Top

Arthur Hayes: Chinese monetary policy could ignite crypto market

Policy & Regulation·November 29, 2023, 3:04 AM

Arthur Hayes, Co-Founder of Seychelles-incorporated crypto exchange and derivatives platform BitMEX, suggests that China could inject a substantial amount of credit into its economy, potentially giving a boost to Bitcoin and the broader crypto market.

Photo by Eric Prouzet on Unsplash

 

Potential flood of yuan credit

The firebrand crypto OG outlined his thoughts on the matter in a blog post which was published on Monday. Hayes discussed how, although China has currently made credit expensive in order to hold back credit growth and inspire confidence in the economy, its monetary authorities might be gearing up to flood the economy with yuan credit, creating a favorable environment for cryptocurrencies.

He outlined a series of factors contributing to this potential surge in Chinese credit. He pointed to the interplay between U.S. monetary policy and the Chinese yuan, emphasizing how recent U.S. actions are laying the groundwork for China to issue substantial credit, particularly to its struggling property sector.

Describing U.S. policy as “weakening the dollar by issuing more Treasury bills,” Hayes noted the consequent decline of the dollar index (DXY) throughout November. He argued that the weaker dollar gives China the flexibility to increase yuan credit without significant depreciation, possibly even leading to yuan appreciation.

If the Federal Reserve at a minimum holds rates and better still, starts to cut rates, China will be in a position to pursue the stimulus needed for its property market and for infrastructure spending.

 

Hong Kong as the gateway to capital markets

According to Hayes, the global monetary dynamics set in motion by these factors could be advantageous for Bitcoin and the broader cryptocurrency market. He explained that the bulk of the financing will trickle down into speculation within the financial markets. If China starts printing yuan, the capital is likely to flow into global markets, supporting the prices of various risk assets.

But how can this happen, given that speculation and crypto trading are prohibited in China? Hayes’ view is that Hong Kong is now China’s gateway to the global capital markets. Wealthy Chinese individuals now bank via Hong Kong. As we have seen, the autonomous Chinese territory has a workable regulatory framework in place and is now actively licensing crypto exchanges and brokers. Consequently Bitcoin and crypto, generally, could be among the risk assets benefiting from an influx of capital.

Furthermore, the BitMex co-founder believes that as yuan credit becomes abundant, the global demand for dollar credit and liquidity may decrease. Given that the dollar is a primary funding currency, a fall in the price of credit could lead to a rise in fixed-supply assets like Bitcoin and gold in dollar terms.

Hayes concluded what is a long and detailed blog post by stating:

“I will continue moving money out of T-bills and into crypto because I want to get in now before it becomes apparent through the data that China’s money printer is going brrrrr.”

He suggested that Chinese New Year, which occurs in mid-February of next year, could be the time in which that extra credit materializes in China. Hayes’ latest assertion comes on the back of a bold claim he made last month when he suggested that bitcoin could reach a unit price of $1 million by 2026.

More to Read
View All
Web3 & Enterprise·

Apr 14, 2023

Sei Labs Raises $50M to Fuel Asian Expansion

Sei Labs, the development firm behind the layer one Sei blockchain, has recently secured a total of $50 million in strategic funding rounds. The funding was raised from investors such as Jump, Distributed Global, Multicoin, Asymmetric, Flow Traders, Hypersphere, and Bixin Ventures.This funding will be used to accelerate Sei Labs’ growth and expand its presence in the Asia-Pacific region. The firm is seeking to position Sei as the fastest Layer one blockchain for trading, while driving the development of the digital asset ecosystem worldwide. Asia-Pacific market demandAccording to the firm, there’s a growing demand for innovative blockchain solutions in the Asia-Pacific region and it aims to solidify its presence in that market. Sei Labs’ mission is to build the best infrastructure for trading by offering chain-level optimizations for decentralized exchanges and trading apps that aim at performance and scalability.The project has been growing rapidly during its development phase, with over 120 teams already deploying on Sei ahead of the mainnet launch. This indicates strong developer support. Furthermore, Sei’s latest public testnet, which went live on March 13th, has already attracted over 3.6 million unique users and processed over 35 million transactions in less than a month, showcasing the robustness and scalability of the Sei blockchain.Sei Labs aims to tap into the vast market opportunities in the Asia-Pacific region and provide cutting-edge trading infrastructure to meet the needs of the rapidly evolving digital asset landscape. With the additional funding and strategic partnerships in place, Sei Labs is well-positioned to further enhance its offerings and drive its expansion plans in the Asia-Pacific region. Bitget investmentOne of the strategic partners that Sei Labs has locked in is Seychelles-based Bitget, a leading crypto derivatives exchange platform. Bitget has invested $20 million in the company, and the two companies will collaborate to build a new decentralized exchange (DEX) that will integrate with Bitget’s existing trading platform. This new DEX will be built on Sei’s high-performance Layer 1 blockchain, offering users fast, secure, and low-cost trading.Bitget’s investment in Sei Labs will also help to strengthen the company’s ecosystem, which aims to provide users with a comprehensive suite of services for trading and managing digital assets. Bitget is committed to supporting Sei Labs’ mission to build the best infrastructure for trading, and the collaboration between the two companies is expected to bring new and innovative products to market. Foresight Ventures partnershipAnother strategic partner that Sei Labs has locked in is Foresight Ventures, a venture capital firm that focuses on investing in innovative technology companies. Foresight has invested $10 million in Sei Labs, and the two companies will collaborate to drive the development of the digital asset ecosystem worldwide.The investment from Foresight will help Sei Labs to accelerate the adoption of its blockchain technology and expand its global reach. The collaboration between the two companies will also enable Sei Labs to benefit from Foresight’s expertise in technology investments and its global network of contacts.Sei Labs’ success in securing $50 million in strategic funding rounds highlights the growing interest in blockchain technology and its potential to disrupt traditional industries. Sei Labs is well-positioned to take advantage of this trend and become a dominant player in the blockchain industry. The company’s efforts will pave the way for more innovative solutions that will drive the global digital asset ecosystem forward.

news
Web3 & Enterprise·

Dec 12, 2025

a16z establishes Seoul presence as Asia’s retail crypto market evolves

Andreessen Horowitz is deepening its bet on Asia’s retail crypto boom, even as trading on South Korea’s largest exchanges has cooled from last year’s peaks. The firm’s crypto arm, a16z crypto, said in a press release that it has opened its first Asia office in Seoul, citing South Korea’s high level of retail participation. Nearly one in three South Korean adults owns cryptocurrency, exceeding the share of stock investors, according to the firm. The move comes as the broader Asia-Pacific region cements its role as a hub of grassroots crypto activity, a trend highlighted in Chainalysis’ 2025 Global Crypto Adoption Index.Photo by Brady Bellini on UnsplashAltcoin-heavy retail marketSouth Korea has been a major contributor to that growth. Bloomberg reported in October that digital assets have increasingly become a long-term savings vehicle for many South Koreans, particularly those trying to purchase homes. Trading on local platforms remains heavily skewed toward higher-risk altcoins, which account for more than 80% of total volume across domestic exchanges. Still, overall activity has dropped sharply over the past year. A November report from Wu Blockchain said trading on Upbit, the country’s largest exchange, is down about 80% from a year earlier. The platform averaged $1.78 billion in daily volume in November 2025, compared with roughly $9 billion in December 2024. Bithumb, the second-largest exchange, saw a similar pullback, with average daily volume falling from $2.45 billion last December to about $890 million this November. Some of that retail liquidity appears to have rotated into equities, with the benchmark KOSPI index up more than 72% year-to-date. Asia’s wealthy to increase crypto exposureEven as spot volumes recede, higher–net–worth investors across the region are signaling longer-term interest. Sygnum’s APAC HNWI Report 2025, cited by Cointelegraph, found that 60% of surveyed high-net-worth individuals plan to increase their crypto exposure over the next two to five years. The report said 87% of respondents already hold digital assets; about half allocate more than 10% of their portfolios, and the average allocation is around 17%. The survey included 270 participants with more than $1 million in investable assets or extensive professional investing experience, drawn from ten Asia-Pacific markets led by Singapore and including Hong Kong, Indonesia, South Korea, and Thailand. Overall, 90% of respondents said they view digital assets as important for long-term wealth preservation and legacy planning, rather than primarily as a speculative trade. Anchored by the new Seoul office, a16z crypto said it plans to provide go-to-market support for portfolio companies seeking to expand in Asia, including help with distribution, partnerships and community building. The effort will be led by Park Sung-mo, whose previous roles include positions at Monad Foundation and Polygon Labs, as Head of APAC go-to-market. Pakistan looks to crypto for financial modernizationPolicy debates elsewhere in Asia also reflect growing interest in digital assets' economic role. At the Bitcoin MENA Conference on Dec. 9, Pakistan’s Virtual Asset Regulatory Authority chairman Bilal Bin Saqib said the country needs to move beyond conventional economic structures and leverage digital assets as a new source of momentum, according to Cointelegraph. He argued that digital assets and blockchain could form part of a new financial architecture for the Global South, not merely serve speculative use cases. The country’s youth-heavy population, about 70% under age 30, was central to his view that it could take a leading position in crypto adoption. Chainalysis’ 2025 index placed Pakistan third worldwide, pointing to how policymakers in emerging markets are increasingly factoring digital assets into long-term economic strategies. 

news
Web3 & Enterprise·

Nov 23, 2023

Dunamu likely to extend CEO Lee’s tenure, ensuring continuity in Upbit leadership

Dunamu likely to extend CEO Lee’s tenure, ensuring continuity in Upbit leadershipDunamu, the operator of Upbit, South Korea’s largest cryptocurrency exchange, recently convened a board meeting where a key decision was made to extend the term of Lee Sirgoo as Dunamu’s CEO, as reported by local news outlet Newsis, citing industry sources.Photo by Benjamin Child on UnsplashFinal decision on Dec 5The final decision on the extension of CEO Lee’s term at Dunamu is set to be made at the extraordinary general meeting on Dec. 5. The crypto industry is largely confident about Lee’s reappointment, especially given the presence of major executives, including Chairman Song Chi-hyung, at the recent board meeting.Responding to changing regulationsIn light of these developments, industry insiders are keenly observing whether CEO Lee will maintain Upbit’s market dominance in Korea. A key factor influencing Upbit’s future success will be Dunamu’s strategy in adapting to the changing market conditions, particularly in response to the upcoming Virtual Asset User Protection Act, which is due to come into effect in July next year.One source familiar with the matter said that Lee’s reappointment is almost assured, barring the emergence of any unexpected factors.If confirmed, this will mark Lee’s second reappointment as CEO of Dunamu since his first in 2020. This extension would bring his total tenure to nine years, continuing through 2026, considering that he initially assumed leadership in December 2017.Emphasis on stability and blockchain adoptionThis move likely underscores Dunamu’s prioritization of stability, especially considering Chairman Song’s emphasis on the company’s commitment to the widespread adoption of blockchain technology, as highlighted in the recently convened Upbit D Conference (UDC). Such a focus suggests that the company is leaning more towards maintaining its current status rather than embarking on new ventures.An executive from a Korean crypto research firm observed that Dunamu’s annual UDC event is a significant indicator of the company’s business direction. The person highlighted this by comparing it to last year’s event, where Dunamu officials focused on new initiatives, particularly in the realm of NFTs. This was evident in their collaboration with Levvels, a joint venture between Dunamu and HYBE, the management agency of the popular K-pop boy group BTS.The executive further elaborated that the widespread adoption of blockchain technology requires strengthening the Upbit business, an area in which Lee excels. The research expert suggested that if he had diverted his efforts towards other new projects outside of Upbit, the outcomes might have been different.CEO Lee’s ability to steer Upbit effectively in the burgeoning field of blockchain technology can be attributed to his rich academic and professional journey. He holds a diverse academic background with degrees from Seoul National University, the University of Hawaii at Manoa and Lewis & Clark Law School. His career spans journalism, law and corporate leadership, including roles as a reporter for JoongAng Ilbo, counsel for IBM Korea, CEO of NHN USA and co-CEO of Kakao Corporation.

news
Loading