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Japan’s rate hike looms over Bitcoin as institutional skepticism persists

Markets·December 15, 2025, 9:30 PM

Bitcoin is facing growing uncertainty as it trades near $90,000, down nearly 30% from its October peak of $126,000. While the cryptocurrency remains under pressure, investors are increasingly focused on Tokyo, where a potential change in monetary policy could tighten global liquidity.

 

According to CoinDesk, which cited a report from Nikkei, the Bank of Japan (BOJ) is expected to raise its policy rate by 25 basis points to 0.75%, a move that would push borrowing costs to their highest level in nearly three decades. Historically, a stronger yen has often been associated with weaker Bitcoin performance amid tighter global liquidity.

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Yen carry trade in focus

The report suggested that higher rates could unwind the yen carry trade, a strategy in which investors borrow cheap yen to fund positions in higher-yielding assets such as stocks and U.S. Treasuries. A similar dynamic played out following the Japanese central bank’s July hike, which precipitated a market-wide selloff that dragged Bitcoin from roughly $65,000 down to $50,000.

 

However, CoinDesk noted that a recurrence of such volatility cannot be assumed. It added that speculative positioning is already skewed toward yen strength, while steadily rising Japanese bond yields suggest monetary policy is adjusting to prevailing market realities.

 

Institutional skepticism toward Bitcoin

Beyond the macroeconomic landscape, fundamental skepticism remains entrenched among traditional finance heavyweights. John Ameriks, Vanguard’s global head of quantitative equity, said at Bloomberg’s ETFs in Depth conference that the asset behaves more like a speculative digital collectible, comparable to a Labubu toy, than a conventional investment, citing its lack of income generation, compounding, and cash-flow characteristics.

 

Ameriks’ comments follow Vanguard’s move earlier this month to permit trading of select third-party crypto ETFs. He said the decision was based in part on the funds’ ability to establish a track record since their January 2024 launch. While acknowledging that Bitcoin could theoretically offer value during periods of high inflation or political instability, he maintained that its history remains too short to draw conclusions.

 

Bullish case for Bitcoin

A contrasting view was offered by Katherine Dowling, president of the Bitcoin Standard Treasury Company. Speaking with DL News, Dowling projected that Bitcoin would surge to $150,000 by the end of 2026. She pinned this bullish outlook on favorable U.S. regulatory shifts, increased liquidity from Federal Reserve rate cuts, and sustained institutional adoption via ETFs.


The perceived influence of institutional flows was also underscored by a recent weekly survey of 2,000 South Korean investors conducted by CoinNess and Cratos. The data showed that 42.3% of respondents view flows into and out of spot Bitcoin ETFs as the primary price driver. Monetary policies in major economies like the U.S. and Japan ranked second at 26.7%, while 16.3% pointed to shifts in equity markets. Another 11.5% attributed price action to the halving cycle, and 3.4% said they could identify no specific catalyst.

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Markets·

Jun 03, 2023

Beosin Report: Crypto Rug Pulls Surpass DeFi Exploits in May

Beosin Report: Crypto Rug Pulls Surpass DeFi Exploits in MayAccording to a recent report by blockchain security firm Beosin, losses from “rug pulls” or “exit scams” in the cryptocurrency space exceeded the amount stolen from decentralized finance (DeFi) projects during the month of May.The report, published on June 1 by Beosin Blockchain Security, revealed that rug pulls and scams resulted in losses of over $45 million across six incidents during the month. Beosin is headquartered in Chengdu, in China’s Sichuan province. The firm uses formal verification methods to secure smart contracts.In general there were 22 security incidents in the digital assets space over the course of the month. That overall figure accounts for losses totaling $20 million, and represents a vast improvement on the previous month.Three of the incidents were accounted for by security issues related to hardware wallets such as the Trezor and imKey wallets. Six were rug pulls/crypto scams, two were crypto crime incidents while another implicated a critical vulnerability relative to zero-knowledge proof technology.Photo by Tara Winstead on PexelsDeFi protocol attacksIn contrast, there were 10 attacks on DeFi protocols, amounting to $19.7 million in stolen funds. This figure represents a significant decrease of nearly 80% compared to April, and the losses from these types of exploits had been declining for two consecutive months, as per Beosin’s findings.The largest rug pull incident in May involved the alleged disappearance of $32 million associated with the crypto project Fintoch on May 24. Meanwhile, the largest attack on a DeFi platform was a $7.5 million breach targeting Jimbos protocol, according to Beosin’s report.Shifting hacker strategyBeosin noted a shift in the targeting strategy of hackers and scammers, who are now increasingly focusing their attacks on ordinary users rather than various project parties. To mitigate risks, the report recommended that crypto users enhance their anti-fraud awareness, conduct thorough due diligence before investing in projects, and learn how to improve the security of their digital assets.The report also issued a warning against using shared or public charging devices for mobile phones. Beosin highlighted the potential risks associated with these devices, as they could be manipulated to inject malicious programs that compromise private keys. This caution aligns with a similar advisory issued by the United States Federal Bureau of Investigation (FBI) in April.The FBI’s Denver office cautioned against using public USB ports, including those found at airports, due to the potential introduction of malware and monitoring software onto devices. Instead, they suggested carrying a personal charger and USB cord for use with electrical outlets.As the cryptocurrency landscape continues to evolve, it is crucial for users to remain vigilant and proactive in safeguarding their investments. With the rise of rug pulls and the ongoing threats in the DeFi space, staying informed, exercising caution, and adopting robust security measures are essential for protecting one’s digital assets in this rapidly changing industry.

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Policy & Regulation·

Sep 22, 2023

Linear Finance Dealing With LUSD Exploit

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Web3 & Enterprise·

Jan 11, 2024

Pre-registration for MMORPG Night Crows opens

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