. According to CoinMarketCap, the total crypto market capitalization declined about 1.73% over the past 24 hours, extending a pullback that followed recent communications from the central banks of Japan and China. In a Dec. 1 report by Reuters, Bank of Japan (BOJ) Governor Kazuo Ueda indicated that the central bank intended to consider the possibility of an interest-rate increase at its next policy meeting. His comments are interpreted as suggesting a potential shift toward higher rates in December, prompting concern that yen-funded carry trades could begin to be unwound. Such trades typically involve borrowing yen at low interest rates to invest in higher-yielding assets, and their reversal can create pressure on broader asset markets. In a separate weekend statement, the People’s Bank of China (PBOC) restated that digital asset trading remains illegal in China and highlighted what it described as a renewed pickup in speculative crypto activity. The central bank also singled out stablecoins as a source of risk, pointing to concerns about fraud, money laundering, and unauthorized cross-border capital flows that could undermine Beijing’s efforts to maintain capital controls. Against this policy backdrop, major cryptocurrencies moved in mixed directions. Over the past 24 hours, Bitcoin inched up around 1.02%, Ethereum declined about 0.86%, and XRP fell roughly 0.9%. Analysts split amid weak market activityAnalysts and market commentators continued to diverge on the implications of the latest pullback. Veteran trader Peter Brandt suggested on X that Bitcoin may be entering a deeper corrective phase similar to those seen in past bull markets. He cited historical instances of “exponential decay” and suggested the price could retrace toward $50,000 before potentially advancing to the $200,000–$250,000 range in the next rally cycle. Author Robert Kiyosaki, known for “Rich Dad Poor Dad,” reiterated his preference for assets such as gold, silver, Bitcoin, and Ethereum in a Nov. 29 post on X, linking this stance to his view that the Japanese carry trade had effectively run its course. Roughly a week before that message, he had disclosed selling about $2.25 million worth of Bitcoin at around $90,000 per coin, noting that his initial purchase price had been close to $6,000. By contrast, long-time Bitcoin critic Peter Schiff continued to argue in favor of precious metals. He contended that gold derives inherent value from industrial and commercial uses tied to its physical properties, including conductivity, ease of shaping, and resistance to corrosion, while maintaining that Bitcoin lacks practical utility and instead depends on investor belief. SwanDesk CEO Jacob King, another skeptic of the asset, offered an even more pessimistic assessment. He said he did not expect Bitcoin to revisit its previous all-time high and characterized the current decline as the final bear market before the asset ultimately fades from relevance. Shorter-term indicators have reinforced expectations for muted trading conditions. According to CNBC, Grayscale Head of Research Zach Pandl pointed to a decline in open interest for perpetual futures, interpreting it as a sign of reduced speculative positioning and leverage. He also highlighted relatively subdued trading volumes on both centralized and decentralized exchanges, suggesting that near-term market activity is likely to remain restrained. 

Dubai’s VARA grants WadzPay ‘initial approval’ of trading licenseIn the latest demonstration of the emirate’s crypto-friendly credentials, Dubai regulator, the Virtual Assets Regulatory Authority (VARA), has granted an “Initial Approval” license to WadzPay.WadzPay was founded in 2018 in Singapore as a business-to-business (B2B) technology firm that concentrates its efforts on enabling digital asset-based transaction processing and settlement. This licensing approval is a significant step forward for the startup, as it inches closer to obtaining a full-fledged Virtual Asset Service Provider (VASP) license.Photo by Paul MARSAN on UnsplashGearing up for service roll-outWith this approval in hand, WadzPay is gearing up to offer a range of virtual asset services, specifically under the forthcoming VASP License for Transfer and Settlement, as well as Broker-Dealer trading activities.That said, the current VARA license places certain restrictions on WadzPay’s offerings. While WadzPay is known for providing a wide array of services to businesses (B2B) and individual users through its B2B2C platform, the “Initial Approval” license limits its scope to only a subset of its virtual asset products and services.Flurry of approvalsDubai has taken center stage in the realm of crypto-friendly jurisdictions, granting a flurry of operational licenses to numerous crypto firms and exchanges in recent months. The regulatory framework in Dubai is underpinned by robust guidelines for VASPs. To operate fully within this framework, crypto firms must navigate a meticulous three-tier licensing process, starting with provisional approval, followed by a minimal viable product (MVP) license, culminating in a total market product license.One of the recent beneficiaries of VARA’s approvals is Backpack, a virtual currency wallet provider. Last month, Backpack received its VASP license, allowing the introduction of the Backpack Exchange to the market. However, similar to WadzPay’s situation, Backpack’s license comes with certain limitations.It permits the offering of crypto exchange services within Dubai but restricts the rollout of other virtual asset services. The Backpack Exchange sets itself apart with advanced features, including zero-knowledge (ZK) proof-of-reserves, multi-party computation (MPC) for secure custody and lightning-fast order execution capabilities.Nomura portfolio company approvalsKomainu, a collaborative venture involving financial heavyweights like Nomura, CoinShares and Ledger, is another notable success story. After a diligent licensing journey, Komainu secured its full operating license from VARA, approximately 10 months after obtaining its MVP license in November 2022.Laser Digital, a crypto division under the vast umbrella of financial giant Nomura, also earned its operational license from VARA in August. Through its dedicated subsidiary, Laser Digital Middle East FZE, based conveniently in Dubai, Nomura has showcased its VASP license. The permit enables the firm to offer a suite of services, including brokerage, virtual asset management and investment offerings within the emirate.Notably, Laser Digital’s licensure followed closely on the heels of Binance, the global crypto exchange. Binance secured its operational minimum viable product (MVP) license from VARA, paving the way for providing crypto exchange and virtual asset broker-dealer services within the region.This flurry of licensing activities and approvals in Dubai is suggestive of the emirate’s commitment to fostering a progressive and regulated crypto environment.

Beijing-headquartered crypto mining equipment manufacturer Canaan recently revealed its financial results for the fourth quarter of 2023, demonstrating that it continues to struggle with profitability despite positive numbers relative to revenues and growth.Photo by Sasun Bughdaryan on UnsplashIncreased revenues and salesAccording to the company’s filing, during the last quarter of 2023 Canaan reported a surge of 45.7% in total computing power sold compared to the preceding quarter, reaching 5.5 million Thash/s. This ascent, which reflects a 191.9% increase from the same period in 2022, signifies not just a recovery but a robust resurgence in demand and operational ability. The company's dispatch of 19.6 million Thash/s throughout the year, marking a 29.6% leap from 2022, aligns with the rebound in bitcoin prices observed in Q4 2023, a pivotal factor shaping Canaan's operational revitalization. 47% growth on previous quarterA closer examination of the financials reveals not only surpassing total revenues but also a notable 47.3% quarter-over-quarter growth. Canaan's foray into international markets, bolstered by securing substantial orders from esteemed public company clients, underscores a buoyant sales performance and a positive outlook for the computing sector. Despite the buoyant sales and revenue figures particularly in the mining machine market, the sector has faced ongoing regulatory uncertainties and market fluctuations. Nonetheless, the company's strategic initiatives, alongside the positive market effects of the approval and listing of spot bitcoin exchange-traded funds (ETFs), have been positive. Moreover, Canaan's investments in wafer supply capabilities and strategic financial maneuvers garnered approximately US$136 million through at-the-market (ATM) programs and preferred shares. Recording a lossYet, the company’s journey in 2023 was not without its hurdles. Q4 2023 witnessed a significant increase in product revenues from the previous quarter but a decline from Q4 2022, attributed to dwindling sales prices as the halving event loomed, underscoring the volatility inherent in the cryptocurrency market. Results published last year are indicative of the company’s difficulty. In Q2 2023, revenues were strong, yet the company wasn’t turning a profit.With Q4 results, it’s now clear that the firm lost $421 million in 2023. In Q4, Canaan recorded a net loss of $139 million. That compares with a loss of $91 million in Q4, 2022. The company also expects tough market conditions in 2024. In its forward-looking outlook, it stated:”For the first quarter of 2024, and the second quarter of 2024, the Company expects total revenues to be approximately US$33 million and US$70 million, respectively, considering the challenging market conditions across the industry. This forecast reflects the Company’s current and preliminary views on the market and operational conditions, which are subject to change.” The crypto mining sector remains a very challenging market. With the upcoming Bitcoin halving event set to occur in April, it’s expected that as much as 20% of mining capacity could be forced offline, as some equipment would simply fail to mine on a profitable basis. Indicative of the challenges within the sector, crypto miner Core Scientific was forced into bankruptcy due to market difficulties in December 2022. It has only recently exited that bankruptcy process and now expects to generate revenues of $600 million in 2024. Another Bitcoin miner, Riot Platforms, has warned that profitability may be difficult to achieve in 2024 due to chip shortages.