Nexo gets on regulatory ladder in Dubai with initial approval

Bitcoin’s long-standing four-year market cycle tied to halving events may be losing influence, according to a new outlook from crypto exchange Bybit and research firm Block Scholes that examines market conditions through 2026. The report suggests that Bitcoin price action may be increasingly influenced by macroeconomic policy, institutional participation, and market structure rather than by new supply reductions. It says historical cycles have tended to track changes in global liquidity, often measured by global M2, and that this relationship has become more visible, while Bitcoin continues to respond to shifts in expectations for Federal Reserve rate cuts.Photo by Pawel Czerwinski on UnsplashETFs reshaping demand dynamicsThe analysis points to structural changes in demand, citing the launch of spot Bitcoin ETFs and the growth of corporate digital asset treasuries (DATs). The report says ETF flows and corporate balance-sheet allocations are playing a larger role in price formation than retail trading. That shift is disrupting the traditional capital rotation from Bitcoin into Ethereum and then into smaller altcoins and memecoins. As a result, the report suggests broad altcoin rallies may be harder to ignite, with gains depending on whether assets can be incorporated into institutional products such as ETFs. On the macro front, the report says markets are pricing in further Federal Reserve easing, with looser financial conditions potentially supporting a closer relationship between Bitcoin and major stock indexes despite recent underperformance versus U.S. equities. Based on options pricing, the report estimates a 10.3% implied probability that Bitcoin reaches $150,000 by the end of 2026. At present, Bitcoin is trading slightly above $91,000. Index criteria and Japan policy in viewThe analysis also highlights policy risks, including potential volatility tied to concerns over the possible exclusion of Strategy from major stock indexes, which could affect companies holding digital assets on their balance sheets. That risk has since eased after MSCI paused a proposal that would have excluded firms with digital asset reserves, though Benchmark analyst Mark Palmer cautioned that the issue could resurface in future rule reviews. The Bybit-Block Scholes report also cites potential policy tightening by the Bank of Japan later this year as another source of cross-asset risk, following its December rate hike of 25 basis points to a 30-year high of 0.75%. RWA and stablecoinsOne area of focus in the report for 2026 is real-world asset (RWA) tokenization, which it describes as building on the stablecoin adoption that gathered pace last year. That view is echoed in a separate outlook from Moody’s, cited by Cointelegraph, which says fiat-backed stablecoins and tokenized bank deposits are functioning as “digital cash” for settlement, liquidity management, and collateral movement. Moody’s estimates stablecoins processed about $9 trillion in on-chain settlement volume in 2025 and projects banks, asset managers, and infrastructure providers could invest more than $300 billion in digital finance by 2030. As an example, Moody’s cited JPMorgan’s U.S. dollar–denominated deposit token, JPM Coin, as a way digital-cash layers can operate on top of existing banking systems. The bank’s Kinexys unit plans to work with Digital Asset to bring JPM Coin to Digital Asset’s Canton Network in a phased rollout during 2026. This follows JPMorgan’s expansion of the project onto Coinbase’s Ethereum layer-2 network Base for institutional clients. 

Intella X and CARV Team Up to Revolutionize Web3 GamingIntella X, the Web3 blockchain gaming platform developed by South Korean gaming company Neowiz, has entered into a partnership with CARV, a company that is currently building gaming credential infrastructure. Together, they intend to lead the era of innovative and cutting-edge Web3 gaming by improving the gaming experience, such as boosting player engagement and fostering an active gaming community.Photo by Mateov on UnsplashElevating the gaming experienceCARV’s platform provides a multifaceted experience for gamers, allowing them to explore a diverse range of games, collect rewards, and interact with fellow gamers around the world. In particular, they can also create a profile where they can organize all of their gaming achievements into verified and evolving credentials. On the other hand, Intella X offers service protocols like Proof of Contribution to cater to game developers and users in its ecosystem.Expanding horizonsUnder the partnership, CARV will onboard a selection of Intella X games to its CARV Play platform, the first of which will be the mobile Play-to-Earn (P2E) game Crypto Golf Impact and the MMORPG EOS Gold. The company will also support Intella X in order for it to expand its global presence and gain a larger user base, which entails leveraging CARV’s data analysis technology to create effective marketing and in-game quest campaigns to optimize user acquisition.“CARV is excited to partner up with Intella X in an effort to help their games scale by providing targeted user acquisition through player credentials as well as providing user insights that allow Intella X games to truly understand their communities. The Intella X team is filled with industry veterans who know how to disrupt an industry. CARV couldn’t be happier to align with such a strong brand in the space,” said Paul Delio, Head of Business Development at CARV.

Following the recent bitcoin boom, transactions in cryptocurrencies among Korean investors have surged, significantly benefiting local banks that have made contracts with Korean crypto exchanges to offer real-name accounts for crypto investors. As the price of bitcoin soared to as high as KRW 90 million ($67.6 million) in Korea on Thursday, online-only bank Kbank saw an uptick in trading fee revenue, according to local media outlet The Seoul Economic Daily. Kbank is a partner with crypto exchange Upbit, which accounts for 70% of the Korean crypto market.  Under the current law, Korean crypto exchanges offering trading against Korean won must secure real-name accounts from a bank. These banks typically earn fees of KRW 300 to KRW 1,000 per transaction. Currently, other than Kbank, NongHyup Bank offers real-name accounts to Bithumb, Kakaobank to Coinone, Shinhan Bank to Korbit and Jeonbuk Bank to Gopax.Photo by Kanchanara on UnsplashCrypto trading volume up 68.2% in a monthAccording to Xangle, a crypto data intelligence platform, the total crypto trading volume in Korea rose by 68.2% between the last week of January and the last week of February, rising from KRW 2.39 trillion to KRW 40.2 trillion. During the same period, the daily average trading volume also grew from around KRW 4 trillion to KRW 5.7 trillion.   In particular, the bitcoin trading volume on Upbit surged to 19,254 BTC on Feb. 28, reaching the second-highest level since Nov. 10, 2022, when the asset’s trading volume stood at 20,710 BTC. After signing the real-name account contract with Upbit in 2020, Kbank raked in KRW 29.2 billion in fees during the last bull market of 2021, which was equivalent to 14% of its annual interest income of KRW 198 billion and exceeded its net income for the year, which stood at KRW 22.5 billion. Increased bank deposits from exchange usersKbank also saw a substantial rise in its balance sheet, with Upbit users depositing around KRW 2.94 trillion into their real-name accounts. The sum is six times greater than the deposits made into NongHyup Bank by Bithumb users, which stood at KRW 547.1 billion.  Experts see that the surge in Kbank’s user base, which recently surpassed 10 million users, is largely attributed to growing excitement surrounding bitcoin. One crypto insider said that crypto trading fees, which have been on the decline for the past 2 years, could take a turn this year, signaling further gains for the affiliated banks.