Matrixport Forecasts Bitcoin Bull Market Breather Ahead

SBI Zodia Custody is discontinuing operations two years after its launch, Bloomberg reported. The joint venture was formed by Tokyo-based SBI Holdings and Zodia Custody, an institutional digital-asset platform backed by Standard Chartered, with ownership split 51% and 49% respectively.Photo by Haotian Zheng on UnsplashStrategic realignment behind exitAccording to people at the companies involved, the decision reflected shifting priorities at both partners. Zodia Custody chief executive Julian Sawyer described the move as a mutual alignment of strategy and said the company had prepared materials to seek local registration with Japan’s Financial Services Agency but had not filed an application before opting to exit. An SBI Holdings spokesperson said the dissolution did not signal a withdrawal from crypto custody or the company’s broader Asia strategy, describing the step instead as an effort to generate greater collective impact across SBI’s digital ecosystem. Security breaches shape regulatory climateThe retreat comes as overseas crypto businesses continue to face a cautious regulatory environment in Japan, a market shaped by several high-profile security breaches. Industry analyses have repeatedly noted that three of the largest crypto hacks targeted Japanese exchanges: Mt. Gox in 2014, Coincheck in 2018, and DMM Bitcoin in 2024. Mt. Gox lost about 850,000 BTC, now worth roughly $98 billion, and began making creditor repayments in July 2024 after years of legal proceedings. The repayment deadline was later extended to Oct. 31, 2025, and initial distributions totaled about 59,000 BTC, or just over 41% of the roughly 141,686 BTC earmarked for repayment, to an estimated 127,000 creditors. Coincheck’s 2018 breach involved what was then about $534 million in NEM tokens. Despite that episode, the company secured approval from the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC) in November 2024 for a Nasdaq debut through a merger with Thunder Bridge. The transaction generated roughly $31.6 million in gross proceeds for the combined company. Moving forward, Coincheck is entering Europe through the acquisition of Aplo, a French-licensed digital asset brokerage. The most recent breach involved DMM Bitcoin, which had suspended operations after a May 2024 theft of more than 4,502.9 BTC. Its accounts and assets were transferred in March 2025 to SBI VC Trade, a cryptocurrency exchange owned by SBI Holdings, which said it would support 14 tokens previously listed on DMM that were not available on its own platform. Policy uncertainty as leadership shiftsAt the policy level, uncertainty is growing over Japan’s stance on crypto and blockchain following Prime Minister Shigeru Ishiba’s Sept. 7 announcement that he will step down. Ishiba, who took office in October 2024, has advocated for digital assets, with his latest remarks delivered at the WebX2025 event. There, he pledged greater state support for Web3 initiatives, describing the sector as a driver of innovation that could help address demographic decline and support broader economic change. Last month, Finance Minister Katsunobu Katō, seen as a potential contender to succeed Ishiba, said cryptocurrency could play a role in a diversified investment portfolio, noting its growing user base in Japan. While recent surveys show Sanae Takaichi and Shinjiro Koizumi as the leading preferences for the next Liberal Democratic Party leader, Katō has emphasized the need to foster a stable trading environment for digital asset stakeholders, balancing investor protection with industry innovation. Within this policy climate, SBI Zodia Custody’s shutdown underscores the operational and licensing challenges facing foreign-linked crypto ventures in Japan. 

Binance co-founder and former CEO, Changpeng Zhao (CZ), has partnered with the authorities in the Central Asian republic of Kyrgyzstan to provide advice on crypto regulation and the development and adoption of blockchain technology. It’s understood that CZ has signed a memorandum of understanding (MOU) to this effect with the National Investments Authority (NIA), a state authority that falls under the direction of the President of the Kyrgyz Republic. The NIA promotes foreign direct investment, assisting foreign companies in developing business opportunities within Kyrgyzstan. Photo by Abai K on UnsplashCrypto & blockchain ecosystem developmentIn a statement published on X on April 3 by the President of the Kyrgyz Republic, Sadyr Zhaparov, the president outlined that in accordance with the MOU, the parties will cooperate on the development of the crypto and blockchain ecosystem. Breaking that down further, the president said that this cooperation will involve the provision of technical, infrastructural and technological support and expertise. Additionally, it will involve collaboration towards the implementation of related educational initiatives. Zhaparov added: “This cooperation marks an important step towards strengthening technological infrastructure, implementing innovative solutions, and preparing highly qualified specialists in blockchain technologies, virtual asset management, and cybersecurity. In light of the rapid global evolution of digital technologies, such initiatives are crucial for the sustainable growth of the economy and the security of virtual assets, ultimately generating new opportunities for businesses and society as a whole.” ‘Crypto adoption one country at a time’CZ reacted to this X post by the President of the Kyrgyz Republic, stating: “Kyrgyzstan. Crypto adoption, one country at a time.” He also remarked that this event had brought Zhaparov to X, given that this was his first post on the platform, with an account registered last month. Steve Milton, co-founder and CEO of Web3 wallet project Fintopio and a former Binance marketing executive, commented on the development. Milton stated that Kyrgyzstan is a forward-thinking country, while interpreting CZ's involvement as a step that will help move adoption forward. Additional advisory activityIn another X post, CZ provided details on his advisory activity. He stated: “I officially and unofficially advise a few governments on their crypto regulatory frameworks and blockchain solutions for gov efficiency, expanding blockchain to more than trading. I find this work extremely meaningful.” Reports emerged in January that Malaysian Prime Minister Datuk Seri Anwar Ibrahim had discussed digital finance policy matters with CZ. The Binance co-founder said that those discussions revolved around digital asset regulation and risks related to such assets. Furthermore, cross-border collaborations and collaborations between industries were discussed. In December CZ met with the King of Bhutan. Prior to that visit, he posted a link to an article on X that outlined that the Kingdom of Bhutan has accumulated in excess of $1 billion in Bitcoin. At that time, the Binance co-founder said that many nation states will use Bitcoin and other cryptocurrencies as reserve assets. In the past, commentators have identified Kyrgyzstan as having considerable potential for crypto mining, given ample hydroelectric generation within the mountainous country. However, crypto mining tax receipts as of the end of last year suggest that crypto mining still remains a niche activity in the Kyrgyz Republic.

True Potential of Asian Crypto ETFs Yet to Be RealizedA recently published report by Hong Kong Exchanges and Clearing Ltd. (HKEX), the Hong Kong stock exchange, has found that crypto exchange traded funds (ETFs) have the potential to play a significant part in unlocking the next phase of digital asset expansion in Asia.©Pexels/Burak The WeekenderThe report, titled “Crypto ETF: Key to unlocking the next phase of digital asset growth in Asia,” highlights how crypto ETFs could attract more institutional investors and lead to increased liquidity in the digital asset market. Furthermore, HKEX claims that the ETF investment mechanism can play its part in offering a more regulated and safe manner through which investors can gain exposure to digital assets.Regulatory progressWhile the report cites an Asian regulatory environment that is becoming increasingly more supportive of digital assets of late, it still identifies a need for further progress to be made to improve the level of regulatory clarity and to provide a truly standardized approach to digital assets. That, it says, will result in crypto ETFs becoming more accessible, offering a diversified way in which the investor can access and gain exposure to digital assets in Asia.Nonetheless, HKEX applauds the work done thus far by regulatory authorities in Hong Kong and Singapore, where regulatory frameworks relative to crypto ETFs have been implemented. Those are measures that the Hong Kong stock exchange believes will increase investor confidence, and in turn, bring about further adoption of digital assets.Modest daily trading volumeBetween December 16 and February 7 the two Bitcoin ETFs and one Ether ETF listed on the Hong Kong stock exchange achieved a daily trading volume of $1.19 million. That’s rather underwhelming when compared with the $3 billion in daily volume being achieved by the Chicago Mercantile Exchange (CME) relative to its Bitcoin and Ether futures ETF in the United States. On the New York stock exchange ProShares Bitcoin Strategy ETF achieves a daily average trading volume of $196 million.These findings are a bit counter-intuitive given the contrasting regulatory approaches in the two territories. In the US, regulators have failed to approve a physically settled Bitcoin ETF. Furthermore, the Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC) has denied the attempts of Grayscale Bitcoin Investment Trust (GBTC) to convert the Bitcoin fund into an ETF. Meanwhile, Hong Kong has much more regulatory clarity but yet trading volume in crypto-related ETFs remains minuscule by comparison with the United States.Despite that, the report remains upbeat with regard to what can be achieved in the market with crypto-related ETFs. It makes a case for crypto ETFs as a means for traditional financial institutions to enter the digital assets market with relative ease. Similarly, it sees a role for global stock exchanges in facilitating future growth of crypto-related ETFs and in developing new ETF products that could unlock access to specific digital assets or bespoke investment strategies.