Analysts expect crypto market cap to triple or more next year

Speaking at the World Economic Forum in Davos, Hong Kong Financial Secretary Paul Chan Mo-po said digital assets should support the real economy, but only within a framework of strong safeguards to protect financial stability, market integrity, and investors.Photo by Ruslan Bardash on UnsplashAccording to the South China Morning Post, Chan addressed a closed-door workshop on Jan. 20, where he highlighted the advantages of digital assets, including greater transparency, improved risk management, and more efficient capital movement. Reviewing milestones in the city’s crypto sector, Chan said that since 2023, Hong Kong has issued three tranches of tokenized green bonds worth a combined $2.1 billion. He also pointed to a Hong Kong Monetary Authority pilot launched last November that enables real-value transactions using tokenized deposits and digital assets. Chan added that the city’s stablecoin licensing regime is progressing, with the first licenses expected in the first quarter. Same risks, same regulationsWhile emphasizing the necessity of financial innovation, Chan highlighted Hong Kong’s regulatory philosophy, which dictates that identical activities posing identical risks must be subject to identical regulations. He explained that this approach is designed to promote healthy, responsible, and sustainable sector development, reiterating that protective measures against financial instability remain mandatory. As Hong Kong officials continue to promote the city’s digital asset push on the international stage, a local industry body has cautioned that proposed licensing frameworks for crypto trading, advisory, and management services may have unintended consequences if rolled out without transitional measures. Industry group calls for grace periodAccording to Cointelegraph, the Hong Kong Securities & Futures Professionals Association (HKSFPA) said in a submission to regulators that existing market participants could be compelled to halt operations under the new rules unless a grace period is provided. The association called for a transitional deeming arrangement of six to 12 months for firms that file licence applications before the regulations formally take effect. No definitive start date has been set for the planned virtual asset regulatory regimes, which remain under consultation. Two days before issuing those comments, the HKSFPA had cautioned that the planned introduction of the Organisation for Economic Co-operation and Development’s (OECD) Crypto Asset Reporting Framework (CARF) and related Common Reporting Standard (CRS) amendments could create new operational and legal risks for local firms. The group said it supported the policy direction in principle but warned that uncapped per-account penalties and open-ended director liability could raise compliance risks, urging regulators to introduce clear caps and legal safeguards. The association also called for lighter requirements for entities with no reportable activity, the development of data file preparation tools from both the industry and the Inland Revenue Department (IRD), and the ability to transfer record-keeping responsibilities to third parties upon dissolution. Elsewhere in the region, Japan implemented the CARF on Jan. 1, 2026. Users of Japanese exchanges must now declare tax residence, while operators are required to submit transaction data—including trading volumes and asset breakdowns—to tax authorities by April 30 of the following year. Data regarding non-resident users is expected to be shared with foreign authorities under international agreements. Other jurisdictions are following suit, with India planning to adopt the framework by 2027. 

The Virtual Assets Regulatory Authority (VARA), the regulatory body which oversees the digital assets market within the emirate of Dubai in the United Arab Emirates (UAE), has taken corrective action against seven unlicensed crypto entities. Fines issuedAccording to an enforcement notice, published to the VARA website on October 8, the agency issued fines relative to a number of firms that it found were engaging in unlicensed virtual asset-related trading activity. The fines ranged from between 50,000 to 100,000 UAE dirhams (AED), equivalent to between $13,600 and $27,200 in U.S. dollars. The agency outlined that it was taking this corrective action in order to continue its enforcement efforts so as to safeguard Dubai’s virtual asset ecosystem. In its enforcement notice, the regulator did not disclose the names of the entities that have been sanctioned. The agency said that its investigations are ongoing, in partnership with local law enforcement.  A statement from the Regulatory Affairs and Enforcement division within VARA was provided, stating: “VARA will not tolerate any attempts to operate without appropriate licenses, nor will we allow unauthorized marketing of virtual asset activities. Our marketing regulations further emphasize Dubai’s commitment to ensuring transparency and always protecting stakeholder interests.”Photo by Alex Block on UnsplashCease and desist ordersIn addition to fines, VARA also issued the seven firms with cease and desist orders for breaching marketing regulations. Marketing by crypto firms is an area the regulator has been focusing on recently. Last month, VARA published a press release, outlining that it had updated its crypto regulations to specifically deal with marketing-related matters. Alongside that update, it issued a guidance document, clarifying the responsibilities of virtual asset service providers (VASPs) relative to marketing practices. A schedule of fines was provided in the case of a breach of the regulations, while the update set out a need for a mandatory disclaimer on marketing material to indicate that virtual assets are volatile and may lose their value, fully or partially. The Dubai regulator is not the first to home in on the marketing activities of crypto businesses. In the UK, the Financial Conduct Authority (FCA) enforced additional rules related to crypto marketing in late 2023. Some crypto businesses found the requirements too arduous and left the UK market as a direct consequence. Public warningIn its enforcement notice, the Dubai regulator also had a message for the trading and investing public, stating: “This public warning is VARA’s market notice to all to avoid engaging with any unlicensed firms.” The regulator added that interacting with unlicensed entities exposes both individual investors and institutions to both financial and reputational risk.  Furthermore, it warned of “potential legal consequences” for regulatory violations. “Only firms licensed by VARA are authorised to provide virtual asset services in/from Dubai, and the Authority remains steadfast in its commitment to protect consumers and investors, and to preserve market integrity,” the regulator further asserted. 

The Korea Association of Game Industry (K-GAMES) – the body responsible for overseeing and nurturing the country’s successful gaming industry – released its 2023 Global Game Policy and Legislation Study on Tuesday (KST) in collaboration with the Korea Creative Content Agency (KOCCA).Photo by Tingey Injury Law Firm on UnsplashThe report summarizes gaming-related regulations and laws in six Western European countries – the United Kingdom, Germany, Belgium, the Netherlands, Spain and France – including those on standard terms and conditions, the protection of minors, personal privacy, payment and more. "Through cooperation between public and private sectors, we have been able to achieve tasks like collecting information and securing databases on overseas gaming markets by country and continent," said Kang Shin-chul, President of K-GAMES. "We will continue to contribute to the development of the domestic game industry," he added. Regulatory landscapeThe study found that operators in the specified countries are not required to obtain special licenses, appoint local representatives, or set up servers in order to operate a gaming business in their respective countries. It also details country-specific requirements, such as in Germany, where the use of content that glorifies or justifies Nazi-related symbols or actions is prohibited. A closer look at Belgium’s stanceInterestingly, the report revealed that the regulation of randomly distributed in-game items varied by country. The UK, Germany, Spain, the Netherlands and France have no legal restrictions on such items, but the UK and the Netherlands have recommended that information on the odds of winning them in games of chance should be disclosed before a player obtains or opens an item. Meanwhile, Belgium has implemented a regulation that prohibits paid games of chance for stochastic items altogether due to its laws regarding gambling. However, there are no regulations on Play-to-Earn (P2E) games unless they constitute gambling, which is also true of the other five countries. Minting game items into NFTs is also not subject to oversight in all six nations unless they are considered financial instruments. There are also no standard terms and conditions set by Belgium’s national government for gaming services, which are instead governed by the European Union’s (EU) General Data Protection Regulation (GDPR).