Top

Positive market sentiment ahead of Bitcoin halving

Markets·February 07, 2024, 2:23 AM

Seychelles-incorporated crypto exchange platform Bitget recently released findings from a study on Bitcoin's upcoming halving, revealing that the vast majority of surveyed investors predict bitcoin will achieve a new all-time high (ATH) in 2024. Separately, other market commentators and analysts appear to be bullish on bitcoin ahead of the scheduled cut in Bitcoin mining rewards.

https://asset.coinness.com/en/news/6881df530d2f731509531828b763c739.webp
Photo by Kanchanara on Unsplash

84% anticipate new bitcoin ATH

The study, based on anonymized data from 9,748 participants worldwide, focused on investor perceptions surrounding the halving's impact on their investment decisions.

 

84% of participants anticipate a new ATH for bitcoin during the next bull run, with only East Europe showing a percentage lower than 80%. Over 50% predict bitcoin's price to be between $30,000 and $60,000 by the time the halving occurs in April. Meanwhile, 30% foresee the bitcoin unit price going higher than $60,000.

 

Off the back of the data that has arisen via the study, Bitget managing director Gracy Chen suggested that it is indicative that 2024 will be a significant year for the bitcoin market.

 

Crypto investment plans

Approximately 70% express plans to increase their crypto investments, with the highest conviction in the Middle East and North Africa (MENA) and East Europe regions. Western European investors are characterized as "short-term cautious" and "long-term optimistic."

 

In addition to the Bitget study, many market commentators appear to have arrived at a similar conclusion. In July of last year, Standard Chartered Bank forecasted a 2024 unit price for bitcoin of $120,000. The bank reaffirmed that view last month, going further still in stating that by 2025, it expected bitcoin to reach a price of $200,000, largely due to capital inflows into spot bitcoin exchange-traded funds (ETFs), which were approved in the United States in January.

 

Broader market sentiment

Taking to social media on Monday, crypto analyst Charles Edwards of Capriole Investments proposed a potential 500% price return for bitcoin if a bullish halving pattern plays out. Edwards envisions bitcoin reaching $280,000 in 2025. Like Standard Chartered, he cites the January bitcoin ETF launch as the driving force, likening it to a "second halving." He argues that major technological developments have historically seen quicker rates of adoption.

 

Crypto trading analyst Michaël van de Poppe predicts a pre-halving surge to $48,000 and an eventual breakout toward an all-time high in Q3/Q4 of 2024. The next Bitcoin halving is expected in April 2024, historically associated with increased scarcity and subsequent price surges.

 

Pseudonymous macroeconomist @Micro2Macr0 took to the X social media platform on Monday, stating:

"Only 2.5 months till the #Bitcoin #Halving. The world is getting more unstable and you have the greatest hedge ever invented sitting in front of you. What are you waiting for?" 

 

Meanwhile, "British HODL" warned that recent developments may result in a break from previous trading patterns. He stated:

"Everyone says 12 months after the halving the shock starts for #Bitcoin price. . . . I think there is a high likelihood that the ETF’s change the cycle you’re expecting. Be aware of that.”

More to Read
View All
Policy & Regulation·

Apr 11, 2023

India Looks to Boost CBDC With 1 Million Users in 3 Months

India Looks to Boost CBDC With 1 Million Users in 3 MonthsThe project team responsible for India’s retail central bank digital currency (CBDC) is aiming to increase its user base to one million users, while also prioritizing the challenge of creating an offline version.©Pexels/Sohel PatelAlthough the Reserve Bank of India (RBI), India’s central bank, publicly stated in March that they were aiming for 500,000 users by July, they are privately looking to double that amount. According to sources familiar with the matter cited by CoinDesk, the architects behind the centralized digital currency are confident that India’s population, being the world’s largest, will enable them to reach one million users easily. Tentatively the project team is aiming to achieve this within three months.Retail and Wholesale CBDCsThe RBI is currently conducting both retail and wholesale CBDC pilot programs. The retail CBDC pilot is active in at least 15 cities, with more than 13 banks participating. The digital rupee pilot began on December 1, 2022, and has seen over 100,000 customers participate in the four months since.India’s digital rupee gained significant attention at a recent meeting of the Group of 20 (G-20), which was hosted by India in Bengaluru, according to RBI Governor Shaktikanta Das. The central bank received positive feedback, with praise received for the design of the CBDC.Multiple challengesThe RBI initiated a Hackathon in 2023 to find solutions to some of the challenges around retail CBDC, including improving scalability, increasing transactions per second, and enabling offline transactions. However, achieving all three technical objectives at once is nearly impossible at present. Experts believe that it is only possible to achieve two out of the three objectives, but the hope is that technological innovation will address this in the future.Offline transactionsFacilitating offline transactions is crucial to improve financial inclusion in emerging economies such as India. The RBI is testing various methods to enable offline transactions, including wearables, debit and credit cards, Bluetooth technology, and smartphones. The central bank is also looking to address the risk of double-spending.More than 50 proposals were submitted to the RBI to solve the problem of offline transactions. The RBI has also been interacting with private companies to consider solutions to improving scalability, even though no partnership has been initiated with any prominent blockchain-related entities.News of India’s ambitious CBDC project fast-tracking has led some to speculate as to what technology lies behind it. Some have suggested Ripple as a possible partner but the suggestion is entirely speculative at this point.The RBI has not announced a timeline for rolling out a full-scale retail CBDC but has indicated previously that it was aiming for the end of the year. The development of a digital rupee has the potential to transform India’s economy by providing greater financial inclusion to its population, which is why the RBI is taking the time to ensure that the CBDC is as robust as possible.

news
Policy & Regulation·

Sep 13, 2023

Civic Group Files Embezzlement Complaint Against Former Kakao Chairman Over KLAY Tokens

Civic Group Files Embezzlement Complaint Against Former Kakao Chairman Over KLAY TokensA South Korean civic group, known as Economic Democracy 21, filed on Wednesday a prosecution complaint against Kim Beom-soo, the former chairman of the internet giant Kakao, and several executives from Kakao’s affiliated companies. The allegations at hand pertain to embezzlement, specifically revolving around the virtual asset known as KLAY.Photo by Tingey Injury Law Firm on UnsplashKlaytn’s native tokenKLAY represents the native token of the Klaytn blockchain, which was developed by GroundX, a blockchain subsidiary of Kakao.Legal breach claimsThe complaint, formally submitted to the joint crypto-crime investigation division of the Seoul Southern District Prosecutors’ Office, asserts that Kakao executives have breached the Act on the Aggravated Punishment of Specific Economic Crimes and the Capital Markets Act.Clandestine pre-salesWithin the detailed complaint, Economic Democracy 21 alleges that following the issuance of KLAY, Kakao’s executives conducted private pre-sales of KLAY tokens before their official listing. These pre-sales activities reportedly raised between KRW 150 billion and 300 billion ($113 million and $226 million). The accusation is that these funds were not channeled into business endeavors, but rather diverted for personal use.The complaint also contends that Kim and other executives withdrew KLAY tokens from the company under the guise of investments, compensation, and service fees related to “overseas investment business” since 2022. The civic group further asserted that these corporate leaders employed a program to manipulate transaction records, presumably with the intent of preventing third parties from discovering the nature of these transactions.

news
Web3 & Enterprise·

Feb 14, 2024

Banxa's UK arm makes regulatory strides with FCA approval

The UK affiliate of Banxa, the Australia-headquartered financial infrastructure firm, has clinched a coveted spot as the first entity to grace the Financial Conduct Authority's (FCA) crypto register for the year 2024.Photo by Susan Q Yin on UnsplashAuthorized VASPThe company drew attention to this milestone on Tuesday, through the publication of a press release. The approval catapults BNXA UK VASP (virtual asset service provider) into the realm of authorized providers of crypto-related services to clients residing in the United Kingdom. Notably, the UK subsidiary company's managing director, Brinda Paul, formerly held the director of compliance position at Banxa in Melbourne. She struck an optimistic note in her comments on the approval, stating:"I am incredibly proud to have led this registration process to a successful outcome, especially considering the low approval rate of 7% for FCA registrations in 2023, - only 4 companies received their registration. Banxa believes the FCA's high standards, focusing on robust business models, corporate governance, risk management and compliance validates the Company's commitment to support cryptoasset adoption and the development of the crypto market in the UK while doing so in a compliant manner." Banxa's stature extends to its listing on the Toronto Stock Exchange, solidifying its position as a key player in the payments infrastructure domain. The company claims to be following a mission to “build the infrastructure to extend the benefits of crypto to every merchant & consumer in the world.” The firm includes Asian crypto service provider and investor OK Group among its list of initial investors. Other early stage investors include KuCoin and Australia’s Thorney Investment Group. Fiat processing servicesThe company specializes in fiat-processing services tailored for various cryptocurrency exchanges, including heavyweights like Binance and OKX. It’s interesting to note that in the case of these two companies, neither Binance nor OKX holds FCA approval for their crypto operations, although OKX has been making a concerted effort of late towards coming into compliance. Banxa has been accumulating money transmitter licenses in the United States. As of September, the company held 32 such licenses for various U.S. states. A pivotal aspect of FCA registration pertains to promotional endeavors targeting UK customers. Entities aiming to disseminate promotional materials to UK-based clients must either secure registration with the FCA or obtain approval for their promotions through an authorized entity. Responding to legislative changes, the FCA has rolled out updated guidance, extending its oversight to crypto promotions targeting UK consumers. This move aims to enhance consumer comprehension of crypto investments and associated risks, in line with the FCA's commitment to consumer protection and market integrity. New UK marketing rulesNew marketing rules have led to exchanges like Bybit withdrawing services from the UK market. Recent developments have also seen crypto platforms like KuCoin and HTX added to the FCA’s warning list of unregulated entities. Drawing insights from industry consultations, the FCA has refined its rules and accompanying guidance, integrating feedback from stakeholders to ensure coherence and effectiveness in navigating the evolving regulatory terrain. 

news
Loading