UAE deepens its crypto push as Bybit wins full license and institutions move in

Analysts expect crypto market cap to triple or more next yearThe Korbit Research Center, affiliated with South Korean cryptocurrency exchange Korbit, published a report last Friday that provides projections for the crypto market in 2024.The paper includes contributions from its team, notably head of research Peter Chung, as well as research analysts Choy Yoon-young, Kang Dong-hyun and Kim Min-seung.Peter Chung predicts that the total market capitalization of cryptocurrencies could soar to $5 trillion, more than three times greater than its current level of $1.6 trillion. He attributes this potential growth to three key factors: the possibility of the U.S. Federal Reserve easing its monetary policy, the potential approval of spot bitcoin and ether exchange-traded funds (ETFs), and the anticipated Bitcoin halving event expected in April 2024.Photo by Pierre Borthiry — Peiobty on UnsplashFactors driving crypto market growth in 2024Peter Chung suggests that the growth of the crypto market will be driven by the expanding utility of virtual assets. He believes that once ETFs for bitcoin and ether are approved, these cryptocurrencies will become more versatile as investment options. This, in turn, is expected to enhance their reputation and foster wider adoption, having a significant influence on the broader crypto ecosystem beyond the two most dominant cryptocurrencies.Real-world assets and financial firmsChoy anticipates that the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC) will approve spot bitcoin and ether ETFs by the first half of next year. On a different note, Kang focuses on the importance of blockchain technology, particularly emphasizing real-world assets (RWAs) and roll-up solutions. Kang highlights that since RWAs are closely linked with traditional financial institutions, an influx of capital from these entities is likely to boost the RWA market. This interaction between traditional finance and blockchain technology could be a key driver of growth in the sector.Regulatory changes and landscape shiftKim Min-seung, another analyst from the team, forecasts that upcoming regulatory developments could alter the dynamics of the cryptocurrency market. A notable development in this regard is the forthcoming implementation of the Virtual Asset User Protection Act in South Korea, set for July next year. According to Kim, these changes might result in a scenario where only competitive cryptocurrencies survive.Kim elaborates that the perception of virtual assets is poised for a shift. Currently, crypto investors tend to base their decisions on expectations of arbitrary cryptocurrency inflation. However, once new regulations are implemented, investors are likely to start assessing the actual value of virtual assets more critically. This shift in approach could lead to a more value-driven and stable cryptocurrency market, as speculative tendencies might decrease and a focus on intrinsic value increases.According to local news outlet website The Asia Business Daily, Peter Chung anticipates further growth in the cryptocurrency market next year, following its rebound this year. He suggests that this growth trajectory will not only continue but also attract increased attention from the public.

Latest Chinese Crypto Crackdown Sees Influencer Accounts Shut DownMicro blogging platform Sina Weibo, one of China’s most popular social media platforms boasting over 258 million daily active users, has taken decisive action to enforce the country’s stringent regulations on cryptocurrency activities.Photo by Henry Chen on Unsplash80 accounts removedIn its latest announcement on Tuesday, the platform revealed the removal of 80 influencer accounts dedicated to promoting cryptocurrency-related content. These accounts collectively held a substantial following, with over 8 million followers combined.The move by Weibo comes as a response to official legislation aimed at cracking down on activities that breach a range of regulations encompassing telecommunications, finance, banking, online marketing, securities, exchanges, and internet safety. The 80 influencer accounts in question had actively violated these regulations by endorsing and promoting cryptocurrencies.Ongoing enforcementThis isn’t the first time Weibo has undertaken such a measure. It has been periodically purging crypto-related accounts since China’s cryptocurrency ban took effect in September 2021. In March of this year, Weibo already took down 131 accounts associated with crypto and stock trading activities.The most significant nationwide crackdown occurred in August 2022 when the Cyberspace Administration of China (CAC) stepped in, resulting in the removal of a staggering 12,000 influencer accounts across both Weibo and Baidu. Furthermore, 51,000 promotional posts related to cryptocurrencies were deleted. The CAC justified these actions by emphasizing their intent to protect the public’s property safety, educate citizens on responsible investment practices, and discourage participation in speculative cryptocurrency trading activities.Weibo echoed similar sentiments in their previous enforcement actions, vowing to increase the crackdown on illegal securities activities on their platform while strictly adhering to legal regulations.Worldwide issueCrypto promotion and crypto influencers are coming under increased scrutiny worldwide. In a recent filing by the Department of Justice (DoJ) in the United States in its criminal prosecution against Sam Bankman-Fried, the Founder and former CEO of failed crypto exchange FTX, it asserted that promotion by way of ads featuring US comedian Larry David and American sports star Tom Brady had blurred the lines between FTXs international and US businesses.Class action lawsuits have been instigated against a long list of crypto influencers and promoters relative to FTX, Celsius, BlockFi, and a number of other high-profile failed crypto platforms.Last month, details emerged of a grizzly end for Argentinian crypto influencer Fernando Perez Algaba, whose dismembered body was found in a suitcase in a town close to the Argentinian capital, Buenos Aires.China’s intensified scrutiny over crypto activities in recent years is driven by multiple factors, including concerns about capital flight, money laundering, and the imperative to safeguard state-controlled cryptocurrency initiatives. These measures have not only affected domestic investors but have also had unintended consequences for international cryptocurrency enthusiasts.

Early on Thursday bitcoin surged to a record high in terms of its valuation in Japanese yen, outpacing its valuations in other leading fiat currencies such as U.S. dollars, euros, British pounds and Australian dollars. Currency devaluationThis increase in yen valuation can be attributed to the recent depreciation of the Japanese currency against the backdrop of continued money printing by the Bank of Japan (BoJ) and resurging inflation, which have collectively weakened sentiment surrounding the yen. Fiat currencies, including the Japanese yen, lack backing by hard assets and derive their value solely from market perceptions. The current rally of bitcoin is indicative of the prevailing market sentiments, with the yen exhibiting particular vulnerability among major fiat currencies. For instance, early market activity on Thursday witnessed bitcoin, often hailed by proponents as digital gold, hitting a fresh all-time high of 7.9 million yen on Tokyo-based cryptocurrency exchange bitFLYER. In contrast, the cryptocurrency's dollar-denominated price hovered above $52,000, still 32% below its peak of $69,000 in November 2021. This price disparity underscores the strain on the Japanese yen, fueled by the Bank of Japan's persistent liquidity easing measures, rising inflationary pressures and indications of economic fragility.Photo by jun rong loo on UnsplashEntering recessionThis recent surge coincides with reports confirming Japan's descent into an economic recession by the end of the previous year, slipping to fourth place behind Germany in terms of the world’s largest economies. While central banks worldwide, including the Federal Reserve, aggressively raised interest rates in attempts to curb inflation, the Bank of Japan maintained near-zero interest rates and continued printing fiat currency. A recession characterized by inflation without corresponding growth prompts investors to seek refuge in safer havens like gold and digital gold. With that, there could be further opportunities for bitcoin to make further in-roads in Japan. In 2023, Japan's core inflation, excluding volatile food and energy components from the consumer price index (CPI), rose by 3.1%, marking its most significant increase since 1982. Consequently, the yen depreciated to a 33-year low against the dollar, declining by 13% and 7.5% against the dollar previously, with an additional 6.4% decrease this year. Bitcoin's persistent premium in Japanese yen terms suggests that it may continue to maintain higher valuations unless the Bank of Japan accelerates its exit from the ultra-loose monetary policy it has been pursuing. That would make yen holdings relatively more attractive compared to other assets. Although a complete regulatory framework for digital assets in Japan is still lacking, the country has recently moved to make tax rules more crypto-friendly. Bitcoin's elevated valuation against the Japanese yen underscores the challenges facing Japan's fiat currency, driven by monetary policy decisions and economic uncertainties.