ZA Bank to Expand into Crypto Trading in Hong Kong

South Korean cryptocurrency exchange Coinone disclosed that it has received more than 600 applications in two weeks following the start of its mass recruitment for development staff for 2024, according to local news outlet Law Issue on Tuesday (KST).Photo by Clem Onojeghuo on UnsplashOffering hope in a job market downturn"We believe this large influx of applications is due to our recruitment’s role in revitalizing the job market of both domestic and foreign virtual asset industries, which has been inactive lately," the exchange explained. Coinone opened applications on Jan. 8, recruiting employees for a total of eight fields related to development. As of Monday, more than 600 people have applied. The exchange’s website received over 3,000 visitors on the first day of recruitment. The final number of applicants is expected to increase as the application deadline is January 26th. More applications are expected to flood in until the deadline on Jan. 26. Job category preferencesAccording to the applications by job category, applicants were most interested in front-end positions (57.1%), followed by back-end (24.4%) and data (18.4%) positions. More specifically, positions in front-end development (29.8%), data analytics (21.3%) and Android development (15.8%) had the highest application rates. The popularity of these categories can be attributed to a combination of Coinone's corporate identity rooted in its solid technology and a positive outlook for this year’s cryptocurrency market. Throughout last year, the exchange also implemented more than 13 service updates across its trading, information and security services, demonstrating its commitment to service integrity and improvement.

Korean Crypto Exchange Presents Bitcoin Forecasts for Three ScenariosRecently, concerns over a potential US default have heightened due to the ongoing disagreement between Republicans and Democrats in the US Congress regarding the necessity of increasing the debt ceiling. Democrats, along with the Biden administration, advocate for authorizing additional debt, while Republicans propose spending cuts.Considering the historical patterns observed in the US and the inherently political nature of this matter, it is improbable that the uncertainty surrounding the debt ceiling raise will endure for an extended period. In the past, when faced with a similar situation in 2011, the debt ceiling was ultimately approved despite significant political divisions. Particularly with upcoming elections next year and escalating concerns of an economic downturn, it is likely that a resolution to the debt ceiling issue will be reached soon.In light of these circumstances, the economic research institute at one of South Korea’s major crypto exchanges Bithumb released a report that outlines three distinct scenarios depicting the potential unfolding of the debt ceiling issue in the US. Additionally, it has offered insights into the potential implications for Bitcoin under each scenario.Photo by Shubham’s Web3 on UnsplashBipartisan agreement to increase the debt ceilingIn the scenario where the debt ceiling is promptly raised as a result of a significant bipartisan agreement, the US is anticipated to adopt an expansionary fiscal policy by issuing government bonds to prevent a default. If a debt ceiling deal is reached, it is projected that short-term bond issuance will reach a net amount of $1.4 trillion by the end of the year. There is also a growing consensus that medium- and long-term bond issuance may commence in the third quarter. Additionally, the possibility of interest rate cuts as early as the second half of this year entered the equation. In the long term, this could potentially lead to a depreciation of the dollar as market liquidity increases, thereby weakening the currency. It is worth noting that historically, the value of Bitcoin tended to go up when market liquidity rises.Debt ceiling disagreement and delayed negotiationsAnother scenario entails the failure of the two parties to reach an agreement and a subsequent delay in approving a raise to the debt ceiling. Should the debt ceiling not be raised in a timely manner, the US would potentially encounter an unparalleled default on its debt obligations. This default could trigger a severe credit crunch, resulting from international credit downgrades and a weakened global standing for the US. Such circumstances would further escalate the risk of an economic crisis.As the negotiations on the debt limit continue to be delayed, there will be a prolonged period of uncertainty in both Treasury issuance and secondary markets. This uncertainty poses risks to money market funds (MMFs) that hold a significant portion of short-term Treasuries, potentially resulting in losses. Consequently, there could be a shift towards reverse repo (RRP) transactions as investors seek alternative avenues. In fact, Treasury liquidity has recently exhibited signs of deterioration, with MMFs and RRPs garnering considerable attention in the market.Heightened concerns regarding short-term Treasuries could lead to a higher volume of reverse repo trades compared to repo trades. Repo transactions use Treasuries as collateral, whereas reverse repo transactions involve depositing funds with the Fed or lending money to the Fed in exchange for collateral, which often includes Treasuries, thereby earning interest. In such a scenario, market liquidity could become trapped in the Fed, potentially rekindling risks within the banking system.Given their sensitivity to liquidity conditions, crypto markets are anticipated to experience a temporary decline. However, Bitcoin has exhibited a historical pattern of appreciating in value as an alternative to the US banking system, especially during instances of small and medium-sized bank failures. In the event of prolonged negotiations and an escalating risk of a US default, the demand for safe-haven assets like Bitcoin might surge. As a result, Bitcoin could gain favorability as investors seek refuge in alternative assets amidst uncertain market conditions.Linking debt ceiling increase to spending reductionThe last scenario involves a conditional agreement accompanied by measures aimed at reducing the deficit, as proposed by Republicans. Given the longstanding concerns surrounding excessive US deficits, any agreement to raise the debt ceiling would likely be contingent upon fiscal consolidation and spending cuts. Notably, as of March 31, 2023, the US federal deficit is approximately 8% of GDP, a figure comparable to the 8.3% average observed in 2011 when the possibility of a US default reached its peak.While fiscal consolidation is necessary to ensure fiscal sustainability, unless the US significantly increases tax revenues, an increase in the debt ceiling may be negotiated at the expense of significant cuts to the national budget. In such a case, the US economy would inevitably experience the adverse effects of reduced government spending.The Republican party has put forth a demand of $4.8 trillion in deficit reduction over the next ten years as a condition for raising the debt ceiling. This figure translates to an average of $480 billion per year or approximately 1.8% of the current year’s GDP (as of May). However, it is important to note that in the medium to long term, reductions in government spending without complementary expansionary monetary policies have the potential to accelerate GDP decline. If Congress agrees to cuts in government spending, it could increase the probability of the Fed swiftly reversing its tightening policy. Unless the Fed halts its tightening measures, the likelihood of a US recession may become more pronounced.If the Fed decides to cut interest rates earlier than anticipated in response to the Treasury’s fiscal consolidation efforts, Bitcoin, which is known to be more responsive to long-term monetary policy, might be able to overcome the short-term downturn and experience an upward trend.The authors contend that at present, market attention is primarily directed towards the matter of raising the debt ceiling, taking into account the potential risks of a US default and the possibility of a bond rating downgrade. However, they believe it is unlikely that US politicians will make radical decisions in the run-up to next year’s presidential election.While the issue of raising the debt ceiling will have a short-term impact, the report argues that the main drivers of Bitcoin’s price in the medium to long term will be the Fed’s monetary policy and the occurrence of Bitcoin’s halving event.It is important to note that there is a time lag between the end of the Fed’s tightening measures and the halving of Bitcoin. In the short term, the price trajectory of Bitcoin will likely be influenced by factors such as the potential failure of additional small and medium-sized US banks (which is concerning given recent outflows of US bank deposits) and increased demand for safe-haven assets due to the delay in raising the debt ceiling. These factors will play a greater role in shaping Bitcoin’s short-term performance.

Laser Digital Expands Global Presence with New Tokyo OfficeLaser Digital Asset Management, the digital asset subsidiary of Japanese financial giant Nomura, is taking significant steps in its global expansion strategy by opening a new office in Tokyo, Japan. That’s according to a statement published by the firm on Monday.Photo by Jaison Lin on UnsplashNomura executive appointmentTo lead this strategic move, Hideaki Kudo, a seasoned professional with a distinguished career at Nomura, has been appointed as the Representative Director and Head of Laser Digital’s Japanese operations.Kudo’s impressive journey within the Nomura Group began in 2007 when he joined Nomura Asset Management, where he later held the position of Senior Portfolio Manager. Over the years, he played a pivotal role in contributing to the group’s success. His expertise caught the attention of Nomura’s Digital Company, where he served as an Executive Director, responsible for shaping the group’s digital asset strategy. Kudo’s track record includes spearheading essential projects such as the development of security tokens and orchestrating Japan’s first-ever real estate security token offering.Commenting on his new role at Laser Digital, Kudo expressed his excitement, stating:“It’s exciting to join Laser as they expand operations to Japan. Since 2019, I have been managing Nomura’s advancements into the digital asset space, and I am delighted to now join the Laser team on their journey.”Earlier this year the firm strengthened its venture capital arm through the appointment of industry veteran Florent Jouanneau as a new partner.Zurich-headquartered Laser Digital, launched by Nomura last autumn, is led by Co-Founders Steven Ashley and Jez Mohideen. Ashley, a former leader of Nomura’s wholesale division, emphasized the importance of having 24/7 operational management to optimize support for their trading business.Setting their sights on Japan for expansion into the Far East, Kudo’s extensive experience at the Digital Company is expected to be invaluable for Laser Digital’s development and growth. Laser Digital uniquely combines the discipline and capabilities of global investment banking with the expertise of a crypto-native team.Broader expansion strategyLaser Digital’s expansion into Japan aligns with a broader trend of crypto companies seeking growth opportunities in Asia, as noted by Laser Digital CEO Jez Mohideen. In a recent interview, Mohideen expressed optimism about the crypto ecosystems in Japan and Hong Kong, highlighting the potential for significant growth in the region.He also emphasized the importance of regulatory clarity in Asia and the Middle East, suggesting that these factors would play a pivotal role in driving crypto adoption. In August, Laser Digital secured a crypto license from Dubai’s virtual asset regulatory authority, enabling the provision of virtual asset broker-dealer and investment services from its Dubai entity. Last month the company received in-principle approval from the Abu Dhabi Global Market (ADGM), further solidifying its presence in the Middle East.As Laser Digital continues to expand its global footprint, the appointment of Hideaki Kudo and the establishment of a new office in Tokyo mark significant milestones in the company’s journey to provide comprehensive digital asset solutions to clients worldwide. With Kudo’s leadership and Nomura’s backing, Laser Digital is attempting to position itself for further success in the burgeoning crypto industry.