Analysts expect crypto market cap to triple or more next year

On Monday, Hong Kong's spot Bitcoin exchange-traded funds (ETFs) marked their first cumulative daily Bitcoin outflows, with the sole occurrence arising from China Asset Management's (ChinaAMC) ETF. ChinaAMC's spot Bitcoin ETF witnessed an outflow of 75.36 Bitcoin, while the other two ETFs reported zero inflows. This development comes after these ETFs debuted on the Hong Kong Stock Exchange on April 30.Photo by Kanchanara on UnsplashInsights into daily trading dynamics and metricsOn their inaugural trading day, the three funds garnered an inflow of 3,910 BTC, as per data from SoSo Value. However, it's important to note that shares acquired through in-kind subscriptions of physical Bitcoin are not counted as U.S. dollar-based cash flows in SoSo Value's daily net inflow statistics. Instead, SoSo Value employs the Bitcoin-inflow metric, measuring the actual flow of Bitcoin into or out of all ETFs on a given trading day. As of Monday, the combined holdings of the three ETFs stood at approximately 4,150 Bitcoin, with total net assets reaching $266.8 million from $247.7 million on the debut day, according to SoSo Value data. Farside Investors' data corroborated similar findings, indicating an outflow of $4.9 million from ChinaAMC's spot Bitcoin ETF on Monday, while the other two ETFs saw no inflows. Trading volume and market activityDespite the outflows, the total trading volume for the three ETFs surged to $8.6 million on Monday, up from $8.01 million the previous Friday, according to SoSo Value data. Meanwhile, in contrast, spot Bitcoin ETFs in the United States witnessed a net inflow of $217.06 million on the same day, with Grayscale's GBTC fund registering its second consecutive daily net inflow.

Financial technology firm Circle is taking a measured approach in Hong Kong, favoring focus over expansion. In an interview with the Hong Kong Economic Journal, cited by local financial content provider AAStocks, Yam Ki Chan, the company’s vice president for Asia Pacific, said there are no current plans to issue a stablecoin pegged to the Hong Kong dollar. Still, he noted the company’s openness to partnering with local initiatives, adding that Circle has been in discussions with several firms to share its expertise and insights. The firm hopes the Chinese special administrative region will evolve into a launchpad for stablecoins tied to the local currency alongside other major currencies. Chan said Circle is doubling down on its two core products, the U.S. dollar stablecoin USDC and the euro stablecoin EURC. He pointed out that USDC has been catching on across the region, with more local corporations and professional investors starting to use it. His comments come after the Stablecoins Ordinance came into force on Aug. 1 in the city, setting up a mandatory licensing system for issuers under the Hong Kong Monetary Authority (HKMA). The regulator has said it does not plan to hand out the first licenses until early next year.Photo by tommao wang on UnsplashMoving assets on-chainWhile Circle continues to focus on stablecoins, other firms are finding new ways to bring traditional assets on-chain. DL Holdings, a Hong Kong-headquartered one-stop financial services group, is moving ahead with plans to tokenize about $40 million worth of its non-voting Class B membership interest in ONE Carmel, its luxury real estate investment project in California’s San Francisco Bay Area. The initiative, the firm’s first step into real-world asset (RWA) tokenization, will use blockchain-based smart contracts to automate distributions, transfers, and investor rights, allowing the company to pay out dividends to shareholders and give on-chain investors a chance to participate in ONE Carmel. Insurance is another testbed for blockchain. Anthea Holding Limited, a crypto-fintech licensed by the Bermuda Monetary Authority, raised $22 million in a Series A led by Yunfeng Financial. The proceeds will fund what Anthea says is the world’s first life insurance policy denominated in Ethereum (ETH). Yunfeng Financial, listed in Hong Kong, has close ties to Alibaba founder Jack Ma. Mainland firms deepen crypto exposureMainland companies are stepping into crypto investments. Hangzhou-based Jiuzi Holdings, a Nasdaq-listed operator of new energy vehicle stores, said it completed a private placement transaction settled in 100 Bitcoin. The company plans to allocate the proceeds to building a digital-asset custody platform and developing encrypted storage systems. Separately, China Renaissance is seeking to raise around $600 million for a publicly listed vehicle designed to invest in BNB, the cryptocurrency tied to Binance, according to Bloomberg. Venture firm YZi Labs, formerly Binance Labs, is expected to join the effort. In an August filing, the Beijing-based investment bank said it would commit about $100 million of its own capital to BNB. If completed, the proceeds would establish a U.S.-based crypto treasury company to hold and manage BNB reserves. Back in Hong Kong, momentum in the digital asset sector is now reaching the capital markets. HashKey Group, the financial services firm behind a licensed crypto exchange, has confidentially filed for an initial public offering in the city. Bloomberg reported the plan, citing a source familiar with the matter. The listing could take place as early as this year and raise up to $500 million. Market bounces back on softer trade rhetoricAmid these developments, crypto prices have rebounded from sharp losses linked to trade tensions between Washington and Beijing. The market had tumbled after U.S. President Donald Trump threatened to impose additional 100% tariffs on China. Sentiment shifted when Trump softened his stance on Truth Social, writing, “Don’t worry about China, it will all be fine!” and “The U.S.A. wants to help China, not hurt it!!!” Bitcoin reflected that whiplash. The token dropped to $103,893.3 on Oct. 10 during what Investing.com described as the largest single-day liquidation in crypto history at nearly $19 billion in positions. It has since recovered to $112,608.31 as of publication time. 

EMERGE Group, a leading Southeast Asian marketing technology firm specializing in intellectual property (IP) and gaming partnerships, has forged a strategic alliance with TZ APAC in an effort to drive Web3 gaming relative to the Tezos layer one blockchain. Singapore-based TZ APAC is a Web3 ecosystem builder dedicated to advancing the Web3 ecosystem on the Tezos blockchain by empowering founders, creators and developers. It’s also the Asian adoption entity supported by the Tezos Foundation with a mandate to garner adoption of the Tezos blockchain within the region. EMERGE is also a Singapore-based entity that established itself during the pandemic.Photo by Rodion Kutsaiev on UnsplashPositioning Tezos as preferred gaming blockchainNews of the partnership was publicized recently within "The Baking Sheet," a bulletin published by an independent not-for-profit entity, Tezos Commons. The primary focus of this partnership is to offer marketing solutions and publishing partnership support. EMERGE Group, known for its expertise and influential network, including partnerships with Moonton, Singtel and Shopback, aims to position Tezos as the preferred blockchain platform for the gaming community. Leveraging advertising inventories and critical IPs, EMERGE Group intends to facilitate the seamless onboarding of game studios onto the Tezos blockchain. Tezos, renowned for its open-source blockchain emphasizing upgradability, participation and smart contract safety, joins forces with EMERGE Group, which has previously established strategic alliances with industry leaders like Nvir World and Infinite Loop Media. This partnership is seeking to make an impact within the gaming industry, harnessing the potential of blockchain technology. Jason Lim, responsible for business development (gaming) at TZ APAC, commented on the partnership:“With this collaboration, TZ APAC can now rely on a partner that shares the same goal — to empower the gaming community with the relevant tools, resources, and network to succeed. Builders, gamers, and ecosystem partners can stand to benefit from the marriage of full-suite support provided by TZ APAC and the marketing prowess of EMERGE Group.”  EMERGE Group co-founder and CEO Roy Kek was similarly enthused, stating that the partnership reflected the firm’s expertise in the Web3 gaming space. Bridging Web2 to Web3The collaborative effort is designed to create a bridge between Web2 and Web3 technologies, enhancing the overall gaming experience. By fostering a supportive environment for game developers and capitalizing on Tezos' blockchain capabilities, the partnership aims to deliver a frictionless onboarding experience.  The collaboration between EMERGE Group and TZ APAC signifies a proactive move towards the integration of gaming into the Web3 ecosystem on Tezos. In the past, gaming giant Ubisoft has leaned on Tezos in providing in-game items for some of its gaming titles. The project has partnered with Google Cloud in an effort to enable Google Cloud customers to build Web3 applications on the blockchain. It’s still early days for Web3 gaming and with that, this partnership is seeking to advance gaming development on Tezos.