XRP lagging due to technical weakness, oversupply, and institutional neglect, analysis finds

XRP is failing to close the performance gap with Bitcoin and Ethereum due to factors including weakening technical momentum, selling pressure from past buyers looking to break even, and monthly token unlocks, according to an analysis by Watcher.Guru. The outlet noted that XRP has been setting progressively lower highs since its downtrend began in late 2025, with a recent attempt to break past $1.5 proving unsuccessful. With over 60 billion XRP in circulation, monthly escrow releases are also acting as a suppressant on price appreciation. Furthermore, Standard Chartered previously slashed its price target for XRP by 65%, from $8 to $2.8. Institutional fund flows also appear negative. While the XRP spot ETF has seen $1.44 billion in net inflows to date, 84% of this capital came from retail investors. Weekly net inflows have also plummeted from an initial $200 million to less than $2 million recently, the analysis explained.