RBI Governor: No place for ‘crypto mania’ in India despite U.S. ETF approval

It's been nearly ten years since the infamous collapse of the Japanese bitcoin exchange Mt. Gox, with some creditors of the defunct business now claiming to have finally received their long-awaited repayments.Photo by Su San Lee on UnsplashSubreddit payment confirmationsTestimonies shared on the Mt.Gox creditor subreddit and a dedicated Telegram channel reveal that certain payments, in the form of Japanese yen, have been distributed to creditors who opted for PayPal as their preferred mode of receipt. Excitement marked the early stages of this repayment process. Users on Reddit joyfully shared their experiences, with one exclaiming:"I got money!! I just got my initial payment via Paypal!!"This development comes after Mt.Gox rehabilitation trustee, Nobuaki Kobayashi, had previously extended the repayment deadline from Oct. 31, 2023, to Oct. 31, 2024. However, last month, Kobayashi informed creditors that certain cash repayments would be initiated before the year's end. Despite efforts to expedite the process, the sheer volume of creditors and the complexities involved mean that repayments will continue into 2024. The collapse of Mt.Gox in early 2014 triggered global regulatory responses and initiated a nearly decade-long bankruptcy and corporate rehabilitation process. The exchange fell victim to a series of hacks between 2011 and 2014, leaving a lasting impact on the cryptocurrency landscape. The commencement of repayments has been hanging over the crypto market for many years, with many fearing that the process may have a dampening effect on the bitcoin unit price, given that funds are being distributed in Japanese yen and bitcoin. Earlier this year, the U.S. government indicted two Russian nationals for laundering funds stolen from Mt.Gox, shedding light on the enduring legal ramifications stemming from the exchange's demise. Double payment glitchHowever, it appears the process encountered some glitches, as other Reddit posts indicated that a few creditors received double payments via PayPal, adding a new layer of complexity to the already intricate Mt. Gox saga. Reddit users, such as u/rlycreativename, have shared emails they claim to have received from the Mt.Gox Rehabilitation Trustee. The emails acknowledge a system issue leading to inadvertent double transfers and legally obligate recipients to return the surplus amount. While some users have complied with the request and returned the duplicated funds, others have expressed hesitancy, citing the historical challenges creditors faced in obtaining their money. The situation has evoked discussions on Reddit, with users debating whether the Trust deserves a swift return, considering the prolonged struggle creditors endured to reclaim their funds. While it may be tempting for some creditors to hold on to the duplicate payment, such a decision may only serve to heap more misery on long-suffering Mt.Gox creditors. The recent case of Jatinder Singh and Thevamanogari Manivel would be very relevant for creditors to consider. Singh was a customer of well-known digital assets platform Crypto.com. In 2021 the firm inadvertently transferred $10 million to his account. Singh conspired with Manivel to withdraw and keep the funds. A community corrections order of 18 months has been imposed on Manivel in Australia while Singh will be sentenced in February.  

Dunamu, the operator of South Korea’s leading crypto exchange Upbit, announced today that it launched a new crypto price tracking service, Bitcoin-Ethereum Duo Index (Duo Index). The news was reported by the local media outlet Etoday.  The service tracks the two most prominent tokens, Bitcoin and Ethereum, each being the top performer and the runner-up in terms of market capitalization in the crypto asset market. It is a strategy index that equally weights Bitcoin and Ethereum, with their holding ratio updated to 1:1 every month. The weightings of the two cryptocurrencies in the index are subject to an adjustment factor, which is based on their prices. The BTC-ETC Duo Index is currently available on the Upbit Cryptocurrency Index (UBCI) website. Photo by Markus Winkler on UnsplashThe Federal Reserve’s approval of spot Bitcoin ETFs in January has drawn significant attention from many investors, driving up the prices not only of Bitcoin but also Ethereum. Dunamu explained that this heightened interest surrounding Bitcoin and Ethereum is the reason behind its launch of the Duo Index. New tool to boost crypto portfolio’s performance Referencing the Duo Index can help investors estimate their own crypto assets portfolios and boost their performances based on the indicators it offers, including the winning rate of the two coins combined.   The current winning rate of the Duo Index stands at over 58%, which is three percentage points higher than that of the Upbit Market Index (UBMI), which tracks not only Bitcoin and Ethereum but also other altcoins. The high winning rate of the Duo Index demonstrates the bullish sentiment surrounding the two top coins. A Dunamu official stated that the company will continue to keep up with the crypto market trend and further release other strategy indices that would serve the emerging needs of the investors.  

Bitcoin is facing growing uncertainty as it trades near $90,000, down nearly 30% from its October peak of $126,000. While the cryptocurrency remains under pressure, investors are increasingly focused on Tokyo, where a potential change in monetary policy could tighten global liquidity. According to CoinDesk, which cited a report from Nikkei, the Bank of Japan (BOJ) is expected to raise its policy rate by 25 basis points to 0.75%, a move that would push borrowing costs to their highest level in nearly three decades. Historically, a stronger yen has often been associated with weaker Bitcoin performance amid tighter global liquidity.Photo by Kanchanara on UnsplashYen carry trade in focusThe report suggested that higher rates could unwind the yen carry trade, a strategy in which investors borrow cheap yen to fund positions in higher-yielding assets such as stocks and U.S. Treasuries. A similar dynamic played out following the Japanese central bank’s July hike, which precipitated a market-wide selloff that dragged Bitcoin from roughly $65,000 down to $50,000. However, CoinDesk noted that a recurrence of such volatility cannot be assumed. It added that speculative positioning is already skewed toward yen strength, while steadily rising Japanese bond yields suggest monetary policy is adjusting to prevailing market realities. Institutional skepticism toward BitcoinBeyond the macroeconomic landscape, fundamental skepticism remains entrenched among traditional finance heavyweights. John Ameriks, Vanguard’s global head of quantitative equity, said at Bloomberg’s ETFs in Depth conference that the asset behaves more like a speculative digital collectible, comparable to a Labubu toy, than a conventional investment, citing its lack of income generation, compounding, and cash-flow characteristics. Ameriks’ comments follow Vanguard’s move earlier this month to permit trading of select third-party crypto ETFs. He said the decision was based in part on the funds’ ability to establish a track record since their January 2024 launch. While acknowledging that Bitcoin could theoretically offer value during periods of high inflation or political instability, he maintained that its history remains too short to draw conclusions. Bullish case for BitcoinA contrasting view was offered by Katherine Dowling, president of the Bitcoin Standard Treasury Company. Speaking with DL News, Dowling projected that Bitcoin would surge to $150,000 by the end of 2026. She pinned this bullish outlook on favorable U.S. regulatory shifts, increased liquidity from Federal Reserve rate cuts, and sustained institutional adoption via ETFs.The perceived influence of institutional flows was also underscored by a recent weekly survey of 2,000 South Korean investors conducted by CoinNess and Cratos. The data showed that 42.3% of respondents view flows into and out of spot Bitcoin ETFs as the primary price driver. Monetary policies in major economies like the U.S. and Japan ranked second at 26.7%, while 16.3% pointed to shifts in equity markets. Another 11.5% attributed price action to the halving cycle, and 3.4% said they could identify no specific catalyst.