Cryptotax secures pre-series A funding from Hashed

As the cryptocurrency market anticipates the approval of a spot bitcoin exchange-traded fund (ETF) in the United States and the subsequent boost to bitcoin’s unit price, Arthur Hayes, Chief Investment Officer (CIO) of family office Maelstrom, has issued a warning of potential market turbulence. Hayes, better known as the founder of crypto derivatives platform BitMEX, has moved on to Hong Kong-based Maelstrom, a family office that invests in early stage infrastructure ventures that implicate a move towards the decentralization of everything.Photo by Kanchanara on UnsplashMacroeconomic risk factorsIn a detailed blog post on Friday, Hayes outlines a number of macroeconomic variables that could lead to a bitcoin unit price downturn. Hayes begins by highlighting the depletion of the Federal Reserve’s reverse repo program (RRP), which has served as a significant driver for risky assets over the past year. This program allows qualified banks and investment firms to park cash and earn interest on it. The RRP balance has rapidly declined from a record high of $2.5 trillion at the end of 2022 to $700 billion. Hayes projects it to reach its historical average of $200 billion by March. As this liquidity source dwindles, he anticipates negative impacts on bonds and stocks, as well as cryptocurrencies. Fed BTFP expirationThe second factor contributing to the potential market turmoil is the expiration of the Bank Term Funding Program (BTFP) on March 12. This crucial Fed facility is designed to provide longer-term loans to commercial banks. The mechanism aids banking sector stability. Hayes is concerned that the BTFP might not be extended. Such an eventuality could lead to bankruptcy for banks holding massive unrealized losses on their bond holdings. It could lead to a “liquidity rug pull” event reminiscent of the banking crisis in March of the previous year. The crypto OG predicts that such an eventuality would force a response. “The combination of a lack of liquidity gushing from the RRP and the lack of printed money to cover the bond losses on banks’ balance sheets will decimate the financial markets globally,” he wrote. Hayes asserts that the combination of reduced liquidity from the RRP and the lack of printed money to cover bond losses could have a global impact on financial markets. In response to this scenario, he predicts that the Fed will cut interest rates during its March 20 meeting and reinstate the BTFP funding line. ‘Healthy’ correctionIn terms of bitcoin’s price, Hayes foresees a “healthy” correction of 20% to 30% from early March prices if the outlined scenario unfolds. However, he suggests the decline could be as much as 40% if BTC rallies to $60,000-$70,000 in the coming weeks. Despite this temporary plunge, Hayes remains optimistic about bitcoin’s resilience, emphasizing its status as a neutral reserve hard currency that is not a liability of the banking system and is traded globally. In a recent podcast appearance, Hayes expressed the view that the business model of U.S. dollar stablecoin issuer Tether will be challenged once multinational banks receive the go-ahead to offer fiat-backed stablecoins. Overall, Arthur Hayes has urged investors to be cautious and to prepare for potential market volatility in March, emphasizing the importance of understanding the interconnected factors influencing both traditional finance and the cryptocurrency market. 

Blockchain Mainnet FNCY to Collaborate with Web3 Community Platform GALXENetmarble F&C, a subsidiary of South Korean game developer Netmarble, announced on Tuesday that FNCY, the blockchain mainnet of its subsidiary Metaverse World, has established a strategic partnership with Web3 digital credential network GALXE.Photo by Shubham’s Web3 on UnsplashEmpowering the Web3 communityGALXE is a platform with over 11 million users dedicated to building the Web3 community. In collaboration with some 2,900 partners — including networks like Optimism, Polygon, and Arbitrum, among others — it offers rewards like non-fungible tokens (NFTs) and on-chain achievement tokens (OATs) to users when they contribute to their favorite Web3 community.Strengthening the FNCY chainThrough the new partnership, FNCY and GALXE plan to hold various events and campaigns to bolster the FNCY Chain. In addition, various decentralized applications (dApps) onboarding the FNCY Chain will be able to open channels and hold events themselves.“This partnership will play a significant role in adopting blockchain technology on a global scale and providing users with new experiences,” said Charles Wayn, CEO of GALXE.Seo Woo-won, CEO of Netmarble F&C, also described GALXE as the most suitable partner for forming and expanding the Web3 community and FNCY’s blockchain ecosystem.FNCY, previously called CUBE, is a Web3 entertainment platform where users can enjoy various content, including games, webtoons, and web novels. Users can also view transactions, blocks, wallet addresses, and other on-chain data.

Thailand’s Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC), the Southeast Asian nation’s securities regulator, is believed to be considering moving towards approving spot Bitcoin exchange-traded fund (ETF) products.  In an interview with Bloomberg, the Thai SEC’s Secretary-General, Pornanong Budsaratragoon, said that the agency is weighing up whether to allow individual investors and institutions to access spot Bitcoin ETFs. Budsaratragoon stated: “We have to adapt and ensure that our investors have more options in crypto assets with proper protection.”Photo by Photo By: Kaboompics.com on PexelsMoving along with global crypto adoptionJanuary 10 marked the first anniversary of the approval of spot Bitcoin ETFs in the United States. Given that the U.S. is home to the world’s largest capital markets, that decision has had an impact internationally. That reality is borne out by one of Budsaratragoon’s comments. She stated: “Like it or not, we have to move along with more adoption of cryptocurrencies worldwide.” While the SEC Secretary-General’s comment suggests that she feels a compulsion to move forward in line with developments elsewhere, that wasn’t the agency’s position in January 2024 following spot Bitcoin ETF approval in the U.S.  Shortly afterwards, the regulator, alongside its regional counterpart in Singapore, outlined that it had no plans to approve the product in Thailand, stating: "The SEC has been following these developments closely but we do not have a policy to allow spot Bitcoin ETFs to be established in Thailand for the time being.” Initial access to overseas productsIn March of last year, the agency had warmed to the Bitcoin ETF product offering to a greater extent, by approving access to such products listed overseas to high-net-worth individuals and institutions. Off the back of that approval, One Asset Management (ONEAM) launched a fund of funds in June 2024, enabling Thai investors to gain exposure to Bitcoin ETFs which had been publicly listed overseas. Back in October, Nirun Fuwattananukul, CEO of Binance Thailand, stated in an opinion piece published by the Bangkok Post that he felt that the Thai crypto market was moving from retail towards a focus on the institutions. He stated:“By allowing more institutional funds to participate, the SEC is enabling a diverse range of investment strategies and helping digital assets gain broader acceptance in the mainstream.” Fuwattananukul suggested that the local regulator had made some changes on Oct. 9, paving the way for institutional-grade mutual and private funds to invest in crypto products. The approval of locally listed Bitcoin ETF products would broaden investor access to digital assets in Thailand, particularly in relation to institutional investors, which is in line with the thinking of the Binance executive. Earlier this month, Thailand’s Deputy Prime Minister, Pichai Chunhavajira, announced that a pilot program was being launched to help foreign tourists pay for goods and services using crypto within the Thai resort city of Phuket.  Meanwhile, former Thai Prime Minister Thaksin Shinawatra expressed a bullish view on crypto in a speech he made in Bangkok last week. Shinawatra called on the country’s institutions to be more open to cryptocurrency, while citing regulatory developments in the U.S. relative to the emerging asset class.