Dubai regulator tightens crypto marketing rules

The trustee of the failed Japanese cryptocurrency exchange Mt. Gox is preparing to initiate repayments of bitcoin (BTC) and bitcoin cash (BCH), prompting fears of a market sell-off among traders and investors.Photo by Dmytro Demidko on UnsplashConfirming repayment detailsThe crypto community on the /mtgoxsolvency subreddit disclosed that the Tokyo-based bitcoin exchange has initiated the process of verifying creditors' addresses for forthcoming repayments. Emails have been sent to creditors, confirming that their repayment details have been validated with relevant cryptocurrency exchanges. The communication from Mt. Gox appears to be staggered, with users on different platforms receiving emails at varying times. Some Bitstamp users reported receipt of the email, while several Kraken customers mentioned that they were still awaiting the confirmation. Mt. Gox, cautioning creditors, clarified that users with disabled or frozen accounts would not be able to receive repayments using the provided addresses. Additionally, the emails specifically pertain to payments in bitcoin and bitcoin cash. This recent communication follows Mt. Gox's announcement in November, where it committed to returning approximately 142,000 bitcoin, 143,000 bitcoin cash and 69 billion Japanese yen, valued at over $5.67 billion at the announcement date and approximately $6.46 billion at the present moment. During the November announcement, Mt. Gox assured creditors that repayments would commence in the following months and weeks. Creditors with payment methods deemed "effective at this time" were earmarked to receive their assets first. Towards the end of December, some creditors reported the addition of yen-denominated balances to their PayPal accounts by Mt. Gox, signaling progress in the repayment process. Market fearsThe fear among market participants of a distribution of bitcoin from the Mt. Gox estate has cast a shadow over the sector over the course of a number of years. With this latest development, it appears that the estate is finally on the cusp of executing on that distribution. If distribution is achieved in the short term, it will come at a time when bitcoin has experienced a major unit price pullback already. Since the approval of spot bitcoin exchange-traded funds (ETFs) in the United States earlier this month, it appears that another bankrupt crypto exchange, FTX, has sold $1 billion worth of Grayscale Bitcoin ETF shares into the market. That move is believed to have been responsible for a dramatic drop in bitcoin’s unit price. In tandem with that event, some commentators believe that a pullback at this point is healthy for the market. That’s the view of Charles Edwards, founder of Capriole Investments. Taking to social media, Edwards wrote:”We're still not here yet. This pullback is very overdue and lower is healthier.” At the time of writing, bitcoin has a unit price of $39,884, down from a high earlier this month of $48,494. Confirmation emails have been reported by several Reddit users, with Bitstamp confirming for most, and a few Kraken users also acknowledging receipt. Nevertheless, a significant number of Kraken users mentioned they are yet to receive the confirmation email. Mt. Gox officially closed its doors in February 2014, almost a decade ago, after succumbing to an exploit in 2011.  

China Furthers Efforts to Shape the MetaverseFindings by US political media outlet POLITICO suggest that Chinese authorities and state-owned companies are seeking to mold the metaverse in line with existing systems in China such as the country’s social credit scoring system.The concept of the metaverse entails a network of interconnected immersive virtual worlds powered by virtual reality, augmented reality, and simulations. Development in this area is centered around applications such as online gaming and virtual events.Photo by Hanson Lu on UnsplashDigital Identity SystemIn a report published on Sunday, POLITICO referenced recently drafted proposals put forward by China Mobile, a state-owned telecoms operator. The proposals outline a “Digital Identity System” for users within online virtual worlds and metaverses.These proposals recommend the use of “natural characteristics” and “social characteristics” within digital IDs, encompassing personal data such as occupation, “identifiable signs,” and other attributes. Moreover, they suggest storing this information “permanently” and sharing it with law enforcement to ensure order and safety within the virtual realm.Setting agreed benchmarks for emerging techThe proposals present a hypothetical scenario involving a disruptive user named Tom, who causes turmoil in the metaverse. The digital identity system, according to these proposals, would facilitate prompt identification and punishment by law enforcement.These discussions are occurring within the framework of the International Telecommunication Union (ITU), a United Nations (UN) agency responsible for establishing global technology standards. This strategy echoes China’s endeavor to set worldwide benchmarks for emerging technologies.The ITU, as a UN agency, holds significant sway in defining global telecommunications and technology infrastructure standards. Given that the US and China have quite different outlooks when it comes to technology governance, particularly the future development of the internet and related technologies, the ITU has become a means through which common ground can be found and differences resolved.Upcoming vote on proposalsChina Mobile’s proposals, presented during the ITU’s metaverse focus group meeting, are poised to be voted on during the next meeting in October in Geneva. The company is the largest mobile operator by subscriber base. Demonstrative of ongoing tensions that exist between the US and China, the company was delisted from the New York Stock Exchange in 2021 following a US executive order.Chinese organizations are reportedly submitting more proposals than their Western counterparts, demonstrating that China is very much taking a lead in metaverse development. It’s evident that there is a clear strategy for China to establish itself in furthering this technology.In May, Alibaba Cloud, a subsidiary of Chinese e-commerce giant Alibaba Group, entered into a partnership with layer one blockchain Avalanche to better enable businesses to deploy metaverses. Around the same time, an administrative body within China’s Henan Province established a $22 million dollar investment fund, focused on financing metaverse-related ventures.Later that month, the city of Zhengzhou announced a set of policy proposals designed to support the growth and development of metaverse companies in the region.Within the Chinese autonomous territory of Hong Kong too, there has been plenty of metaverse-related activity. Metaverse start-up Artifact Labs completed a funding round with a view towards expanding its operations. The city is home to Animoca Brands, a prominent player in metaverse-related development.

Seychelles-incorporated crypto exchange platform Bitget recently released findings from a study on Bitcoin's upcoming halving, revealing that the vast majority of surveyed investors predict bitcoin will achieve a new all-time high (ATH) in 2024. Separately, other market commentators and analysts appear to be bullish on bitcoin ahead of the scheduled cut in Bitcoin mining rewards.Photo by Kanchanara on Unsplash84% anticipate new bitcoin ATHThe study, based on anonymized data from 9,748 participants worldwide, focused on investor perceptions surrounding the halving's impact on their investment decisions. 84% of participants anticipate a new ATH for bitcoin during the next bull run, with only East Europe showing a percentage lower than 80%. Over 50% predict bitcoin's price to be between $30,000 and $60,000 by the time the halving occurs in April. Meanwhile, 30% foresee the bitcoin unit price going higher than $60,000. Off the back of the data that has arisen via the study, Bitget managing director Gracy Chen suggested that it is indicative that 2024 will be a significant year for the bitcoin market. Crypto investment plansApproximately 70% express plans to increase their crypto investments, with the highest conviction in the Middle East and North Africa (MENA) and East Europe regions. Western European investors are characterized as "short-term cautious" and "long-term optimistic." In addition to the Bitget study, many market commentators appear to have arrived at a similar conclusion. In July of last year, Standard Chartered Bank forecasted a 2024 unit price for bitcoin of $120,000. The bank reaffirmed that view last month, going further still in stating that by 2025, it expected bitcoin to reach a price of $200,000, largely due to capital inflows into spot bitcoin exchange-traded funds (ETFs), which were approved in the United States in January. Broader market sentimentTaking to social media on Monday, crypto analyst Charles Edwards of Capriole Investments proposed a potential 500% price return for bitcoin if a bullish halving pattern plays out. Edwards envisions bitcoin reaching $280,000 in 2025. Like Standard Chartered, he cites the January bitcoin ETF launch as the driving force, likening it to a "second halving." He argues that major technological developments have historically seen quicker rates of adoption. Crypto trading analyst Michaël van de Poppe predicts a pre-halving surge to $48,000 and an eventual breakout toward an all-time high in Q3/Q4 of 2024. The next Bitcoin halving is expected in April 2024, historically associated with increased scarcity and subsequent price surges. Pseudonymous macroeconomist @Micro2Macr0 took to the X social media platform on Monday, stating:"Only 2.5 months till the #Bitcoin #Halving. The world is getting more unstable and you have the greatest hedge ever invented sitting in front of you. What are you waiting for?"  Meanwhile, "British HODL" warned that recent developments may result in a break from previous trading patterns. He stated:"Everyone says 12 months after the halving the shock starts for #Bitcoin price. . . . I think there is a high likelihood that the ETF’s change the cycle you’re expecting. Be aware of that.”