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Japan’s rate hike looms over Bitcoin as institutional skepticism persists

Markets·December 15, 2025, 9:30 PM

Bitcoin is facing growing uncertainty as it trades near $90,000, down nearly 30% from its October peak of $126,000. While the cryptocurrency remains under pressure, investors are increasingly focused on Tokyo, where a potential change in monetary policy could tighten global liquidity.

 

According to CoinDesk, which cited a report from Nikkei, the Bank of Japan (BOJ) is expected to raise its policy rate by 25 basis points to 0.75%, a move that would push borrowing costs to their highest level in nearly three decades. Historically, a stronger yen has often been associated with weaker Bitcoin performance amid tighter global liquidity.

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Yen carry trade in focus

The report suggested that higher rates could unwind the yen carry trade, a strategy in which investors borrow cheap yen to fund positions in higher-yielding assets such as stocks and U.S. Treasuries. A similar dynamic played out following the Japanese central bank’s July hike, which precipitated a market-wide selloff that dragged Bitcoin from roughly $65,000 down to $50,000.

 

However, CoinDesk noted that a recurrence of such volatility cannot be assumed. It added that speculative positioning is already skewed toward yen strength, while steadily rising Japanese bond yields suggest monetary policy is adjusting to prevailing market realities.

 

Institutional skepticism toward Bitcoin

Beyond the macroeconomic landscape, fundamental skepticism remains entrenched among traditional finance heavyweights. John Ameriks, Vanguard’s global head of quantitative equity, said at Bloomberg’s ETFs in Depth conference that the asset behaves more like a speculative digital collectible, comparable to a Labubu toy, than a conventional investment, citing its lack of income generation, compounding, and cash-flow characteristics.

 

Ameriks’ comments follow Vanguard’s move earlier this month to permit trading of select third-party crypto ETFs. He said the decision was based in part on the funds’ ability to establish a track record since their January 2024 launch. While acknowledging that Bitcoin could theoretically offer value during periods of high inflation or political instability, he maintained that its history remains too short to draw conclusions.

 

Bullish case for Bitcoin

A contrasting view was offered by Katherine Dowling, president of the Bitcoin Standard Treasury Company. Speaking with DL News, Dowling projected that Bitcoin would surge to $150,000 by the end of 2026. She pinned this bullish outlook on favorable U.S. regulatory shifts, increased liquidity from Federal Reserve rate cuts, and sustained institutional adoption via ETFs.


The perceived influence of institutional flows was also underscored by a recent weekly survey of 2,000 South Korean investors conducted by CoinNess and Cratos. The data showed that 42.3% of respondents view flows into and out of spot Bitcoin ETFs as the primary price driver. Monetary policies in major economies like the U.S. and Japan ranked second at 26.7%, while 16.3% pointed to shifts in equity markets. Another 11.5% attributed price action to the halving cycle, and 3.4% said they could identify no specific catalyst.

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Web3 & Enterprise·

Sep 04, 2025

UAE’s RAK Properties to accept crypto payments through Hubpay partnership

RAK Properties has signed a strategic agreement with Hubpay that will allow international buyers to pay for homes in the United Arab Emirates (UAE) using digital assets, the real estate developer said in a Sept. 1 statement on its website. Under the arrangement, customers can settle property purchases with major cryptocurrencies, including USDT, Bitcoin (BTC), and Ethereum (ETH). Payments will be processed on Hubpay’s regulated platform, converted into UAE dirhams, and transferred directly to RAK Properties’ account. The company said it will not handle digital assets directly. Instead, all transactions will be processed by Hubpay and its partners, who are licensed by Dubai’s Virtual Assets Regulatory Authority (VARA), to ensure compliance and transparency. The initiative is aimed at drawing new categories of overseas investors to Ras Al Khaimah, the UAE’s sixth-most populous city, including the developer’s Mina waterfront community.Photo by Precondo CA on UnsplashUAE’s crypto market expands amid rising risksThe move comes amid growing crypto activity in the UAE. A Chainalysis report last year ranked the Middle East & North Africa as the seventh-largest crypto market and noted that the UAE’s decentralized finance adoption was above the global average, citing regulatory clarity. From July 2023 to June 2024, crypto inflows to the UAE leaned heavily toward stablecoins, which represented 51.3% of value received, compared with 44.7% worldwide. Bitcoin’s share was smaller than the global average at 16.5% versus 22.3%, while altcoins and Ethereum showed little difference at 24.4% and 7.8%, respectively. At the state level, the UAE itself has emerged as a significant player. Based on Arkham’s tracking, it is the world’s fourth-largest government Bitcoin holder, with about 6,352 BTC ($703 million). In contrast to the U.S. and U.K., whose holdings largely stem from law enforcement seizures, the UAE’s reserves come from mining through Citadel Mining. The firm is majority-owned by 2PointZero under the International Holding Company (IHC), which is chaired by Sheikh Tahnoun bin Zayed al-Nahyan, the UAE’s national security adviser and a prominent member of the ruling family in Abu Dhabi. As crypto use has grown, so too have the risks. In the first half of this year, the UAE recorded the world’s largest average per-victim losses from crypto crime, with nearly $80,000 stolen per individual, according to Chainalysis. Only the U.S. came close to that figure, while Chile, India, Lithuania, Japan, Iran, Israel, Norway, and Germany rounded out the global top ten. Harmonizing crypto rulesAmid a shifting crypto landscape, regulatory structures in the UAE are continuing to evolve. At the federal level, the Securities and Commodities Authority (SCA) supervises virtual asset services, while the Central Bank of the UAE (CBUAE) oversees payment tokens. The Dubai International Financial Centre and the Abu Dhabi Global Market operate their own frameworks. Last month, the SCA and VARA introduced a cooperation framework to harmonize oversight and allow mutual recognition of licenses, though the system stops short of automatic passporting in order to preserve national security controls. In related developments, the National Bank of Ras Al Khaimah (RAKBANK) became the first bank in the UAE to partner with Bitpanda Technology Solutions, a Vienna-based crypto exchange and digital assets infrastructure provider. The partnership, which builds on earlier work exploring the issuance of digital payment tokens, is expected to give RAKBANK customers access to a variety of crypto use cases. 

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Policy & Regulation·

Dec 14, 2023

KuCoin resolves lawsuit through settlement and New York market exit

KuCoin resolves lawsuit through settlement and New York market exitKuCoin, one of the largest global cryptocurrency exchanges, has arrived at a comprehensive settlement with the authorities in the state of New York in the United States, agreeing to pay $22 million.Photo by Michael Discenza on UnsplashSubstantial fine and refundsThe settlement not only involves a substantial fine but also includes refunds to New York investors and the cessation of trading activities in the state. This resolution comes amidst an assertive effort by New York authorities to shape and regulate the crypto landscape within the state.According to a statement released by New York Attorney General Letitia James on Tuesday, KuCoin will refund a total of $16.7 million to 177,800 New York investors. In addition to the refunds, KuCoin will pay a $5.3 million fine to the state.The settlement addresses allegations that KuCoin failed to register as a securities and commodities broker-dealer while falsely presenting itself as a cryptocurrency exchange.Taking to social media platform X, James wrote:”My office is making crypto platform @kucoincom pay over $22 million for illegally operating in New York. KuCoin is also banned from doing business in our state. Shady cryptocurrency platforms must play by the same set of rules as everyone else or face the consequences.”At the time of taking action against KuCoin in March, James described the lawsuit as “our eighth action to rein in shadowy cryptocurrency platforms that disregard our laws and put New Yorkers at risk.”Lack of registrationKuCoin, based in the Seychelles, allows investors to trade digital assets through its website and app. However, the state of New York argued that KuCoin could not legitimately claim to be an exchange due to its lack of registration with the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC) and the proper designation by the Commodity Futures Trading Commission (CFTC), as mandated by state law.Ranked as the fourth-largest exchange by spot and derivatives trading volume, KuCoin’s KCS token, a profit-sharing token on the platform, has experienced a 39% increase since the start of the week. At the time of writing, it has a unit price of $13.80. This surge is a consequence of the clarity and finality brought about by the settlement, alongside rising expectations for a U.S. exchange-traded fund (ETF) directly investing in Bitcoin, sparking a broader rally in lesser-known cryptocurrencies over the past month.Potential rumorsKuCoin CEO Johnny Lyu took to the X platform on Tuesday to outline details of the settlement. Interestingly, Lyu included this notification:”I also want to give you a heads-up about potential rumors surfacing in the next few weeks. Please stick to the official website of KuCoin for accurate information.”While the settlement may have brought a certain degree of clarity to the KuCoin platform, Lyu’s comment suggests that there may be other issues about to emerge in the short term.The lawsuit against KuCoin is part of a broader regulatory trend in New York, with Attorney General James having previously filed a similar complaint against CoinEx. Additionally, a settlement in January involving crypto companies Nexo Inc. and Nexo Capital Inc. resulted in a financial resolution of up to $24 million for New York and nine other states.

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Web3 & Enterprise·

Aug 08, 2023

XPLA Teams Up With OLA GG to Build Web3 Ecosystem for Hispanic Gamers

XPLA Teams Up With OLA GG to Build Web3 Ecosystem for Hispanic GamersXPLA, a blockchain project led by major Korean gaming company Com2uS, announced on Tuesday its new partnership with OLA Guild Games (OLA GG) to establish a Web3 ecosystem for Spanish-speaking gamers.Photo by Shubham Dhage on UnsplashAbout OLA GGOLA GG is renowned as the largest Spanish-speaking Web3 gaming community with over 400,000 participants from different Hispanic regions. It is also the subDAO — a decentralized autonomous organization created by another decentralized autonomous organization — of Yield Guild Games (YGG). With the help of YGG’s infrastructure and assets, the guild onboards gamers to the metaverse and offers various opportunities, including creating various Web3 content and winning rewards through events.A thriving Web3 ecosystem for millionsBased on the partnership with OLA GG, XPLA aims to establish a sustainable Web3 ecosystem for over 450 million Spanish-speaking users across Europe and Latin America to expand its influence and user base. XPLA’s mainnet recently onboarded major play-to-own (P2O) games in July, such as Com2uS Group’s globally popular intellectual property games Summoners War: Chronicle, Ace Fishing: Crew, and Minigame Party.“We expect this exciting collaboration will provide new opportunities and possibilities to the OLA GG community. With XPLA, we will lead the era of new Web3-based games,” said Nico del Pino, co-founder of OLA GG.

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