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Report: Can Bitcoin Replace Gold As a Safe Asset?In light of the substantial increase in Bitcoin (BTC) prices this year, a report from KB Financial Group in South Korea examined the potential for BTC to replace gold as a safe asset.©Pexels/Michael SteinbergThe study delves into the factors behind the recent BTC price surge and emphasizes the need for caution when considering BTC as an alternative to traditional safe assets.3 drivers behind BTC surgeFrom January 1 to March 31 this year, BTC experienced an impressive return of 71%. This surge can be attributed to three main factors: an anticipated increase in liquidity due to market expectations of unchanged or falling interest rates; central banks supplying liquidity to mitigate risks in the traditional banking system; and concerns over the potential delisting of cryptocurrencies should the US court’s decision on the Ripple-SEC case classify XRP, Ripple’s native token, as securities, prompting investors to shift their focus to BTC.The report suggests that the current BTC boom is more likely a result of short-term arbitrages and social conformity, given the greater information asymmetry in the crypto market, which lacks the disclosure system present in traditional stock markets.Persisting risk factorsLast month, blockchain tracker Whale Alert spotted a transfer of 11,125 BTC from an anonymous address to Binance. The primary reason for moving assets from a private address to an exchange address is to sell them, indicating that investors should keep a watchful eye on Bitcoin trading volumes, particularly for any signs of large sell-offs.Data from the crypto data analysis platform Glassnode revealed that the percentage of the BTC supply that was active over a year ago reached an all-time high of 68% in late March. Historically, such an increase has been associated with falling BTC prices.This year, the BTC supply is set to grow due to the US government’s liquidation of seized BTC. As detailed in a March 31 Cointelegraph article, the US government seized 51,352 BTC in a case related to Ross Ulbricht, the creator of the online black market Silk Road. The government has already sold 9,861 BTC, with the remaining amount expected to be liquidated in four additional portions throughout the year.Binance, the world’s largest crypto exchange by trading volume, has been struggling to find banks in the US to store client funds after crypto-friendly banks Silvergate and Signature closed their doors.Need for cautionAlthough various media sources often portray BTC as a safe asset, the report advises caution in accepting these claims. Although some liken BTC to “digital gold,” the two assets share little in common beyond their finite and scarce nature. In fact, gold and BTC diverge significantly in terms of social consensus, intrinsic value, price volatility, and investor protection.Gold serves as a highly liquid asset with applications in both jewelry and industrial goods, in addition to its role as an investment vehicle. In contrast, BTC’s intrinsic value is still debatable. The price volatility of BTC is also a concern, as evidenced by its 71% spike in the first quarter of 2023, compared to gold’s modest 8% increase. Additionally, gold investment products are regulated by law, whereas BTC is not. The report thus recommends treating BTC as a high-risk product and incorporating it into a diverse investment portfolio.It is worth noting that since the outbreak of the COVID-19 pandemic, the crypto market has demonstrated a stronger correlation with the global stock market in response to negative signals. This trend can be partially attributed to the growing presence of institutional investors in the crypto market, who often sell risky assets first to secure liquidity in the face of unexpected shocks.

Chinese Nationals Detained in Crypto Mining Clampdown in LibyaAuthorities in Libya have detained 50 Chinese nationals suspected of involvement in an illicit crypto mining operation in Zliten, a city located 160 kilometers east of the Libyan capital of Tripoli.The attorney general’s office in Libya made the announcement on Friday, revealing that the individuals were caught operating a cryptocurrency mining farm within an abandoned iron factory.Photo by Dmitry Demidko on UnsplashMining operation dismantledPhotos and videos released by the office of Attorney General Siddiq Al-Sour showcased the dismantling process of the extensive mining systems discovered in Zliten.This is not the first instance of Chinese miners being detained for crypto mining activities in the North African country. The development follows the recent arrest of ten other Chinese nationals in the city of Misrata on the Mediterranean coast, as well as at two sites within the capital, Tripoli. The individuals were apprehended on Wednesday while being caught “red-handed” with numerous powerful equipment used for intricate proof of work (PoW) mining calculations. The mining rigs were subsequently confiscated by the attorney general’s office.Mining banDespite the official ban on cryptocurrency mining in the country, Libya has witnessed a high prevalence of such activities, with the nation recording the highest percentage of cryptocurrency mining across the African continent in 2021. It is estimated that Libya accounted for approximately 0.6 percent of global Bitcoin production during that year.Libya’s appeal as a destination for cryptocurrency mining stems from its low electricity costs, which stand at a remarkably low rate of $0.004 per kilowatt hour. This cost is approximately 40 times cheaper than in the United States, making Libya an attractive location for miners.While energy may be cheap, the increased demand for electricity that crypto mining brings puts a strain on what was an already vulnerable power grid in the country. That has resulted in frequent and lengthy power blackouts, particularly during the summer months.A lack of oversight has also encouraged an influx of Chinese miners, albeit with these recent arrests, it appears that the Libyan authorities are stepping up the level of oversight and enforcement. The vast majority of Bitcoin miners were based in China up until a mining ban was enforced in 2021.Global issueThat event led to an exodus of miners internationally. Some established themselves legally in the United States and elsewhere. The first casualty of illegal mining was Kazakhstan. The sudden arrival of miners led to its power grid coming under pressure. As a consequence, the Central Asian country clamped down on the activity, and later regulated it.In response to these illegal activities, Libyan authorities have intensified their efforts to combat cryptocurrency mining operations. They are conducting investigations into alleged mining sites in Tripoli and Misrata, aiming to curtail these activities and mitigate the strain on the country’s electricity infrastructure.The recent arrests highlight the ongoing challenges associated with illegal mining activities in jurisdictions globally where cheap energy can be exploited, giving rise to the need for enhanced regulatory measures to address these issues.

Hong Kong Legislator Courting US Crypto Exchange CoinbaseRecently, Johnny Ng, a member of the Hong Kong Legislative Council, expressed his interest in the future development of Coinbase, a major US cryptocurrency exchange, in Hong Kong. In a tweet today, Ng said that he had been in contact with Coinbase and that he would keep the public updated on further progress.Photo by Ruslan Bardash on UnsplashNg’s invitation to crypto exchangesThis tweet follows Ng’s earlier invitation to Coinbase and other global crypto trading platforms to apply for licenses in Hong Kong. His comments are in line with Hong Kong’s efforts to become a hub for cryptocurrency and blockchain-related activities. As of June 1, a new licensing regime for centralized virtual asset trading platforms (VATPs) went into effect in the Chinese special administrative region.Differing opinionsDespite the enthusiasm shown by Ng, there are differing opinions on Hong Kong’s current suitability as a crypto-friendly jurisdiction. Leo Weese, the co-founder and President of the Bitcoin Association of Hong Kong, expressed reservations in an interview with crypto media outlet CoinDesk.Weese described Hong Kong’s current setup as “highly unattractive” for crypto businesses. He cited factors such as a relatively small and untested market, limited banking partnerships, and restrictive product offerings.Despite these challenges, Weese acknowledged some potential advantages, stating that Hong Kong’s classification of tokens as non-securities allows for the trading of securities that are deemed unregistered in other jurisdictions. It is important to note, however, that Weese cautioned against assuming that moving operations to Hong Kong would protect Coinbase from US regulatory measures.Moody’s altered outlook on CoinbaseMeanwhile, Moody’s, the American credit rating agency, recently revised Coinbase’s outlook from stable to negative, citing uncertainties surrounding the impact of the US Securities and Exchange Commission’s (SEC) charges on Coinbase’s operation as an unregistered securities broker.