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Arthur Hayes: Chinese monetary policy could ignite crypto market

Policy & Regulation·November 29, 2023, 3:04 AM

Arthur Hayes, Co-Founder of Seychelles-incorporated crypto exchange and derivatives platform BitMEX, suggests that China could inject a substantial amount of credit into its economy, potentially giving a boost to Bitcoin and the broader crypto market.

Photo by Eric Prouzet on Unsplash

 

Potential flood of yuan credit

The firebrand crypto OG outlined his thoughts on the matter in a blog post which was published on Monday. Hayes discussed how, although China has currently made credit expensive in order to hold back credit growth and inspire confidence in the economy, its monetary authorities might be gearing up to flood the economy with yuan credit, creating a favorable environment for cryptocurrencies.

He outlined a series of factors contributing to this potential surge in Chinese credit. He pointed to the interplay between U.S. monetary policy and the Chinese yuan, emphasizing how recent U.S. actions are laying the groundwork for China to issue substantial credit, particularly to its struggling property sector.

Describing U.S. policy as “weakening the dollar by issuing more Treasury bills,” Hayes noted the consequent decline of the dollar index (DXY) throughout November. He argued that the weaker dollar gives China the flexibility to increase yuan credit without significant depreciation, possibly even leading to yuan appreciation.

If the Federal Reserve at a minimum holds rates and better still, starts to cut rates, China will be in a position to pursue the stimulus needed for its property market and for infrastructure spending.

 

Hong Kong as the gateway to capital markets

According to Hayes, the global monetary dynamics set in motion by these factors could be advantageous for Bitcoin and the broader cryptocurrency market. He explained that the bulk of the financing will trickle down into speculation within the financial markets. If China starts printing yuan, the capital is likely to flow into global markets, supporting the prices of various risk assets.

But how can this happen, given that speculation and crypto trading are prohibited in China? Hayes’ view is that Hong Kong is now China’s gateway to the global capital markets. Wealthy Chinese individuals now bank via Hong Kong. As we have seen, the autonomous Chinese territory has a workable regulatory framework in place and is now actively licensing crypto exchanges and brokers. Consequently Bitcoin and crypto, generally, could be among the risk assets benefiting from an influx of capital.

Furthermore, the BitMex co-founder believes that as yuan credit becomes abundant, the global demand for dollar credit and liquidity may decrease. Given that the dollar is a primary funding currency, a fall in the price of credit could lead to a rise in fixed-supply assets like Bitcoin and gold in dollar terms.

Hayes concluded what is a long and detailed blog post by stating:

“I will continue moving money out of T-bills and into crypto because I want to get in now before it becomes apparent through the data that China’s money printer is going brrrrr.”

He suggested that Chinese New Year, which occurs in mid-February of next year, could be the time in which that extra credit materializes in China. Hayes’ latest assertion comes on the back of a bold claim he made last month when he suggested that bitcoin could reach a unit price of $1 million by 2026.

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Markets·

Feb 07, 2025

HAQQ Network co-founder points to Indonesia’s crypto hub potential

Mohammed AlKaff AlHashmi, co-founder of the HAQQ Network, has expressed the view that Indonesia has considerable potential to establish itself as Asia’s largest crypto hub. AlHashmi made the comments in a discussion with Crypto.news. HAQQ Network claims to be a scalable proof-of-stake-based blockchain, capable of high throughput. The network is fully compatible and interoperable with Ethereum. The project also focuses on the development of a Sharia-compliant Web3.  While the project is headquartered in Niqa Al Dheeb in the United Arab Emirates (UAE), Indonesia is also a significant market for the company, given that it has just received regulatory approval for the HAQQ Network’s native token from the Indonesia Financial Services Authority (OJK). Islamic Coin (ISLM) is the network’s native token. It is being offered as a Sharia compliant digital currency, with Sharia law being the Islamic legal system that governs the lives of millions of Muslims throughout the world.Photo by Nick Agus Arya on UnsplashGateway marketOffering his thoughts on the Indonesian crypto market, AlHashmi stated: “When we look at Indonesia as a market, I would say it is incomparable. It can be number one to be honest. Because I have seen statistics of growth happening in a very big volume. The volume of trade, transactions and users, I think Indonesia can be very soon one of the top 3 countries in the world.” Indonesia takes on added importance for the HAQQ Network project. The project’s co-founder sees the Southeast Asian nation as a gateway into a broader market given that it has the largest Muslim population in the world. He said that if his project is successful in Indonesia, then there will be no barrier to enter markets in other predominately Muslim nations. The entrepreneur believes that Indonesia is on the cusp of realizing its potential within the crypto sector. He said that Indonesia has a “competitive edge” when compared with other nations. Population size and rapid economic growth feed into that potential, with AlHashmi claiming that Indonesia is primed to become the largest crypto hub in Asia. Smooth regulatory processFrom a regulatory perspective, he also feels that Indonesia is outperforming other jurisdictions. The HAQQ Network project team experienced a smooth process in acquiring regulatory approval for ISLM recently. He believes that although the process was detailed, it was completed quicker than he would expect in other countries.  AlHashmi added that “regulations are flexible enough to enable project owners to do good business to protect the community as well.” Local regulator, the OJK, has expressed an interest in exploring the development of Sharia-compliant crypto assets. Earlier this month, Hasan Fawzi, OJK's executive head overseeing crypto assets supervision, told local media that the regulator is open to advancing Sharia-based cryptocurrencies.  Hasan stated: “Globally and regionally, this is a common practice. It is not unusual to create crypto assets that adhere to Sharia principles.” The OJK executive is particularly interested in tokenization of real-world assets (RWAs). He believes that if this proves to be successful, it could lead to further Sharia-complaint crypto products being launched. The OJK is currently testing tokenized RWAs within a sandbox environment.

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Policy & Regulation·

Jul 16, 2025

Kazakhstan’s sovereign wealth fund to invest in crypto

With Kazakhstan having recently indicated that it would create a national crypto reserve, the administrators of Kazakhstan’s existing sovereign fund now want to invest in crypto assets as well. According to a report published by Kursiv, a business media outlet covering Central Asia, the Kazakhstani authorities are planning to invest a portion of the country’s existing gold and foreign exchange reserves in crypto assets. The publication outlined that this was conveyed by Timur Suleimenov, governor of the National Bank of Kazakhstan, in a recent press conference. Photo by ANSAR ARCHITECTS on UnsplashFollowing an international investment trendHe stated that the country has a portfolio of alternative investments, which includes gold and foreign exchange reserves. Within that particular portfolio, more aggressive investment strategies are pursued in an effort to generate higher investment returns. He added: “We looked at the experience of the Norwegian fund, the American experience, and the experience of Middle East funds. They have certain investments in either crypto assets directly, or in ETFs and shares of companies that are closely related to crypto assets. They are very small.” In 2024, it emerged that Norway’s sovereign wealth fund had indirect exposure to 2,446 Bitcoin. By January of this year, the sovereign fund had increased its indirect exposure further through an investment in pioneering American Bitcoin treasury firm Strategy (formerly MicroStrategy). In the Middle East, the Abu Dhabi Investment Authority (ADIA), which manages the Abu Dhabi sovereign wealth fund, has been exposing the fund to Bitcoin indirectly through investments in BlackRock’s spot Bitcoin exchange-traded fund (ETF), IBIT. Considering asset volatilityWhile moving towards a crypto investment within the alternative investments portfolio, Suleimenov struck a cautious note, stating: “This is not an easy question, so there is no need to rush here. Yes, such assets can bring high returns, but at the same time they are characterized by high volatility.” This latest development in Kazakhstan coincides with the release of a report by German multinational investment bank, Deutsche Bank. The research report has found that Bitcoin has reached a new all-time-high unit price amid a dramatic drop in the volatility of the leading digital asset when compared with times past.  The bank explained that this was a sign of a maturing market, while suggesting that Bitcoin’s volatility is likely to decline further as adoption grows. Reduced volatility is making crypto assets like Bitcoin more appealing to long-term capital allocators like sovereign wealth funds and pension funds. In an interview with Bloomberg back in May, Mike Novogratz, founder and CEO of American digital assets firm Galaxy Digital, said that he has had conversations with heads of large sovereign wealth funds that have said “if America is buying Bitcoin, we’re buying Bitcoin.”In March, U.S. President Donald Trump issued an executive order setting out the establishment of a strategic Bitcoin reserve in the United States. In moving to establish a crypto reserve in Kazakhstan recently, Suleimenov suggested that international practice demonstrates that such a reserve may include confiscated crypto-assets, with Kazakhstan planning to proceed with the formation of the reserve on that basis.

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Web3 & Enterprise·

Oct 25, 2023

Web3 Security Startup Blockaid Raises $33M in Funding

Web3 Security Startup Blockaid Raises $33M in FundingIsraeli enterprise Blockaid, a Web3 security startup founded by two former Israeli military cyber intelligence personnel, has secured a total of $33 million in funding.The recent Series A round of $27 million was led by Ribbit Capital and Variant and saw participation from Cyberstarts, Sequoia Capital, and Greylock Partners. This funding totals $33 million when consolidated with an initial $6 million seed round.Photo by Shubham’s Web3 on UnsplashSecuring Web3 against threatsBlockaid offers comprehensive Web3 security solutions designed to combat crypto fraud, phishing, and hacks. Its approach involves the examination of both on-chain and off-chain transactions. In this way, the firm is seeking to set itself apart from competitors like CertiK and Cyvers.The company’s decentralized application (dApp) Scanning Engine simulates and validates blockchain transactions before they are executed. This process takes place within Blockaid’s dApp Scanning Sandbox, which also assesses the potential maliciousness of interactions and dApps.Since its inception in September 2022, Blockaid claims to have successfully scanned over 450 million transactions, preventing over 1.3 million attacks and safeguarding more than $7.1 billion in assets. Furthermore, the Israeli startup’s efforts have averted losses of over $500 million in the Web3 ecosystem.Recent success storiesOne notable success story involves the prevention of a phishing attack targeting Ethereum co-founder Vitalik Buterin’s X (formerly Twitter) account. Due to Blockaid’s security measures, users’ wallets remained protected, though unsecured wallets with approximately $700,000 in assets, including valuable NFTs, suffered losses in the attack. Blockaid has been involved in enhancing security for prominent platforms, including MetaMask, OpenSea, Zerion Wallet, and Rainbow Wallet.With the newly acquired funds, Blockaid aims to expand its client base and meet an increasing demand for its security solutions. Ido Ben-Natan, co-founder and CEO of Blockaid, expressed confidence in their ability to support both existing and new customers during these market conditions. Blockaid operates from New York and Tel Aviv and plans to bolster its workforce by hiring additional personnel across various functions.Addressing the Web3 security challengeThe significance of Blockaid’s work becomes even more apparent when considering the current challenges in the Web3 space. In recent years, the Web3 sector has faced a rising tide of fraud, phishing attempts, and hacks. As noted by Ben-Natan, Web3 has experienced staggering losses, with $14 billion stolen in just one year, surpassing losses in all non-crypto cyber-crime combined. Additionally, one in ten decentralized applications (dApps) has been identified as malicious, making even crypto-savvy users susceptible to malicious actors.Furthermore, there is a growing concern about nation-state actors actively targeting and stealing user funds for their economic gain. In this adversarial and uncertain environment, the usability and security of Web3 must be enhanced to unlock its full potential. Blockaid’s innovative security tools aim to provide the necessary protection for Web3 builders and users.There’s no doubt that Web3 has to become more seamless and far more secure if it is to appeal to the mass market. In its blog post announcing the funding round, the project stated:”We believe that users shouldn’t have to know they’re interacting with crypto. We believe that web3 should just work, and work securely.”

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