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Bullish Market Analysis Finding as Asia Doubles Crypto UsersComing off the back of the last bull run, the crypto sector has been challenged with cooling price levels also affected by global macroeconomic headwinds. Despite that, a recent crypto market study by financial news platform Finbold has found encouragement with a significant increase in crypto users, most notably in Asia.Photo by Jéan Béller on Unsplash37% increase in global usersAccording to the market data presented by Finbold on Thursday, the number of global crypto users has reached 417.5 million as of 2023, representing a year-over-year growth of 36.88%. This translates to an increase of 112.5 million users compared to the 2022 count of 305 million.Several factors contribute to the growth in crypto user numbers. The fear of missing out (FOMO) phenomenon plays a significant role, as individuals see market downturns as an opportunity to enter the market and potentially benefit from their investments.Mainstream adoption and awareness of cryptocurrencies have also attracted new users, aided by the accessibility and convenience of crypto platforms and exchanges. Additionally, the acceptance of cryptocurrencies as a form of payment by businesses has further fueled user growth.In emerging markets with unstable economies and limited access to traditional banking services, cryptocurrencies have been embraced as an alternative and inclusive financial solution, driving adoption in those regions.Standout growth in AsiaAsia leads the way with 260 million users as of May 2023, marking an astonishing 100% growth from the previous year’s figure of 130 million. North America follows with 54 million users, witnessing an addition of 3 million compared to the 2022 count of 51 million.When examining crypto ownership in relation to the population of each country, Thailand claims the top spot in 2023 with a share of 9.32%. India comes in second with 7.23%, followed by Brazil at 6.98%. Pakistan ranks fourth with 6.4%, while France rounds out the top five with 5.9%.Observers believe that regional crypto user trends will be influenced by regulations. Asia dominates the market, driven by the increasing adoption of blockchain-based payment solutions in countries like India, China, Singapore, South Korea, and Japan, particularly within the banking, financial services, and insurance sectors.African & European user declineAfrica experienced a decline of 28%, going from 53 million to 38 million users. Similarly, European users dropped from 43 million to 31 million. Notably, Europe has witnessed a drop in usage, coinciding with the enactment of the Markets in Crypto Assets (MiCA) law, which aims to create a legal framework for the crypto asset market.The growth in global user numbers is remarkable, considering the challenging phase the crypto sector has been going through. High-profile incidents, including the FTX crypto exchange collapse and the Terra (LUNA) ecosystem crash, have eroded trust within the sector. Moreover, the crypto market has had to navigate an uncertain regulatory landscape, with jurisdictions like the United States cracking down on the sector.Lawsuits filed by the US Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC) against Ripple, Binance, and Coinbase for alleged securities laws violations are likely to discourage investor involvement. Regions with stricter regulations, such as North America and Europe, are expected to lose crypto business to the Asia-Pacific region.

The CEO of Hong Kong’s central banking institution, the Hong Kong Monetary Authority (HKMA), has outlined that the introduction of the Chinese autonomous territory’s Stablecoins Ordinance on Aug. 1 will criminalize the unlicensed promotion of stablecoins. In an article published on the HKMA website on July 23, CEO Eddie Yue stated:”According to the Ordinance, starting from the commencement date, it will be illegal for any person to offer any unlicensed fiat-referenced stablecoin (FRS) to a retail investor, or actively market the issue of unlicensed FRS to the public of Hong Kong.”Photo by Manson Yim on UnsplashSubject to fine & imprisonmentIf an individual is found to have promoted an unlicensed stablecoin, they will be subject to a fine of HK$50,000 ($6,400) and imprisonment of up to six months. Yue warned the public to remain vigilant and to exercise caution if they come across marketing material related to an unlicensed stablecoin offering. The HKMA CEO is conscious of the fact that stablecoins are an emerging payment instrument that is being gradually integrated into the mainstream financial system. However, he feels that some discussion on stablecoins has been overly idealistic. Yue outlined that interactions with the few dozen institutions that have reached out to the HKMA with regard to stablecoin licensing have led him to believe that “many proposals remain conceptual.” He claimed that many of the institutions putting forward these proposals “fail to put together viable and concrete plans as well as implementation roadmaps, let alone demonstrate their awareness of risks and competence in managing them.” Limited license issuanceYue believes that in many instances, these institutions would be better served to collaborate with stablecoin issuers rather than becoming stablecoin issuers themselves. It’s on that basis that the HKMA will only grant a handful of stablecoin issuer licenses. Bloomberg reported that in the region of 50 companies have been seeking to apply for stablecoin licensing in the city, with the HKMA likely to approve around 10 licenses. It referenced particular interest from Chinese brokerages and a related move recently by asset management firm ChinaAMC in launching a yuan-denominated tokenized money market fund that facilitates subscriptions via stablecoins.  Significant Chinese businesses such as JD.com and Ant Group have been preparing to acquire stablecoin licensing in Hong Kong. Chinese stablecoin urgencyIn its Asia Morning Briefing, CoinDesk pointed out that in 2021, the Chinese authorities had been critical of the development of global stablecoins, preferring instead to concentrate on their own central bank digital currency (CBDC), the digital yuan. However, it asserts that “Beijing’s caution on stablecoins is giving way to a sense of urgency.” Animoca Group President Evan Ayuang told the publication that China’s interest in stablecoins is on the rise. Ayuang asserted that actions taken by the Trump administration in the U.S. related to stablecoin policy are “pressuring China to act a lot faster.” Developments in Hong Kong are relevant in the context of China’s newfound interest in stablecoins. Lily King, chief operating officer (COO) at crypto custodian Cobo, stated recently that Hong Kong continues to be a testing ground for mainland China.  In keeping with that outlook, analysts at Morgan Stanley recently asserted that yuan-denominated stablecoin projects launched in Hong Kong would potentially serve as a developmental stablecoin sandbox for mainland China.

U.S. crypto fund targets Asian investors for new $800M growth equity fundDan Tapiero, the New York-based founder of 1RoundTable Partners and 10T Holdings, is on a mission to raise between $700 million and $800 million for his upcoming fourth fund, with a recent focus on Asian investment interest.A recent report by Deal Street Asia pointed out that Tapiero has turned his attention to the potential of inward Asian investment, not least through his recent one-week business trip to the region in early December.Photo by Towfiqu barbhuiya on UnsplashInvestment vehicles1RoundTable Partners was Tapiero’s original investment vehicle, positioning itself as a growth equity fund building a portfolio focused exclusively on growth-stage blockchain and crypto projects. 10T Holdings was established more recently, targeting mid to late stage digital asset ecosystem (DAE) firms as part of its equity fund. Earlier this year, 10T was reported by Bloomberg to have $1.2 billion under management while seeking another $200 million in new funding.10T Holdings has fully deployed its three previous funds, forming a portfolio of 24 active DAE companies, including Gemini, Animoca Brands, Yuga Labs and Deribit. Tapiero’s cautious approach to valuations has been rewarded. He turned down opportunities in FTX and Celsius Network at their peaks prior to both entities failing spectacularly in 2022.Crypto equity fund resilienceThe crypto industry faced challenges, including the collapse of FTX, leading to tighter regulations and reputational damage. Venture investments in the sector saw a decline, with statistics from Galaxy Digital Holdings indicating that Q3 2023’s venture investments were below $2 billion, the lowest since Q4 2020.Tapiero is undeterred and is actively raising his fourth growth equity fund, focusing on “digital asset ecosystem (DAE) companies.” This fund, managed under 1RoundTable Partners, will primarily invest in mature DAE companies with $40–50 million in annual revenue and a market valuation exceeding $400 million. Tapiero’s strategy of targeting lower-risk, growth-stage opportunities aligns with his hedge fund legacy.Asian investor focusTapiero is actively seeking new investors in Asia for Fund IV, targeting a first close in Q1 2024. His efforts are focused on addressing the lack of growth-stage capital, particularly in Asia, where confidence in digital assets has strengthened due to crypto-friendly regulations.The veteran macro investor, who founded Gold Bullion International in 2009 prior to turning his attention to the digital assets space, sees a window of opportunity in the secondary market. Having already invested about $660 million through 10T Holdings, he notes that investors may have only a “six-month window” to capture discounted opportunities.In an interview with Bloomberg earlier this month, Tapiero outlined his view that Q4, 2023 will be the crypto sector’s “best quarter since the bull market.” He added:“We think that the bear market finished in Q4 2022. We had a sideways move for a while and then in July [2023] things sparked off with Larry Fink’s [BlackRock CEO] comments.”As Tapiero navigates the crypto landscape with a strategic focus on growth and risk management, his approach appeals to traditional investors, including major pension funds. Fund IV represents a step toward contributing to the ongoing evolution of the digital asset ecosystem. It’s on that basis that the investment industry veteran is targeting Asian limited partnerships (LPs).