China Launches National Blockchain Center to Develop Talent

While Russia had previously ruled out adding Bitcoin to its national reserves, the latest soundings from officials within the world’s largest country call for the creation of a crypto fund to hold and manage confiscated cryptocurrencies. According to a report published by Russian state-owned news agency TASS, Evgeny Masharov, a member of the Civic Chamber of the Russian Federation, has put forward a proposal for the formation of a special fund that would hold and manage cryptocurrencies that had been confiscated as the proceeds of crime by the Russian authorities.Photo by Artem Beliaikin on UnsplashMasharov told TASS: "Cryptocurrency confiscated in criminal proceedings should work for the benefit of the state. For these purposes, a special fund can be created, on the balance sheet of which these cryptocurrencies would be located, the capitalization of which will significantly increase over time.” In the future, Masharov proposes that the funds could eventually be used for educational, social and environmental projects. Enabling asset confiscationMasharov supported moves to define digital assets as property within the realm of criminal procedure legislation previously. Since 2021, legislation has been proposed to lay out a properly defined framework to enable the confiscation of such assets in criminal cases. As of last month, Russia’s Supreme Court is currently working towards establishing this. The Civic Chamber official expressed his willingness to discuss his proposal with other stakeholders such as crypto industry representatives and officials from Russia’s Federal Taxation Service. If this proposal was to be implemented, it would match a position taken in the U.S. with regard to a Bitcoin reserve. Earlier this month, U.S. President Donald Trump signed an executive order creating a strategic Bitcoin reserve which will be funded mainly by confiscated Bitcoin. Central bank resistanceRussia’s central bank has been largely opposed to the use of cryptocurrencies within Russia in recent years. Last December, central bank governor Elvira Nabiullina stated that the bank had no plans to invest in cryptocurrencies. Earlier that month, Anton Tkachev, a member of Russia’s State Duma, had put forward a proposal to establish a national Bitcoin reserve. With the onset of sanctions as a consequence of the conflict in Ukraine, the Russian government has softened its position with regard to cryptocurrencies. Digital assets such as Bitcoin are now seen as a mechanism to enable cross-border trade and cross-border payments, circumventing the international banking system. It was reported last year that Russia’s central bank had changed course and with that, it was leading efforts to assist Russian companies to use cryptocurrency for international trade, bypassing Western sanctions. Earlier this month, Reuters reported that Russian oil firms are now using leading cryptocurrencies such as Bitcoin, Ethereum and Tether in oil trade deals with their counterparts in China and India. In another development earlier this month, it emerged that the central bank is now allowing a limited level of crypto investment by investors. Faced with sanctions and current geopolitical realities, it’s understood that Russia had been considering the use of Bitcoin for reserve purposes, but for the time being, it has opted to concentrate on adding gold and the Chinese yuan to its sovereign wealth fund. 

China Makes History by Settling Cross-Border Oil Deal with Digital YuanThe digital yuan, China’s central bank digital currency (CBDC), also known as e-CNY, was used for the first time to settle a significant oil transaction.Chinese state-owned media outlet China Daily reported on Saturday that the Shanghai Petroleum and Natural Gas Exchange (SHPGX) revealed on October 20 that PetroChina International, a subsidiary of the China National Petroleum Corporation (CNPC), successfully acquired 1 million barrels of crude.Photo by engin akyurt on UnsplashAdvancing e-CNY use internationallyThis transaction is a response to the call by the Shanghai Municipal Party Committee and Municipal Government to incorporate the digital yuan into international trade, marking a noteworthy stride towards the broader adoption of the digital currency.The exact seller and price details for the deal were not disclosed. This historic crude oil transaction signals not only the increasing use of the digital yuan in global trade but also a noteworthy step in the movement towards de-dollarization. Reports from China Daily suggest that the use of the yuan in cross-border settlements experienced a remarkable 35% year-on-year increase in the first three quarters of 2023, reaching a total of $1.39 trillion.This milestone isn’t the first time the yuan has been utilized in the energy sector. In March, the yuan was first used in a liquefied natural gas (LNG) purchase on the SHPGX, as French TotalEnergies reached an agreement to sell LNG to the China National Offshore Oil Corporation (CNOOC). Recently, another LNG deal was executed between CNOOC and French Engie, although these transactions did not involve the digital yuan.In parallel developments, First Abu Dhabi Bank announced on October 19 that it had established an agreement on digital currency with the Bank of China during the third Belt and Road Forum for International Cooperation. China and the United Arab Emirates, including Abu Dhabi, are participants in the mBridge platform designed to facilitate cross-border transactions using CBDCs. The mBridge platform is expected to launch as a minimum viable product in the coming year.Furthering mass adoptionThe Chinese authorities are taking several distinct approaches in furthering mass adoption of the e-CNY. The Chinese subsidiaries of both Singapore’s DBS Bank and France’s BNP Paribas have recently partnered with the People’s Bank of China to enable their international clients operating in China to use the digital yuan.A long list of initiatives have been taken within mainland China by regional governing authorities to further the use of the CBDC. To further enable mass adoption at home, a new offline SIM card-based digital yuan wallet was developed and launched earlier this year.The successful use of the digital yuan in settling this oil deal represents a significant step forward in the internationalization of China’s currency and the growing influence of CBDCs on the global economic stage. As the world watches these developments unfold, the digital yuan continues to make strides towards becoming a crucial means of exchange in international trade and finance.

BitMEX Co-Founder Forecasts $750K to $1 Million Bitcoin Price by 2026In a recent interview with YouTuber Tom Bilyeu, Arthur Hayes, Co-Founder of the Seychelles-registered cryptocurrency exchange and derivative trading platform BitMEX, has expressed his bullish outlook on Bitcoin’s future price, projecting a valuation of $750,000 to $1 million for the leading cryptocurrency by the year 2026.Photo by Kanchanara on UnsplashFinite supply to drive price dynamicHayes’ optimism is rooted in several factors that he believes will shape the next Bitcoin cycle. One of the key factors driving Hayes’ projection is Bitcoin’s limited supply. With a maximum cap of 21 million coins, Bitcoin’s scarcity is expected to propel the unit price of the asset in tandem with growing demand as more investors seek to secure a piece of this finite resource.The idea that Bitcoin’s scarcity will drive its value higher has been a fundamental tenet of the cryptocurrency since its inception. In 2010 the leading cryptocurrency’s pseudonymous Founder stated: “When someone tries to buy all the world’s supply of a scarce asset, the more they buy the higher the price goes.”ETF potentialHayes also highlighted the potential for Bitcoin spot exchange-traded funds (ETFs) to become available in major regulated markets. The introduction of Bitcoin ETFs could attract institutional investors and provide a more accessible way for the broader public to invest in Bitcoin, further boosting its demand.However, Hayes also speculates about the risks associated with a Bitcoin ETF. He stated: “Are we inviting in something that’s going to fundamentally change what Bitcoin is?”Geopolitical factorsGeopolitical uncertainty plays a significant role in Hayes’ forecast also. As global economic and political instability persists, investors may turn to Bitcoin and other alternative assets as hedges against traditional financial instruments.However, it’s important to note that Hayes contextualized his Bitcoin price prediction within a larger bullish macroeconomic environment. From his perspective the surge in asset prices will not be limited to cryptocurrencies alone. He anticipates a substantial boom in financial markets, with not only Bitcoin but also traditional assets like stocks experiencing substantial price growth.Hayes stated: “I think it will be the biggest boom in financial markets we have ever seen in human history. Bitcoin will have a ridiculous price, Nasdaq will have a ridiculous price, S&P will have a ridiculous price.”Known for his thoughtful and insightful writings on the subject area, Hayes wrote in July that he believes that Bitcoin will be the currency of choice when it comes to the growing need for artificial intelligence (AI) to work directly with a means of payment.$1 million BTC by 2026While Hayes’ projection of a $1 million Bitcoin price by 2026 may seem ambitious, his short-term predictions are more moderate. He foresees Bitcoin trading in the $30,000 range for the current year. Building upon that thesis, he maintains that the possibility exists of it reaching $70,000 by 2024.This aligns with the views of other industry analysts who anticipate challenges and headwinds in the near term. There’s little doubt that recent platform failures and speculation with regard to the health of other leading crypto platforms have been retarding market performance more recently.While the road ahead may hold fluctuations and challenges, many experts believe that Bitcoin’s long-term trajectory remains promising, driven by its unique attributes and the changing dynamics of global finance.