BTC tends to rebound year after underperforming S&P 500

An analysis suggests a historical pattern where Bitcoin rebounds in the year after its returns lag behind the S&P 500, The Crypto Basic reported. According to the crypto trading platform Land Group, BTC has historically achieved excess returns in the year following a significant underperformance against the index. Land Group explained that in 2014, BTC's returns were 90 percentage points behind the S&P 500, but they outperformed the index by 68 p.p. in 2015. Similarly, after trailing by 68 p.p. in 2018, BTC's returns were 58 p.p. higher in 2019. More recently, after underperforming by 47 p.p. in 2022, it surpassed the S&P 500 by over 130 p.p. in 2023. The outlet noted that as of the end of 2025, BTC had underperformed the S&P 500 by 19.5%. Based on this pattern, Land Group and other industry observers believe there is a possibility that BTC will outperform the S&P 500 this year.