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Bitcoin Miners Likely Selling at $28K Level, Says Matrixport

Web3 & Enterprise·June 03, 2023, 5:50 AM

According to a report by Singapore-headquartered digital asset financial services provider Matrixport, Bitcoin (BTC) is facing selling pressure at the $28,000 price level, possibly due to miners offloading their newly mined coins.

The report, cited by CoinDesk on Friday, suggests that miners are being compelled to liquidate their inventory as profit margins have contracted in recent weeks.

Photo by Pixabay on Pexels

 

Hashrate all-time high

Mining has become an intensely competitive and often unprofitable endeavor due to the ongoing rise in Bitcoin miner difficulty. The hashrate, or measure of how easily miners can discover a new block of Bitcoin reached an all-time high earlier this week. Markus Thielen, Head of Research at Matrixport, noted that given the current input cost and potential revenue expectations, most machines produced before 2022 appear to be unprofitable.

“At the current input cost and potential output revenue expectations, most of the machines produced before 2022 appear to be unprofitable,” Thielen wrote.

 

Forced selling

Consequently, miners are forced to sell their inventory at the current level rather than holding out for higher prices, which Matrixport anticipates. The report highlights the significant upside potential for miners if Bitcoin prices were to increase by 10% or more, as profitability could quadruple.

The narrowing profit margins for miners reflect the challenges they face in a highly competitive market. As mining difficulty continues to rise, miners must allocate more resources and computing power to mine new coins, reducing their profitability. The situation is particularly tough for miners operating older machines, which are less efficient and more costly to run.

The selling pressure exerted by miners can have a short-term impact on Bitcoin’s price. However, Matrixport’s analysis suggests that if Bitcoin experiences a notable price increase, miners could see a substantial improvement in their profitability. This potential upside convexity creates an incentive for miners to continue their operations and withstand the current market conditions.

 

Ordinals bring increased fees

On the other hand one recent development that is assisting miners is the increase in transaction fees, with the development of Bitcoin Ordinals and BRC-20 tokens over the course of the past six months. That interest seems to be ongoing, and if anything we’re likely to see further development of tokens running on top of the Bitcoin blockchain. On Thursday, Seychelles-based crypto trading platform OKX proposed a new BRC-30 token standard which would enable staking of those tokens, alongside staking of bitcoin.

Singapore-based Matrixport is a portfolio company of crypto investment venture capital firm Foresight Ventures, which is also headquartered in Singapore. The firm provides a suite of products that it is positioning to be innovative and easy to use, offering an all-in-one crypto financial services platform, enabling users to earn, invest, loan, and trade digital assets.

The Matrixport report indicates that miners are likely selling their Bitcoin at the $28,000 level due to squeezed profit margins. While this selling pressure may affect short-term price dynamics, the potential for increased profitability if Bitcoin prices rise significantly provides miners with an optimistic outlook for the future.

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Policy & Regulation·

Oct 06, 2023

Korean Police Establishes Task Force to Tackle Virtual Asset-Related Crimes

Korean Police Establishes Task Force to Tackle Virtual Asset-Related CrimesIn response to the recent increase in virtual asset-related crimes in South Korea, the country’s police agency is establishing a dedicated task force to combat these illegal activities, according to local media outlet News1. This action by the National Police Agency comes as virtual asset legislation gained momentum and as prosecutors launched a joint virtual asset investigation division. Additionally, the police are considering establishing a new regional investigation unit focused on virtual asset-related investigations in the future.Photo by Sungho Song on PixabayMulti-divisional approachDuring this month, the police will consolidate various functions related to virtual asset investigations within its headquarters to establish the task force. This group will convene monthly meetings to exchange information on ongoing investigations and will also extend invitations to on-site investigators for the purpose of studying the most effective investigative methods and staying updated on the latest trends in virtual asset-related crimes.The task force will be jointly overseen by the heads of the Cyber Investigation Bureau and the Investigation Bureau and will consist of members from several divisions, including the Cyber Investigation Planning Division, Economic Crime Investigation Division, Cybercrime Investigation Division, Cyber Terrorism Response Division, Narcotic and Organized Crime Investigation Division, and National Security Investigation Command Division.Escalation of virtual asset crimesBy the end of the first half of this year, the global crypto market value reached $1.17 trillion, coinciding with a notable uptick in crypto-related criminal activities. In 2021, there were 427 instances of domestic fraud cases linked to cryptocurrencies, resulting in the arrest of 1,717 individuals. However, in 2022, these numbers increased to 628 cases involving 2,123 people. Furthermore, from January to July of the current year, the police have apprehended 1,146 individuals in connection with 327 cases related to cryptocurrency crimes.However, responding to virtual asset-related crimes presents a significant challenge due to their diverse nature and wide-ranging applications. For example, incidents involving crypto hacking typically fall under the jurisdiction of the Cybercrime Investigation Division. On the other hand, cases related to fraudulent crypto investment schemes are typically handled by the Economic Crime Investigation Division, while the Narcotic and Organized Crime Investigation Division concentrates on instances of drug trading conducted using cryptocurrencies.Paving the way for specialized expertiseFurthermore, as part of the task force’s efforts, the police will seek input and feedback regarding the potential establishment of a new department focused exclusively on investigating virtual assets in the future. A police official mentioned that the creation of such a dedicated unit is seen as a desirable step that could facilitate the development of specialized expertise among on-site officers. Looking ahead, the police are also contemplating the formation of a regional investigation unit specifically dedicated to cryptocurrency-related investigations, a unit akin to the existing Financial Crimes Investigation Unit.Upcoming law implementationThe police’s decision to form a working group is seen as a proactive step in preparation for the forthcoming Virtual Asset User Protection Act, slated to take effect in July next year. This legislation is designed to enable legal action against unfair trading practices related to virtual assets, including the misuse of undisclosed information, market manipulation, and illicit transactions. It parallels the regulatory framework applied to financial investment products.In August, public prosecutors took action by launching a joint cryptocurrency investigation division at the Seoul Southern District Prosecutors’ Office in collaboration with several key agencies, including the Financial Supervisory Service (FSS), Financial Intelligence Unit (FIU), National Tax Service (NTS), Korea Customs Service (KCS), Korea Deposit Insurance Corporation (KDIC), and Korea Exchange (KRX). Moreover, in light of the growing importance of legal issues related to cryptocurrencies, prominent law firms have been swiftly mobilizing to establish specialized teams dedicated to handling crypto legal cases.This trend is not limited to South Korea alone; it is also unfolding in other countries. For instance, in a parallel development, the Hong Kong Police Force and the Securities and Futures Commission (SFC) have recently instituted a working group to monitor and address suspicious activities linked to virtual asset trading platforms (VATPs).

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Policy & Regulation·

Sep 03, 2024

Qatar’s QFC launches digital assets framework

The Qatar Financial Centre (QFC), a business and financial center located in the Qatari capital, Doha, has announced that the Qatar Financial Centre Authority (QFCA) and the Qatar Financial Centre Regulatory Authority (QFCRA) have launched the QFC digital assets framework. In a press release published to the QFC website on Sept. 1, the project set out details of its QFC Digital Assets Framework 2024.Photo by 拜耳 闫 on UnsplashIndependent economic zoneThe QFCA and the QFCRA both act in a regulatory capacity relative to the financial center. The QFC is an economic zone, which operates independently from the rest of the country. With that, it has its own legal, tax, regulatory and business framework. The initiative is similar in this respect to projects located within its Middle Eastern neighbors, the United Arab Emirates (UAE), such as RAK DAO in Ras al Khaimah and Abu Dhabi’s international financial center, the Abu Dhabi Global Market (ADGM). The QFC incentivizes international startups to base themselves within the economic zone by allowing full foreign ownership and 100% repatriation of any profits made by the established entity, with a low rate of 10% taxation applied to those profits. In its press release, the QFC claimed that the framework establishes the legal and regulatory foundation for digital assets, including the process of tokenization, legal recognition of property rights in tokens and their underlying assets, custody arrangements, transfer and exchange.  Providing for a transparent ecosystemAdditionally, the framework provides for the legal recognition of smart contracts. The QFC claims that the framework will ensure a “secure and transparent digital asset ecosystem,” in accordance with international standards and best practices.  The financial center established its Digital Assets Lab in October 2023. Since then, it has welcomed in more than 20 startups, with those entities at various stages in terms of developing, testing and commercializing their products and services. The project outlined that the digital assets framework was developed simultaneously, alongside the operation of the QFC Digital Assets Lab, with industry engagement and collaboration arising as a consequence, having played a role in the framework’s development. His Excellency, Sheikh Bandar bin Mohammed bin Saoud Al Thani, the Qatari Central Bank governor, commented on the development, stating: “Launching the 2024 Digital Assets Regulations marks a significant milestone in our journey towards realising the Third Financial Sector Strategy.” The central bank governor added that the project was aligned with Qatar’s endeavor to achieve specific digital transformation goals. Sovereign wealth fund rumorsRumors had emerged in December 2023 that Qatar’s sovereign wealth fund was driving a Bitcoin price surge. While those rumors weren’t substantiated subsequently, this latest development has once again led to some market commentators considering the prospect of one of the world’s largest sovereign wealth funds investing in Bitcoin. Pseudonymous crypto influencer “MartyParty,” who has over 110,000 followers on X, commented on the development, adding that “[The Qatar Investment Authority (QIA) has] been very interested in #Bitcoin and other digital assets and are huge investors in technology.” Back in 2021, QIA CEO Mansoor Bin Ebrahim Al Mahmoud stated at the Qatar Economic Forum that crypto needed to mature before the $500 billion wealth fund would establish a view about investing in the space.

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Web3 & Enterprise·

Apr 20, 2023

Celsius and BlockFi Filings Reveal Bhutan Crypto Investment

Celsius and BlockFi Filings Reveal Bhutan Crypto InvestmentThe tiny kingdom of Bhutan, nestled in the Himalayas, has been secretly holding millions of dollars in cryptocurrency, according to recent filings in the bankruptcy processes of crypto lenders Celsius and BlockFi. The revelation has surprised many observers, given the country’s reputation as a conservative and traditionalist society that places a high value on spiritual well-being and happiness over material wealth.©Pexels/Prateek KatyalDruk Holdings and InvestmentThe cryptocurrency holdings were reportedly managed by Bhutan’s Druk Holdings and Investment, which was established in 2018 with the aim of investing in a range of assets to help diversify the country’s economy and reduce its dependence on hydro-power exports. It’s understood that the fund had invested in a number of cryptocurrencies, including Bitcoin, Ethereum, and Ripple, and had seen significant gains as a result.While the exact amount of cryptocurrency held by the Bhutan Investment Fund is not known, a Forbes report estimates that it could be worth several million dollars. This represents a significant portion of Bhutan’s overall foreign reserves, which stood at $1.2 billion at the end of 2022.The news of Bhutan’s cryptocurrency holdings has sparked a debate about the role of digital assets in the country’s economy. Some experts have argued that cryptocurrencies could provide a valuable source of revenue for Bhutan, particularly as the country seeks to reduce its reliance on hydro-power exports. Others, however, have expressed concerns about the risks associated with investing in such a volatile and unpredictable asset class.A new frontier for investmentDespite these concerns, it appears that the Bhutan Investment Fund is committed to continuing its cryptocurrency investments. In a statement to Blockworks, the fund’s CEO, Tenzin Lekphell, said that “digital assets represent a new frontier for investment, and we believe that they have the potential to provide significant returns for our investors.”The news of Bhutan’s cryptocurrency holdings comes at a time when many countries around the world are grappling with the question of how to regulate and manage digital assets. While some countries, such as China, have taken a hardline approach and banned cryptocurrencies altogether, others, like Japan, have taken a more moderate approach and have sought to regulate the industry to prevent fraud and protect investors.Others still, like the United States and India have flip flopped on the subject with the United States having taken a regulatory hard line in recent months.A crypto opportunity for smaller nationsIt remains to be seen what approach Bhutan will take towards cryptocurrency regulation. However, the news of the country’s cryptocurrency holdings is a sign that even small, remote nations can take advantage of the opportunities provided by digital assets. On Tuesday Jason Lau, COO of crypto exchange Okcoin, stated that Bhutan’s investment was no surprise, with the expectation that other sovereign wealth funds would follow suit.Bhutan’s decision to invest in cryptocurrency has raised eyebrows in the international community. However, it is also a testament to the country’s willingness to explore new and innovative approaches to economic development. As the world continues to grapple with the opportunities and challenges posed by digital assets, Bhutan’s example may provide a valuable case study for other nations seeking to diversify their economies and embrace new technologies.

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