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At the 16th Mint Annual BFSI Summit and Awards in Mumbai, Reserve Bank of India (RBI) governor Shaktikanta Das reiterated the central bank's cautious stance on cryptocurrencies, regardless of recent global developments. During the event, which was held on Thursday, Das took to the stage. He was asked if the approval of spot bitcoin exchange-traded funds (ETFs) in the United States gives legitimacy to cryptocurrency.Photo by rupixen.com on UnsplashUnwavering responseDas was unwavering in his response, maintaining that the RBI remains steadfast in its approach and opposition to cryptocurrencies. He stated: "The way we look at crypto remains unchanged, irrespective of who does what."  He emphasized that the RBI does not intend to emulate regulatory decisions made by other countries. Despite this global development, Das maintained the RBI's reservations, expressing concerns about the potential risks associated with venturing further into the cryptocurrency space. Favoring a crypto banLast month, officials from the Indian central bank told the Hindustan Times that the RBI believes that the Indian government should impose an outright ban on cryptocurrencies in India. One unnamed official stated:"The government cannot sidestep the RBI’s concerns while deciding on cryptocurrencies, as it is responsible for monetary stability in India and maintains price stability." Das acknowledged the potential of blockchain technology, the foundation of cryptocurrencies, highlighting its versatility for various applications. Both the central bank and the Indian government have encouraged the development of blockchain rather than crypto. Last year, an RBI-led initiative, the National Payments Corporation of India (NPCI), recruited blockchain expertise to further develop that project. However, he made it clear that the RBI's focus remains on strengthening governance and assurance in regulated entities, with an emphasis on early identification, close monitoring and effective management of risks. Citing ‘Tulipmania’Das cautioned against a “crypto mania,” drawing parallels to the historical tulipmania of the 17th century. He underscored the RBI's position that embracing cryptocurrencies could pose significant risks, echoing his previous warnings about the macroeconomic and financial stability risks associated with these digital assets. The governor emphasized the importance of instilling an appropriate risk culture within organizations, with active involvement from the board and senior management. Das stated that the RBI expects top officials and board members to play a more proactive role in risk management. India’s crypto community responded critically to the RBI governor’s comments. Ajeet Khurana, a Web3 growth investor, responded on social media, stating:”Dear RBI governor, I respect you a lot, and I don’t mind that you don’t like Crypto. Diverse points of view are healthy. Yet, using words like 'tulip mania' only gives the impression that you are out of touch with what is happening in Web3. My request, Sir, is that you update yourself.” Vivek Sen, the founder of Bitgrow Lab, wrote:”Dear RBI, First, don't club Bitcoin with ‘Crypto’. Secondly, Tulips did not experience an 80% drop on four occasions, and they recovered each time.”Despite opposition to cryptocurrencies in official circles in India, a report last year produced by Chainalysis found that India is leading the way in Asia in terms of grassroots adoption of cryptocurrencies. 

In a recent report, Singaporean digital asset financial services firm Matrixport has made a bold forecast regarding the future of bitcoin prices and the potential rejection of spot bitcoin ETFs by the Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC) in the United States.Photo by André François McKenzie on UnsplashMinority viewWhile most ETF and crypto industry analysts in recent weeks have been suggesting a greater than 90% chance of the imminent approval of a spot bitcoin ETF coming from the SEC, Matrixport has had its say, speculating that the regulator will once again reject all such applications. In a note published to its website on Wednesday, the firm stated:”The current five-person voting Commissioners leadership critical for the ETF approval of the SEC is dominated by Democrats. SEC Chair Gensler is not embracing crypto in the U.S., and it might even be a very long shot to expect that he would vote to approve bitcoin spot ETFs.” The report emphasizes the dominant influence of Democratic leadership within the SEC, particularly Chairman Gary Gensler's cautious approach to crypto regulation. The Democrat-led administration in the United States has been decidedly anti-crypto in its policies throughout the ongoing term of U.S. President Joe Biden. Matrixport also suggests a potential delay in ETF approvals until Q2 2024, dampening hopes of an imminent market boost. Potential bitcoin price slumpShould the company be right in that speculation, it extrapolates that this turn of events will potentially lead to a substantial decline in bitcoin's value, with the bitcoin unit price possibly dropping to as low as $36,000. This revelation has sent shock waves through the market, prompting Matrixport to advise investors to take protective measures. The recommended strategies include purchasing put options or engaging in direct shorting of bitcoin to mitigate potential losses. With an ominous Jan. 5, 2024 deadline looming, traders could decide to hedge their long exposure by purchasing $40,000 strike put options expiring at the end of January or opting for outright short positions through options. Matrixport's report challenges the previously optimistic expectations surrounding bitcoin's future, highlighting the SEC's likely rejection of spot ETFs as a significant factor. Despite the platform's earlier bullish stance, it now expresses skepticism about the SEC's willingness to embrace cryptocurrencies. The firm contends that the current influx of funds into crypto, driven by expectations of ETF approval, could result in significant liquidations if the SEC denies the proposals. The report estimates that about $10 billion of the $14 billion additional investments might be linked to optimistic ETF prospects. Notably, Matrixport foresees a rapid 20% decline in bitcoin's price, reverting to a range of around $36,000 to $38,000 should the SEC reject the ETFs. Positive long-term outlookDespite the potential setback with the SEC, Matrixport maintains a positive long-term outlook for bitcoin, expecting the BTC price to end 2024 above the $42,000 mark, where it started the year. The analysis also considers historical trends in U.S. election years and bitcoin mining cycles for the potential rally. At the time of writing, the bitcoin unit price is down 4.75% over the course of the past 24 hours, now standing at $42,838. Investors are closely monitoring the upcoming SEC decision and may well be heeding Matrixport's advice to navigate potential market volatility.  

The Seoul Metropolitan Government has launched a new initiative designed to help South Korean fintech firms expand into global markets. According to a Nov. 18 press release, the city and its blockchain partner, Catalyze Research, will utilize the XRP Ledger (XRPL), Ripple Labs’ public blockchain, to provide technology-focused mentorship and facilitate networking with overseas partners.Photo by Kanchanara on UnsplashFunding for global growthParticipating startups are eligible to receive up to $200,000 each, with the total funding pool capped at $1.8 million. The Seoul government anticipates that this initiative will assist early-stage ventures in establishing a meaningful presence in the global marketplace. Selected participants will receive mentorship from Catalyze Research on entering the blockchain ecosystem via the XRP Ledger, refining business models, and developing multichain strategies. The program is open to applicants working in a variety of specific sectors, including blockchain payments, asset tokenization, cross-border transfers, decentralized identifiers (DIDs), decentralized finance (DeFi), and regulatory technology. Beyond the core business training, Seoul is offering technical workshops that allow participants to explore complex topics such as XRPL-based issuance, liquidity configuration, fee optimization, and security architecture in greater depth. Follow-up support programs will continue to assist participating ventures after the initial phase, offering help with investor relations and jurisdiction-specific regulatory consulting. Pilot projects with overseas partners are also planned to further support company growth. The capital’s move to back crypto ventures follows its recognition in the Global Financial Centres Index (GFCI), produced annually by the London-based think tank Z/Yen and the China Development Institute (CDI). In the latest report released in September, Seoul ranked eighth in fintech among 135 cities. Price swings amid XRP ETF debutsWhile the city pushes to grow the country’s blockchain sector, XRP, the native asset of the XRP Ledger, has faced market headwinds. According to CoinMarketCap data, the token’s price dropped more than 15% over the past week amid a broader market downturn. This decline came even after the Nov. 14 launch of XRPC, a Canary Capital–managed ETF that is the first in the U.S. to track the spot price of XRP. Subsequently, the Bitwise XRP ETF is also set to debut on the New York Stock Exchange on Nov. 20. Amid the recent price weakness, XRP’s retail positioning offers a more nuanced backdrop. Glassnode’s Nov. 19 update estimates the average retail cost basis for the token at roughly $2.17, putting the typical holder about 61% in profit. The firm’s analysis a day earlier showed, at the network-wide level, 58.5% of the total supply in profit and 41.5% held at a loss—a structure that the firm said reflected a market dominated by recent buyers and prone to volatility.