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Positive market sentiment ahead of Bitcoin halving

Markets·February 07, 2024, 2:23 AM

Seychelles-incorporated crypto exchange platform Bitget recently released findings from a study on Bitcoin's upcoming halving, revealing that the vast majority of surveyed investors predict bitcoin will achieve a new all-time high (ATH) in 2024. Separately, other market commentators and analysts appear to be bullish on bitcoin ahead of the scheduled cut in Bitcoin mining rewards.

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84% anticipate new bitcoin ATH

The study, based on anonymized data from 9,748 participants worldwide, focused on investor perceptions surrounding the halving's impact on their investment decisions.

 

84% of participants anticipate a new ATH for bitcoin during the next bull run, with only East Europe showing a percentage lower than 80%. Over 50% predict bitcoin's price to be between $30,000 and $60,000 by the time the halving occurs in April. Meanwhile, 30% foresee the bitcoin unit price going higher than $60,000.

 

Off the back of the data that has arisen via the study, Bitget managing director Gracy Chen suggested that it is indicative that 2024 will be a significant year for the bitcoin market.

 

Crypto investment plans

Approximately 70% express plans to increase their crypto investments, with the highest conviction in the Middle East and North Africa (MENA) and East Europe regions. Western European investors are characterized as "short-term cautious" and "long-term optimistic."

 

In addition to the Bitget study, many market commentators appear to have arrived at a similar conclusion. In July of last year, Standard Chartered Bank forecasted a 2024 unit price for bitcoin of $120,000. The bank reaffirmed that view last month, going further still in stating that by 2025, it expected bitcoin to reach a price of $200,000, largely due to capital inflows into spot bitcoin exchange-traded funds (ETFs), which were approved in the United States in January.

 

Broader market sentiment

Taking to social media on Monday, crypto analyst Charles Edwards of Capriole Investments proposed a potential 500% price return for bitcoin if a bullish halving pattern plays out. Edwards envisions bitcoin reaching $280,000 in 2025. Like Standard Chartered, he cites the January bitcoin ETF launch as the driving force, likening it to a "second halving." He argues that major technological developments have historically seen quicker rates of adoption.

 

Crypto trading analyst Michaël van de Poppe predicts a pre-halving surge to $48,000 and an eventual breakout toward an all-time high in Q3/Q4 of 2024. The next Bitcoin halving is expected in April 2024, historically associated with increased scarcity and subsequent price surges.

 

Pseudonymous macroeconomist @Micro2Macr0 took to the X social media platform on Monday, stating:

"Only 2.5 months till the #Bitcoin #Halving. The world is getting more unstable and you have the greatest hedge ever invented sitting in front of you. What are you waiting for?" 

 

Meanwhile, "British HODL" warned that recent developments may result in a break from previous trading patterns. He stated:

"Everyone says 12 months after the halving the shock starts for #Bitcoin price. . . . I think there is a high likelihood that the ETF’s change the cycle you’re expecting. Be aware of that.”

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Web3 & Enterprise·

Feb 11, 2025

Blockstream partnership & new office announced in Japanese expansion

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Web3 & Enterprise·

May 26, 2023

SC Ventures Exits Digital Asset Custody Infrastructure Investment

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Web3 & Enterprise·

Nov 28, 2023

Circle and SBI Holdings join forces to propel USDC growth in Japan

Circle and SBI Holdings join forces to propel USDC growth in JapanIn a move aimed at advancing the adoption of the USD Coin (USDC) in the Japanese market, stablecoin issuer Circle and Japanese financial behemoth SBI Holdings have entered into a memorandum of understanding (MOU).Photo by Alex Knight on UnsplashBanking and distributionThe collaboration, outlined in a press release published on Monday, seeks to enhance the circulation of USDC, establish a robust banking relationship and broaden the footprint of Circle in the Asian nation.Key subsidiaries of SBI Holdings are set to play pivotal roles in this strategic partnership. SBI’s VC Trade Limited, among others, will actively engage by applying for licensing as an electronic payment instruments service, facilitating the distribution of USDC across Japan. Notably, this move aligns with efforts to propel the electronic payment ecosystem in the country.Further solidifying the collaboration, SBI’s Shinsei Bank will provide crucial banking services that empower access to USDC and enhance liquidity for businesses and users based in Japan. This initiative not only promotes the widespread usage of USDC but also establishes a secure financial infrastructure for its seamless integration into the Japanese market.Web3 service offeringAs part of this collaboration, the SBI Group plans to incorporate Circle’s Web3 Services solutions, encompassing programmable wallets, blockchain infrastructure and smart contract management tools.Circle has been busy in recent weeks, rolling out partnerships in the Asian region that will see greater use of its Web3 Services suite. In Taiwan, it partnered with a convenience store chain recently, in a move that will integrate its Web3 services into the Taiwan FamilyMart app. A similar deal was struck in September with Grab, a Southeast Asian multifaceted super-app.Jeremy Allaire, CEO of Circle, expressed the groundbreaking nature of this partnership, envisioning USDC as a stablecoin that can be extensively utilized in Japan’s burgeoning on-chain economy across various consumer-led Web3 product categories.Allaire had signaled an interest in delving further into the Japanese market back in July. Then, he suggested that the company might consider launching a stablecoin in Japan but that it was also interested in exploring partnerships in the East Asian country.Yoshitaka Kitao, CEO of SBI Holdings, commended Japanese authorities for creating a regulatory environment conducive to the adoption of stablecoins within the region. In June, Japan passed legislation mandating that stablecoins must be fully backed by highly liquid cash and cash-equivalent assets, preventing a recurrence of issues experienced by certain stablecoins.SBI’s digital asset involvementWhile Circle has very much been advancing its service offering in the Asian region in 2023, likewise SBI has been delving further into the realm of digital assets and Web3. In April it led a funding round into Standard Chartered subsidiary company Zodia Custody, a digital asset custodian. SBI has also invested in Zodia Markets, an exchange and brokerage platform which is also a Standard Chartered subsidiary company.SBI Holdings established the Osaka Digital Exchange (ODX) in 2021, a crypto exchange business which will commence security token trading next month. In a social media post on the X platform, Allaire highlighted SBI’s involvement in the digital assets space:“Importantly, Kitao-san is not a ‘johnny come lately’ to crypto and blockchain tech. He has understood it and invested in it for nearly a decade. SBI Holdings already operates digital asset trading, brokerage and cross-border payments solutions.”

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