Hong Kong’s GSBN Takes Lead in Blockchain Logistics

Arthur Hayes: Chinese monetary policy could ignite crypto marketArthur Hayes, Co-Founder of Seychelles-incorporated crypto exchange and derivatives platform BitMEX, suggests that China could inject a substantial amount of credit into its economy, potentially giving a boost to Bitcoin and the broader crypto market.Photo by Eric Prouzet on UnsplashPotential flood of yuan creditThe firebrand crypto OG outlined his thoughts on the matter in a blog post which was published on Monday. Hayes discussed how, although China has currently made credit expensive in order to hold back credit growth and inspire confidence in the economy, its monetary authorities might be gearing up to flood the economy with yuan credit, creating a favorable environment for cryptocurrencies.He outlined a series of factors contributing to this potential surge in Chinese credit. He pointed to the interplay between U.S. monetary policy and the Chinese yuan, emphasizing how recent U.S. actions are laying the groundwork for China to issue substantial credit, particularly to its struggling property sector.Describing U.S. policy as “weakening the dollar by issuing more Treasury bills,” Hayes noted the consequent decline of the dollar index (DXY) throughout November. He argued that the weaker dollar gives China the flexibility to increase yuan credit without significant depreciation, possibly even leading to yuan appreciation.If the Federal Reserve at a minimum holds rates and better still, starts to cut rates, China will be in a position to pursue the stimulus needed for its property market and for infrastructure spending.Hong Kong as the gateway to capital marketsAccording to Hayes, the global monetary dynamics set in motion by these factors could be advantageous for Bitcoin and the broader cryptocurrency market. He explained that the bulk of the financing will trickle down into speculation within the financial markets. If China starts printing yuan, the capital is likely to flow into global markets, supporting the prices of various risk assets.But how can this happen, given that speculation and crypto trading are prohibited in China? Hayes’ view is that Hong Kong is now China’s gateway to the global capital markets. Wealthy Chinese individuals now bank via Hong Kong. As we have seen, the autonomous Chinese territory has a workable regulatory framework in place and is now actively licensing crypto exchanges and brokers. Consequently Bitcoin and crypto, generally, could be among the risk assets benefiting from an influx of capital.Furthermore, the BitMex co-founder believes that as yuan credit becomes abundant, the global demand for dollar credit and liquidity may decrease. Given that the dollar is a primary funding currency, a fall in the price of credit could lead to a rise in fixed-supply assets like Bitcoin and gold in dollar terms.Hayes concluded what is a long and detailed blog post by stating:“I will continue moving money out of T-bills and into crypto because I want to get in now before it becomes apparent through the data that China’s money printer is going brrrrr.”He suggested that Chinese New Year, which occurs in mid-February of next year, could be the time in which that extra credit materializes in China. Hayes’ latest assertion comes on the back of a bold claim he made last month when he suggested that bitcoin could reach a unit price of $1 million by 2026.

Following December's release of proposed fiat-referenced stablecoin regulations, the Hong Kong Monetary Authority (HKMA) has progressed further with the introduction of a stablecoin sandbox.Photo by Nextvoyage on PexelsFormulating a regulatory regimeThe regulatory sandbox, announced through a press release published to the regulator’s website on March 12, encompasses stablecoin currencies beyond the Hong Kong dollar, although the HKMA refrained from specifying particular currencies. Eddie Yue, CEO of the HKMA, emphasized the sandbox's role as a platform for constructive dialogue between the regulatory authority and the industry. Yue stated:"The sandbox arrangement serves as an effective channel for the HKMA and the industry to exchange views on the proposed regulatory regime.”Yue further noted that such engagement is pivotal for formulating regulatory requirements conducive to the sustainable and responsible growth of the stablecoin issuance business. The stablecoin sandbox finds its digital footprint within the International Financial Centre on the HKMA's website. The documentation accompanying the sandbox outlines several key requirements for potential participants. These include demonstrating genuine interest and a feasible plan for issuing fiat-referenced stablecoins in Hong Kong, as well as a concrete strategy for engagement within the sandbox. Additionally, applicants must exhibit a reasonable prospect of compliance with the proposed regulatory framework. Minimum capital requirementsOne notable regulation proposed stipulates that issuers must be Hong Kong-based entities with a minimum capital requirement of HK$25 million ($3.2 million) or 2% of the stablecoin issuance, whichever is higher. The HKMA remains vigilant regarding public announcements by sandbox participants, ensuring that such declarations do not misconstrue endorsement or accreditation from the regulatory authority. In late January, reports suggested discussions between Harvest Global Investment, RD Technologies, Venture Smart Financial Holdings and the HKMA regarding their potential entry into the sandbox. Harvest Global Investment, boasting over $200 billion in assets under management, signifies a significant player in this evolving digital assets space.RD Technologies took to the X social media platform to publicize its approval of the HKMA’s stablecoin sandbox. It also availed of the opportunity to outline that it’s in the process of launching a Hong Kong dollar (HKD)-based stablecoin, which will be known by the short-code HKDR.Hong Kong-based fintech firm AnchorX also chimed in, stating that the sandbox is “a pivotal step forward for the industry, enabling informed dialogue and collaboration between regulators and fintech innovators.” Like RD Technologies, AnchorX is also looking to get involved in the stablecoin business, having developed the AxHKD Hong Kong dollar-based stablecoin, which it is currently beta testing, in collaboration with Conflux Network. Juan Leon, crypto analyst with Bitwise Asset Management, suggested that the move is a great initiative, while calling on the U.S. Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell to follow Hong Kong’s example. On the tokenization front, Hong Kong made headlines in 2023 with the issuance of the world's largest native digital bond — a green bond exceeding $750 million. Late last year, it also proposed regulations relative to tokenization of real-world assets.Guidance provided to banks on tokenization, coupled with plans for forthcoming legislation, further solidifies Hong Kong's position as a trailblazer in the realm of digital finance.  

Following the recent bitcoin boom, transactions in cryptocurrencies among Korean investors have surged, significantly benefiting local banks that have made contracts with Korean crypto exchanges to offer real-name accounts for crypto investors. As the price of bitcoin soared to as high as KRW 90 million ($67.6 million) in Korea on Thursday, online-only bank Kbank saw an uptick in trading fee revenue, according to local media outlet The Seoul Economic Daily. Kbank is a partner with crypto exchange Upbit, which accounts for 70% of the Korean crypto market.  Under the current law, Korean crypto exchanges offering trading against Korean won must secure real-name accounts from a bank. These banks typically earn fees of KRW 300 to KRW 1,000 per transaction. Currently, other than Kbank, NongHyup Bank offers real-name accounts to Bithumb, Kakaobank to Coinone, Shinhan Bank to Korbit and Jeonbuk Bank to Gopax.Photo by Kanchanara on UnsplashCrypto trading volume up 68.2% in a monthAccording to Xangle, a crypto data intelligence platform, the total crypto trading volume in Korea rose by 68.2% between the last week of January and the last week of February, rising from KRW 2.39 trillion to KRW 40.2 trillion. During the same period, the daily average trading volume also grew from around KRW 4 trillion to KRW 5.7 trillion.   In particular, the bitcoin trading volume on Upbit surged to 19,254 BTC on Feb. 28, reaching the second-highest level since Nov. 10, 2022, when the asset’s trading volume stood at 20,710 BTC. After signing the real-name account contract with Upbit in 2020, Kbank raked in KRW 29.2 billion in fees during the last bull market of 2021, which was equivalent to 14% of its annual interest income of KRW 198 billion and exceeded its net income for the year, which stood at KRW 22.5 billion. Increased bank deposits from exchange usersKbank also saw a substantial rise in its balance sheet, with Upbit users depositing around KRW 2.94 trillion into their real-name accounts. The sum is six times greater than the deposits made into NongHyup Bank by Bithumb users, which stood at KRW 547.1 billion.  Experts see that the surge in Kbank’s user base, which recently surpassed 10 million users, is largely attributed to growing excitement surrounding bitcoin. One crypto insider said that crypto trading fees, which have been on the decline for the past 2 years, could take a turn this year, signaling further gains for the affiliated banks.